pune projekti nr 1
TRANSCRIPT
UNIVERSITETI “ALEKSANDËR MOISIU”
FAKULTETI I STUDIMEVE TË INTEGRUARA
ME PRAKTIKËN (FASTIP) BANK MANAGEMENT
FIRST YEAR
Project Work I
Topic:
Treasury Bonds: Investment in government security
Submitted by: Enos Dauti
Date: 30.08.2010
2
1.Introduction
A treasury bond is a negotiable, coupon-bearing debt obligation issued by the
government and backed by its full faith and credit, with ranging maturity from one to thirty
years from the date of issue.1 Also called government security, this derives from the fact
that they have the security of the government in paying them back. Treasury bonds
comprise part of the financial instruments in the hands of the state to manage the economic
environment. Moreover, treasury bonds are referred as government debt, because the it sells
its debt to finance its deficit. In addition, at the maturity period of the bond the government
pays the intended yield as well as the principal invested arisen from the government’s
received revenue.
Nevertheless, out of such statements there are some simple questions arising. What
was the trigger of initiation of such a monetary instrument to be invented? Who does it
benefit the most? Would economy be the same without its usage? And lastly, is it possible
that once the government implemented such a tool to simply cease its usage, pay back all
the investors, and have sufficient budget to continue project financing without borrowings?
1.2 Historical background to public debt
Sophisticated as it is, the state issued bond, is believed to be part of today’s modern
world economy, but regarding to historical records, it dates back far from what is
commonly known. It is in the early Middle Age, in the twelve century, when bills of
exchange, with transferability to third parties through endorsement, were used2. It was the
simple fact of taxation – of more or less predictable revenue streams – that provided the
earliest system of public debt in medieval Italy. The Venetian public debt, which originated
in the twelfth century, was secured on the state’s salt monopoly, the revenues of which
were earmarked for debt service and redemption. In the fourteenth century the increasing
1 Treasury Bond definition, http://www.investorwords.com/5061/Treasury_Bond.html
2 Ferguson, N., The Cash Nexus; Money and Power in the Modern Word,1700 – 2000, pg. 107.
3
use of forced loans (prestiti) as a form of taxation further increased the importance of the
debt.3
As it is usually happens, when a new instrument regardless of the nature of use, and
with reference to the fact that it becomes an indivisible part of the aspects of life it is used,
it evolves in accordance to the frequent changing needs of the demand and supply of this
same instrument. In terms of the public debt, its management developed accordingly. An
important development here was transferability, where in Florence; the communal debt was
systematically increased by the fiscal heavy reliance of the forced loans.4 What we see so
far is the fact that the government, being aware of its power and competence in regard to
the laws they issued, provided itself with a supporting policy to finance their budget deficit,
and saw public borrowing as an inevitable tool to manage its portfolio.
1.3 Development approach to current days
However, with the evolution of the society, and the radical changes occurred in the
political systems up to the recent days, with regard to the current legal system, it is
impossible and illegal to impel lenders to invest in the government deficit. In addition, what
we see as today’s government security is the Treasury bond, which with connection to the
principal invested, it is possible to gain interest accordingly, and this way the government
attracts investors5. This is in contrast to the initial usage, where people were compelled to
―buy‖ the budget deficit. When the government needs to borrow money, it issues bonds in
various denominations or face values. The face value is returned to you on the bond's future
maturity date and you get paid interest in the interim.6
3 Ferguson, N., cited, pg.107
4 Ferguson, N., cited, pg.108
5 Government Bond, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Government_bond
6 Government Bond, National Bank; Financial.
4
In other words, it builds up its reputation and confidence in people on its ability to
pay back and rewarding its investors with the received yield. Furthermore, it provides itself
and others with mutual reliance in future investments.
2. Operating with government security
Treasury bonds are issued by the government in order to pay for government
projects. The money paid out for a Treasury bond is essentially a loan to the government.
As with any loan, repayment of principal is accompanied by a fixed interest rate. These
bonds are guaranteed by the 'full faith and credit' of the government, meaning that they are
extremely low risk (since the government can simply print money to pay back the loan)7.
