regional transportation & land use irem / boma real estate forecast breakfast 2009 rich macias,...
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Regional Transportation & Land Use
IREM / BOMAReal Estate Forecast Breakfast 2009
Rich Macias, DirectorRegional & Comprehensive Planning
Southern California Association of GovernmentsJanuary 29, 2009
Largest Metropolitan Planning Organization in US 6 counties188 cities18.5 million people8 million jobs
SCAG region is expected to add 5.5 million persons between 2008 and 2035:– Growth concentrated in 15-34 and 55+ age
groups leading to a greater “dependent population”
– Immigrants and their children will replace aging baby boomers in workforce
Both trends will transform the region’s housing and labor markets and require policy and industry responses.
Demographic Trends
Southern California’sEconomy & Quality of Life -
Challenged by:
Traffic &Infrastructure
Air Quality &Public Health
Housing Affordability
A.B. 32 & S.B. 375: New mandates fortransportation & land use planning
New Challenge: Climate Change
Future growth will need to utilize transportation system more efficiently to: - Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) - Reduce G.H.G. Emissions
Regional Planning Response
1. Targeted infrastructure investments
2. Innovative financing methods
3. Coordinated land use planning
$531.5 billion (nominal dollars)
1. Infrastructure Investments2008 Regional Transportation Plan
• Highways – close gaps & add lanes• Transit & Rail – move people efficiently• Goods Movement – move freight faster & cleaner
2. Innovative Financing
$531.5 Billion (Nominal)FY2007 – FY2036
Local$286.5B
(54%)
Federal$41.6B(8%)
New$120.1B(23%)
State$83.4B(16%)
(Note: Numbers may not add due to rounding)
Major New Revenue Sources
$120.1 billion(23%)
Value Capture Strategies $3.7 billion
Highway Tolls $22 billion
Gas Tax Adjustment $17 billion
Container Fees $41.5 billion
Private Equity Participation $4.4 billion