research symposium moving toward a more resilient …...one possible ophon: peak-set base rates...
TRANSCRIPT
© 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. © 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. No part of this presentation may be copied, reproduced, or otherwise utilized without permission.
Research Symposium
Moving Toward a More Resilient Business Model: Alternative rates and other strategies
May 17, 2016
© 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. © 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Moving Toward a More Resilient Business Model: Alternative rates and other strategies
Jeff Hughes, Director Environmental Finance Center at UNC
[email protected] www.efc.sog.unc.edu
© 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. © 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Topics
• Project information • Pricing oriented strategies • Other strategies
ProjectTitle(s)
• WaterResearchFounda7onProject#4366• DefiningaResilientBusinessModelforU7li7es
• AssessingFinancialTrendsandDevelopingStrategiesandPrac7cestoAddressChallenges
• IfitisBroke,MaybeyouShouldFixit…
Team:EnvironmentalFinanceCenteratUNC
JeffHughesPrincipalInves7gator
StaceyIsaacBerahzerOutreachCoordinator
MaryWya5TigerProjectManager
ShadiEskafTechnicalLead
SarahRoysterTechnicalSupport
Team:RaUelisFinancialConsultants
PeifferBrandtCo-PrincipalInves7gator
AlexisWarmathU7lityLiaison
DougBeanProjectAdvisorandLiaison
CatherineNoyesTechnicalSupport
RockyCraleyTechnicalSupport
ProjectAdvisoryCommiWee
• NickDugan,USEnvironmentalProtec7onAgency
• AmberHalloran,formerlyLouisvilleWaterCompany
• ScoWHaskins,CH2MHill• MyronOlstein,IndependentConsultant• JonathanCuppeW,WaterResearchFounda7onProjectManager
WaterResearchFounda0onProject#4366EPCOR
NEOMSDAquaAmerica
Loveland
Denver
Aus7n
WaterResearchFoundaHonProject#4366–UHlityPartners
OneU7lity’sExperience
!
IndustryRevenueRollerCoaster
Thechallengeofdrivingrevenueincreasesthroughrateincreases:
HHrateversusrevenuesincreases(2004to2010)
DataanalysisbytheEnvironmentalFinanceCenterattheUniversityofNorthCarolina.Datasources:2010and2004RFC/AWWAWaterandWastewaterRatesSurveyDatafor82U7li7es
1to1Line
RethinkingRateModels,Projec7ons,andCashflowPlans
• Moreconserva7ve• Ratemodelswithless(orno)dependenceonrevenuesfromhighvolumeorhighblocksales
• “Excess”revenuestransferredtoreservefundsorusedforincreasedpayasyougocashcapitalfunding
CharloWe-MecklenburgU7li7esWaterandSewerRevenuesFixedversusvariable
Datasources:MickeyHicks,CFO,CharloWe-MecklenburgU7li7es
WaterPricing2.0?
• Inspira7on:electricitypeakcharge• Acustomer’sbasechargeforfiscalyearsetbasedontheirthree-year
rollingaveragepeakComparisonofBJWSAcurrentresiden7alratetoa“revenueneutral”PeakSet
Basemodel
CanAnnualRevenuebeMorePredictableWithoutLosingPriceSignal?
OnePossibleOpHon:Peak-setBaseRates
CurrentBJWSAresidenHalratestructure
PeakSetbaseresidenHalratestructure
%fixedannualrevenue 18% 57%
Baserate $6.00/meter–water+$6.00/meter-irriga7on
$1.85/kgalappliedto3-yearrollingaverageofpeakmonthofdemand
Variablerate $3.46/kgalofpreviousmonth’suse
$0.52/kgalofpreviousmonth’suse
$-
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
July(25)
Aug(21.1)
Sept(14.4)
Oct(9.9)
Nov(7.2)
Dec(7.3)
Jan(8.4)
Feb(6.5)
Mar(6.6)
Apr(11.4)
May(18.7)
June(29.9)
WaterCha
rge
FiscalYear2011(kgalconsumed)
CurrentRate($647.744)
AR1($621.548)
Peak-setBase:ExampleofCustomerImpact(BeaufortJasperWaterandSewerAuthoritySimula7on)
ComparisonofmonthlychargesforwaterundercurrentrateandaPeak-setBasemodel
FY10PeakDemand24,100gallons
FeedbackfromExpertPanel
• 8:“Thismodelisintriguing.Ilikethatitrelatestocustomerclassifica7on.Ithinkitshouldtargetthelargestcustomersfirst.Idoworryaboutcustomersunderstandingthemixedsignals.”(Beecher)
• 8:“Thismodelprovidesasteadystreamofrevenuefortheu7lity,whichmakesitveryaWrac7vetome.Ilikethatithelpscustomersmanagetheirpeakdemand.”(ScoW)
• 7:“Ilikethatthebaserateissetbasedonuse,ratherthanneed–butwhathappensifpeoplereallyconserve?”(Walker)
1 2 3 4 5
3%
27%
18%
12%
39%
Onascaleof1-5,howwellwouldthePeaksetBaseModelworkforyouru7lityortheu7li7esyouworkwith?
1. Verywell2. PreWywell3. Maybeso,maybe
not4. Notwell5. Dreadfully
PolltakenbyEFCofapproximately30uFlitystaffofficialsat2012AWWA’sACEinDallas
MaWWilliams,WaterAdvisoryCommiWeeMembertotheCity
ofDavis(CA)WaterDivision
WaterWiseDividendModel
53.25
Skep7cismAmongtheJudges
CustomerSelectRateModel
Monthlywaterallotment
Costforwaterundercurrentratestructure
CustomerSelectPlanCost OverageCharge
2,000gallons $8.93-$13.13 $8.13 $6.83/kgal
6,000gallons $15.23-$30.38 $18.70 $6.83/kgal
10,000gallons $35.43-$54.18 $32.52 $6.83/kgal
24,000gallons $64.75-$146.68 $81.30 $6.83/kgal
unlimited >$154.18 $162.60 NA
• Individualcustomerschooseplansthatbestworkswiththeirconsump7onandpayanoveragefeeifthehouseholdusesmorethantheplan
CustomerSelectRateplanssimulatedforClaytonCountyWaterAuthority(GA)
InterestedinProject• WaterResearchFounda7onWebsite
• ProjectBlogefc.web.unc.edu
© 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. © 2016 Water Research Foundation. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.
Thank You Comments or questions, please contact: Jeff Hughes [email protected] For more information visit: www.efc.sog.unc.edu www.waterrf.org