The most real risk for investors comes from the decrease of the real value of profit.
In other terms, from the increase of the inflation rate, or the depreciation of the ALL
compared to other foreign currencies8.
2.1 Open Market Operation
Open market operations are one of three basic tools used by the Federal Reserve (or
any other Country’s Central Bank) to reach its monetary policy objectives. The execution
of OMOs in the "open market"—also known as the secondary market for securities
purchases—is the Federal Reserve's most flexible means of carrying out its objectives9.
Differently put, this means that it is through OMO that the state provides the instruments to
conduct its predicted monetary policy to achieve the desired outcome on one’s country
economic environment.
The money market—which includes the federal funds market—provides the natural
point of contact between the Federal Reserve and the financial system. The money market
is a term used for wholesale markets in short term credit or IOUs, comprising debt
instruments maturing within one year. The market is international in scope and helps in
7 Treasury Bonds, www.Investorguide.com
8 Kaiku, E., Treasury Bonds, Hapesire, April 16 2007,pg 22. 9 Open market operations, http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed32.html
5
economizing on the use of cash or money.10
Open market operations by the Federal
Reserve involve the buying and selling of government securities in the secondary market in
which previously issued securities are traded.11
In addition, what we see as beneficiary to
the state is the way it provides itself with the funds to finance its budgeted projects and
moreover prevent economic crumps due to lack of money.
The government sells Treasury bonds by auction in the primary market, but they can
also be purchased through a broker in the secondary market. A broker will charge a fee for
such a transaction, but the government charges no fee to participate in auctions. Treasury
bonds are marketable securities, meaning that they can be traded after the initial purchase.
Additionally, they are highly liquid because there is an active secondary market for them.
Prices on the secondary market and at auction are determined by interest rates. Treasury
bonds issued today are not callable, so they will continue to accrue interest until the
maturity date.12
2.2 Classification of bonds
The government issues large variety of securities as part of financial instruments,
that will contribute to finance the occurring budget deficit. There are three main
distinguishable types of bonds in accordance to their period to maturity. Furthermore, this
kind of classification is not only used for the simplicity of creating taxonomies under which
to define the terms and conditions of the bond issued.
What is seen applicable in this aspect is the fact of who’s to benefit. In such terms,
this means that the state organizes the securities issued in accordance to its needs, whether
they are long – run, or short – run needs. Yet, it also provides appealing diversification to
investors to meet their need on the length of time they are willing to lend their money to the
state, and the proximity of time in which they desire to obtain back the principal invested to
10
Akhtar, M. A., Understanding open market operations, pg.7. 11
Akhtar, M. A., Cited, pg.35 12
Treasury Bonds, www.Investorguide.com
6
re – make use of it. Despite the fact that bonds seem appealing to the point of mutual
satisfaction, in case the government would not be in necessity of liquidity, it is believed that
the bonds issuing would not occur in the first place. There are three types of securities
issued by the U.S. Treasury. These are distinguished by the amount of time from the initial
sale of the bond to maturity.
Treasury bonds
These securities have the longest maturity of any bond issued by the U.S. Treasury,
from 10 to 30 years. The 30-year bond is also called the "long bond." Denominations range
from $1000 to $1 million. T-bonds pay interest every 6 months at a fixed coupon rate. As
mentioned above, these bonds are not callable, but some older T-bonds available on the
secondary market are callable within five years of the maturity date.
Treasury notes
T-notes have maturities between 1 and 10 years. Denominations range from $1000
to $5000 and are determined by the amount of time to maturity. Like T-bonds, these
securities pay interest semi-annually at a fixed coupon rate.
CPI-indexed Treasury Notes (TIPS)
TIPS are inflation-indexed securities issued by the U.S. Treasury in an effort to
widen the selection of government securities available to investors. The notes have a 10
year maturity and pay interest at a fixed rate. The principal increases with the inflation rate,
which in turn increases future interest payments. One danger associated with investing in
TIPS is that taxes are due on the increased principal before maturity when the investor
gains access to the principal. In times of high inflation, tax payments could even exceed the
interest income earned by the note.
