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Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen By Calvin Chen Technical Director Technical Director

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Page 1: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003Roadmap for Q2/2003

Premio Desktop and Intel ProcessorPremio Desktop and Intel ProcessorRoadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004

By Calvin ChenBy Calvin ChenTechnical DirectorTechnical Director

Page 2: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

AgendaAgenda

Intel Desktop Processor OverviewIntel Desktop Processor Overview

Intel Desktop Processor RoadmapIntel Desktop Processor Roadmap

-- Q2/2003, Q3/2003, Q4/2003, and Q1/2004 Breakdown-- Q2/2003, Q3/2003, Q4/2003, and Q1/2004 Breakdown

-- P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison-- P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison

Premio Desktop RoadmapPremio Desktop Roadmap

-- Q2/2003, Q3/2003, Q4/2003, and Q1/2004 Breakdown-- Q2/2003, Q3/2003, Q4/2003, and Q1/2004 Breakdown

Other Desktop Technologies (USB, Firewire, AGP, etc.)Other Desktop Technologies (USB, Firewire, AGP, etc.)

SummarySummary

                  

Page 3: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Desktop Processor OverviewIntel Desktop Processor Overview                   

Intel’s next major push will occur in Q2/2003 when the P4’s front side Intel’s next major push will occur in Q2/2003 when the P4’s front side

bus will be increased to 800MHz (we went from bus will be increased to 800MHz (we went from 400MHz 400MHz 533MHz 533MHz

800MHz800MHz))

By Q2/2003, the majority of P4 CPUs will be 533FSB, with the 400FSB By Q2/2003, the majority of P4 CPUs will be 533FSB, with the 400FSB

pushed down to the Celeron CPUspushed down to the Celeron CPUs

With the launch of the next generation 865 family chipset (a.k.a., With the launch of the next generation 865 family chipset (a.k.a.,

Springdale) in mid April/2003, Intel will be releasing P4/800FSB at lower Springdale) in mid April/2003, Intel will be releasing P4/800FSB at lower

speeds (2.4, 2.6, and 2.8GHz) with Hyper-Threading supportspeeds (2.4, 2.6, and 2.8GHz) with Hyper-Threading support

The P4/533FSB (2.4, 2.53, 2.66, 2.8, and 3.06GHz) processors will remain The P4/533FSB (2.4, 2.53, 2.66, 2.8, and 3.06GHz) processors will remain

around until Q4/2003; Intel will gradually phase out the lower speedsaround until Q4/2003; Intel will gradually phase out the lower speeds

On the Celeron side, Intel will transition to the Northwood core and On the Celeron side, Intel will transition to the Northwood core and

continue ramping up the speeds in 100MHz incrementscontinue ramping up the speeds in 100MHz increments

Celeron FSB and L2 cache will remain at 400MHz and 128KCeleron FSB and L2 cache will remain at 400MHz and 128K

Page 4: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Desktop Processor RoadmapIntel Desktop Processor Roadmap                   

P4-N/400 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBP4-N/533 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 533MHz FSBP4-N/800 = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 512K L2 cache; 800MHz FSBP4-P/800 = Prescott core (0.09 micron); 1MB L2 cache; 800MHz FSBCeleron-W = Willamette core (0.18 micron); 128K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBCeleron-N = Northwood core (0.13 micron); 128K L2 cache; 400MHz FSBRed denotes Hyper-Threading Technology

Page 5: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q2/2003 BreakdownIntel Processor Q2/2003 Breakdown                   

The major event for this quarter is the beginning of the transition to the The major event for this quarter is the beginning of the transition to the

800MHz FSB800MHz FSB

During this period, Intel will release 800FSB CPUs at lower speeds; During this period, Intel will release 800FSB CPUs at lower speeds; keep in keep in

mind that all 800FSB CPUs, regardless of speed, will have Hyper-Threading mind that all 800FSB CPUs, regardless of speed, will have Hyper-Threading

supportsupport

Both the 533FSB and 800FSB processors will run in parallel (2.4/533 + 2.4/800; Both the 533FSB and 800FSB processors will run in parallel (2.4/533 + 2.4/800;

2.66/533 + 2.6/800; 2.8/533 + 2.8/800; 3.06/533 + 3.0/800)2.66/533 + 2.6/800; 2.8/533 + 2.8/800; 3.06/533 + 3.0/800)

The 800FSB parts will be priced a bit higher than their 533FSB counterparts; The 800FSB parts will be priced a bit higher than their 533FSB counterparts;

approximately $10 ~ $15 moreapproximately $10 ~ $15 more

The Celeron (all speeds) will still be running at 400MHz FSB with 128K L2 The Celeron (all speeds) will still be running at 400MHz FSB with 128K L2

cache; the reason is because Intel doesn’t want the Celeron overlapping into cache; the reason is because Intel doesn’t want the Celeron overlapping into

the P4 spacethe P4 space

Page 6: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q3/2003 BreakdownIntel Processor Q3/2003 Breakdown                   

