restructuring analyst presentation 7-14-11

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  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    1/19

    Creating

    Two

    Leading

    EnergyCompanies

    AnalystMeeting

    July14,

    2011

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    2/19

    1

    FORTHEPURPOSESOFTHESAFEHARBOR

    PROVISIONS

    OFTHE

    PRIVATE

    SECURITIES

    LITIGATION

    REFORM

    ACT

    OF

    1995

    CautionaryStatement

    Thefollowingpresentationincludesforwardlookingstatements. Thesestatementsrelatetofutureevents,

    such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our

    operationsor

    operating

    results.

    Actual

    outcomes

    and

    results

    may

    differ

    materially

    from

    what

    is

    expressed

    or

    forecast insuch forwardlookingstatements.Thesestatementsarenotguaranteesof futureperformance

    and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict such as oil and gas

    prices; refiningandmarketingmargins;operationalhazardsanddrilling risks;potential failure toachieve,

    andpotentialdelaysinachievingexpectedreservesorproductionlevelsfromexistingandfutureoilandgas

    developmentprojects;

    unsuccessful

    exploratory

    activities;

    unexpected

    cost

    increases

    or

    technical

    difficulties

    in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and

    exchangecontrols;potentialliabilityforremedialactionsunderexistingorfutureenvironmentalregulations

    orfrompendingorfuturelitigation;limitedaccesstocapitalorsignificantlyhighercostofcapitalrelatedto

    illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and

    internationaleconomic

    and

    political

    conditions,

    as

    well

    as

    changes

    in

    tax,

    environmental

    and

    other

    laws

    applicabletoConocoPhillips

    businessandothereconomic,business,competitiveand/orregulatoryfactors

    affecting ConocoPhillips

    business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips

    filingswith the Securities and

    ExchangeCommission(SEC).

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    3/19

    2

    HistoricalStrategy

    KeyPremises

    Integrationcreatesvalue

    Scaleandscopeneededtocompete

    Growthinhydrocarbondemand

    Resourcecapturewillbemoredifficultandexpensive

    Execution

    Positionedeachbusinesslinetocompeteeffectively

    E&P,R&M,MidstreamandChemicals

    Quality

    assets

    but

    portfolio

    optimization

    needed

    M&Aintegrationandcostsynergiescaptured

    Ledto

    significant

    value

    creation

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    4/19

    3

    CashfromOperations

    $92B

    Capital

    Employed

    ROCEimprovement

    Marginenhancement

    Per

    share

    growth

    Shareholderdistributions

    CurrentFocus

    Increasingshareholder

    value

    2010cashfromoperationsandaveragecapitalemployed. Corporatecapitalemployeddistributedacrosssegments.

    16%

    84%

    OECD

    NonOECD

    66%

    9%

    25%E&P

    R&M

    Other

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    5/19

    4

    CurrentStrategicObjectives

    ImproveROCE

    ExpandmarginsperBOE Maintaincapitaldiscipline

    Portfoliooptimization

    Growpershare

    Reserves

    and

    production Earningsandcashflow

    Increasedistributions Annualdividendincreases Sharerepurchases

    Creatingshareholder

    value

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

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    Key2011/2012Initiatives

    Disciplined$28Bcapitalprogram

    Additional

    $5

    10

    B

    in

    asset

    sales

    $10+Binsharerepurchases

    100%+reservereplacement

    Reducerefiningcapacity

    ImproveROCE

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    7/196

    StrategyAssessment

    IntegratedStrategyhasbeeneffective

    Increasedreservesandproduction

    Generatedcompetitiveshareholderreturns

    Environmenthaschanged

    Downstreamcapabilitynotkeytoresourceaccess

    ResourceNationalismandNOCcompetition

    Movement

    to

    service

    agreements

    ValueofIOCassetsnotreflectedinequityvalue

    Transparencyandpotentialofbusinessesnotasclearaspureplays

    IncreasinglydifficulttocreatedifferentialvaluetolargerIntegrateds

    Emphasisonadditionalvolumesnotalwaysvaluecreating

    Continuallytesting

    and

    assessing

    execution

    of

    strategy

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

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    TransactionSummary

    PursuingtaxfreespinofDownstreambusiness

    NewindependentpureplaypubliclyheldDownstreamcompany

    ConocoPhillipsbecomesleadingpureplayE&Pcompany Expecttransactioncompletioninfirsthalf2012

    Creates

    two

    strong

    independent

    companies

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

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    StrategicRationale

    Create

    two

    profitable

    and

    independent

    companies

    E&PStrategyunchanged

    Downstreamgivenopportunitytoaddvaluethroughportfoliooptimization

    Greatestopportunitytocreatedifferentialvalue

    Independentbutconsistentstrategies

    Bothcompaniescontinuetobenefitfromsizeandscale

    Bothcompaniestohavestrongfinancialflexibility

    Transparencyofpureplayoverintegratedbusinessmodel

    Managementfocus

    Abilitytoattractandretaintalent

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    10/199

    NewConocoPhillipsDescription

    Largest

    U.S.