7
Treasury Bills
T-bills are available with maturities of 13 weeks, 26 weeks and 52 weeks. They are
purchased at a discount to their $10,000 face value, and the full amount is received at
maturity (making them zero-coupon). The bills are sold at auction where the price of sale is
determined by how much the bill is worth on the date of issue, which depends mainly on
interest rates.13
2.3 Practical demonstration
An attraction with bonds is that you don't have to wait until maturity to earn your
full return. You can sell them in the bond market before they mature - and hopefully profit
doing so. Whether you profit will mostly depend on what has happened to general interest
rates since you bought the bond. If rates have come down, you will likely be able to sell the
bond for more than you paid. If they've risen, however, you'll probably lose on the sale. Say
you pay face value for a $1,000, 10-year bond paying 10%. Two years later, you decide to
sell when interest rates have dropped and similar bonds are yielding 8%. Instead of selling
your bond for $1,000, you can sell it for more because it's 10% coupon is attractive. So you
sell the bond for $1,085, giving you an $85 profit that pushes up your return to 14.25%.
Eight years later, the person who bought the bond will get back its $1,000 face value,
leaving a loss of $85. Spread out over the bond's remaining eight years, that loss reduces
the buyer's return to about 8%. Other factors besides interest rates can affect bond prices,
such as the issuer's credit rating, the term to maturity, and the bond's coupon rate.14
What is seen as the logic behind such open market operation is the willingness to
risk on the predictability of the interest rate. If the bond yield is higher than that of the
market, there is an evident profit on the side of the one who initiates the first instance of
selling. On the other hand, the second buyer has to risk on the fact that the market interest
will remain in such proportions to gain the desired reward out of the yield or if odds are that
he will be in need of liquidity. In the case that the market interest increases beyond the one
13
Treasury Bonds, www.Investorguide.com 14
Government Bond, National Bank; Financial.
8
printed on the bond, and the case is that if same buyer needs immediate liquidity, he can
sell it for less that he actually paid and resulting in loss. The contrary would occur if the
interest is constantly changing in negative proportions; it may be the case for him to decide
to resell the bond in order for him to make profit out of the bond, without waiting its
maturity.
3. Albanian’s investments retrospective
Out of historical records it is known that Albania has been under a dictatorship
regime for almost fifty years, and as a result its economy was far from the competitive
market. In accordance, economic knowledge was not applicable to all the population of the
country. In addition, there was substantial lack of information regarding financial
institutions, economic approaches as well as reasoning in such terms. However, it was not
until the late 90’s that Albania changed its form of regime, making so a giant leap from
total isolation to direct democracy.
When Albania started the transition from central planning to a market economy, it
was the poorest and most isolated and backward country in Europe. For centuries, Albania
had been largely unknown and inaccessible, and, from 1945 to 1985, its isolation was
compounded by the rigid communist dictatorship, which eliminated almost all forms of
private property and virtually cut the country off from outside influences and information.15
The banking industry remains the largest and the most development segment of the
Albanian financial market. The banking sector plays an important role in economy but it
cannot be considered isolates from historical political and economic environment16
.
What is seen as inevitable, is the gap of development between the two kinds of
government. A gap that would reflect in the years to come as the worst case scenario in
managing the market.
15 Jarvis, C., The rise and the fall of Albania’s pyramid scheme. 16
Tushaj, A., Market Concentration in the Banking Sector: Evidence from Albania, pg. 5
9
3.1 Bad investments
Initially, the banking sector before the ’90 was a mono bank. Bank deposits were
the only officially available savings / investment instruments for individuals in socialist
Albanian economy17. After the fall of communism, the young, yet vibrant private sector
was generating an increasing amount of domestic savings, along with remittances from
about 400,000 Albanians working abroad, mainly in Greece and Italy. In 1995 private
savings reached almost 15 percent of GDP, or $350 million (up from practically zero, two
or three years earlier). Those savings, combined with remittances from abroad, totaled more
than $600 million in 1995 and more than $700 million in 199618
.
