risks on others - 神戸大学経済経営研究所...is equal to the certain recipient’s....
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Risks on Others∗
Takaaki Hamada† Tomohiro Hara‡
August 20, 2020
Abstract
We investigate other regarding preferences when others are involved in some risks. We introduce
two concepts to examine risk attitudes towards others: “absolute level of risk attitudes toward others”
(ARAO) which capture general risk attitudes toward recipients’ risky payoffs, and “relative level of
risk attitudes toward others” (RRAO) which capture behavioral difference depending on types of risks
conditional on same expected outcomes. For RRAO, we compare two different types of risks: “state risk”
where recipients’ initial endowments are risky and “non-state risk” where recipients’ states are not risky
but transfers are risky. We provide a novel experimental design to measure both ARAO and RRAO,
and theoretically explore potential mechanisms behind behaviors based on these concepts by extending
representative inequality aversion models under risks. In our experiment, we find decision makers exhibit
robust risk averse behaviors on ARAO, which cannot be predicted by existing theories. Yet, we find no
strong evidence on RRAO.
Keywords: Other-regarding preferences, charity, risk preferences, cognitive bias
∗This project is funded by JSPS Grand-in-Aid for JSPS Research Fellows (17J07819). We thank Emel Filiz-Ozbay, ErkutOzbay, Akihiko Matsui for helpful suggestions. All errors are our own.
†Research Institute for Economics and Business Administration, Kobe University, 2-1 Rokkodai, Nada, Kobe 657-8501,Japan/Faculty of Management and Administration, Shumei university, 1-1 Daigakucho, Yachiyo-shi, Chiba 276-0003, Japan.Email: [email protected]
‡Department of Economics, University of Maryland at College Park. email: [email protected].
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1 Introduction
Suppose you are asked to donate some cash to poor people from an unknown charitable organization. Even if
you are nice person and willing to contribute to poor people, you may become skeptical about that unknown
organization, thinking “does this organization actually give my donation to poor people?” People are likely
to be unwilling to give to unfavorable group, and these phenomena are well-documented in economic and
psychological literature. To name a few recent works, Gneezy, Keenan and Gneezy (2014) document that
people are less likely to donate when they find their donation is used for administration rather than directly
helping the poor, and Karlan and Wood (2016) find people would like to give more charity if they know the
charity organization is more effective. These findings imply people care about receivers’ quality when they
donate. In the real world, however, people cannot observe full information on others’ quality. Instead, we
are frequently uncertain on whether others are worth giving or not. Research in other-regarding preferences
does not provide clear views on how people incorporate these sorts of uncertainty.
In this paper, we interpret such a situation as “risks on others” (hereafter ROO), and attempt to uncover
how people evaluate these types of risks. Not only charities, ROO appears wide range of decisions. A
college professor may not supervise a student well when he is skeptical on the student’s performance. People
may provide less efforts for volunteering activities when they have suspicions that they are working for
those who are not suffering. In addition, we regard wide range of racial/ethnic/gender discrimination as
ROO. For instance, when an employer cannot observe full information on an employees productivity, they
infer statistical properties of the productivity from their group identities (e.g gender and ethnicity) and treat
employees differently by groups. This is a classical story of statistical discrimination which is well-documented
in labor economics (see surveys such as Neumark (2018)). Here, we can regard unobservable productivity
that is attached to others’ group affiliations as ROO. It is also well-known that statistical discrimination
and taste-based discrimination are closely related (e.g. Bertrand and Mullainathan (2004)), and taste-based
discrimination can be seen as one pertern of other-regarding preferences. However, previous literature could
not theoretically analyize interaction between taste and statistical discrimination. Understanding ROO can
highlight potential mechanism bridging those concepts.
Though there are enormous numbers of studies conducted to investigate behavior on charitable giving,
only a few recent papers investigate the relationship between charitable giving and risk attitudes (e.g. Brock,
Lange and Ozbay (2013), Saito (2013) and Lopez-Vargas (2014)). Moreover, those papers analyze situations
where transfers are risky, and very little attention has been given to the risk and uncertainty on those
receiving transfers. The main theme of this paper is to provide a novel experimental setting to answer
following questions. How does a decision maker react to ROO in a situation where she wants to transfer
some amount to a risky recipient? How do we theoretically conceptualize ROO, and how do we measure it?
