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Page 1: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Investor PresentationNovember 10, 2020

Page 2: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Forward‐Looking Statements

2

Notices

• All financial references are expressed in US$ unless otherwise noted.

• This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates.

• Such statements and estimates are based on assumptions as to the future and on management’s current expectations and are, naturally, subject to risks and uncertainties.

• Actual company results could differ materially from a conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward‐looking information.

• Certain material factors or assumptions were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward‐looking information.

• Additional information can be found in the Company’s annual information form, annual and quarterly MD&A, and on Norbord’s website (www.norbord.com) about the material factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from the conclusion, forecast or projection in the forward‐looking information, and the material factors or assumptions that were applied in drawing a conclusion or making a forecast or projection as reflected in the forward‐looking information.

Page 3: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Non‐IFRS Financial Measures 

3

Notices

• During the course of this presentation, certain non‐IFRS financial measures will be presented. Reconciliation of terms can be found in the Company’s annual and quarterly MD&A.

• Norbord defines the following non‐IFRS financial measures as: – Adjusted EBITDA as earnings (loss) determined in accordance with IFRS before finance costs, interest income, income taxes, depreciation, amortization and non‐recurring or other items;

– Tangible net worth as shareholders’ equity including certain adjustments; 

– Net debt to capitalization, book basis as net debt for financial covenant purposes divided by the sum of net debt for financial covenant purposes and tangible net worth; 

– Net debt for financial covenant purposes as net debt excluding other long‐term debt and including other liabilities classified as debt for financial covenant purposes, letters of credit and guarantees outstanding, and any bank advances; 

– Net debt as the principal value of long‐term debt, including the current portion, other long‐term debt and bank advances, if any, less cash and cash equivalents; 

– ROCE (return on capital employed) as annualized Adjusted EBITDA divided by average capital employed; 

– Capital employed as the sum of property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and operating working capital; and

– Operating working capital as accounts receivable plus inventory and prepaids less accounts payable and accrued liabilities.

Page 4: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Company Overview

Page 5: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Norbord Snapshot

• Leading manufacturer of wood‐based panel products 

• Largest global producer of Oriented Strand Board (OSB)– Stated OSB capacity of 9.0 Bsf‐3/8”(1)

– Stated panel capacity (including particleboard & MDF)         of 9.9 Bsf‐3/8”(1)

– Approximately 2,400 employees at 17 plants (15 operating) across the US, Canada and Europe 

• Listed on the NYSE and TSX (“OSB”)

• Report in US dollars and in accordance with IFRS

• LTM Q3 2020 sales of $2.0 billion

5

Company Overview

North America

Europe

Oriented Strand Board (OSB)

Particleboard

Medium Density Fiberboard (MDF)

Furniture

Panel Capacity by Region(1)

(1) Based on stated annual capacity as at December 31, 2019.

Page 6: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

The Leading Global OSB Company

6

Company Overview

Top 10 Global OSB Producers

Enterprise Value

Source: Company filings and Bloomberg. Based on stated annual capacity as at December 31, 2019 . Enterprise values as at November 9, 2020.

* Excluding OSB siding capacity

*

Page 7: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Norbord’s Wood‐Based Panel Products

7

Company Overview

OSB – 90% of Capacity (1)

• Norbord’s operations include 15 OSB mills and two other plant locations in the UK producing particleboard, MDF and related value‐added products

• New home construction

• Repair and remodel

• Light commercial construction

• Industrial applications

Particleboard – 6% of Capacity (1)

• New home construction

• Repair and remodel

• Furniture

• Fixtures 

MDF – 4% of Capacity (1)

• Furniture

• Fixtures

• Mill work

(1) Based on stated annual capacity as at December 31, 2019.

