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Research ArticleThe Dynamic Spread of the Forward CDS with GeneralRandom Loss
Kun Tian,1 Dewen Xiong,1 and Zhongxing Ye1,2
1 Department of Mathematics, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200240, China2 School of Business Information, Shanghai University of International Business and Economics, Shanghai 201620, China
Correspondence should be addressed to Kun Tian; [email protected]
Received 24 February 2014; Accepted 3 May 2014; Published 27 May 2014
Academic Editor: Igor Leite Freire
Copyright © 2014 Kun Tian et al.This is an open access article distributed under theCreative CommonsAttribution License, whichpermits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
We assume that the filtration F is generated by a 𝑑-dimensional Brownian motion𝑊 = (𝑊1, . . . ,𝑊
𝑑)
as well as an integer-valuedrandommeasure 𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦).The random variable 𝜏 is the default time and 𝐿 is the default loss. LetG = {G
𝑡; 𝑡 ≥ 0} be the progressive
enlargement of F by (𝜏, 𝐿); that is, G is the smallest filtration including F such that 𝜏 is a G-stopping time and 𝐿 isG𝜏-measurable.
We mainly consider the forward CDS with loss in the framework of stochastic interest rates whose term structures are modeled bythe Heath-Jarrow-Morton approach with jumps under the general conditional density hypothesis. We describe the dynamics of thedefaultable bond in G and the forward CDS with random loss explicitly by the BSDEs method.
1. Introduction
The credit default swap (CDS) is one of the most crucialcredit derivatives in the financial market and has receivedmany attentions in recent years; see [1–5] and so forth. Inthe existing literature, the recovery rate of the CDS is eithera constant (see [1–3], etc.) or a stochastic process. There isnothing to do with the default loss (see [4], etc.). However,the fact that once the default happens, the default loss isimmediately generated and the default loss should dependon the default time is noted. From the view of the buyer ofthe forward CDS, he may be more interested in the creditderivative whose recovery rate depends on the default loss;that is, he hopes to obtain the higher recovery rate to avoidhigher loss. More precisely, let 𝜏 be the default time and let 𝐿be the default loss; both 𝜏 and 𝐿 are random variables. Therecovery rate of the CDS is a function of the default loss,saying ℎ(𝐿); that is to say, if default occurs in [𝑎, 𝑏] causing thebuyer with the default loss 𝐿, then he can obtain ℎ(𝐿) for thereimburse at the default time 𝜏. In this paper, we will considerthis new kind of CDS in the framework of stochastic interestrates.
First, we assume that the filtration F without defaultis generated by a 𝑑-dimensional Brownian motion 𝑊 =(𝑊
1, . . . ,𝑊
𝑑)
as well as an integer-valued random measure𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦). In general, the default time 𝜏 is not an F-stoppingtime; thus, the filtration of the investor is given by G ={G
𝑡; 𝑡 ≥ 0}, the smallest filtration including F such that 𝜏 is
a G-stopping time and 𝐿 isG𝜏-measurable.
We introduce the concept of forward CDS with randomloss 𝐿. For any fixed 𝑎, 𝑏 with 0 < 𝑎 < 𝑏 < 𝑇∗, let T = {𝑎 =𝑇
0< 𝑇
1< ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ < 𝑇
𝑛= 𝑏} be a fixed tenor structure of forward
CDS; we assume that the recovery rate of the forward CDS isℎ(𝐿), then the discounted payoff of the protection leg for thebuyer is given by
$𝑃(𝑡) =
𝑛
∑
𝑘=1
ℎ (𝐿) 𝑒− ∫𝜏
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢I𝑇𝑘−1
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2 Abstract and Applied Analysis
determined at time 𝑡 ∈ [0, 𝑇0); thus, the discounted payoff of
the fee leg (also known as the premium leg) equals
$𝐿(𝑡) =
𝑛
∑
𝑘=1
R𝑡𝑒
− ∫𝑇
𝑘
𝑡
𝑟𝑢
𝑑𝑢I𝜏>𝑇𝑘
. (2)
We assume that 𝑃 itself is an equivalent martingale measure;then the fair spread of the forward CDS for the protectionbuyer at 𝑡, 𝑡 ∈ [0, 𝑇
0], is defined as a G-adapted process R
𝑡
such that
𝐸 ($𝑃(𝑡) − $
𝐿(𝑡) | G
𝑡) = 0. (3)
Since in the interval of premiums, the short rate usuallychanges, we assume that the short rate of the default-freebonds 𝑟(𝑡) is a F-adapted process whose term structure isdetermined by the arbitrage-free HJMmodel with jumps (seeBjörk et al. [6]). In this paper, we will describe the dynamicof R
𝑡in the frame of random interest rates by the BSDE
approach.Similar works can be found in Xiong and Kohlmann [5],
in which they considered the forward CDS without defaultloss and their default time is modeled by the Cox model.Different from Xiong and Kohlmann [5], we assume that(𝜏, 𝐿) satisfies the following more general conditional densityhypothesis (see in Jacod [7], Amendinger [8], and Callegaroet al. [9]):
Assumption 1 (the conditional density hypothesis). (i) Let𝜂(𝑑𝑙)𝑑𝑠 be the law of (𝜏, 𝐿) and the F-regular conditional lawof (𝜏, 𝐿) is equivalent to the law of (𝜏, 𝐿), that is,
𝑃 (𝜏 ∈ 𝑑𝑠, 𝐿 ∈ 𝑑𝑙 | F𝑡) ∼ 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠, for every 𝑡 ≥ 0; (4)
(ii) 𝜂(𝑑𝑠, 𝑑𝑙) has no atoms.
