q1 2011 newsletter
DESCRIPTION
From Jimmy Marin Quarter 1 2011 Newsletter.TRANSCRIPT
Pacific Union International Luxury Real Estate Report
Despite formidable world events across the Middle East and Japan and the resulting volatility of the equity markets, the first quarter of 2011 experienced positive trends in many San Francisco Bay Area real estate markets. Properties selling below $1 million, which are over 70% of the closings in the six counties served by Pacific Union International, are experiencing modest to very favorable increases in units sold. In many markets we are enjoying units sold up nearly double the closings in the marketplace from Q1 2009. A refreshing trend which we feel is always a precursor, albeit by twelve to eighteen months, to value/price appreciation.
Most importantly we are experiencing a recovery in our clients’ confidence. We believe this is a result of historic low interest rates, stabilized pricing in our real estate markets and a general feeling that “the worst” is behind us and that 2011 may be a better year than we expected in late 2010.
In Marin County we have begun to experience a refreshing rebound in units sold in the high end (over $1 million), this trend extends to northern Napa County, the Town of Sonoma, and San Francisco as well. This activity at the high-end will begin to motivate the “move-up” buyers throughout the San Francisco Bay Area. As a result, we expect more favorable results in our local market segment throughout 2011.
The table below illustrates the comparison Q1 2011 to Q1 2010 for volume ($) and units (#) sold below $1 million and above $1 million:
Even in the face of these statistics, the right homes, in the right locations with market based pricing are experiencing multiple offers. This is an indicator of pent up demand and client confidence. Pragmatic property sellers are finding that strategically wise price reductions are garnering multiple offers while homes with a 10% – 12% “pricing cushion” for which to negotiate are finding no one to negotiate with.
Sincerely,
A Member Of Real Living
Pacific Union International Luxury Real Estate Report Q1. 2011
MARIN COUNTY
Pacific Union International Luxury Real Estate Report Q1. 2011
MARIN COUNTY
Pacific Union International Luxury Real Estate Report
MARIN COUNTYA Member Of Real Living
Under $1M
35%
9%
23%
-6%
-6%
Over $1M
4%
7%
8%
-3%
13%
$1 - $3M
9%
6%
15%
3%
10%
$3M+
-9%
25%
-37%
-27%
-5%
2010 vs. 2011
Volume
Units Sold
AVG DOM
Average Price
Median Price
2010 v 2011
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Q1. 2011
A Member Of Real Living
Pacific Union International Luxury Real Estate Report Q1. 2011
HOME COMPARISONA Member Of Real Living
Pacific Union International Luxury Real Estate Report
HOME PRICE & MKT. STATS
Marin County Median & Average Home PriceQ1 2009 - Q1 2011
Source: BAREIS, as of March 31, 2011
$1,300,000
$1,200,000
$1,100,000
$1,000,000
$900,000
$800,000
$700,000
$600,000
$500,000
$400,000Q109 Q209 Q309 Q409 Q110 Q210
$760,088
$852,776$880,127
$866,680
$854,440
$947,714
$1,022,037 $1,030,255
$940,633
$705,250
Q310 Q410 Q111
Source: BAREIS, as of March 31, 2011
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
Volume ($) Units Sold Days On Market Average Price Median Price
Marin County Market StatisticsQ1 2010 vs Q1 2011
3% 4%9% 7%
23%
8%
-6% -6%-3%
Pe
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nta
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Ch
an
ge
Marin County $1-$3 Million - SFH
Source: BAREIS, as of March 31, 2011
Jan - Mar '09
$65,585,350
42
113
$1,382,500
$1,561,556
$2,625,000
Jan - Mar '10
$135,615,207
89
116
$1,315,000
$1,523,766
$2,950,000
Jan - Mar '11
$147,469,370
94
133
$1,450,000
$1,568,823
$2,770,000
'09 - '10% Change
107%
112%
3%
-5%
-2%
12%
'10 - '11% Change
9%
6%
15%
10%
3%
-6%
TIME PERIOD
VOLUME
HOMES SOLD
AVG. DAYS ON MKT
MEDIAN PRICE
AVERAGE PRICE
MAX PRICE SOLD
Marin County $3 Million & Higher - SFH
Source: BAREIS, as of March 31, 2011
Jan - Mar '09
$36,153,988
8
151
$3,664,494
$4,519,249
$9,000,000
Jan - Mar '10
$46,382,000
8
178
$4,025,000
$5,797,750
$14,000,000
Jan - Mar '11
$42,215,000
10
113
$3,825,000
$4,221,500
$6,215,000
'09 - '10% Change
28%
0%
18%
10%
28%
56%
'10 - '11% Change
-9%
25%
-37%
-5%
-27%
-56%
TIME PERIOD
VOLUME
HOMES SOLD
AVG. DAYS ON MKT
MEDIAN PRICE
AVERAGE PRICE
MAX PRICE SOLD
13%
$600,000
$700,000$695,500
$658,500 $650,500
$725,000
$790,000$768,000
Average Price Median Price
$1M to $3M $3 Million and Higher
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