To answer above questions, we firstly define and characterize risk preferences toward others. By doing
so, we are able to to evaluate decision makers’ attitudes (i.e. risk averse for others, risk loving for other, and
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risk neutral for others).
Second, we design a new experiment to identify risk attitude. It is a modified version of a standard
dictator game summarized in Figure 1. Here, we consider a dictator game with three players, a dictator
(denoted D in the figure), a certain recipient (denoted C), and a risky recipient (denoted R). We have two
treatment arms, but let’s just consider the first treatment (“A: State risk treatment”) at this stage. The
lottery p is a safe lottery, where a dictator is going to give $5 to a certain recipient who has ec as an initial
endowment. In the lottery q, the risky recipient has no endowment with probability 0.9, but has $5 with
probability 0.1.
D𝑒" = 10
𝑥 C𝑒' = 0.5 VS D
𝑒" = 10
R 90%𝑒*+ = 0
R 10%𝑒*, = 5
Lottery : p
D𝑒" = 10
C𝑒' =0.5 VS D
𝑒" = 10
Third party
R𝑒* = 0
Gives 5 in 10%
A: State risk treatment
Lottery : p
Lottery : q
Lottery : r
B: Non-state risk treatment
𝑥
𝑥
𝑥
Figure 1: Simplified design of experiment
Fixing the parameters on lottery q, we ask dictators to find an endowment ec under which lottery p and q
are indifferent. We apply the Holt and Laury (2002) type of price list to elicit the point which is indifferent on
giving to the certain recipient (C) and giving to the risky recipient (R). Our list starts with ec = 0 and ends
at ec = 5 with some increments in the example of Figure 1. As we discuss carefully on theoretical background
later, we expect to observe that people generally prefer to give to a certain recipient in the beginnings of the
list and then switch to give to a risky recipient at some point. We refer this point as “switching point” in
the entire paper. This list elicitation enables us to understand RRO.
Theoretically analyzing the feature of our experiment, we predict that dictators behave as if they are risk
lovers in five out eight decisions under standard axiomatized models on inequality aversion (Fehr and Schmidt
(1999) and Saito (2013)). That is, switching points from “giving to a certain recipient” to “giving to a risky
recipient” are predicted to be lower than the point where the risky recipient’s expected initial allocation
is equal to the certain recipient’s. However, in the actual experiment that we conducted at the computer
laboratory at the University of Maryland at College Park in 2018, we find strong risk aversion toward others.
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Results suggest that well-used Fehr and Schmidt (1999) and its applications cannot capture people’s decisions
on other’s allocation when recipients surface risks. Surprisingly, there is no theoretical nor experimental paper
evaluate ROO in general: as far as we know, all the previous models rely on linear specification in Fehr and
Schmidt (1999), but our results cannot be explained without allowing some curvatures on the utility function.
Bellemare, Kroger and Van Soest (2008) is an exception using ultimatum game to estimate inequality aversion
with more general form of utility function allowing curvature. Yet, they analyze subjective expectation under
ultimatum game, and do not explicitly examine and conceptualize risks on others.
In addition to the above main experiment, we also attempt to measure what we call “relative level of risk
attitude toward others” (RRAO). Given same level of risks, decision makers may behave differently toward
different types of risks. We are going to explicitly distinguish risks attached to others’ states from risks which
attached to transfers but not others’ states1.
To investigate RRAO, we use the second treatment arm in Figure 1. Dictators are asked to compare the
lottery p to the lottery q in the “state-risk treatment”, and the lottery p to the lottery r in the “non-srtate risk
treatment”. Those two treatments are randomly assigned between subjects. In the lottery q (i.e. state-risk
treatment), the risky recipient has no endowment with probability 0.9, but has $5 with probability 0.1. In
the lottery r (i.e. non-state risk treatment), the risky recipient has no initial endowment for sure, but has
a chance to receive $5 with probability 0.1 from a third party (the experimenter). Therefore, for those two
treatment arms, decision makers confront exactly same level of ROO, but may behave differently due to the
diffence of others’ states.
Theoretically speaking, we expect to observe that dictators behave in same manner for two treatments
under existing theories. This is because all the existing models only consider final outcomes, but not initial
states. In the theory section, we provide two potential mechanisms where people behave differently in those
two treatments: preferences for others’ initial endowment, and subjective probabilities on others’ states.