Under this assumption, the immersion property is nolonger valid, which leads to the problemof the enlargement ofthe filtration; that is, a (𝑃, F)-martingale may be not a (𝑃,G)-martingale, which is a fundamental problem in stochasticanalysis and has been widely studied in [9–14] and so forth.By this assumption, we introduce
𝑊G(𝑡) := 𝑊 (𝑡) + ∫
𝑡
0
{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢) I
𝑢≤𝜏
−𝜃1(𝑢; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}𝑑𝑢,
]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) := {1 − {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) I
𝑢≤𝜏
+𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢,
(5)
both of which depend on the default parameters 𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙),
𝜃1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠, and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠. One can see from Tian,
Xiong, and Ye (2012), see Theorem 4.6, Corollary 4.7 andCorollary 4.8 that 𝑊G is a (𝑃,G)-Brownian motion and]G(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) is the compensator of 𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) with respect to
(𝑃,G). Further, any (𝑃,G)-martingale𝑀𝑡can be represented
into the following form
𝑀𝑡= 𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝜉(𝑢)𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝜁 (𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿) I𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
(6)
for someG-predictable process 𝜉, P̃(G)-measurable function𝜁(𝑢, 𝑦), and a O(F) ⊗ B(R+) ⊗ B(R)-measurable functionℎ(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙).
Because of the more general conditional density hypoth-esis, the method of Xiong and Kohlmann [5] is no longerapplicable to our case, so we extend their results and intro-duce a different BSDEs systemdepending on the given defaultparameters 𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠, and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠and the
term structure parameters 𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇) and 𝐽(𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇); see (45) formore details. We show that the BSDEs system (45) alwayshas a solution (𝑋𝑑,𝑇, 𝜉𝑑,𝑇
1, 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2), which helps us describe the
predefault value of the defaultable bond explicitly. Then weintroduce another BSDE depending on the recovery ratefunction ℎ(𝑙) and 𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙):
𝑌𝑡= 𝑌
0− ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
ℎ (𝑙) 𝑒− ∫𝑠
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢
× 𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) I
𝑠>𝑎𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑌𝑢−𝜁
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑌𝑢−𝜁
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} ,
𝑌𝑏= 0,
(7)
which has a solution (𝑌, 𝜁1, 𝜁
2). By the solutions of
(𝑋𝑑,𝑇, 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1, 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2) and (𝑌, 𝜁
1, 𝜁
2), we describe the dynamic
of the spread of the CDS more accurately.In short, the main results are:
(1) an analysis of the conditional survival process whichsatisfies a special BSDE under some mild conditions;see Theorem 7;
(2) under the generally conditional density assumption,Theorems 15 and 19 describe the dynamics of thedefaultable and default-free bond in G, respectively;
(3) by Theorem 25, the dynamics of the spreads of theforwardCDS is obtained,which helps us gain a deeperunderstanding of CDS.
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we setup the stronger Jacod’s hypothesis with further discussionand review martingale representation in G. In Section 3, we
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Abstract and Applied Analysis 3
introduce a BSDE system to describe the predefault value ofthe defaultable bonds, which makes us describe the dynamicof the price of the defaultable bonds more explicitly, and as abyproduct, we can also describe the dynamic of the default-free bonds inG. In Section 4, we discuss the dynamics of CDSas another application of G where we assume that the CDSdepends on the loss randomvariable 𝐿. Conclusions are givenat the end.
2. The Setup and Notations
We assume that F = {F𝑡; 𝑡 ≥ 0} is the inference filtration on
(Ω,F, 𝑃) carrying a 𝑑-dimensional Brownian motion 𝑊 =(𝑊
1, . . . ,𝑊
𝑑)
as well as an integer-valued random measure𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) onR
+×𝐸, where (𝐸,E) is a Blackwell space.We use
𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) to describe the change of macroeconomic policy,environment, and so forth.
Assumption 2. The filtration F = {F𝑡; 𝑡 ≥ 0} is the natural
filtration generated by𝑊 and 𝜇, that is,
F𝑡= 𝜎 {𝑊 (𝑠) , 𝜇 ([0, 𝑠] × 𝐷1) , 𝐷2; 0 ≤ 𝑠 ≤ 𝑡, 𝐷1 ∈ B,
𝐷2∈ N} ,
(8)
whereN is the collection of 𝑃-null sets fromF.
In the following, we let P(F) be the family of all F-predictable processes and P̃(F) = P(F) ⊗ E. We assumethat the compensator of 𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) is given by ](𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) =𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦)𝑑𝑢, where 𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦) is a transition kernel from (Ω ×
R+,P(F)) into (𝐸,E). For any local (𝑃, F)-martingale𝑀, one
knows that𝑀 has the representation property
𝑀𝑡= 𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑓1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝑓2(𝑢, 𝑦) (𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)) ,
(9)
where 𝑓1(𝑢) is an R𝑑-valued F-predictable process with 𝑓
1∈
𝐿2
loc(𝑊) and 𝑓2(𝑢, 𝑦) is a P̃(F)-measurable function with𝑓
2∈ 𝐺loc(𝜇) (see Lemma 4.24 in page 185 of Jacod and
Shiryaev [15] for more details).
Remark 3. It is easy to see that there exists an F-optionalprocess 𝜑 = (𝜑
𝑡) and a sequence of stopping times (𝜏
𝑘) such
that for all positive P̃(F)-measurable function ℎ(𝜔, 𝑡, 𝑦),
∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
ℎ (𝜔, 𝑢, 𝑦) 𝜇 (𝜔; 𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) = ∑
(𝑘)
ℎ (𝜏𝑘, 𝜑
𝜏𝑘
) I𝜏𝑘
≤𝑡. (10)
Furthermore, as the compensator of 𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) is ](𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) =𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦)𝑑𝑢, so the filtration F is quasi-left continuous.
