restructuring analyst presentation 7-14-11
TRANSCRIPT
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7/31/2019 Restructuring Analyst Presentation 7-14-11
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Creating
Two
Leading
EnergyCompanies
AnalystMeeting
July14,
2011
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1
FORTHEPURPOSESOFTHESAFEHARBOR
PROVISIONS
OFTHE
PRIVATE
SECURITIES
LITIGATION
REFORM
ACT
OF
1995
CautionaryStatement
Thefollowingpresentationincludesforwardlookingstatements. Thesestatementsrelatetofutureevents,
such as anticipated revenues, earnings, business strategies, competitive position or other aspects of our
operationsor
operating
results.
Actual
outcomes
and
results
may
differ
materially
from
what
is
expressed
or
forecast insuch forwardlookingstatements.Thesestatementsarenotguaranteesof futureperformance
and involve certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict such as oil and gas
prices; refiningandmarketingmargins;operationalhazardsanddrilling risks;potential failure toachieve,
andpotentialdelaysinachievingexpectedreservesorproductionlevelsfromexistingandfutureoilandgas
developmentprojects;
unsuccessful
exploratory
activities;
unexpected
cost
increases
or
technical
difficulties
in constructing, maintaining or modifying company facilities; international monetary conditions and
exchangecontrols;potentialliabilityforremedialactionsunderexistingorfutureenvironmentalregulations
orfrompendingorfuturelitigation;limitedaccesstocapitalorsignificantlyhighercostofcapitalrelatedto
illiquidity or uncertainty in the domestic or international financial markets; general domestic and
internationaleconomic
and
political
conditions,
as
well
as
changes
in
tax,
environmental
and
other
laws
applicabletoConocoPhillips
businessandothereconomic,business,competitiveand/orregulatoryfactors
affecting ConocoPhillips
business generally as set forth in ConocoPhillips
filingswith the Securities and
ExchangeCommission(SEC).
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HistoricalStrategy
KeyPremises
Integrationcreatesvalue
Scaleandscopeneededtocompete
Growthinhydrocarbondemand
Resourcecapturewillbemoredifficultandexpensive
Execution
Positionedeachbusinesslinetocompeteeffectively
E&P,R&M,MidstreamandChemicals
Quality
assets
but
portfolio
optimization
needed
M&Aintegrationandcostsynergiescaptured
Ledto
significant
value
creation
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3
CashfromOperations
$92B
Capital
Employed
ROCEimprovement
Marginenhancement
Per
share
growth
Shareholderdistributions
CurrentFocus
Increasingshareholder
value
2010cashfromoperationsandaveragecapitalemployed. Corporatecapitalemployeddistributedacrosssegments.
16%
84%
OECD
NonOECD
66%
9%
25%E&P
R&M
Other
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CurrentStrategicObjectives
ImproveROCE
ExpandmarginsperBOE Maintaincapitaldiscipline
Portfoliooptimization
Growpershare
Reserves
and
production Earningsandcashflow
Increasedistributions Annualdividendincreases Sharerepurchases
Creatingshareholder
value
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Key2011/2012Initiatives
Disciplined$28Bcapitalprogram
Additional
$5
10
B
in
asset
sales
$10+Binsharerepurchases
100%+reservereplacement
Reducerefiningcapacity
ImproveROCE
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StrategyAssessment
IntegratedStrategyhasbeeneffective
Increasedreservesandproduction
Generatedcompetitiveshareholderreturns
Environmenthaschanged
Downstreamcapabilitynotkeytoresourceaccess
ResourceNationalismandNOCcompetition
Movement
to
service
agreements
ValueofIOCassetsnotreflectedinequityvalue
Transparencyandpotentialofbusinessesnotasclearaspureplays
IncreasinglydifficulttocreatedifferentialvaluetolargerIntegrateds
Emphasisonadditionalvolumesnotalwaysvaluecreating
Continuallytesting
and
assessing
execution
of
strategy
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TransactionSummary
PursuingtaxfreespinofDownstreambusiness
NewindependentpureplaypubliclyheldDownstreamcompany
ConocoPhillipsbecomesleadingpureplayE&Pcompany Expecttransactioncompletioninfirsthalf2012
Creates
two
strong
independent
companies
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StrategicRationale
Create
two
profitable
and
independent
companies
E&PStrategyunchanged
Downstreamgivenopportunitytoaddvaluethroughportfoliooptimization
Greatestopportunitytocreatedifferentialvalue
Independentbutconsistentstrategies
Bothcompaniescontinuetobenefitfromsizeandscale
Bothcompaniestohavestrongfinancialflexibility
Transparencyofpureplayoverintegratedbusinessmodel
Managementfocus
Abilitytoattractandretaintalent
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NewConocoPhillipsDescription
Largest
U.S.