Yet, as a result from our experiment, we could not find differences between two treatment. That is, at
least for our experiment, we cannot find any evidence that people care other’s risky initial endowment to
change their behavior. However, this cannot be the conclusion that ROO does not matter for people’s decision
making in general. There are a lot of existing studies showing people care whether others belong to unfa-
vorabale group or not: one potential interpretation is that interacting with risks might reduce attention to
unfavorable group. Identifying how and when people care RRAO may be interesting topic for future research.
The rest of the paper proceeds as follows. Section 2 explains the detail design of the experiment. In
Section 3, we presents the theoretical model to analyze our experimental environment, as well as differences
with other existing literature. Section 4 provides the results from our experiment as well as interpretation of
the results, and Section 5 provides the concluding remarks.
1ROO can take various forms, and we just compare two examples. One can think of different types of ROO and evaluateRRAO separetely.
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2 Expermental design
The experiment has 2 treatments. For each treatment, subject complete 8 tasks to elicit their preferences.
After completing the main task, subjects solve another task for another study (that is not reported in this
paper), and then answer simple demographic questions.
The main tasks are the modified version of a dictator game played by three subjects, one dictator and
two recipients. Summarized design of the game is reported in the introduction (Figure 1). A dictator always
endows $10. One of the recipients is always involved in uncertainty (call her a risky recipient), while the
other is never involved in uncertainty (call her a certain recipient). We randomly assigned one out of those
three roles in the beginnings of the game without telling to the subjects, and subjects play all the games as
if they are the dictator. In the end of the experiment, subjects are notified of their roles.
In each task, subjects make decisions on 11 binary choices allocating a portion of his endowment to either
the certain or the risky recipient. The screen shot of the actual experiment (for the state-risk treatment,
which is explained soon) is shown in Figure 2. We use the list elicitation method which is similar to Holt
and Laury (2002) or Exley (2016): fixing the amount of transfers and settings of the risky recipient, we
increase the initial endowment of the certain recipient (ec) as we go down the list. In the first half of the
decision page, we provide the experimental environment. We instructed that numbers highlighted by pink
changes over tasks. Fixing the amount the dictator gives to recipients ($4 in the example), we ask dictators
to which recipients they prefer to give that amount. In the example in Figure 2, the list starts from dictator
decides to give to either the certain recipient (person B) with no endowment or the risky recipient (person
C)2 who has 6 with 10% chance and has 0 with 90% chance. In the other words, dictators confront a trade-off
between giving to risky and certain recipients, which enable us to identify dictators’ absolute risk attitudes
toward others (ARAO). As the dictator keeps making decisions and going down the list, the endowment of
the certain recipient increases. We show in the Appendix A.2 that under the standard inequality aversion
theories, dictators prefer to give to the certain recipient in the beginnings of the list, and then switch to the
risky recipient at some point. We also theoretically show that there exists at most one switching point from
certain to risky recipient. This property, as well as the results from online pilot experiment ensure the note
in the middle in Figure 2 saying “Many people prefer to give to Person B in the beginnings of the list and
then switch to give to Person C at some point. Therefore, one way to complete this list is to explore the best
row to switch one option to another”.
To understand the relative risk attitudes toward others (RRAO: if risks depend on other’s states or not),
we use a framing. There are two treatment arms in this experiment: “state-risk treatment” and “non-state
risk treatment”. Making all the other conditions equal, the state-risk treatment imposes a risky recipient to
endow $erH with probability 1 − p and $0 with probability p. In contrast, in the non-state risk treatment,
a risky recipient has no initial endowment for sure, but has a chance to receive $erH from a third party
2Note that when we explain our experimental settings in Figure 1, we denote a dictator as person D, a certain recipient asperson C, and risky recipient as person R.
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Figure 2: The screen shot of the actual experiment
(the experimenter). A certain recipient has different initial endowment ec for sure. As Eckel, Grossman
and Johnston (2005), people prefer to give poor people (i.e. low endowment) than rich people (with high
endowment). For the state-risk treatment, dictators may think that they strongly want to avoid giving to
rich recipient, while for the non-state risk treatment, dictators may think that they do not have to strongly
avoid those who are poor but receieve some transfer from outside by luck.