Let 𝜏 ≥ 0 be the default time and let 𝐿 be the defaultloss, which are random variables. We are interested in thenew enlarged filtration G = {G
𝑡; 𝑡 ≥ 0} which is the smallest
filtration including F such that 𝜏 is a G-stopping time and𝐿 is G
𝜏-measurable. We assume that G satisfies the usual
conditions and G is called the progressive enlargement of Fby (𝜏, 𝐿). We can easily see thatG
𝑡is given by
G𝑡= ⋂
𝑢>𝑡
G0
𝑢, where G0
𝑢= F
𝑢∨ 𝜎 (𝜏 ∧ 𝑢) ∨ 𝜎 (𝐿I
𝜏≤𝑢) .
(11)
The information Gmeans that once the default happens, thedefault loss is immediately generated.The similar progressiveenlargement of filtration can also be found in Dellacherie andMeyer [10] andKchia et al. [16, 17]. It is notable that the resultsof this progressive enlargement filtration G may be seenas the further extension and different from the traditionalprogressive enlargement of filtration in the literature; see, forexample, in Jeulin [18], Jacod [7], Jeanblanc et al. [19], ElKaroui et al. [11], Jeanblanc and Le Cam [12], Jeanblanc andSong [13], Callegaro et al. [9], and Jeanblanc and Song [14],among many others.
Hereinafter, we suppose that Assumptions 1 and 2 alwayshold. The following lemmas come from Pham [20].
Lemma 4. 𝑌𝑡is aG
𝑡-measurable random variable (r.v.) if and
only if
𝑌𝑡= 𝑦
0
𝑡I𝑡𝜏, (13)
where 𝑌0 is a F-predictable process and where 𝑌1𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) is a
P(F) ⊗B(R+) ⊗B(R)-measurable function.(2) Any G-optional process 𝑌 = (𝑌
𝑡)
𝑡≥0is represented as
𝑌𝑡= 𝑌
0
𝑡I𝑡
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4 Abstract and Applied Analysis
Since {𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙); 𝑡 ≥ 0} is a strictly positive martingale, from
Assumption 2 one can see that 𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) can be represented in
the following form:
𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) = 𝐸 (𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) | F
𝑡) I
𝑡𝑠, and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠.
Theorem 6. For any given bounded 𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠, and
𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠,
𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) := 𝐸 (𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) | F
𝑡) I
𝑡 𝑡 | F
𝑡) = ∫
∞
𝑡
∫𝑅
𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 (20)
be the conditional survival process; one can easily see thatprocess {𝐺
𝑡; 𝑡 ≥ 0} is a (𝑃, F)-supermartingale.
Theorem 7. For any given bounded 𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠, and
𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠satisfying (19), let
𝜃1(𝑢) :=
∫𝑢
0∫R𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝑍
𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
∫𝑢
0∫R𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝑍
𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
,
𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) :=
∫𝑢
0∫R𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝑍
𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
∫𝑢
0∫R𝑝
𝑠(s, 𝑙) 𝑍𝜃1,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
,
(21)
and then (𝐺, 𝜃1, 𝜃
2) is the solution of the following BSDE:
𝐺𝑡= 1 − ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
− ∫
𝑡
0
{1 − 𝐺𝑢−} 𝜃
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
− ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{1 − 𝐺𝑢−}
× 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} ,
𝐺∞= 0.
(22)
Remark 8. It is notable that the initial value is 𝐺0= 1 and
the terminal value is 𝐺∞
= 0, which is different from thetraditional BSDE. In general, the BSDE (22) may not havea solution, but if 𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠, and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠
satisfy the condition (19), the BSDE (22) always has a solution.
Proof. Let
𝐼𝑡:= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝑍
𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑡) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠, (23)
and then 𝐼 is a strictly positive (𝑃, F) semimartingale with 𝐼𝑡<
1, a.s. for each 𝑡 > 0. Further more,
𝐼𝑡= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙)
× {∫
𝑡
𝑠
𝑍𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
𝑠
∫𝐸
𝑍𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜃
2
× (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙) {𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)−](𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}}
× 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 5
= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑡
0
{∫
𝑢
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝑍
𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜃
1
× (𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{∫
𝑢
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝑍
𝜃1
,𝜃2
𝑠,𝑙(𝑢−) 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)
× 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠} {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 + ∫
𝑡
0
𝐼𝑢−𝜃
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐼𝑢−𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} ,
(24)
and one can see that 𝐼 is the solution of the following SDE:
𝐼𝑡= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 + ∫
𝑡
0
𝐼𝑢−𝜃
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐼𝑢−𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} ,
(25)
and then (19) is equivalent to the following condition:
𝐼∞= 1, a.s.; (26)
that is to say, (𝐼, 𝜃1, 𝜃
2) is a solution of the following BSDE:
𝐼𝑡= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 + ∫
𝑡
0
𝐼𝑢−𝜃
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐼𝑢−𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
𝐼∞= 1.
(27)
From the definition of the conditional survival process𝐺, onecan see that
𝐺𝑡= ∫
∞
𝑡
∫R
𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
= 1 − ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑡(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
= 1 − 𝐼𝑡,
(28)
and thus the theorem holds.
Remark 9. Let (𝐼, 𝜃1, 𝜃
2) be any solution of the BSDE (27); we
introduce
𝜃1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙) := 𝜃
1(𝑢) I
𝑢>𝑠,
𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙) := 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦) I
𝑢>𝑠,
(29)
then 𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠satisfy (19).
Example 10. If
∫
∞
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 = 1, a.s., (30)
let 𝜃1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠:= 0 and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠:= 0; then one can
see that 𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠, and 𝜃
2(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠satisfy (19).
Hence 𝜃1(𝑢) = 0 and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦) = 0, which implies
𝐼𝑡= ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
𝐺𝑡= 1 − ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(31)
2.1.TheMartingale Representation inG. FromTian et al. [21],we have the following martingale representation theorem.
Theorem 11. Let 𝑀𝑡:= 𝑀
1(𝑡)I
𝑡𝜏}
𝑑𝑢
(33)
is a (𝑃,G)-Brownian motion, and where
]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) := {1 − {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) I
𝑢≤𝜏
+ 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢
(34)
is the compensator of 𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) with respect to (𝑃,G).
