research and development in the federal budget matt hourihan april 26, 2013 for the house r&d...
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![Page 1: Research and Development in the Federal Budget Matt Hourihan April 26, 2013 for the House R&D Caucus AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program](https://reader038.vdocument.in/reader038/viewer/2022103111/5514f0f5550346a80c8b4d25/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Research and Development in theFederal Budget
Matt HourihanApril 26, 2013for the House R&D Caucus
AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Programhttp://www.aaas.org/spp/rd
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
-9.5%-6.8%-6.6%-6.6%-6.4%-5.2%-5.0%-4.6%-4.5%-4.5%-4.2%-3.9%-3.8%-2.5%
5.5%60.8%
-6.7%
-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80%
Other DODTransportation
NASAAgriculture
EPANIH
DOE ScienceDOD S&T
US Geological SurveyDOE Energy Programs
Other HHSNSF
DOE AtomicsVA
NISTDHS
TOTAL
Estimated FY 2013 R&D: Appropriations and Sequester Outcomes
percent change from FY 2012
Source: AAAS estimates based on agency R&D data and budget documents, appropriations documents, and OMB sequester analyses.© 2013 AAAS
DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Trends in R&D by Agencyin billions of constant FY 2013 dollars
ARRA Funding
All Other
USDA
NSF
NASA
DOE
NIH
DOD
Source: AAAS Report: Research & Development series.FY 2013 and FY 2014 figures are latest estimates.1976-1994 figures are NSF data on obligations in the Federal Funds survey. © 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0.0%
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.8%
1.0%
1.2%
1.4%19
76
1978
1980
1982
1984
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Trends in Federal R&DAs a percent of GDP
Total R&D
Development
Research
Facilities
Source: Up to 1994 - National Science Foundation, Survey of Federal Funds for Research and Development; 1995 to Present - AAAS Research and Development series. GDP figures are from Budget of the U.S. Government FY 2014. FY 2013 and FY 2014 figures are latest estimates.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0.00%
0.05%
0.10%
0.15%
0.20%
0.25%
0.30%
1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010
Life Sciences / GDP
Physical Sciences/GDP
Engineering / GDP
EnvironmentalSciences / GDP
Math / Comp.Sciences / GDP
Federal Funds by Discipline asPercent of GDP, FY 1970-2011
Source: National Science Foundation, Federal Funds for Research and Development series. FY 2010 and 2011 data are preliminary. GDP figures are from OMB.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
-14.8%
-8.2%
-7.8%
-7.3%
20.2%
66.5%
88.4%
-40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Defense Activities
Agriculture
Health (NIH)
Environment Agencies
General Science (NSF, DOE SC)
Commerce (NIST)
Applied Energy Programs
R&D Changes by Function Since 2004percent change from FY 2004 to FY 2014, in constant FY 2013 dollars
Source: AAAS Research and Development series, OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications and other budget documents. Select DHS programs were categorized in Defense and General Science in prior years; the above data have been adjusted for comparability.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense Discretionary
$545[Defense R&D]
$73
Nondefense Discretionary
$554
[Nondefense R&D]$70
Social Security$860
Medicare$524
Medicaid$304
Other Mandatory$621
Net Interest$223
Composition of the Proposed FY 2014 BudgetTotal Outlays = $3.8 trillion
outlays in billions of dollars
Source: Budget of the United States Government FY 2014.Projected unified deficit is $744 billion.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
DOD, $69.5
HHS (NIH), $32.0
DOE, $12.7
NASA, $11.6
NSF, $6.3
USDA, $2.5
Commerce, $2.7All Other, $6.7
Total R&D by Agency, FY 2014budget authority in billions of dollars
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents.R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities.© 2013 AAAS
Total R&D = $144.1 billion
Defense: -5.5%Nondefense: +9.2%
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
1.1%-7.1%-4.6%-1.4%
1.0%1.6%2.1%2.6%6.3%8.2%9.4%
14.0%14.8%
25.0%27.7%
48.6%185.7%
-50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
TOTALDOD Other
DOD S&TEPAVA
NIHDOT
NASADOE Science
USDANSF
Other HHSDOE Defense
NISTNOAA
DOE EnergyDHS
R&D in the FY 2014 Budgetpercent change from FY 2012
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents.© 2013 AAAS
DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
-2.9%-11.1%
-8.6%-5.4%-3.0%-2.4%-1.9%-1.4%
2.3%4.2%5.4%
10.0%10.8%
21.0%23.7%
44.6%181.7%
-50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200%
TOTALDOD Other
DOD S&TEPAVA
NIHDOT
NASADOE Science
USDANSF
Other HHSDOE Defense
NISTNOAA
DOE EnergyDHS
R&D in the FY 2014 Budgetpercent change from FY 2012 (INFLATION ADJUSTED)
Source: OMB R&D data, agency budget justifications, and other agency documents.© 2013 AAAS
DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Admin R&D Priorities Innovation / Science
Clear shifts from D to R, and from Defense to Nondefense
COMPETES Agencies: $12.6 billion (+18% from 2012)