Page 8: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Sustainability: Core to Our Business 

8

Company Overview

Wood is a renewable resource

OSB sequesterscarbon

We utilize 100% of the tree

We use biomassto generate heat energy

Page 9: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Committed to Reducing Green House Gas (GHG) Emissions

9

Company Overview

Source: Norbord 2019 Annual Report

• Norbord’s global operations accounted for < 700 kilotonnes of CO2e Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions in 2019

• These are modest emissions levels compared to ~6,000 kilotonnes of CO2e sequestered in our products

Page 10: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Industry Overview

Page 11: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Typical Uses for OSB Products

11

Industry Overview

Wall Sheathing

Webstock

Flooring

Rimboard Door Header

Roof

Window Header

Garage Door Header

• OSB is an innovative, affordable and environmentally sustainable structural panel– Serves many of the same uses as plywood, but produced at a lower cost

• Norbord expects OSB will continue to capture market share from plywood– Currently, OSB represents 69% of total North American structural panel production

Source: APA, October 2020

Page 12: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Global OSB Industry 

12

Industry Overview

Industry OSB Capacity (MMsf‐3/8”)

Norbord operates in the two significant global OSB producing regions

Source: Company documents and other public filings, Wood Based Panels International (WBPI) 

* Excluding NA OSB siding capacity

*

Page 13: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

North American & European OSB Industries

13

Industry Overview

North American OSB Industry

Source:  Company documents and other public filings – stated industry capacity as at December 31, 2019.

European OSB Industry

Norbord is a significant player in both key markets

* Excluding OSB siding capacity.

*

Kronospan 41%

SwissKrono 16%

10%

Egger8%

Sonae‐Arauco4%

Smartply 4%

Other16%

Industry Capacity12 Bsf‐3/8"

Page 14: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

US Housing Starts Are the Single Biggest End Use for OSB

14Source: U.S. Census Bureau and Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA)

Industry Overview

Page 15: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

US Repair & Remodel Demand Also Drives OSB Consumption

15

Industry Overview

Bsf‐3

/8” ba

sis

US$

 billions 

Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA); expenditures in 2012 US$ 

Page 16: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Favourable Long‐term OSB Industry Fundamentals

16

Industry Overview

North American OSB Demand

Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA)

Page 17: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

The picture can't be displayed.

The picture can't be displayed.

North American OSB Industry Stated Capacity of ~27 Bsf

17

Industry Overview

(1) 100 Mile House, BC mill permanent closure announced November 5, 2020.

Note: Excludes OSB siding production and capacity.

Source: APA, company documents and other public filings 

33 Mills in Operation

3 Mills Idle

North American OSB Installed Capacity:

11 Mills (Re)started in 2012/13 & 2017/18

Norbord Mill

1 Mill Permanently Closed in 2020(1)

Page 18: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Historical North American OSB Prices

18

Industry Overview 

North Central Benchmark OSB Price

Source: Random Lengths

• OSB prices are tied to demand for building products, which is influenced by the general economy, demographics and the need for housing

Q1 163  175  423  364  285  145  137  154  212  198  203  417  219  193 226 293 370 211 271

Q2 159  215  443  297  238  156  179  146  295  173  235  347  219  193 264 330 426 188 270

Q3 159  381  351  303  181  177  201  178  180  184  313  252  216  204 301 409 363 217 578

Q4 156  401  264  317  166  165  170  172  191  190  332  245  216  242 285 379 243 223

Average 159  293  369  320  217  161  172  163  219  186  271  315  218  209 269 353 351 210

Page 19: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Europe: Strong Demand Growth Driven by Substitution

19

Industry Overview

OSB Share of Structural Panels

Source: Forest Economic Advisors, LLC (FEA), European Panel Federation (EPF) and Norbord estimates

European OSB Demand (000 m3) 

Source: Eurostat, UN Comtrade Database, Destatis and Norbord estimates

~9%2002‐2019 CAGR

North America

Europe Indicative Average OSB Price

Source:  Random Lengths and Company documents

Page 20: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

• Significant growth opportunity – OSB accounts for only ~8% of the structural panel market in Japan compared to 69% in North America

Japan: Stable Housing Market

20

Industry Overview

Japanese Housing Starts (000’s)

Source:  Japanese Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism and Company documents 

Page 21: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Business Strategy

Page 22: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Norbord’s Strategy Is Well Defined

22

Business Strategy

Pursue growth in OSB2

Own high‐quality assets with low‐cost positions3

Maintain a margin‐focused operating culture4

Focus on growth customers through best‐in‐class service and product development

5

Allocate capital with discipline6

Develop a world‐class safety culture 1

Page 23: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Norbord’s Growth Focused on OSB

23

Business Strategy

Norbord OSB Capacity (Bsf‐3/8”)

(1) 2015 onwards reflects Norbord following completion of merger with Ainsworth.  Pre 2015 reflects Norbord excluding Ainsworth.(2) Norbord's total OSB capacity increased by 560 MMsf‐3/8" effective December 31, 2018 based on recent capital investments and improved efficiency.