Corollary 12. Let𝑀𝑡be a local (𝑃,G)-martingale; then there
exist a G-predictable process 𝜉, a P̃(G)-measurable function
-
6 Abstract and Applied Analysis
𝜁(𝑢, 𝑦), and a O(F) ⊗ B(R+) ⊗ B(R)-measurable functionℎ(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙) such that
𝑀𝑡= 𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝜉(𝑢)𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝜁 (𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿) I𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(35)
3. The Dynamics of the Default-FreeBond in G
We now discuss the market of the defaultable-free bonds.Since F is the filtration without default, it is natural toassume that the price processes of the default-free bonds areF semimartingale. We assume that 𝑃 itself is an equivalentmartingale measure and the short rate is modeled by thearbitrage-free HJM model with jumps (see Björk et al. [6]).More precisely, let𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇) be the price at time 𝑡 of the default-free bond maturing at time 𝑇 (a 𝑇-bond), then {𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇); 𝑡 ∈[0, 𝑇]} is an F semimartingale with 𝐵F (𝑇, 𝑇) = 1 for each𝑇 > 0. To discuss the term structure of the default-freebond, we assume that, for every fixed 𝑡, 𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇) is 𝑃-a.s.continuously differentiable in the 𝑇-variable, and introducethe instantaneous forward rate𝑓(𝑡, 𝑇) = −(𝜕/𝜕𝑇) log𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇)and the short rate 𝑟(𝑡) = 𝑓(𝑡, 𝑡), as in [6]. If the object 𝜉 iscontinuously differentiable in the 𝑇-variable, then we denotethe partial 𝑇-derivative by 𝜉
𝑇.
For the simplicity, we assume that 𝑃 is an equivalentmartingale measure for 𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇) for any maturity 𝑇; that is,the discount process {𝑒− ∫
𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐵F(𝑡, 𝑇); 𝑡 ∈ [0, 𝑇]} is a F-
martingale, and the dynamics of 𝑓(𝑡, 𝑇) is given by
𝑓 (𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝑓 (0, 𝑇) + ∫
𝑡
0
𝛼 (𝑢, 𝑇) 𝑑𝑢 + ∫
𝑡
0
𝛽(𝑢, 𝑇)𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝛾 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇) 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) ,
(36)
where 𝛼(⋅, 𝑇) is a bounded F-predictable process on [0, 𝑇],𝛽(⋅, 𝑇) is a bounded R𝑑-valued F-predictable process on[0, 𝑇] and where 𝛾(⋅, ⋅, 𝑇) is a bounded P̃(F)-measurablefunction on [0, 𝑇] × 𝐸 for each 𝑇. Since it is arbitrage free,one can see from [6] or [22] that
𝛼 (𝑢, 𝑇) = −𝛽(𝑢, 𝑇)𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇) − ∫
𝐸
𝛾 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇) 𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦) ,
(37)
where
𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇) := −∫
𝑇
𝑢
𝛽 (𝑢, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙,
𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇) := −∫
𝑇
𝑢
𝛾 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙.
(38)
The following lemma can be found in Proposition 2.4 of [6]or Lemma 2.3 of [22].
Lemma 13. If the dynamics of the forward rate 𝑓(𝑡, 𝑇) is givenby (36), then the short rate 𝑟(𝑡) satisfies
𝑟 (𝑡) = 𝑟 (0) + ∫
𝑡
0
𝛼∗(𝑢) 𝑑𝑢 + ∫
𝑡
0
𝛽(𝑢, 𝑢)𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝛾 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑢) 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) ,
(39)
where 𝑟(0) = 𝑓(0, 0), 𝛼∗(𝑢) = 𝑓𝑇(𝑢, 𝑢) + 𝛼(𝑢, 𝑢), and the
dynamics 𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇) is given by
𝐵F(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝐵
F(0, 𝑇) + ∫
𝑡
0
𝐵F(𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐵F(𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐵F(𝑢−, 𝑇) {𝑒
𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)− 1}
× {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} .
(40)
Remark 14. From (40), one can see that
− ∫
𝑇
𝑡
𝑓 (𝑡, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
= −∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑡
0
{𝑟 (𝑢) − {1
2‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖
2
+ ∫𝐸
{𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} 𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦)}} 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇)𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇) 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) .
(41)
If we take 𝑡 = 𝑇, one gets
∫
𝑇
0
𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢 = ∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑇
0
{1
2‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖
2
+∫𝐸
{𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} 𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦)} 𝑑𝑢
− ∫
𝑇
0
𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇)𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
− ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇) 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) .
(42)
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 7
3.1. The Price Process of the Defaultable Bond. Let 𝐵𝑑(𝑡, 𝑇) bethe time-𝑡price of the defaultable zero coupon bondwith zerorecovery and with maturity 𝑇, that is,
𝐵𝑑(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝐸(𝑒
− ∫𝑇
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢I𝜏>𝑇
| G𝑡)
=1
𝐺𝑡
𝐸(∫
∞
𝑇
∫R
𝑒− ∫𝑇
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝑝
𝑇(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 | F
𝑡)I
𝑡
-
8 Abstract and Applied Analysis
× {1 + 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 − {1/𝐺𝑢−− 1} 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
−1} {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} .
(46)
The proof is given in Appendix.
Remark 16. From (46), one can see that 𝐵∗(𝑡, 𝑇) can berewritten as the follows:
𝐵∗(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝐸(𝑒
− ∫𝑇
𝑡
{𝑟(𝑢)+𝛿(𝑢,𝑇)}𝑑𝑢| F
𝑡) , (47)
where
𝛿 (𝑢, 𝑇) :=1
2
{
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢) + 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
−1
2
𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
+ ∫R
1
𝐺𝑢
𝑝𝑢(𝑢, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙)
+ ∫𝐸
{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)
× {1 + 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 − {1/𝐺𝑢−− 1} 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
− 1}𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦)
(48)
is the spread of the defaultable bond with respect to thedefault-free bond 𝐵F (𝑡, 𝑇), which may be negative.