Deriving from the fact that the overall conditions were led by the unknown, it was
easier for ―differently‖ skilled people to create informal financial institutions and to
convince others to deposit their money, which consequently came the rise of the Pyramid
schemes. The pyramid scheme phenomenon in Albania is important because its scale
relative to the size of the economy was unprecedented.19
The new class of inexperienced account owners became easy targets for swindlers,
who promised exorbitant interest rates for those who joined their schemes. At the beginning
they kept their promises, paying their obligations from the next wave of investors' money.
Deriving from the fact that these kind of deposit – taking individuals appeared for
the first time, regardless from the nature of their intention, they had to be fair to the
depositors. In such terms, they returned the promised interest and the amount of money to
the first depositors in order to build up confidence, and to attract more to come.
17 Tushaj, A., Cited, pg.5 18 Elbirt, C., Albania under the shadow of Pyramids. 19
Jarvis, C., cited.
10
This is why such schemes are called pyramid20
schemes: the bottom layers of
deposits must grow fast in order to keep the system running21
. The wide appeal of Albania's
schemes can be attributed to several factors, including Albanians' unfamiliarity with
financial markets; the deficiencies of the country's formal financial system, which
encouraged the development of an informal market and, within this market, of the pyramid
schemes; and failures of governance.22
The informal lending companies were initially regarded as making an important
economic contribution. However, deposit-taking companies invested on their own account
instead of making loans. These companies were the ones that turned into pyramid
schemes.23
3.2 How did the schemes operate?
In a typical pyramid scheme, a fund or company attracts investors by offering them
very high returns; these returns are paid to the first investors out of the funds received from
those who invest later. The scheme is insolvent—liabilities exceed assets—from the day it
opens for business. However, it flourishes initially, as news about the high returns spreads
and more investors are drawn in. Encouraged by the high payouts, and in some cases by
showcase investments and ostentatious spending by the operators, still more people are
drawn in, and the scheme grows until the interest and principal due to the early investors
exceeds the money paid in by new investors. To attract new investors, a scheme may raise
interest rates, but the larger interest payments soon force it to raise rates again. Eventually,
the high rates begin to arouse suspicion or the scheme finds itself unable to make interest
payments. When investors try to get their money out, they discover the truth about the
scheme, whose demise is swift—and usually accompanied by acts of outright theft by the
operators, if they are not caught first24
.
20
See picture 1 Page 18 21
Elbirt, C.,cited. 22
Jarvis, C., cited. 23
Jarvis, C., cited. 24
Jarvis, C., cited.
11
It seems obvious that the continuous raise of the interest rates would imply that the
scheme operator would have to increase the interest rate of return revenue constantly in
order to attract more investors in order pay the previously claimed interest. In a scaling
approach, it would come to the case that he/she would actually bring the interest rate up to
100% or more, due to competition, and at the yield to maturity it would be impossible to
pay back the investors. As result, such a fear would arise from the same word of mouth that
brought its popularity in acquiring the populations found, the very same would make
people to ―Run at the scheme‖. In addition with its liabilities exceeding its assets, not only
he/she would make no profit, despite the result of losses is clearly eminent, but what would
be the results in terms of paying back? How would people react ?
Experts and other professionals predicted what was going to happen and warned the
government of time, the case was sent to a trial, but the frail legal framework favored such
a scheme25
.
From this experience, the legal framework was prepared and empowered to prevent
such a scenario from repeating. The bank of Albania is the only financial institution that
plays the regulatory role.
Out of the traumatic experience in the 1997, with the collapse of the pyramid
schemes that dried up the population’s savings overnight, Albania was induced to anarchy,
where the people reacted very violently26
. Government revenues collapsed as customs posts
and tax offices were burned27
.
Preventing state’s income would mean an inevitable end. The lack of revenue would
leave the state out of funds to invest in the future prosperity of its own country. Somehow,
this can be associated with the fact that the population blamed the government for their own
losses, and if they did not have any assets, the government would neither.
After 1997 crisis, the macroeconomic environment led to important changes in
Albanian banking sector which was involved in liquidation, restructuring, privatization and
25 Elbirt, C.,cited. 26 Fuster, T., The Truth and the Surface in the Albanian economy. Shekulli. 27
Jarvis, C., cited.