pure
play
E&P
company 1.7MMBOED2011production
8.5BBOEreserves/43BBOEcapturedresource
Strong
OECD
position
Financialandtechnicalcapabilityonparwithlargerintegratedmajors
No
change
in
upstream
strategy ImproveROCE
Persharegrowthinproductionandreserves
Completeportfoliostrengthening
Capitaldiscipline
CompetitiveF&D
ImprovemarginsperBOE
InsertUpstreamPicture
Assetdispositionandsharerepurchaseplansunchanged
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Total2010Production
1.75MMBOED
~80%OECD
E&POverview
Lower48
440MBOEDCompetitive
opportunityset
2011Exploration&appraisalactivity
Internationalgrowth
opportunities
underpinned
by
OECD
position
Canada
270MBOED
WorldclassSAGD1
portfolio&new
resourceplays
NorthSea
350MBOEDHighvalueexploitation
&majorprojects
Alaska240MBOEDLargestoil&gas
producer
Russia/Caspian
50MBOEDLargeresourcepotential
1 SteamAssistedGravityDrainage
MiddleEast
&
Africa
120MBOED
OilproducingbaseassetswithLNGgrowth
AsiaPacific
280MBOEDDiverse&expanding
legacyposition
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0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
0.4 0.4 0.4
0.2
2.8
1.7
2.4
3.53.6
4.8
XOM BP RD
SCVX
TOT
COP
Apache OX
Y
Anad
arko
Devo
n
EOGRe
sour
ces
Maratho
nHe
ss
Murph
yOil
ConocoPhillipsProduction
Q12011
Worldwide
Production
MMBDPeerGroup
DomesticIntegrated
DomesticPurePlays
Source:Companyreports
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ProductionOutlook
Productionby
Product
MMBOED
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
2010 2015E
Liquids LNG Int'lgas NAmericagasSources
of
Growth
Excludesimpactoffuturedispositions.
Strongportfolio
of
investments
leads
to
production
growth
AsiaPacific
APLNG,Malaysia,Indonesia
NorthSea
Jasmine,Clair,Ekofisk,Eldfisk
Caspian
Kashagan
L48liquids
EagleFord,Bakken,Barnett,Permian
CanadaSAGD
FCCL,Surmont
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20112015NewProduction
MBOED
Improvingmargins
through
major
projects
and
exploitation
0
200
400
600
800
2010 2011E 2012E 2013E 2014E 2015E
RestofWorld
OtherL48&
WCanada
NorthSea
SAGD
L48liquidsgrowth
AsiaPacific
Qatargas
3 Attractive
$35/BOE
$31/BOE
$30/BOE
$29/BOE
$14
$40/BOE
Various
Asset/Region 2010
Cash
Margins
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NewDownstreamCompany
GlobalRefining&Marketingleader
2.4MMBPDworldwiderefiningcapacity
Lowcost,integratedMarketingandTransportation
2MMBPDdomesticcapacity
Significant
position
in
mid
continent
ExposuretoallPADDs
Stronginvestmentgradecreditwithsignificantfinancialflexibility
Strategyfocusedonvaluecreation
ImproveROCEtomidteens
Sellorjointventurelesscompetitiveassets
Disciplined
reinvestment
of
free
cash
flow
Competitiveshareholderdistributions
Earningsandcashflowgrowthpotential
Operatingexcellence
LTAssets
InsertDownstreamPicture
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0.80.7
0.50.4
0.2 0.2
1.5
0.9
1.1
1.92.0
2.2
Valero COP XOM BP Marathon CVX RDS Tesoro Sunoco HOC/FTO TOT Murphy
Q1
2011
U.S.
Refining
Capacity
MMBDU.S.Refining
Leadingdomesticrefiningcompanywithportfoliooftopquartile
assets
PeerGroup
DomesticIntegrated
DomesticPure
Plays
Source:Companyreports
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DownstreamROCEImprovement
Selectiveassetsales
FinalizationofWoodRiverCOREproject
Capitaldiscipline
Implementingselectivehighreturnprojects
Optimizationinitiatives
Increaseutilizationandcleanproductyield
Lowercoststructure
Capturefeedstockadvantage
Generatemid
teens
returns
and
free
cash
flow
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KeyMilestones
DetailedseparationplanningfollowedbyIRStaxrulingrequest
Announcementofnewboardandleadershipteams
FavorableIRSruling
FinalCOPBoardapproval
Expectedclosingfirsthalfof2012
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DeliveringShareholderValue
100%+reservesreplacement
Production
per
share
growth
Improvedreturns
EPS/CFPSgrowth
Increaseddistributions
Continuedassetsales
StrongOECDbasedcashflow
Enhancedqueueofgrowthprojects
Disciplinedcapital
investment
Strengthenedportfolio
Restructuringconsistent
with
commitment
to
shareholder
returns