Remark 17. If
∫
∞
0
∫R
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 = 1, a.s., (49)
as in Example 10, then the BSDEs system (45) can be simpli-fied into the following form:
𝑋𝑑,𝑇
𝑡= 𝑋
𝑑,𝑇
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
{𝜉𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
−1
2∫
𝑡
0
{𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
− ‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖2} 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ln (1 + 𝜉𝑑,𝑇2
(𝑢, 𝑦)) − 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{{𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)} 𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
𝑋𝑑,𝑇
𝑇= 0,
(50)
which can be transformed into the BSDEs system (1.3) ofXiong and Kohlmann [5], so the BSDEs system (45) may beviewed as an extension of [5].
Corollary 18. Let (𝑋𝑑,𝑇, 𝜉𝑑,𝑇1, 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2) be any solution of the
system of BSDEs (45), then for any maturity 𝑇 ∈ [0, 𝑇∗] andfor any 𝑡 ≤ 𝑇, 𝐵𝑑(𝑡, 𝑇) satisfies the following SDE:
𝐵𝑑(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝑒
𝑋𝑑,𝑇
0
−∫𝑇
0
𝑓(0,𝑙)𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
𝐵𝑑(𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
𝐵𝑑(𝑢−, 𝑇) {{
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢)
+ 𝜉𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢) }
𝑑𝑊G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝐸
𝐵𝑑(𝑢−, 𝑇)
× {1 + 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 − {1/𝐺𝑢−− 1} 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
−1} {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
− 𝐵𝑑(𝜏−, 𝑇) I
𝑡≥𝜏
+ ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫R
𝐵𝑑(𝑠−, 𝑇)
1
𝐺𝑠
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(51)
Proof. Since 𝐵𝑑(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝐵∗(𝑡, 𝑇)I𝑡
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 9
We need to introduce the following BSDEs system:
𝑋𝑇
𝑡= 𝑋
𝑇
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
{𝜉𝑇
1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)}
𝑑𝑊G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
{ −1
2
𝜉
𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
+1
2‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖
2
+ 𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇){{
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢) I
𝑢≤𝜏
− 𝜃1(𝑢; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ln {1 + 𝜉𝑇2(𝑢, 𝑦)} − 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ {𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
× {1 − {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) I
𝑢≤𝜏
+ 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢
+ ln {1 + ℎ𝑇 (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
𝑋𝑇= 0.
(54)
The solution of the BSDEs system (54) is (𝑋𝑇, 𝜉𝑇1, 𝜉
𝑇
2, ℎ
𝑇)
such that it satisfies (54) such that for any 𝑇 ∈ [0, 𝑇∗],{𝜉
𝑇
1(𝑢); 𝑢 ∈ [0, 𝑇]} is an R𝑛-valued G-predictable pro-
cess, 𝜉𝑇2(𝑢, 𝑦) is a P̃(G)-measurable function, and ℎ𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
is a O(F) ⊗ B(R+) ⊗ B(R)-measurable function suchthat that the stochastic exponential E{∫⋅
0𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢) +
∫⋅
0∫
𝐸𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦){𝜇(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} + ℎ𝑇(𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)I
⋅≥𝜏−
∫⋅∧𝜏
0∫
𝑅ℎ
𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)(1/𝐺
𝑠−)𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙)𝜂(𝑑𝑙)𝑑𝑠}
𝑡is a uniformly inte-
grable (𝑃,G)-martingale on [0, 𝑇].
Theorem 19. (i) The BSDEs system (54) has a solution.(ii) Let (𝑋𝑇, 𝜉𝑇
1, 𝜉
𝑇
2, ℎ
𝑇) be any solution of the system of
BSDEs (54); then 𝐵(𝑡, 𝑇) satisfies the following SDE:
𝐵 (𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝑒𝑋𝑇
0
−∫𝑇
0
𝑓(0,𝑙)𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐵 (𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐵 (𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝜉𝑇
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐵 (𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝜉𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
× {𝜇 (d𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ 𝐵 (𝜏−, 𝑇) ℎ𝑇(𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
𝐵 (𝑠−, 𝑇) ℎ𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(55)
The proof is given in Appendix.
Remark 20. Since the BSDEs system (54) not only dependson 𝐴,𝐶, 𝐽, but also depends on 𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙), 𝜃
1(𝑢),
and 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦), the dynamics of the price process of the default-
free bond in G is affected by both the default time and theloss.
Remark 21. Although 𝑟 is a F semimartingale, which is notaffected by the default, there still exists a jump in 𝐵(𝑡, 𝑇) atthe default time.
4. The Dynamics of the Forward CDS
In this section, we will describe the dynamics of the spreadsof the forward CDS. For any fixed 𝑎 < 𝑏 with 0 < 𝑎 < 𝑏 < 𝑇∗,let 𝜋 = {𝑎 = 𝑇
0< 𝑇
1< ⋅ ⋅ ⋅ < 𝑇
𝑛= 𝑏} be a fixed tenor
structure. We assume that the recovery rate is determined bya process ℎ(𝐿) with 0 < ℎ(𝐿) < 1, for 𝑢 ∈ [0, 𝑇∗]; that is,if default occurs between the dates 𝑇
𝑘−1and 𝑇
𝑘, the buyer of
the CDS will receive the protection payment ℎ(𝐿) at time 𝜏.The random variable ℎ(𝐿) depends on the loss 𝐿 when thedefault occurs, which is different from [3, 5]. For example,ℎ(𝐿) = 𝛿
1𝐼
𝐿 𝑎, the recovery rate is 𝛿
2, (𝛿
2> 𝛿
1).