(1) (2)

Page 24: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Margin Improvement Remains an Operational Priority

24

Business Strategy

(1) Measured relative to prior year at constant prices and exchange rates.(2) 2013 MIP gains from richer product mix and improved productivity were offset by higher maintenance‐related costs. (3) 2015 onwards reflects Norbord following completion of merger with Ainsworth. Pre 2015 reflects Norbord excluding Ainsworth.(4) 2018 MIP was negatively impacted by higher raw material usages and costs associated with executing on strategic capital and sales growth initiatives. Further, the excellent ramp up of the Huguley, Alabama and Inverness, 

Scotland mills were excluded from 2018 MIP calculations. (5) 2019 MIP gains from improved productivity and product mix were offset by the efficiency impact of significant production curtailments across the North American mills. 

(3)

Margin Improvement Program Gains   (US$ in millions)

• Margin Improvement Program (MIP) gains help offset impact of industry‐wide rising input costs:– Increased productivity– Reduced overhead costs– Reduced raw material usage– Improved product mix

• MIP has delivered nearly $400 million of margin improvements over the past 18 years

(1)

(5)(4)(2)

Average: $22

30

36 37

28

56

9

14

29

16

2523

0

24

43

1512

0 0

43

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020YTD

Page 25: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Repositioning Business to Reduce Earnings Volatility

25

Business Strategy

Q3/20 LTM Sales

(1)  Exports to Asia are handled by Interex and sales are reported in the North American geographic segment. 

• Strong operating footprint 

• Growing stable margin end‐uses:

– North American industrial products

– European panels

– Asia‐focused exports(1)

• Provides greater diversification than North American‐based competitors

• Better positioned to weather market cycles

(1)

$2.0 billion

Page 26: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Focused Customer Strategy Sets Norbord Apart

26

Business Strategy

Q3/20 LTM North American Shipments

• New home construction sales volume tied to US housing starts• Repair & remodel sales volume growing in step with R+R expenditures• Industrial and export sales volume growing through substitution, has more stable margins

5.7 Bsf‐3/8”

Commodity

Page 27: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

27

Domestically Produced Panel Consumption (2019)

EWP

Furniture Commercial

Source:  APA – The Engineered Wood Association, Composite Panel Association (CPA), International Tropical Timber Organization (ITTO), US Foreign Agricultural Service (US FAS), US Forest Products Annual Market Review and Prospects (USDA FS), US International Trade Commission (US ITCC) 

Business Strategy

Norbord is a leading supplier to current industrial end uses

Transportation

Industrial Products Will Drive North American Substitution Growth

0

2

4

6

8

1012

14

16

18

20

22MDFParticleboardHW Plywood

56%

Residential R&R Non‐Residential Industrial

14.0

6.6

3.3

20.9

Bsf‐3

/8” 24%

22%

19%

22%

13%40%67%

28%

18%

80%

SW PlywoodOSB

Page 28: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

More Stable Results from European Operations

28

Business Strategy

European Adjusted EBITDA (US$ millions)

• European panel prices that rolled over from the well above‐average levels of the past two years have bottomed

• Future margin growth is expected from the ramp‐up of Inverness Phase 1 and 2 investments

Average: $42

21

30

50

32 35

81

4

17

3744

3946 47

38 41 41 

86 

64 

39 

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q3/20LTM

Page 29: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Inverness Mill Expansion Supports Increasing European Customer Demand 

29

Business Strategy

Phase 1 investment of US$147 million• New continuous press line started up in Q4/2017 • New finishing end commissioned in Q1/2019

Phase 2 investment of US$46 million (£35 million) • 2nd wood room and drying line installation complete in 

Q3/2020 and commissioning well advanced• Continuous press continues to ramp towards Phase 2 

capacity

395

720945

2016 Phase 1expansion

Phase 2expansion

+139%

Inverness Capacity (in MMsf‐3/8”) Inverness Investments

Page 30: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

58%23%

19%

63%

4%

28%

5%

Diversifying Towards Stable Margin End Uses

30

Norbord shipments(1)

5.1 Bsf‐3/8”

(1) Reflects Norbord excluding Ainsworth.(2) Represents Norbord’s North American non‐OSB business (fully divested in 2010).