Advanced manufacturing
Permanent R&D Tax Credit
A Low-Carbon Economy Though not nuclear
Homeland Security (NBAF)
Basic research budget flat when adjusted for inflation… But growing when adjusted for sequestration
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Defense R&D: Recent Decline DOD: $69.5b (-7%)
Boost for basic, everything else cut
Cuts across all military departments and agencies; DARPA flat
DOE Atomic Weapons Continued strong
growth
Homeland Security: National Bio and Agro-defense Facility gets funded
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
General Science: Growth Area
NSF: $6.3B for R&D (+9%) 10-year Trend: +21.9%
Broad investment, especially Engineering, BIO, SBE
Key focus on broad innovation programs Smart systems, materials,
cyberinfrastucture, I-Corps
STEM hub
0
2
4
6
8
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
National Science Foundationin billions of constant FY 2013 dollars
Total R&D ARRA
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220Bio Sci
Comp & Info Sci
Engineering
Geosciences
Math & Phys Sci
Soc & Behav Sci
Trends in NSF Program Budgets, FY 2000-2014Standardized with FY 2000 = 100
Source: AAAS analyses of R&D in AAAS Research and Development series. FY 2014 is the request, FY13 are estimates. Adjusted for comparability: Cyberinfrastructure and Polar Programs have been removed from CISE and GEO, respectively, in FY12-14.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
General Science: Growth Area (Cont)
DOE Science: $4.6B for R&D (+6%)10-year trend: 18.1%
Growth everywhere but High Energy Physics
Continued (but restrained) investment in ITER
Exascale?
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
DOE Office of Science R&Din millions of constant FY 2013 dollars
DOE OS R&D Recovery Act
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Adv Sci Comp Res
Basic EnergySciences
Bio and EnvResearch
Fusion EnergySciences
High-EnergyPhysics
Nuclear Physics
Trends in DOE Science Budgets, FY 2000-2014Standardized, with FY 2000 = 100
Source: AAAS analyses of R&D in AAAS Research and Development series. FY 2014 figure is the President's budget request, FY 2013 is an estimate. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
NIH: Continued Stagnation
10-year trend: -10% Only notable boosts:
NCATS, National Institute for Aging, NLM
BRAIN Initiative ($40 million) Details forthcoming
Big data ($41 million) Success rate? Also: DOD Health cut,
again
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Energy R&D: Major growth Area
DOE Energy Programs: $3.1 billion (+16%) Driven by EERE, ARPA-E
And in spite of fossil energy cuts
Double 2004 levels
But nuclear energy, once a driver, is cut this year
Proposed: Energy Security Trust
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
1997
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Dept of Energyin millions of constant FY 2013 dollars
DOE Energy Programs ARRA
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
0
5
10
15
20
25
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
NASA Total Budgetin billions of constant FY 2013 dollars
NASA NASA ARRA
NASA: Mixed signals? Science cut, few notable
boosts Except Webb
Planetary science continued target for cuts
Aeronautics remains flat
Asteroid vs. Moon? Commercial crew increases?
What about exploration? Orion, SLS cut
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Agriculture R&D: Turnaround? USDA: $2.5B for R&D
(+8.2%) 10-year trend: -8.8%
Boosts for intramural and extramural alike Agriculture and Food
Research Initiative: $383m
And this leaves out Biomass R&D 0
1
2
3
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
USDA R&Din billions of constant FY 2013 dollars
Total R&D ARRA
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
Environment R&D: Mixed news
EPA cut 10 year trend: -32.0%
USGS continues modest growth… 10 year trend: +10.5%
And NOAA arrests recent slide? 10 year trend: -5.2%
Global Change Research Program
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
2004
2007
2010
2013
US Geological Survey R&Din millions of constant FY 2013 dollars
Total
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
What it all adds up to… A shift towards nondefense research, but particularly of
the use-inspired variety Without abandoning basic research
Some longer-term trends will continue See: DOD, NSF, DOE, NIH, EPA, NASA
Also see: general budget mix
The BIG question: How does one fit a $1057 billion budget into a $966 billion hole?
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
$10
$11
$12
$13
$14
$15
$16
$17
$1820
08
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Sequestration and the COMPETES Agenciesin billions of nominal dollars
COMPETES 2010Path
ARRA
Pre-SequestrationBaseline
Post-SequestrationProjection
Actuals
COMPETES Agencies include NIST, NSF, and DOE Office of Science. Based on AAAS estimates of R&D funding under sequestration, appropriations documents, and historical agency budgets.© 2013 AAAS
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U.S. R&D INVESTMENT
For more info…[email protected]
202-326-6607
www.aaas.org/spp/rd/
2013 S&T Policy Forum
May 2-3
Ronald Reagan Building and International Trade Center