We assume that 𝑡 < 𝑇0and the forward credit default
swap (forward CDS) issued at time 𝑡 ∈ [0, 𝑇0], with the unit
notional. The discounted payoff of the protection leg equals
$𝑃(𝑡) =
𝑛
∑
𝑘=1
ℎ (𝐿) 𝑒− ∫𝜏
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢I𝑇𝑘−1
-
10 Abstract and Applied Analysis
every 𝑡 ∈ [0, 𝑇0], is defined as a G
𝑡-adapted processR
𝑡such
that 𝐸($𝑃(𝑡) −R
𝑡$
𝐿(𝑡) | G
𝑡) = 0; that is,
R𝑡=𝐸 ($
𝑃(𝑡) | G
𝑡)
𝐸 ($𝐿(𝑡) | G
𝑡). (58)
We have the following lemma.
Lemma 23. Let 𝐵∗(𝑡, 𝑇) be the predefault value of the default-able bond, and let
𝐷 (𝑡, 𝑎, 𝑏)
:=1
𝐺𝑡
𝑒∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢
× 𝐸(∫
𝑏
𝑎
∫R
ℎ (𝑙) 𝑒− ∫𝑠
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝑝
𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 | F
𝑡) ,
(59)
and then we have, for 𝑡 ≤ 𝑎,
R𝑡=
𝐷 (𝑡, 𝑎, 𝑏)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝐵∗ (𝑡, 𝑇
𝑘)I𝑡
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 11
and assume thatR∗𝑡is the predefault vaule of the CDS, that is,
R𝑡= R∗
𝑡I𝑡𝑠, and 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑠, 𝑙)I
𝑢>𝑠
and the term structure parameters 𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇) and 𝐽(𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇).By the solution of the BSDEs system (45), we can explicitlydescribe the term structure of the defaultable bond. As abyproduct, we can also describe the term structure of thedefault-free bond in the larger filtration G. By introducinganother BSDE (7) more simpler than Xiong and Kohlmann[5], we explicitly describe the dynamics of the fair spread ofthe forward CDS with the recovery rate ℎ(𝐿).
Appendix
Proof of Theorem 15. (i) one can see that 𝑀𝑡
:=
𝑒− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐺
𝑡𝐵
∗(𝑡, 𝑇) is a strictly positive (𝑃, F)-martingale,
which can be rewriten as the follows:
𝑀𝑡= 𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑀𝑢−𝜉
𝑑
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝑀𝑢−𝜉
𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} ,
(A.1)
where 𝜉𝑑1is an F-predictable process and 𝜉𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦) is a P̃(F)-
measurable function. Since
𝐵∗(𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝑀
𝑡𝑒
∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢 1
𝐺𝑡
(A.2)
and since
ln𝐺𝑡= −∫
𝑡
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
− ∫
𝑡
0
1
𝐺𝑢−
{1 − 𝐺𝑢−} 𝜃
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
1
𝐺𝑢−
{1 − 𝐺𝑢−} 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦) ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
−1
2∫
𝑡
0
{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1}
2𝜃
1(𝑢)
2
𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
ln(1 + ( 1𝐺
𝑢−
− 1) 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)) 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) ,
(A.3)
one can see that
ln𝐵∗ (𝑡, 𝑇)
= ln𝑀𝑡+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢 − ln𝐺𝑡
= ln𝑀0+ ∫
𝑡
0
{𝜉𝑑
1(𝑢) + {
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+1
2∫
𝑡
0
{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1}
2𝜃
1(𝑢)
2
−𝜉
𝑑
1(𝑢)
2
}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ ln (1 + 𝜉𝑑2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− ln(1 + ( 1𝐺
𝑢−
− 1) 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦))} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{𝜉𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦) + {
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)} ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢 + ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠;
(A.4)
-
12 Abstract and Applied Analysis
thus,
0 = ln𝐵∗ (𝑇, 𝑇)
= ln𝑀0+ ∫
𝑇
0
{𝜉𝑑
1(𝑢) + {
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+1
2∫
𝑇
0
{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1}
2𝜃
1(𝑢)
2
−𝜉
𝑑
1(𝑢)
2
}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ ln (1 + 𝜉𝑑2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− ln(1 + ( 1𝐺
𝑢−
− 1) 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦))} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{𝜉𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦) + {
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)} ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠 + ∫
𝑇
0
𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
= ln𝑀0+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑇
0
{𝜉𝑑
1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)
+ {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+1
2∫
𝑇
0
{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1}
2𝜃
1(𝑢)
2
−𝜉
𝑑
1(𝑢)
2
+ ‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖2}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ ln (1 + 𝜉𝑑2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− ln(1 + ( 1𝐺
𝑢−
− 1) 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇) } 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ {𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
− {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(A.5)
If we let
𝑋𝑑,𝑇
𝑡= ln𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑡
0
{𝜉𝑑
1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)
+ {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+1
2∫
𝑡
0
{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1}
2𝜃
1(𝑢)
2
−𝜉
𝑑
1(𝑢)
2
+ ‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖2}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ ln (1 + 𝜉𝑑2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− ln(1 + ( 1𝐺
𝑢−
− 1) 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇) } 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ {𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
− {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
𝜉𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢) = 𝜉
𝑑
1(𝑢) ,
𝜉𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦) = 𝜉
𝑑
2(𝑢, 𝑦) ,
(A.6)
then (𝑋𝑑,𝑇, 𝜉𝑑,𝑇1, 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2) is a solution of the BSDEs system (45).
(ii) Let (𝑋𝑑,𝑇, 𝜉𝑑,𝑇1, 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2) be any solution of the system of
BSDEs (45), and let Θ𝑑 be the solution of the following SDE:
Θ𝑑
𝑡= 𝑒
𝑋𝑑,𝑇
0
−∫𝑇
0
𝑓(0,𝑙)𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫R
Θ𝑑
𝑢−
1
𝐺𝑠
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑡
0
Θ𝑑
𝑢−{𝑟 (𝑢) +
{
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢) +
1
2𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
−1
4
𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
Θ𝑑
𝑢−{
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 13
× {1 + 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 − {1/𝐺𝑢−− 1} 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
− 1}𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
Θ𝑑
𝑢−{{
1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢) + 𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
Θ𝑑
𝑢−{
1 + 𝜉𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 − {1/𝐺𝑢−− 1} 𝜃
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
−1} {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} .