Business Strategy

20041.96M US Housing Starts

20191.29M US Housing Starts

Norbord shipments8.0 Bsf‐3/8”

(2)

NA Specialty

Page 31: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

31

Business Strategy

Capex Investment (US$ millions)• Three main priorities:

– Re‐invest in the business– Optimize capital structure– Return cash to shareholders

• 2020 capex forecast of $100 million– Includes Inverness, Scotland Phase 2 project completion and preparation of Chambord for an eventual re‐start when warranted by customer demand

• 2021 capex budget of $150 million– Includes projects to:

– reduce manufacturing costs– enhance process safety– increase production of specialty products, and

– continue the Chambord rebuild

Disciplined Capital Allocation

(1) 

(1) 2015 onwards reflects Norbord following completion of merger with Ainsworth. Pre 2015 reflects Norbord excluding Ainsworth.(2) Annual maintenance capex increased due to lease accounting change under IFRS 16.

Minimum Maintenance $35 million

(2) 

Page 32: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Financial Overview

Page 33: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Strong Operating Cash Flow Through The Cycle

33

Financial Overview

North Central Avg. Benchmark OSB 

Price$159 $293 $369 $320 $217 $161 $172 $163 $219 $186 $271 $315 $218 $209 $269 $353 $351 $210 $336

US Housing Starts(mln) 1.71 1.85 1.95 2.07 1.81 1.34 0.90 0.55 0.59 0.61 0.78 0.93 1.00 1.11 1.18 1.21 1.25 1.29 1.34

Total Adjusted EBITDA (US$ millions)

Average: $319

(1) As disclosed in Ainsworth’s historical MD&As; converted to USD using annual average exchange rate.(2) Assumes operation at LTM production levels as of October 3, 2020.

Norbord sensitivity to realized North American OSB price changes:

+$10/Msf 7/16” = +$47 million Adjusted EBITDA(2)

(1)

Source:  Random Lengths, US Census Bureau

Page 34: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Manageable Leverage 

34

Financial Overview

Adjusted EBITDA vs Net Debt

• Comfortable headroom versus revolver financial covenants

Q3 2020 CovenantNet debt to capitalization 27% 65% (max)Tangible net worth (book basis) $1,183 million $500 million (min)

Page 35: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Strong Balance Sheet & Liquidity 

35

Financial Overview

Q3 2020

Cash $  240

Bank Lines(1) 290

A/R Securitization(2) 124

Liquidity $  654

Comfortable Debt Maturities (US$ millions) Strong Liquidity Profile (US$ millions)

Moody’s Ba1 (Stable)

S&P BB (Stable)

Stable Issuer Credit Ratings

coup

on 6.25%

(1) $300 million of committed revolving bank lines (increased from $245 million in May 2020) less $10 million of outstanding letters of credit and guarantees and $0 million drawn as cash at quarter‐end.(2) $124 million was the maximum available under the A/R securitization program and $0 million was recorded as drawings under the program at quarter end. 

coup

on 5.75%

Page 36: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Returning Cash to Shareholders Through Variable Dividend Policy 

36

Financial Overview

Dividends Declared (US$ millions)

(2)

(1) 2015 onwards reflects Norbord following completion of merger with Ainsworth. Pre 2015 reflects Norbord excluding Ainsworth.(2) Reflects dividend of C $0.60 per share (translated at C $1 = US $0.77) to be paid on December 21, 2020 to shareholders of record on December 1, 2020.  

(1)

Page 37: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Peer1 Peer2 Peer3 Peer4 Peer5 Peer6 Peer7 Peer8

Strong Track Record of Value Creation in Forest Products 

37

Financial Overview

Average ROCE %(1) (2002‐2019)

Source: Capital IQ, Bloomberg, Company reports

(1) Return on capital employed (ROCE) is a measure of financial performance focusing on cash generation and the effective use of capital.  ROCE is calculated as Adjusted EBITDA divided by average capital employed (operating working capital, PP&E, goodwill, intangible assets of timberlands & licences).