Table 1 summarizes the initial endowments and payoffs in both treatments, and Table 2 reports the list
of parameters in our experiment. We vary (i) the amount of fixed transfer, (ii) endowment of risky-rich, and
(iii) probability of being rich.
As you may notice, both ex-ante and ex-post earnings are same in those treatments. However, if there
exists some preferences for other’s state (in this case, initial endowment), the amount a dictator wants to
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Table 1: Summary of risky task
Dictator (D) Certain Recipient (C) Risky Recipient(R)Panel A: State-risk treatmentEndowment 10 ec 0 with prob. p
erH with prob. 1− p
Transfer from third party 0 0 0
Final allocation when 10−X ec +X 0 with prob. pD gives X to C. erH with prob. 1− p
Final allocation when 10−X ec X with prob. pD gives X to R. X + erH with prob. 1− p
Panel B: Non-state risk treatmentEndowment 10 ec 0
Transfer from third party 0 0 0 with prob. perH with prob. 1− p
Final allocation when 10−X ec +X 0 with prob. pD gives X to C. erH with prob. 1− p
Final allocation when 10−X ec X with prob. pD gives X to R. X + erH with prob. 1− p
Table 2: Summary of parameters in the experiment
Pair Transfer (x) Endowment of risky-rich (erH) probability of risky-poor (p)Pair 1 5 6 0.9Pair 2 5 6 0.8Pair 3 5 12 0.9Pair 4 3 6 0.9Pair 5 3 6 0.8Pair 6 3 12 0.9Pair 7 5 6 0.95Pair 8 5 12 0.95
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give to a risky recipient may change between those treatments. While we do not explicitly mention the
context, the treatment mimic the example in the introduction: let’s consider you are going to give to donate
to unknown charitable organization. In the state-risk treatment, you think that the organization is actually
rich and do not have to gather money with (say) 10% chance, and that makes you feel that you probably do
not want to donate to that organization. In the non-state risk treatment, on the other hand, you know the
organization is poor, but have 10% chance to receive good amount of money by winning lottery. In terms
of both final outcomes in each realization of event and expected earnings are same in those two situations,
people may behave differently.
To understand how people evaluate ROO, one can think of simpler designs. Alternative designs are
summarized in Figure 3. First, consider the simplest dictator game with risks in Figure 3-(1), where a
dictator decide to give some of his endowment to risky recipient. We may be able to directly compare how
much dictators give in each treatment. While this design seems to be reasonable, it involves motivation of
an excuse not to give to others which may interact with risks. As Exley (2016) shows in her experiment,
people use others’ risks for excuses with self-serving motivation. It is unclear in this design to determine how
excuse interact with state-risk and non-state risk, and becomes obstacle to identify risk preferences in each
treatment. In contrast, our experiment fixes amounts that dictator can give for each round, so that we can
exclude that the excuse to become the driving factor3.
Second, we can consider another experiment with a simpler lottery in Figure 3-(2) based on outcomes.
That is, we may ask a dictator to decide lottery p′ with allocation (me, other) = (6, 4.5) for sure versus a
lottery q′ with probabilistic allocations, (me, other) = (6, 4) with 90% chance and (me, other) = (6, 9) with
10% chance. While this choice seems to be much simpler to analyze because there are only two agents,
interpreting the decision makers choice does not make sense when we want to investigate the importance
of ROO: when other’s state is risky, choosing between above two lotteries means the decision maker is also
choosing other’s state itself. This can be interesting topic for future research, while it is out of scope for our
research question. Our experimental design and theoretical model, on the other hand, explicitly prepare a
safe agent and risky agent, and asks a decision maker to decide who to give. That is, DM does not have to
decide other’s state because of the presence of both safe and risky agents. We explicitly model trade off such
that giving to one recipient means not giving to the other recipient, and how that helps to identify the risk
preferences.
3For selfish dictators, fixing the amount that they can give to recipients implies dictators are indifferent for any choices inour experiment. Our results suggest this is not the case, because dictators change the switching points by risky recipients’ risks.