(A.7)
One can see from Itô’s formula that 𝐾𝑡:= Θ
𝑑
𝑡𝑒
− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐺
𝑡
satisfies the SDE:
𝐾𝑡= 𝑒
𝑋𝑑,𝑇
0
−∫𝑇
0
𝑓(0,𝑙)𝑑𝑙+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐾𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐾𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} .
(A.8)
Thus, the process 𝐾𝑡is a (𝑃,G) uniformly integrable martin-
gale. Furthermore, once again from Itô’s formula, one can seethat
lnΘ𝑑𝑇= 𝑋
𝑑,𝑇
0− ∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑇
0
{𝜉𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)
+ {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢)}
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+1
2∫
𝑇
0
{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1}
2𝜃
1(𝑢)
2
−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
+ ‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖2}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ ln (1 + 𝜉𝑑,𝑇2
(𝑢, 𝑦))
− ln(1 + ( 1𝐺
𝑢−
− 1) 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦))
− 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇) } 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ {𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉𝑑,𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
− {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦)}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫R
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
= 𝑋𝑑,𝑇
𝑇= 0,
(A.9)
and thus Θ𝑑𝑇= 1. Therefore,
Θ𝑑
𝑡𝑒
− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐺
𝑡= 𝐾
𝑡= 𝐸 [𝐾
𝑇| F
𝑡]
= 𝐸 [𝑒− ∫𝑇
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐺
𝑇| F
𝑡] ,
(A.10)
which implies
Θ𝑑
𝑡= 𝐸[𝑒
− ∫𝑇
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐺𝑇
𝐺𝑡
| F𝑡] = 𝐵
∗(𝑡, 𝑇) , a.s. (A.11)
Proof of Theorem 19. (i) Let 𝑀𝑡:= 𝐵(𝑡, 𝑇)𝑒
− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢; one cansee that𝑀 is a strictly positive (𝑃,G)-martingale; accordingto Corollary 12, one can see that 𝑀 can be represented intothe following:
𝑀𝑡= 𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑀𝑢−𝜉
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝑀𝑢−𝜉
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+𝑀𝜏−ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
𝑀𝑠−ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
(A.12)
where 𝜉1(𝑢) is anR𝑛-valuedG-predictable process, 𝜉
2(𝑢, 𝑦) is
a P̃(G)-measurable function with 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦) > −1, and ℎ(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
is aO(F)⊗B(R+)⊗B(R)-measurable function ℎ(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙) > −1.It is notable that 𝜉
1, 𝜉
2, and ℎmay depend on 𝑇. Thus,
𝐵 (𝑡, 𝑇) = 𝑀𝑡𝑒
∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢
= 𝑀0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐵 (𝑠−, 𝑇) 𝑟 (𝑠) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝐵 (𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝜉1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝐵 (𝑢−, 𝑇) 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)−]G(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ 𝐵 (𝜏−, 𝑇) ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿) I𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
𝐵 (𝑠−, 𝑇) ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
(A.13)
-
14 Abstract and Applied Analysis
which implies
ln𝐵 (𝑡, 𝑇) = ln𝑀0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑟 (𝑠) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝜉1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢) −
1
2∫
𝑡
0
𝜉1 (𝑢)
2
𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
ln {1 + 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦) ]G(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)+ln {1+ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I
𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(A.14)
Since 𝐵(𝑇, 𝑇) = 1, then
0 = ln𝑀0+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝑟 (𝑠) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝜉1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢) −
1
2∫
𝑇
0
𝜉1 (𝑢)
2
𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
ln {1 + 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦) ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ln {1 + ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I𝑇≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑇∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
(A.15)
and it follows from (42) that
0 = ln𝑀0+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙
+ ∫
𝑇
0
{𝜉1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)}
𝑑𝑊G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
{ −1
2
𝜉1 (𝑢)
2
+1
2‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖
2+ 𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇)
×{{1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃1(𝑢) I
𝑢≤𝜏−𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ln {1 + 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦)} − 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
{ {𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦)
× {1 − {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) I
𝑢≤𝜏
+ 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢
+ ln {1 + ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I𝑇≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑇∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠;
(A.16)
if we let
𝑋𝑇
𝑡= ln𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
{𝜉1(𝑢) − 𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)}
𝑑𝑊G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
{−1
2
𝜉1 (𝑢)
2
+1
2‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖
2+ 𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇)
×{{1
𝐺𝑢−
−1} 𝜃1(𝑢) I
𝑢≤𝜏−𝜃
1(𝑢; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}}𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ln {1 + 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦)} − 𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦; 𝑇)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
{ {𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} − 𝜉2(𝑢, 𝑦)
× {1 − {1
𝐺𝑢−
− 1} 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦) I
𝑢≤𝜏
+ 𝜃2(𝑢, 𝑦; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑢>𝜏}}𝐹
𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢
+ ln {1 + ℎ (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ (𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠,
𝜉𝑇
1(𝑢) = 𝜉
1(𝑢) ,
𝜉𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦) = 𝜉
2(𝑢, 𝑦) ,
ℎ𝑇(𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙) = ℎ (𝑢; 𝑠, 𝑙) ,
(A.17)
then (𝑋𝑇, 𝜉𝑇1, 𝜉
𝑇
2, ℎ
𝑇) is a solution of the BSDEs system (54).