(2) Only includes shares repurchased during 2018 and 2019 Normal Course Issuer Bid programs.

>$1.4BCapital invested

>$1.6BDividends paid out

$174Mto repurchase 6.6M shares

24%

(2)

Page 38: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

38

Value Leader in the Wood Building Materials IndustryFinancial Overview

Peer1

Peer3

Peer2

Peer4

TSX Composite

~9‐Year Annualized Total Return (in US$)*

Source: Bloomberg*Annual return measured from December 30, 2011 to November 9, 2020.

Page 39: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

39

Superior operating and cost performance

Diversification strategy supports growth and stable margins 

Disciplined approach to capital allocation

Shareholder‐friendly track record

Strong ESG credentials

Attractive Investment Opportunity Summary

Page 40: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Appendices

Page 41: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Shareholder Information  

41

Appendices 

Ticker Symbol NYSE: OSB

TSX: OSB

Common Shares 80.7 million outstanding(as at November 4, 2020)

Quarterly Dividend(variable dividend policy)

C $0.60 per share (declared November 5, 2020 to be paid on December 21, 2020 to shareholders of record on December 1, 2020)

Largest Shareholder Brookfield Asset Management – ~43%(as at November 4, 2020)

Page 42: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Financial Sensitivities 

42

Appendices 

Exposure Change

Adjusted EBITDA Impact 

(US$ millions)

North American OSB (1),(2) $10 per Msf‐7/16” + $64

European OSB €10 per 000 m3 + $12

Canadian dollar (1),(3) $0.01 per C$ + $6

Pound sterling £0.01 per € <  $1

(1) Assumes operation at full stated capacity levels (including the curtailed Chambord, Quebec and 100 Mile House, British Columbia mills). Impact on Adjusted EBITDA of a $10 per Msf‐7/16” change is ± $47 million based on the last twelve months of production at October 3, 2020. Direct exposures only; before the impact of any cash flow currency hedges.Approximate operating loss carry‐forwards for tax purposes (gross) as at December 31, 2019 – Canada C$15 million and Belgium €30 million.

(2) Estimated impact of change in Norbord’s realized North American OSB price.

(3) Operating exposures only (excludes dividends on common shares and income tax payments).

Page 43: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Analyst Coverage

43

Appendices 

Analyst Analyst Name Contact

Bank of America John Babcock/George Staphos (646) 743‐0046     [email protected]

BMO Capital Markets Ketan Mamtora/Mark Wilde (212) 883‐5121     [email protected]

CIBC World Markets Hamir Patel (604) 331‐3047     [email protected]

Credit Suisse Andrew Kuske (416) 352‐4561     andrew.kuske@credit‐suisse.com 

ERA Forest Products Research John Cooney (604) 267‐3021     jcooney@era‐research.com

John Tumazos Very Independent Research John Tumazos (732) 444‐1083     [email protected]

Raymond James Daryl Swetlishoff (604) 659‐8246     [email protected]

RBC Capital Markets Paul Quinn (604) 257‐7048     [email protected]

Scotia Capital Benoit Laprade (514) 287‐3627     [email protected]

Seaport Global Securities Mark Weintraub (646) 264‐5602     [email protected]

TD Securities Sean Steuart (416) 308‐3399     [email protected]

Page 44: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Norbord does not provide guidance regarding its expectations of future OSB prices. The following is a sample of price forecasts by analysts as at November 9, 2020. It is not exhaustive.

Forecast North American OSB Prices  

44

Appendices 

Analyst 2020E 2021E

BMO 421 376

Raymond James 410 300

TD  401 353

CIBC 401 350

Scotia 397 322

RBC 380 325

Seaport Global 375 340

BofA  374 300

Average 395 333

Annual AverageNorth Central

Benchmark OSB Price   US$ per Msf 7/16”

Page 45: Q3 2020 Investor Presentation FINAL - Norbord · 2020. 11. 10. · •This presentation contains forward‐looking statements and estimates. •Such statements and estimates are based

Norbord Inc.

Suite 600One Toronto Street

Toronto, Ontario, M5C 2W4Canada

Tel:  416‐365‐0705

www.norbord.com