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D𝑒" = 10
R 90%𝑒&' = 0
R 10%𝑒&( = 5
(1) Simple dictator game with state-risk
Lottery : p Lottery : q’
(2) Choice by outcome-base
𝑥+,-./&
(Me, Other)=(6, 4.5) 90%: (Me, Other)=(6, 4)10%: (Me, Other)=(6, 9) VS
Figure 3: Potential alternative designs
3 Hypothesis
3.1 Set up
In this section, we theoretically examine our experimental environment, discuss how we evaluate ARAO
and RRAO, and explore potential mechanisms driving the results. Let a = (aD, aC , aR) be final allocations
of three subjects including each initial endowment, where subject D is the dictator, and C and R are the
certain and risky recipients. Let e = (eD, eC , eR) be the vector of initial endowments of three subjects. For
example when a dictator allocates X to recipient C, the final allocation a = (eD −X, eC +X, eR). Dictator
has preference over lotteries for (a, e), generally denoting a lottery as F (a, e). In our experiment we ask
participants to choose one of followings in each treatment:
State risk :
FSC (ec) ≡ {p : ((eD −X, ec +X, 0)︸ ︷︷ ︸
final allocation
, (eD, ec, 0)︸ ︷︷ ︸initial
), 1− p : ((eD −X, ec +X, erH)︸ ︷︷ ︸final allocation
, (eD, ec, erH)︸ ︷︷ ︸initial
)}
FSR(ec) ≡ {p : ((eD −X, ec, X), (eD, ec, 0)), 1− p : ((eD −X, ec, erH +X), (eD, ec, erH))}
(1)
Non− state risk :
FNC (ec) ≡ {p : ((eD −X, ec +X, 0), (eD, ec, 0)), 1− p : ((eD −X, ec +X, erH), (eD, ec, 0))}
FNR (ec) ≡ {p : ((eD −X, ec, X), (eD, ec, 0)), 1− p : ((eD −X, ec, erH +X), (eD, ec, 0))}
(2)
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For each T ∈ {S,N}, where S means state risk treatment and N non-state risk treatment, FTC (ec) and
FTR (ec) are lotteries conditional on giving recipient C and R respectively when the initial endowment of
recipient C is ec. A dictator is said to have a standard social preference if and only if there exists a unique
cutoff eTc ∈ (0, erH) such that FTR (eTc ) ∼ FT
C (eTc ), FTC (ec) � FT
R (ec) for any ec ∈ [0, eTc ), and FTR (ec) � FT
C (ec)
for any ec ∈ (eTc , erH ]. This means dictator’s preference reverses from FTC (ec) � FT
R (ec) to FTR (ec) � FT
C (ec)
as ec increases from 0 to erH with just one switching point eTc ∈ (0, erH). As we see in the experimental
design this may be intuitive, and also supported by representative social preference models. We prove
dictators following Saito (2013) have a standard social preference in Appendix A.2.
Now we formalize two concepts on ROO in our experimental environment: absolute level of risk attitude
toward others (ARAO) and relative level of risk attitude toward others (RRAO). First, let us consider the
ARAO in each treatment. Consider two lotteries FTC (er) and FT
R (er) in each T , where er is an expected
earning of a risky recipient without transfer from a dictator (i.e. er = p0 + (1 − p)erH). Then in both
treatments a recipient C has er for sure, and a recipient R is expected to have er, so that their (expected)
earnings before transfer are same between two lotteries. Fixing a decision problem between FTC (er) versus
FTR (er), a dictator is said to be (i) risk averse, (ii) risk neutral, (iii) risk loving if and only if (i)FT
C (er) �
FTR (er), (ii)F
TC (er) ∼ FT
R (er), (iii)FTR (er) � FT
C (er). Then under the assumption of the standard social
preference, eTc > er is equivalent to FTC (er) � FT
R (er), and eTc < er is equivalent to FTR (er) � FT
C (er).
Prediction 1 Suppose dictators have a standard social preferences. Dictators are (i)risk averse, (ii)risk
neutral, (iii)risk loving, if and only if (i) eTc > er, (ii) eTc = er, (iii) e
Tc < er for each T ∈ {S,N}.
Second we consider the RRAO by comparing two treatments, which only differ by a state of a risky recip-
ient (i.e. if they have initial endowment in small probability or not). A dictator is said to have independent
preference of recipient’s initial endowment if and only if F (a, e) ∼ F (a, e′) for any a, e and e′ (e 6= e′). In
the definition note that final allocations are same between two lotteries, and the only difference is the initial
endowment. Dictators who have this type of preference make the same choice between our two treatments.
