raya mutarak and maria rita testarecap.wu.ac.at/.../2014/06/muttarak_testa_epc-2014.pdfexploring...
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Exploring interreligious unions in Austria: Trends, patterns, fertility, and children’s
religious affiliation
Raya Mutarak1 and Maria Rita Testa1
1Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ÖAW, WU)
European Population Conference 2014, Budapest, 25-28 June 2014
Figure 1: Flowchart of relationships between modernization and family behaviours
Modernization
Increase no religion
Lower fertility
Increase interreligious unions
Modernized
Research questions• What are individual characteristics associatedwith interreligious partnership formation?
• How does changing religious composition in aregion of residence influences interreligiouspartnership formation?
• What is a religious affiliation of children ofinterreligious unions?
• Does fertility of women in interreligious uniondiffer from those in endogamous partnership?
Data• 1971, 1981, 1991 and 2001 Austrian Population Census
(10% sample)• Obtained via IPUMS InternationalSample• Interreligious unions: Men and women currently in
partnership and living with a spouse/partner (n=708,286couples)
• Religion of children: Children aged ≤ 18, never married,living with both parents (n=630,626 children)
• Fertility: Women aged ≥ 15 in 1981 and 1991, aged ≥ 16 in2001 (n=111,041 women)
Figure 2: % distribution of interreligious unions by gender and Census year
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
1971 1981 1991 2001
Men
No religion Catholic ProtestantJewish Muslim Total
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
1971 1981 1991 2001
Women
No religion Catholic ProtestantJewish Muslim Total
Interreligious partnership
Figure 3: Correlation between religious diversity index and interreligious unions in 35 Austrian regions (NUTS3)
Weinviertel
West‐und
Südsteiermark
Linz
Graz Vienna
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% Interreligious union
Religious diversity index
1971
r=0.91*** Weinviertel
West‐ und Südsteiermark
Linz Graz
Vienna
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% Interreligious union
Religious diversity index
1981
r=0.94***
Weinviertel
West‐ und Südsteiermark
Linz
GrazVienna
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% Interreligious union
Religious diversity index
1991
r=0.85***
Weinviertel
West‐ und Südsteierm
ark
LinzGrazVienna
0
5
10
15
20
25
0 5 10 15 20 25 30
% Interreligious union
Religious diversity index
2001
r=0.78***
Interreligious partnership
Multivariate results: Logistic estimates of probability of being in interreligious unions by gender
• Positively associated with “modern” characteristics‐ High education‐ Having no religion‐ Hypogamy partnership (i.e. female education > male education)
‐ Cohabitation/remarriage• Opportunity matters‐ Catholics is the most common group being partnered with in an interreligious union.
‐ Positively associated with religious diversity
Interreligious partnership
Figure 4: % distribution of children’s religion by father’s and mother’s religion
Children’s religious affiliation
95.1 89.1 84.0 84.0 83.7
55.145.5
1.71.5
6.91.6
12.9
3.5
1.2 6.28.2
4.18.6
10.4
31.8
3.1 2.8 5.7 3.9 5.4
12.817.8
8.8
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%alldifferent
same asfather
same asmother
onlyparentsthe sameall thesame
Endogamous parents
Intermarried mother
Intermarried father
0.05.010.015.020.025.030.035.0
Birth cohort
at least one parent is Protestant
Figure 5: % children with no religion by birth cohort and parents’ types of partnerships (excluding parents with no religion)
Children’s religious affiliation
Endogamous parents
Intermarried motherIntermarried
father
0.05.010.015.020.025.030.035.0
Birth cohort
at least one parent is Catholic
Endogamous parents
Intermarried mother
Intermarried father
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Birth cohort
at least one parent is Muslim
Endogamous parents
Intermarried motherIntermarried
father
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
Birth cohort
at least one parent has other religion
Multivariate results: Logistic estimates of probability of having no religion for children aged ≤18
• Positively associated with “modern” characteristics
‐ Education of both parents‐ Birth cohort• Place of residence matters‐ Living in Vienna, Graz, Salzburg (compared to Linz)
Children’s religious affiliation
Fertility by partnership typeFigure 7: Mean number of children ever born for women by age group and type of partnership: 1981, 1991,2001
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
315
‐ 19
20 ‐ 24
25 ‐ 29
30 ‐ 34
35 ‐ 39
40 ‐ 44
45 ‐ 49
50 ‐ 54
55 ‐ 59
60 ‐ 64
65 ‐ 69
70 ‐ 74
75 ‐ 79 80+
Endogamous partnership Interreligious partnership
Fertility by partnership typeFigure 8: Mean number of children ever born for women by birth cohort and type of partnership: 1981, 1991,2001
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
1981 1991 2001 1981 1991 2001
Endogamous partnership Interreligious partnership
1957‐66
1947‐56
1937‐46
1927‐36
1917‐26
Fertility by partnership typeFigure 9: Mean number of children ever born for women by religion and type of partnership: 1981, 1991, 2001
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
No religion OtherChristian
Protestant Catholic Jewish Muslim
Endogamous partnership Interreligious partnership
Discussion
• Less “traditional” individuals are more likely to be in interreligious unions
• Interreligious partnership accelerates “modernization”
‐ Increasing the chance of children having no religion‐ Having lower fertility
• Caveat: Data available up to 2001• Next step: Comparative analysis with other countries e.g. Switzerland
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Background• Significant social changes during the past decades inAustria‐ Secularization (Goujon et al. 2007)‐ Fertility decline among Catholic population‐ Rise in migration with higher fertility among immigrants‐ Increase in religious diversification (Goujon & Bauer 2014)
• Decline in religious homogamy among Catholics andProtestants (Lutz 1985)
Figure 10: % distribution of children’s religion by father’s and mother’s religion and partnership type
Children’s religious affiliation
41.820.4
6.0
57.3 77.2
53.25.3 2.8
5.017.0 14.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
both parents only mother only father
Parent(s) with no religion
99.682.0
63.4
0.214.9
32.3
2.0 2.6
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
both parents only mother only father
Catholic parent(s) 96.7
49.0
31.5
44.4
62.9
2.51.6 2.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
bothparents
onlymother
only father
Protestant parent(s) No religion(neitherparents haveno religion)No religion(one parent hasno religion)
Other religion
Catholic(neitherparents areCatholic)Catholic (oneparent isCatholic)
Same asparent(s)
Figure 10: (continued)
Children’s religious affiliation
94.9
23.217.3
3.726.0
1.5
4.9
1.9
3.4
40.2
29.8
22.0 17.3
6.1 7.7
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
both parents only mother only father
Jewish parent(s)
98.7
42.633.3
21.030.2
2.8 2.4
0.8
17.5 14.0
7.97.1
8.1 12.9
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
bothparents
only mother only father
Muslim parent(s) No religion(neither parentshave noreligion)No religion (oneparent has noreligion)
Other religion
Catholic (neitherparents areCatholic)
Catholic (oneparent isCatholic)
Same asparent(s)