Things will settle down a bit after the launch of the 865 Things will settle down a bit after the launch of the 865

chipset and 800FSB CPUschipset and 800FSB CPUs

No major changes for this quarterNo major changes for this quarter

By this quarter, Intel will have completely transitioned the By this quarter, Intel will have completely transitioned the

Celeron to the Northwood coreCeleron to the Northwood core

Page 7: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q4/2003 BreakdownIntel Processor Q4/2003 Breakdown                   

In this quarter, Intel will launch their next generation P4 In this quarter, Intel will launch their next generation P4

processor based on the new Prescott coreprocessor based on the new Prescott core

The Prescott will have a 0.09 micron core with 1MB of L2 cache The Prescott will have a 0.09 micron core with 1MB of L2 cache

and will be launching at 3.4GHzand will be launching at 3.4GHz

Other enhancements to the Prescott will be a refinement of Other enhancements to the Prescott will be a refinement of

their Hyper-Threading technology (HT2?)their Hyper-Threading technology (HT2?)

Also, a series of hardware security features codename Also, a series of hardware security features codename

LaGrande may be added to the PrescottLaGrande may be added to the Prescott

LaGrande will work in conjunction with Microsoft’s Palladium LaGrande will work in conjunction with Microsoft’s Palladium

software security initiative software security initiative

Page 8: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Intel Processor Q1/2004 BreakdownIntel Processor Q1/2004 Breakdown                   

After the launch of Prescott, things will once again settle downAfter the launch of Prescott, things will once again settle down

Intel will use this period to gradually phase out their 533FSB CPUsIntel will use this period to gradually phase out their 533FSB CPUs

Their goal is to push Hyper-Threading down to every P4 desktop Their goal is to push Hyper-Threading down to every P4 desktop

systems starting in 2004systems starting in 2004

Prescott will be ramping up in speed, with a >=3.6GHz part available Prescott will be ramping up in speed, with a >=3.6GHz part available

this quarterthis quarter

No major changes for the Celeron, other than a continual ramp up of No major changes for the Celeron, other than a continual ramp up of

speeds to 2.6GHzspeeds to 2.6GHz

Page 9: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance ComparisonP4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison                   

Let’s take a look at the performance difference (if any) between the P4 533FSB and 800FSB

Our system configuration is:

• Intel D865PERL motherboard• Pentium™ 4/2.8GHz (533FSB and 800FSB)• 512MB (2 x 256MB DDR266)• WD 180GB / 7,200RPM IDE HDD (WD1800BB)• Sapphire Radeon 9500 128MB• Mitsumi 52x24x52x CDRW (CR-478ETE)

For our test, we will use the P4/2.8GHz in both 533FSB and 800FSB; since the P4/2.8GHz/800FSB comes with HT and the P4/2.8GHz/533FSB does not, we will disable HT in the motherboard BIOS

For our first benchmark we will use 3DMark 2003. This test will benchmark a system’s overall 3D performance

From the graph on the right, we can see the performance delta between 533FSB and 800FSB is minimal at best. This is because this benchmark is heavily dependent on the video card, not the processor

Page 10: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison (cont.)P4’s 533FSB and 800FSB Performance Comparison (cont.)                   

Content Creation 2002 measures a system’s overall performance when running digital content creation applications such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Premier, Macromedia Dreamweaver, etc.

Since this more intensive benchmark than Business Winstone, we should see a greater performance delta between the 800FSB and 533FSB CPUs

In this benchmark, we can see the 800FSB CPU is about 14% faster than its 533FSB counterpart

In conclusion, there is a measurable performance increase going from 533FSB 800FSB

Business Winstone 2001 measures a system’s overall performance when running common office suites such as Microsoft Office 2000 and Lotus Office.

In this benchmark, we can see the 800FSB CPU is about 9% faster than its 533FSB counterpart

Page 11: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop RoadmapPremio Desktop Roadmap                   

* = denotes new product; 865 platforms will launch at the middle of May/2003

Page 12: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q2/2003 BreakdownPremio Desktop Q2/2003 Breakdown                   

Due to the 865 family chipset launch and 800FSB support, we will be adding a couple of new Due to the 865 family chipset launch and 800FSB support, we will be adding a couple of new

platformsplatforms

For ATX, we will add the 865PE (MSI m/b) and 865PERC (Intel m/b); no integrated video, but For ATX, we will add the 865PE (MSI m/b) and 865PERC (Intel m/b); no integrated video, but

with integrated LAN + audiowith integrated LAN + audio

For micro ATX, we will have the 865G (MSI m/b) and 865GLC (Intel m/b), both of which will For micro ATX, we will have the 865G (MSI m/b) and 865GLC (Intel m/b), both of which will

come with integrated video and an open AGP 8X/4X slot, along with integrated LAN + audiocome with integrated video and an open AGP 8X/4X slot, along with integrated LAN + audio