As a consequence, we obtain following for RRAO.
Prediction 2 Suppose dictators have a standard social preferences. If dictators have independent preference
of recipient’s initial endowment, then eSc = eNc . Equivalently if eSc 6= eNc , then there exist some dictators who
do not have independent preference of recipient’s initial endowment.
When we observe eSc > (<) eNc , we can intuitively say dictators are more risk averse (loving) in state risk
treatment than in non-state risk treatment because dictators are more (less) likely to prefer giving to a certain
recipient in state risk treatment. Outcome-based social preference models (Fudenberg and Levine (2011),
Saito (2013), Lopez-Vargas (2014)) can not predict eSc 6= eNc . The potential mechanisms behind that will be
discussed in section 3.3.
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3.2 Relation to previous literature
There are some theoretical and experimental studies on the intersection of social preferences and risk. Ex-
perimental evidence by Brock et al. (2013) shows that when we take into account the risk and uncertainty
toward other people, we consider both ex-ante and ex-post fairness. This implies it might not be sufficient
just to consider the expected utilities on formally proposed other-regarding preferences, such as Fehr and
Schmidt (1999), Bolton and Ockenfels (2000), and Charness and Rabin (2002). This problem has been the-
oretically studied in Fudenberg and Levine (2011), axiomatized by Saito (2013), and generalized to more
flexible functional form by Lopez-Vargas (2014), Rau and Muller (2017).
While many useful models on the social preference and risk have been developed recently, they may not
make effective predictions for our experiment. First, for the prediction 1, the most representative model
Saito (2013) predicts dictators are risk loving in 5 out of 8 treatments, which is not intuitive and we shall see
later is not observed in our experiment. So far less attention has been given to the risk attitude on “other’s
earnings” in existing studies while some studies focus on the relation between DM’s risk attitude for “own”
payoff and attitude for inequality (Lopez-Vargas (2014), Rau and Muller (2017)). We need to extend existing
models to describe people’s risk attitudes for other’s earnings, and in Section 3.3.1, we theoretically challenge
to capture them.
Second, for the prediction 2, existing models predict eSc = eNc since they all are outcome-based theory.4
On the other hand, we expect eSc 6= eNc to be observed through other’s initial endowment effect. Many
experiments of non-risky decision environments show people have a preference for other’s initial endowment,
states or types; for people prefer to give to known charitable organizations over anonymous others (Eckel
and Grossman (1996)), knowing others’ social status than not knowing (Charness and Gneezy (2008)), poor
than rich (Eckel et al. (2005)), and even artificially created “minimal group” members in lab than non-
members(Chen and Li (2009)). From these papers it’s naturally inferred that ROO has some peculiar effects
on people’s behavior. To our best knowledge, Fong and Oberholzer-Gee (2011) is the only exception that
incorporate risks for unfavorable agents. Recipients of their dictator game was a disabled group (preferred
to give) and a drug users group (not preferred to give). They asked dictators how much they want to give
with and without uncertainty. When confronting an uncertain situation, they provide an option to get rid
of uncertainty, and they find a significant amount of dictators paid for that option. However, Fong and
Oberholzer-Gee (2011) did not explicitly state the degree of uncertainty (i.e. dictators did not know the
proportion of favorable group is in the uncertain treatment). Consequently, they also could not identify if
the composition of the unfavorable group matters or risk itself matters when people were willing to pay to
avoid risks. Our experimental design can clearly identity the effect of other’s states, and we also explore the
potential mechanisms behind the behavioral difference toward each risk from the view points of preference
and bias for other’s initial endowment in section 3.3.2.
4Note that in our experiments final outcomes are exactly same in both treatments.