12
acquisition activities of some banks28
. This, in order to build up confidence and to develop
the sector of financial institutions.
4. Central Bank’s role
Most of the nations’ central banks are responsible for formulating and implementing
monetary policy. The formulation of monetary policy involves developing a plan aimed at
pursuing the goals of stable prices, full employment and, more generally, a stable financial
environment for the economy. In implementing that plan, the central banks make use of
tools of monetary policy to induce changes in interest rates, and the amount of money and
credit in the economy. Through these financial variables, monetary policy actions
influence, albeit with considerable time lags, the levels of spending, output, employment
and prices29
.
In order to achieve its final objective Bank of Albania sets the operational
framework of monetary policy instruments used to intervene in the money market. The
instruments employed for such a purpose include: the instruments used in the open market
operations, standing facilities and other liquidity providing instruments30
.
The attempts to develop this market have been focused on the formulation of laws
and constructions of institutions that will participate in it. The result is: there are no shares
listed in the stock market and an official stock market doesn’t exit. The only securities that
are trading are T-bills. In absence of stock exchange, T-bills are traded from Bank of
Albania .Thus T-bills activity evaluates as indicator of competition.31
4.1 Treasury bills as Albania’s monetary policy
28 Tushaj, A., Cited, pg.23 29 Akhtar, M. A., Cited, pg.1 30 Monetary Policy, Bank of Albania 31 Tushaj, A., Cited, pg.20
13
When the government wants to initiate a development project, in the condition of
finding itself in budget deficit, it issues IOU-s in order to finance the project. The bond
issued by the Albanian government have a maturity of one year and are represented by the
Ministry of Finance, and kept in a registry form. Those are debt instruments through which
the government borrows from the public.32
It is also helpful to understand the country’s condition in terms of demographic
aspects, deriving from the fact that part of Albanians income come from the relatives
abroad. In addition, when seeing the Albanian market operate, it can easily be noticed that
three different currencies are mass used (the US Dollar, the Euro, and the Lek). Out of such
statement, it is the central bank’s responsibility to provide assistance in managing the
domestic currency and its effects on the overall economy.
4.1.1 Managing public debt
In the current days, budget revenues maintained a slower rate than expenditure due
to the slower economic growth rate33
. Consequently, the additional budget expenditure was
financed through the use of privatization receipts and the higher public borrowing. This
policy has exerted pressure over the increase of Government debt securities’ interest rates
of long maturity term34
. It seems obvious, that so far the government is in quest of funds
and it appeals to its depositors through the increase of the interest rate. The government, in
order to diversify on the source of the funds required, does not only rely on the internal
market. Additionally, the influence of fiscal policy on the domestic monetary markets was
more moderate, since the public debt was to a large extent borrowed from the international
capital markets35
.
32 Kaiku, E.,cited, pg 22. 33 Monetary policy Statement for the third quarter of 2009, BoA, pg.9. 34
Monetary policy Statement, cited, pg.9. 35 Monetary policy Statement, cited, pg.9
14
4.1.2 Liquidity and currency management
In order to achieve the desired result of the money in circulation, the BoA
implements certain policies to either tighten or loose the money in circulation. In this
content, it is necessary to claim the bank’s role in managing the foreign currencies in the
domestic market.
The Bank of Albania considers that the stabilization of the banking system’s
liquidity and balance sheet indicators will pave the way for the lending process. In this
context, the Bank of Albania has been engaged in an active role in terms of stimulating
demand and supply with funds. The relaxation of monetary conditions will fuel the growth
of business and consumer demand for funds, while the Bank of Albania’s injection of
liquidity will assist the banking system in meeting the demand for funds in quantitative
terms. The Albanian banking system should understand its role rightly and transmit the
relaxation of monetary policy in economy completely and rapidly. On the other hand, a
lower pressure of the fiscal sector over the domestic financial markets will in the future
lower the risk premium in economy, will create more room for private sector lending and
will facilitate the smoothing out of the interest rate curb in favor of lowering the cost of
credit further. The efficiency of the monetary policy decision will depend on the market
and its participants’ behavior, wherein fiscal policy plays a key role36
.
