research applications with click to edit master title ... · humidity profiles” – jessica...

23
Click to edit Master title style Click to edit Master subtitle style 1 Research applications with NOAA’s Climate Data Record Program Jessica Matthews November 29, 2016

Upload: others

Post on 18-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

Click to edit Master title style

Click to edit Master subtitle style

1

ResearchapplicationswithNOAA’sClimateDataRecord

Program

JessicaMatthewsNovember29,2016

Page 2: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

2

NOAA’sCDRProgram

Mission:Todevelopandimplementarobust,sustainable,andscientificallydefensibleapproachtoproducingandpreservingclimaterecordsfromsatellitedata.

https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdr

Page 3: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

3

WhatareCDRs?

• TheNationalResearchCouncil(NRC)definesa CDR asatimeseriesofmeasurementsofsufficientlength,consistency,andcontinuitytodetermineclimatevariabilityandchange.

• NOAAisapplyingmoderndataanalysismethodstohistoricalglobalsatellitedatatoreturnneweconomicandscientificvaluefromtherecords.

Page 4: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

4

WhyareCDRsimportant?

• Providetrustworthyinformationonhow,where,andtowhatextenttheland,oceans,atmosphereandicesheetsarechanging.

• Thisinformationwillbeusedbyenergy,waterresources,agriculture,humanhealth,nationalsecurity,coastalcommunityandotherinterestgroups.

Page 5: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

5

FundamentalandthematicCDRs

• CDRs aregroupedbyFundamental CDRs andThematic(Atmospheric,Oceanic,andTerrestrial) CDRs.

• Fundamental CDRs aresensordata(e.g.calibrated radiances,brightnesstemperatures)thathavebeenimprovedandqualitycontrolledovertime,togetherwiththeancillarydatausedtocalibratethem.

• Thematic CDRs aregeophysicalvariablesderivedfromthe FCDRs.

Page 6: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

6

CDRexamples

• Fundamental:– Brightnesstemperatures,Reflectances,Meanlayertemperatures

• Atmospheric:– Aerosolopticalthickness,Cloudproperties,Ozone,Precipitation

• Oceanic:– Seaiceconcentration,Seasurfacetemperature

• Terrestrial:– Snowcoverextent,LAI,NDVI,FAPAR

Page 7: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

7

NOAACDROperationalSpiralDevelopment

6 – BenchmarkCDR

5 – FullOperationalCDR

4 – SustainedCDR

3 – InitialOperationalCDR

2 – ResearchCDR

1 - ConceptualCDR

Ope

ratio

ns

Research

Page 8: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

8

ResearchtoOperations•Goal- TomovefromtheResearchandDevelopmentofaCDRtoInitialOperationalCapability(IOC).

• IOC- ACDRdevelopmentstateachievedwhenaCDR(includingthedataset,sourcecode anddocumentation)isscientificallydefensibleandisarchived,maintained,andmadepubliclyavailable byNOAA.Itsdatamayormaynothavebeenindependentlyreproduced.Itisnotregularlymaintainednorisitnecessarilyextendedasnewdatabecomeavailable.

• FOC- ACDRdevelopmentstatewhenaCDRwillbesystematicallyandoperationallymaintainedinacycleofcontinuousimprovement.Sourcecodeanddocumentationmeethighstandardsandresultsarereproducible.Therecordwillberoutinelyextendedasnewdatabecomeavailableortoreprocesstherecordifrecalibrateddatabecomeavailable.

R2O IOC FOC

Page 9: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

9

CDRR20ProcessDiagram1)Assess

– AssembleIPT: PI,PIAssistant,SME,PM,Ops,Archive,Access– Assesssamplesofdata,documentation,sourcecode– Developtransitionschedule

2)Prepare– PIUpdatesSourceCode(CDRPcodingstandards,README)– PICreatesDocumentation(CATBD,FlowChart,MaturityMatrix)– PIPrepsDatafordelivery(netCDFFormat,Metadata,SubmissionAgreement)

3)Transfer– PItransfersacopyoftheSourceCode,Documentation,andDatatoNCDC

4)Verify– IPTverifiesSourceCode,Documentation,andData– Iterativeprocessuntilcode,documentation,anddatameetstandards

5)Archive– NCDCpreservesacopyofSourceCode,DocumentationandDatainthearchive

6)Access– ORR,thenprovidepublicaccesstoeverythingviatheCDRaccessportal

5/30/2012 OperationalReadinessReview

• ProductDescription• ORRChecklist• Websitedemo

Codemadeavailable

Documentationmadeavailable

Productmadeavailable

6)Access

ArchiveAncillaryData

ArchiveCodePackage

ArchiveDocumentation

ArchiveProductData

5)Archive

Verify‘README’