During this quarter, we will phase out the 850E2 Rambus platform; Intel will completely shift During this quarter, we will phase out the 850E2 Rambus platform; Intel will completely shift

their memory support to dual DDR33/400 starting this quartertheir memory support to dual DDR33/400 starting this quarter

On the ATX end, we will have the 854E, 854EBG2, 854EBG2L in parallel w/ the 865PE On the ATX end, we will have the 854E, 854EBG2, 854EBG2L in parallel w/ the 865PE

platforms; once our 845E series inventory is exhausted we will transition over the 865PEplatforms; once our 845E series inventory is exhausted we will transition over the 865PE

On the micro ATX end, we will continue carry the S651B as a low cost solution, while phasing On the micro ATX end, we will continue carry the S651B as a low cost solution, while phasing

in the 865G platforms; also, we will change from 845GL to 845GV as a low cost Intel solutionin the 865G platforms; also, we will change from 845GL to 845GV as a low cost Intel solution

We will have a minor refresh on the S651 to S651B (to enable Hyper-Threading support)We will have a minor refresh on the S651 to S651B (to enable Hyper-Threading support)

The micro ATX 845EM will gradually be phased out in favor of the 865GThe micro ATX 845EM will gradually be phased out in favor of the 865G

The Calypso 4E will stay as isThe Calypso 4E will stay as is

Page 13: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q3/2003 Breakdown Premio Desktop Q3/2003 Breakdown                   

Depending on pricing and demand for the 865 chipset, we may launch Depending on pricing and demand for the 865 chipset, we may launch

the Calypso 5 based on the 865G chipsetthe Calypso 5 based on the 865G chipset

If the demand for a NetPC 865 platform is soft, we will continue with our If the demand for a NetPC 865 platform is soft, we will continue with our

existing Calypso 4E platformexisting Calypso 4E platform

Depending on pricing and demand, we may transition the S651 to the Depending on pricing and demand, we may transition the S651 to the

new S661 with 800FSB supportnew S661 with 800FSB support

We will continue to monitor the demand for the 845E platformsWe will continue to monitor the demand for the 845E platforms

Your goal is to gradually transition your customer over to the 865 Your goal is to gradually transition your customer over to the 865

platformsplatforms

Page 14: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q4/2003 BreakdownPremio Desktop Q4/2003 Breakdown                   

By end of this quarter, our transition to 865 should be completeBy end of this quarter, our transition to 865 should be complete

This will greatly simplify our desktop product line This will greatly simplify our desktop product line

We will keep the S661 around if there is sufficient demand, and use that as a We will keep the S661 around if there is sufficient demand, and use that as a

low cost P4 solutionlow cost P4 solution

Page 15: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Premio Desktop Q1/2004 BreakdownPremio Desktop Q1/2004 Breakdown                   

By the start of 2004, we should have completely transition over to the 865 By the start of 2004, we should have completely transition over to the 865

family of chipset for our entire desktop product linefamily of chipset for our entire desktop product line

Looking beyond Q1/2004, things should be stable until possibly Q2/2004 Looking beyond Q1/2004, things should be stable until possibly Q2/2004

or Q3/2004 when Intel will introduce a new socket type, which is dubbed or Q3/2004 when Intel will introduce a new socket type, which is dubbed

socket 774 or socket Tsocket 774 or socket T

Socket T will be used to pave the migration path to the P4 Tejas core, Socket T will be used to pave the migration path to the P4 Tejas core,

which will be the successor to the Prescott corewhich will be the successor to the Prescott core

Tejas probably won’t be available until Q3/2004 or later, so details for it Tejas probably won’t be available until Q3/2004 or later, so details for it

are sketchy at best, but it will probably have a 1.2GHz FSB (!!!)are sketchy at best, but it will probably have a 1.2GHz FSB (!!!)

Page 16: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Other Desktop TechnologiesOther Desktop Technologies                   

USB 2.0USB 2.0: It's available now; keep in mind that USB : It's available now; keep in mind that USB

2.0 is backwards compatible w/ USB 1.1 devices. It is 2.0 is backwards compatible w/ USB 1.1 devices. It is

also known as Hi-Speed USB. This should take us to also known as Hi-Speed USB. This should take us to

the end of 2003 and beyond. There are no plans for the end of 2003 and beyond. There are no plans for

USB 3.0 yet.USB 3.0 yet.