It is in this extent, that the management of the monetary instruments becomes clear.
BoA, through the decrease of the interest rate on the government securities, discourages
investors from applying to the states auctions and as a result leaving considerate amount of
liquidity in circulation. In such terms, the interest rate becomes competitive to that of the
second level banks and inducing depositors to invest in the conventional deposit. By doing
so, the liability side of the second level banks increases, thus providing ample funds to be
lent out of credit and to raise the liquidity amount.
36
Monetary policy Statement, cited, pg.11
15
When it comes to the currency management, BoA, takes under consideration the
seasonal development of currency’s circulation in the domestic market. In addition to the
constant monitoring it does due to the fact that the domestic market makes use of other
currencies as well. It happens so, partly because Albania is periodically visited by
emigrants which come and increase the foreign currency, and partly because the merchants
to prevent themselves from the ever changing rates of exchange, trade their merchandise in
the currency they initially bought it.
It is a tendency of the domestic currency to depreciate in length between July and
August in the foreign exchange domestic market37
. Out of this statement it is obvious that
in this period there is and excessive demand for the domestic currency, and as a result of
such liquidity, comes the depreciation of the ALL. If this fact affects other spheres of the
overall economy, out of the scope predicted for such a tendency, the state provides bonds to
tighten the liquidity in circulation. Moreover, this is also done in regard to the economic
goal that the central bank wants to achieve for the period.
5. Government security as a mean of personal investment
The investment in government bond is done through an auction. The participants of the
auctions might be banks, financial and non-financial institutions, businesses as well as
foreign native individuals38
. All tradable bonds are ALL indexed instruments. The main
difference is that T-Bills have maturities of less than one year while T-Notes have
maturities of more than one year. If you hold T-Bills and Government Bonds until maturity,
payment of both principal and interest is guaranteed. Thus, it carries features listed as
follows:
T-Bills and T-Notes are short and long-term government borrowing instruments.
They are guaranteed by the Albanian Government.
They provide fixed returns (if you invest your money till due maturity) and are
liquid instruments.
In a volatile market where the interest rates are going up, there is risk.
37 Monetary policy Statement, cited, pg.18 38 Kaiku, E., cited.
16
Investing on securities is not like investing on time deposit. It is possible that you
lose a part of your principal amount if you cannot hold securities till their due
maturity.
T-Bills are sold at a discount and the gain at maturity is known in advance.
T-notes have coupons. Coupon-bearing T-notes are issued at fixed or floating
interest rates.
Coupon payments of T-Notes are done semi-annually (on every 6-months)
These instruments may be bought or sold before the original due maturity at current
market prices.
T-Bills can be converted to cash at any time. They may be sold on the secondary
market before maturity39
.
5.2 Competing conventional deposits
The high risk premium on long maturity terms and the existence of a shallow
financial market were the rationale behind the high Government securities’ long-term
yields. On the other hand, the high yields attracted the individuals’ investment in this
market, hence providing them with an alternative instrument to keep their savings and at
the same time, increasing the share of budget deficit financing from this item40
.
In recent years, the Albanian banking system is characterized by a continued
increased trend, both in terms of number of banks and in the expansion of banking activity.
These trends are accompanied by an increase of lending activity and expansion of the range
of products offered by banks, too. At the end of 2007, there were 17 second level banks on
banking market41
. Additionally, there is a wide range of financial institutions competing
with each other, in order to attract depositors with competing interest rates. As a result, in
such small counrty as Albania, and with the previously stated experience on investment,
many depositors are yet again skeptical to rely on the banking system, or non-state financial
institution, in spite of the fact that it is the BoA’s responsibility to monitor and to alter the
key interest rate.