4)Verify

VerifyDataandMetadata

KDP

OperationsBranch ArchiveBranch AccessBranchPI

CDRAssessment

1)Assess

Entercodeintoversioncontrol

2)Prepare

Data

Documents

Code

VerifyFlowDiagram,

CATBD,andMaturityMatrix

3)Transfer

TransferDocuments

Verifysourcecodepackage

ConductSecurityReview

ITBranch

CreateDocuments

CDRP

TransferData

Iterativeuntilallpartshavebeenverified

CreateData

Updatesourcecode

Submissionagreement

TransferSourcecode

IOC

ORR

CDRIPT

Science Branch

Page 10: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

10

IntegratedProductTeam

• R2OTransition– NotataskthePIdoesalone,partnershipwiththeIPT

• IPTconsistsof:– PIandanyAssistants– R2OProjectManager– InternalNCEIScientist– ArchiveBranchrepresentative– OperationsBranchrepresentative– AccessBranchrepresentative– AdditionalsupportfromIT,UserEngagement,andotherCDRPmembers

• NCEIpersonnelspend400-600hourstransitioningeachCDRtoIOC

• TypicalR2Otransitiontakestheteam8-12monthstocomplete

Page 11: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

11

CICS-NCsupportofCDRs

Science

Scientificprogramming

Stewardship

Page 12: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

12

Tropicalmonitoringandprediction

• TheMadden–JulianOscillation(MJO),equatorialRossby waves,andKelvinwavesaredominantsourcesofsynoptic-to-subseasonalvariabilityinthetropics

• Divergentcirculationsfromtheirconvectioncaninfluencetropicalcyclonesandotherweatherpatternsaroundtheglobe

• ForecastersintheenergyindustryharnesstheselongtimescalesandglobalimpactstoanticipateenergydemandintheUS

Page 13: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

13

Tropicalmonitoringandprediction

• TropicalmonitoringderivedinpartfromOutgoingLongwaveRadiationCDRdata

• 18hr lag• ForecastsfromNCEPClimate

ForecastSystem• Tropicalcyclogenesistracking• Diagnosticsusedoperationally

byNOAACPCandAirForce14th WeatherSquadron

https://ncics.org/portfolio/monitor/mjo/

Page 14: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

14

High-ResolutionNEXRADReanalysis

• Providesrainfallamountsat1-kmresolutioneveryfivemin

• Available from2000topresent• Processingstats:– 130millionradarfiles– 500kjobs– 3millionhrs CPU-time– ~1yr real-time

Page 15: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

15

High-ResolutionNEXRADReanalysis

● Israinfallassociatedwithanincrease/decreaseinfatalaccidents?

● Howdoesthisvary...- byregion?- byseason?- bytimeofday?

● Comparefrequencyofcrasheswhichtakeplaceduringtheraintothefrequencyofrainitself

● Intheabsenceofacorrelation,thesefrequenciesshouldberoughlyequal

Page 16: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

16

High-ResolutionNEXRADReanalysis

• Blue=climatologicalfrequencyofrainfall

• Red=frequencyofcrashesduringrain

• Allregionsshowahigherpercentageofrain-associatedcrashesthanwouldbeexpectedbasedonclimatology

Page 17: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

17

SeaIceConcentrationCDR

• ThePassiveMicrowaveseaiceconcentrationsareanestimateofthefractionofoceanareacoveredbyseaicemean STD

Page 18: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

18

SeaIceConcentrationCDR

• Verificationandvalidation(a)CDR-GSFC (b)CDR-BT

(c)CDR-NT (d)BT-NT

bias

biasbias

biasRMSD

RMSDRMSD

RMSD

Page 19: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

19

SeaIceConcentrationCDR

WholeArctic

CentralArctic(lightgreen) Greenland(darkgreen) HudsonBay(darkbrown)

SpatialandTemporalVariabilityofSeaIceCoverage

Page 20: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

20

Obs4MIPS

• TheObservationsforModelInter-ComparisonProject(obs4MIPs)isanefforttomakeobservationaldataavailabletotheclimatemodelingcommunityinthesameformatthattheyusetoshareclimatemodeloutputs.

• TosupportCDRdataaccess,CICS-NCcreatedatooltoconvertCDRdatatoobs4MIPscompliantformatandspecifications.

Page 21: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

21

Obs4MIPS

https://ncics.org/data/obs4mips/

OptimalInterpolationSeaSurfaceTemperature(OISST)

HIRSOutgoingLongwaveRadiation(OLR)

PassiveMicrowaveSeaIceAreaFraction

Page 22: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

22

Otherresearchhighlightedhere

• “ScientificStewardship- WhatIsItandWhatDoesItMeantoUs?”– GePeng

• “DiurnalCycleofLandSurfaceTemperaturesunderAll-skyConditions”– Anand Inamdar

• “Long-termHIRS-BasedTemperatureandHumidityProfiles”– JessicaMatthews

• “AnEvaluationofSatelliteQuantitativePrecipitationEstimates(QPEs)Products”– OlivierPrat

• “LinkingnetCDF DatawiththeSemanticWeb-EnhancingDataDiscoveryAcrossDomains”– JimBiard

Page 23: Research applications with Click to edit Master title ... · Humidity Profiles” – Jessica Matthews • “An Evaluation of Satellite Quantitative Precipitation Estimates (QPEs)

23

Summary

• NOAA’sCDRsarerobust,sustainable,andscientificallydefensible.

• CICS-NCsupportstheeffortwithscience,scientificprogramming,andstewardshipexpertise.

• Tolearnmore:https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/cdr