    pure

    play

    E&P

    company 1.7MMBOED2011production

    8.5BBOEreserves/43BBOEcapturedresource

    Strong

    OECD

    position

    Financialandtechnicalcapabilityonparwithlargerintegratedmajors

    No

    change

    in

    upstream

    strategy ImproveROCE

    Persharegrowthinproductionandreserves

    Completeportfoliostrengthening

    Capitaldiscipline

    CompetitiveF&D

    ImprovemarginsperBOE

    InsertUpstreamPicture

    Assetdispositionandsharerepurchaseplansunchanged

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    11/1910

    Total2010Production

    1.75MMBOED

    ~80%OECD

    E&POverview

    Lower48

    440MBOEDCompetitive

    opportunityset

    2011Exploration&appraisalactivity

    Internationalgrowth

    opportunities

    underpinned

    by

    OECD

    position

    Canada

    270MBOED

    WorldclassSAGD1

    portfolio&new

    resourceplays

    NorthSea

    350MBOEDHighvalueexploitation

    &majorprojects

    Alaska240MBOEDLargestoil&gas

    producer

    Russia/Caspian

    50MBOEDLargeresourcepotential

    1 SteamAssistedGravityDrainage

    MiddleEast

    &

    Africa

    120MBOED

    OilproducingbaseassetswithLNGgrowth

    AsiaPacific

    280MBOEDDiverse&expanding

    legacyposition

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    12/1911

    0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6

    0.4 0.4 0.4

    0.2

    2.8

    1.7

    2.4

    3.53.6

    4.8

    XOM BP RD

    SCVX

    TOT

    COP

    Apache OX

    Y

    Anad

    arko

    Devo

    n

    EOGRe

    sour

    ces

    Maratho

    nHe

    ss

    Murph

    yOil

    ConocoPhillipsProduction

    Q12011

    Worldwide

    Production

    MMBDPeerGroup

    DomesticIntegrated

    DomesticPurePlays

    Source:Companyreports

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    13/1912

    ProductionOutlook

    Productionby

    Product

    MMBOED

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    2010 2015E

    Liquids LNG Int'lgas NAmericagasSources

    of

    Growth

    Excludesimpactoffuturedispositions.

    Strongportfolio

    of

    investments

    leads

    to

    production

    growth

    AsiaPacific

    APLNG,Malaysia,Indonesia

    NorthSea

    Jasmine,Clair,Ekofisk,Eldfisk

    Caspian

    Kashagan

    L48liquids

    EagleFord,Bakken,Barnett,Permian

    CanadaSAGD

    FCCL,Surmont

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    14/1913

    20112015NewProduction

    MBOED

    Improvingmargins

    through

    major

    projects

    and

    exploitation

    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E

    RestofWorld

    OtherL48&

    WCanada

    NorthSea

    SAGD

    L48liquidsgrowth

    AsiaPacific

    Qatargas

    3 Attractive

    $35/BOE

    $31/BOE

    $30/BOE

    $29/BOE

    $14

    $40/BOE

    Various

    Asset/Region 2010

    Cash

    Margins

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    15/1914

    NewDownstreamCompany

    GlobalRefining&Marketingleader

    2.4MMBPDworldwiderefiningcapacity

    Lowcost,integratedMarketingandTransportation

    2MMBPDdomesticcapacity

    Significant

    position

    in

    mid

    continent

    ExposuretoallPADDs

    Stronginvestmentgradecreditwithsignificantfinancialflexibility

    Strategyfocusedonvaluecreation

    ImproveROCEtomidteens

    Sellorjointventurelesscompetitiveassets

    Disciplined

    reinvestment

    of

    free

    cash

    flow

    Competitiveshareholderdistributions

    Earningsandcashflowgrowthpotential

    Operatingexcellence

    LTAssets

    InsertDownstreamPicture

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    16/1915

    0.80.7

    0.50.4

    0.2 0.2

    1.5

    0.9

    1.1

    1.92.0

    2.2

    Valero COP XOM BP Marathon CVX RDS Tesoro Sunoco HOC/FTO TOT Murphy

    Q1

    2011

    U.S.

    Refining

    Capacity

    MMBDU.S.Refining

    Leadingdomesticrefiningcompanywithportfoliooftopquartile

    assets

    PeerGroup

    DomesticIntegrated

    DomesticPure

    Plays

    Source:Companyreports

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    17/1916

    DownstreamROCEImprovement

    Selectiveassetsales

    FinalizationofWoodRiverCOREproject

    Capitaldiscipline

    Implementingselectivehighreturnprojects

    Optimizationinitiatives

    Increaseutilizationandcleanproductyield

    Lowercoststructure

    Capturefeedstockadvantage

    Generatemid

    teens

    returns

    and

    free

    cash

    flow

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    18/1917

    KeyMilestones

    DetailedseparationplanningfollowedbyIRStaxrulingrequest

    Announcementofnewboardandleadershipteams

    FavorableIRSruling

    FinalCOPBoardapproval

    Expectedclosingfirsthalfof2012

  • 7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11

    19/1918

    DeliveringShareholderValue

    100%+reservesreplacement

    Production

    per

    share

    growth

    Improvedreturns

    EPS/CFPSgrowth

    Increaseddistributions

    Continuedassetsales

    StrongOECDbasedcashflow

    Enhancedqueueofgrowthprojects

    Disciplinedcapital

    investment

    Strengthenedportfolio

    Restructuringconsistent

    with

    commitment

    to

    shareholder

    returns