IEEE1394/FirewireIEEE1394/Firewire: Currently, Firewire maxes out at : Currently, Firewire maxes out at

400Mbps; Firewire is mainly used for DV (digital 400Mbps; Firewire is mainly used for DV (digital

video) editing. With the advent of USB 2.0, Firewire video) editing. With the advent of USB 2.0, Firewire

will remain a niche technology for use with video will remain a niche technology for use with video

editingediting

Page 17: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)                   

Serial ATASerial ATA is the evolution of IDE technology; current ATA-100 is the is the evolution of IDE technology; current ATA-100 is the

standard; (ATA-133 is available, but since it is not officially supported standard; (ATA-133 is available, but since it is not officially supported

by Intel, it will remain a niche technology)by Intel, it will remain a niche technology)

Serial ATA will start at SATA-150, or 150MB/secSerial ATA will start at SATA-150, or 150MB/sec

Specs for SATA II (300MB/sec) and III (600MB/sec [!!!]) are already in Specs for SATA II (300MB/sec) and III (600MB/sec [!!!]) are already in

progressprogress

Two major benefits of SATA is thinner cable and lower voltage Two major benefits of SATA is thinner cable and lower voltage

requirementsrequirements

Current flat ribbon ATA-100 cable is wide and can restrict airflow Current flat ribbon ATA-100 cable is wide and can restrict airflow

inside a chassis (see picture on right); while the SATA cable are much inside a chassis (see picture on right); while the SATA cable are much

thinner and flexiblethinner and flexible

SATA will not take off until the introduction of the 865 chipset in mid SATA will not take off until the introduction of the 865 chipset in mid

May/2003; in the meantime, you will probably see some 3May/2003; in the meantime, you will probably see some 3 rdrd party SATA party SATA

PCI controllersPCI controllers

Page 18: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)Other Desktop Technologies (cont.)                   

MemoryMemory: With the launch of the 865 chipset in mid : With the launch of the 865 chipset in mid

May/2003, Rambus is officially dead; going forward, Intel May/2003, Rambus is officially dead; going forward, Intel

will use dual channel DDR400will use dual channel DDR400

AGPAGP: For the majority of desktop systems, AGP 4X will : For the majority of desktop systems, AGP 4X will

continue to be the norm; currently, ATI Radeon 9700 is continue to be the norm; currently, ATI Radeon 9700 is

AGP 8X, and nVidia is revising some of their current cards AGP 8X, and nVidia is revising some of their current cards

(for example, the GeForce4 Ti 4800) to AGP 8X. But there (for example, the GeForce4 Ti 4800) to AGP 8X. But there

is very little performance gain going from AGP 4X to 8Xis very little performance gain going from AGP 4X to 8X

Page 19: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Summary for Intel Desktop ProcessorsSummary for Intel Desktop Processors                   

For P4 processors, start transitioning your customers over to the For P4 processors, start transitioning your customers over to the

533FSB, if you haven’t done so already533FSB, if you haven’t done so already

Inform them that by the end of 2003, they should have moved to Inform them that by the end of 2003, they should have moved to

800FSB or are in the process of doing so800FSB or are in the process of doing so

For the Celeron processors, there is little or no changes, other than For the Celeron processors, there is little or no changes, other than

incremental speed increases every quarterincremental speed increases every quarter

One of the benefit of moving to the 800FSB P4 is Hyper-Threading (HT) One of the benefit of moving to the 800FSB P4 is Hyper-Threading (HT)

All 800FSB CPUs, regardless of speed, will be HT enabledAll 800FSB CPUs, regardless of speed, will be HT enabled

Page 20: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

Summary for Premio DesktopsSummary for Premio Desktops                   

Starting in Q2/2003, the migration to the Intel 865 family of chipset (865PE Starting in Q2/2003, the migration to the Intel 865 family of chipset (865PE

and 865G) will beginand 865G) will begin

We will run the 845E and 865 chipset in parallel to ease the transitional We will run the 845E and 865 chipset in parallel to ease the transitional

period for your customersperiod for your customers

The 850E2 Rambus platform will be discontinued; we will no longer The 850E2 Rambus platform will be discontinued; we will no longer

support Rambus in the futuresupport Rambus in the future

Depending on demand, we may bring in the Calypso 5, based on the 865G Depending on demand, we may bring in the Calypso 5, based on the 865G

chipset, or stay with our current Calypso 4Echipset, or stay with our current Calypso 4E

By the end 2003, we should have migrated over to the 865 chipset By the end 2003, we should have migrated over to the 865 chipset

completelycompletely

Page 21: Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 Premio Desktop and Intel Processor Roadmap for Q2/2003 to Q1/2004 By Calvin Chen Technical Director

The EndThe End

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