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 15
(ii) Let (𝑋𝑇, 𝜉𝑇1, 𝜉
𝑇
2, ℎ
𝑇) be any solution of the system of
BSDEs (54), and let Θ be the solution of the following SDE:
Θ𝑡= 𝑒
𝑋𝑇
0
−∫𝑇
0
𝑓(0,𝑙)𝑑𝑙+ ∫
𝑡
0
Θ𝑢−𝑟 (𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
Θ𝑢−𝜉
𝑇
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
Θ𝑢−𝜉
𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ]G (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ Θ𝜏−ℎ
𝑇(𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿) I
𝑡≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑡∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
Θ𝑠−ℎ
𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠.
(A.18)
One can see that the processΘ𝑡𝑒
− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢 is a (𝑃,G) uniformlyintegrable martingale, and from Itô’s formula, we see that
lnΘ𝑇= 𝑋
𝑇
0− ∫
𝑇
0
𝑓 (0, 𝑙) 𝑑𝑙 + ∫
𝑇
0
𝑟 (𝑠) 𝑑𝑠
+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝜉𝑇
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢) −
1
2∫
𝑡
0
𝜉
𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
ln {1 + 𝜉𝑇2(𝑢, 𝑦)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝜉𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦) ]G(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)+ln {1+ℎ𝑇 (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I
𝑇≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑇∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
= 𝑋𝑇
0+ ∫
𝑇
0
{1
2‖𝐶 (𝑢, 𝑇)‖
2
+ ∫𝐸
{𝑒𝐽(𝑢,𝑦,𝑇)
− 1} 𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦)} 𝑑𝑢
− ∫
𝑇
0
𝐶(𝑢, 𝑇)𝑑𝑊 (𝑢) − ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
𝐽 (𝑢, 𝑦, 𝑇) 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑇
0
𝜉𝑇
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊
G(𝑢) −
1
2∫
𝑡
0
𝜉
𝑇
1(𝑢)
2
𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑇
0
∫𝐸
ln {1 + 𝜉𝑇2(𝑢, 𝑦)} 𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝜉𝑇
2(𝑢, 𝑦) ]G(𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)+ln {1+ℎ𝑇 (𝜏; 𝜏, 𝐿)} I
𝑇≥𝜏
− ∫
𝑇∧𝜏
0
∫𝑅
ℎ𝑇(𝑠; 𝑠, 𝑙)
1
𝐺𝑠−
𝑝𝑠(𝑠, 𝑙) 𝜂 (𝑑𝑙) 𝑑𝑠
= 𝑋𝑇
𝑇= 0,
(A.19)
and thus Θ𝑇= 1 and
Θ𝑡𝑒
− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢= 𝐸 [𝑒
− ∫𝑇
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢| G
𝑡] , (A.20)
from which one can see that Θ𝑡= 𝐸[𝑒
− ∫𝑇
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢| G
𝑡] =
𝐵(𝑡, 𝑇), a.s., which completes the proof.
Proof of Theorem 25. Since 𝐵∗(𝑡, 𝑇𝑘) =
𝐸(𝑒− ∫𝑇
𝑡
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢(𝐺
𝑇𝑘
/𝐺𝑡) | F
𝑡), one can see that
𝑀𝑘
𝑡:= 𝑒
− ∫𝑡
0
𝑟(𝑢)𝑑𝑢𝐺
𝑡𝐵
∗(𝑡, 𝑇
𝑘) is a strictly positive (𝑃, F)-
martingale, which can be rewriten as the following:
𝑀𝑘
𝑡= 𝑀
𝑘
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} .
(A.21)
Let𝑀𝑡= ∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑡; then,
𝑀𝑡= 𝑀
0+ ∫
𝑡
0
𝑀𝑢−(∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
𝑀𝑢−
×∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
{𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)−] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)} ,
(A.22)
and thus, for 𝑡 < 𝑎,
R𝑡=
𝐷 (𝑡, 𝑎, 𝑏)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝐵∗ (𝑡, 𝑇
𝑘)I𝑡
-
16 Abstract and Applied Analysis
− ∫
𝑡
0
1
𝑀2𝑢−
𝑑⟨𝑌,𝑀⟩𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−{
1 + 𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1+∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) /∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
− 1 +∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
−𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)}𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
=𝑌
0
𝑀0
+ ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−𝜁
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−𝜁
2(𝑢, 𝑦) {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
− ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−(∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
− ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−
×∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
{𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)−] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
2
𝑑𝑢
− ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
𝜁1(𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−{
1+𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1+∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) /∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
− 1 +∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
−𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)}𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
=𝑌
0
𝑀0
+ ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−𝜁
1(𝑢)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
− ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−𝜁
2(𝑢, 𝑦) ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
− ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−(∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
)
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
2
𝑑𝑢
− ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
𝜁1(𝑢) 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−{
1 + 𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 + ∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) /∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
−1}𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) ,
(A.24)
which implies
R∗
𝑡=𝑌
0
𝑀0
− ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−{∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
− 𝜁1(𝑢) }
𝑑𝑊 (𝑢)
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−{
1 + 𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)
1 + ∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) /∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
−1} {𝜇 (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦) − ] (𝑑𝑢, 𝑑𝑦)}
+ ∫
𝑡
0
R∗
𝑢−
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
× {∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
1(𝑢)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
− 𝜁1(𝑢)} 𝑑𝑢
+ ∫
𝑡
0
∫𝐸
R∗
𝑢−{∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦)
∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
− 𝜁2(𝑢, 𝑦)}
×∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) /∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀
𝑘
𝑢−
1 + ∑𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−𝜉
𝑑,𝑇𝑘
2(𝑢, 𝑦) /∑
𝑛
𝑘=1𝑀𝑘
𝑢−
× 𝐹𝑢(𝑑𝑦) 𝑑𝑢,
(A.25)
which is (66).
Conflict of Interests
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interestsregarding the publication of this paper.
Acknowledgments
This work is supported by National Natural Science Foun-dation of China (no. 11171215), National Natural Sciencefoundation of Shanghai (no. 13ZR1422000), and Yang CaiProject (no. YC-XK-13106).
-
Abstract and Applied Analysis 17
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