39 Investments, T-bills/T-notes, http://bkt.com.al/409.aspx 40
Monetary policy Statement, cited, pg.10 41
Tushaj, A., Cited, pg.12
17
In a nutshell, when it comes to invest in financial institutions, depositors in Albania
are more prone to be attracted to the government security rather than the conventional
deposits. It is commonly taken for granted that the state is default free, and as a result
depositors have the security of the state that they will be paid back. This, for the fact that,
as stated in the previous paragraphs, the state can simply print money to pay people back.
6. Conclusion
In conclusion, it is to be said that governments, through the recorded history, have
made use of government security to finance its budget deficit, to acquire funds for future
projects, and to manage the monetary policy. The government’s treasury, be it: bond, bill
or even note, as part of the monetary instruments, has well – defined features and usage in
accordance to the needs of the issuer. Nevertheless, the needs of the issuer are related to the
results desired to perform in the domestic economic environment, as part of its
responsibility in managing the changing factors and variables arising from economic trends,
operations and forecasts.
In an individual approach, the government security is seen as a risk - free deposit
investment, due to the security and faith they have in the government to pay them back.
Secondly, what is more appealing to them is the higher return rate in contrast to the
conventional deposit. In addition, what repels depositors from investing elsewhere is the
traumatic experience of the previous economic collapse, thus investing in the government
security is both, highly profitable, safe, and psychologically comfortable.
18
7. Picture 1. Graphical Scheme of the Pyramid
19
Abbreviations page
BoA – Bank of Albania; Albania’s central bank
GDP – Gross Domestic Product
T – Bond – Treasury bond
T – Bill – Treasury bill
IOU – I Owe You; Government security
OMO – Open Market Operation
ALL – Albanian Lek
20
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Accessed on: 4th
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Ferguson, N., The Cash Nexus; Money and Power in the Modern Word,1700 – 2000, pg.
107; 108.,
http://www.scribd.com/doc/25189824/Ferguson-Niall-The-Cash-Nexus-Money-and-
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of August
2010.
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July 2010,
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http://bkt.com.al/409.aspx,
Accessed on: 9th
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Jarvis, C., The rise and the fall of Albania’s pyramid scheme,
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Kaiku, E., Treasury Bonds, Hapesire, April 16 2007,pg 22. Accessed on: 4th
of August
2010.
Monetary Policy for the third quarter 2009, Bank of Albania, pg: 9; 10; 11; 18.,
http://www.bankofalbania.org/web/periodical_reports_of_monetary_policy_262_2.php,
Accessed on: 2nd
of August 2010.
21
Open market operations, Federal Reserve Bank of New York,
http://www.newyorkfed.org/aboutthefed/fedpoint/fed32.html
Accessed on: 4th
of August 2010.
Treasury Bond definition, http://www.investorwords.com/5061/Treasury_Bond.html,
Accessed on: 2nd
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Tushaj, A., Market concentration in the banking sector: Evidence from Albania, pg. 5; 10;
20; 25.,
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22
Contents 1.Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 2
1.2 Historical background to public debt ............................................................................... 2
1.3 Development approach to current days............................................................................ 3
2. Operating with government security ...................................................................................... 4
2.1 Open Market Operation .................................................................................................... 4
2.2 Classification of bonds ...................................................................................................... 5
Treasury bonds ............................................................................................................................ 6
Treasury notes.............................................................................................................................. 6
CPI-indexed Treasury Notes (TIPS) ...................................................................................... 6
Treasury Bills .............................................................................................................................. 7
2.3 Practical demonstration..................................................................................................... 7
3. Albanian’s investments retrospective ................................................................................... 8
3.1 Bad investments ................................................................................................................ 9
3.2 How did the schemes operate? ....................................................................................... 10
4. Central Bank’s role ............................................................................................................... 12
4.1 Treasury bills as Albania’s monetary policy ................................................................. 12
4.1.1 Managing public debt .................................................................................................. 13
4.1.2 Liquidity and currency management............................................................................. 14
5. Government security as a mean of personal investment..................................................... 15
5.2 Competing conventional deposits .................................................................................. 16
6. Conclusion ............................................................................................................................. 17
Picture 1. Graphical Scheme of the Pyramid ........................................................................... 18
Abbreviations page .................................................................................................................... 19
List of reference ......................................................................................................................... 20
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