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3.3 Model Analysis: Potential Mechanisms
Using a theoretical model, we analyze our experimental environment and explore the potential mechanisms
behind the behavior. Let u(a, e) be the utility of a dictator for final allocations and initial endowments (a, e),
and assume the following additive separable form:5
u(a, e) = v(aD) +∑
j∈{C,R}
gj(aD − aj), (3)
where v : R+ → R+, gj : R → R−. We assume gj(0) = 0, g′j(x) < 0 if x > 0 and g′j(x) > 0 if x < 0, which
are basic properties of inequality aversion. One of the most representative form of u is the following function
suggested by Fehr and Schmidt (1999):
uFS(a, e) = aD +∑
j∈{C,R}
[− αj max[aD − aj , 0]− βj max[aj − aD, 0]
], (4)
where αj ≥ 0, βj ≥ αj and βj ≤ 1 for each j. Following Fudenberg and Levine (2011), Brock et al. (2013)
and Saito (2013), assume the utility for lotteries depend on both ex-ante and ex-post fairness concerns. We
assume that there exists a function U(y, z) with ∂U(y,z)∂y > 0, ∂U(y,z)
∂z > 0, and decision maker’s utility for
lottery F is described as follows:
U(F ) = U(u (EF [a, e]) ,EF [u(a, e)]), (5)
where EF is an expectation operator by F (a, e). One special case of (5) is Saito (2013)’s axiomatized form:
USaito(F ) = δuFS(EF [a, e]) + (1− δ)EF [uFS(a, e)], (6)
where δ ∈ (0, 1), which captures a relative weighting for ex-ante fairness.
3.3.1 Discussion for prediction 1: ARAO
In this section we apply the general model (3) and (5). And assume that gC = gR, which may be reasonable
since dictators are matched with anonymous recipients.6 First we show the following property.
Lemma 1 Consider lotteries FTC (er) and FT
R (er) in each treatment T . Suppose a dictator follows the form
(3) and (5), and gC = gR. Then FTC (er) % FT
R (er) if and only if EFTC (er)[u(a, e)] ≥ EFT
R (er)[u(a, e)].
This means that a preference for lotteries FTC (er) and FT
R (er) are characterized by expected utility, which
comes from the equivalency of FTC (er) and FT
R (er) w.r.t. ex-ante fairness under the assumption of gC = gR,
5While function u depends on the initial endowments e, it does not appear in the form explicitly. We denote u as a functionof e because the final allocation a depends on e, and e itself may affect the function form g (See section 3.3.2).
6Note that this may not hold in state risk treatment if dictators has a preference for other’s initial endowment, but at leastcan be applied to non-state risk treatment.
12
and the monotonicity of U .7 This is one notable property of our experimental design. Lemma 1 implies the
following.
Lemma 2 Suppose a dictator follows the form (3) and (5), and gC = gR ≡ g. Then the dictator is (i)risk
averse, (ii)risk neutral, (iii)risk loving if and only if (i)G > 0, (ii)G = 0, (iii)G < 0, where
G ≡ EFTC (er)[u(a, e)]− EFT
R (er)[u(a, e)] = g(eD − 2X − er) + pg(eD −X) + (1− p)g(eD −X − erH)
−g(eD −X − er)− pg(eD − 2X)− (1− p)g(eD − 2X − erH) (7)
We can see function G in lemma 2 is rewritten as follows:
G ≡ EFTC (er)[u(a, e)]− EFT
R (er)[u(a, e)] = g(eD − 2X − er)− pg(eD − 2X)− (1− p)g(eD − 2X − erH)︸ ︷︷ ︸net expected utility of giving C
−{g(eD −X − er)− pg(eD −X)− (1− p)g(eD −X − erH)︸ ︷︷ ︸net expected utility of not giving C
} (8)
Dictator’s risk attitude is essentially characterized by functional form of g. To see this, as examples, let us
take two functional form of g and draw figures under a parameters’ pair in our experiment, (eD, X, erH , p) =
(10, 5, 6, 0.9).
! (= !$ = !%)
'( − 2+ − ',-(= −6)
/( − /0
1
2
3
4
5 67
'( − 2+ − 8',(= −0.6)
'( − + − ',-(= −1)
'( − +(= 5)
'( − + − 8',(= 4.4)'( − 2+
(= 0)
!('( − + − 8',) > ?!('( − +) + (1 − ?)!('( − + − ',-)
!('( − 2+ − 8',) = ?!('( − 2+) + (1 − ?)!('( − 2+ − ',-)
Figure 4: (Case 1) linear assumption in each domain
Case 1 is Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s linear form. The first term of G in (8) is the difference between the
value of g when aD − aj is surely eD − 2X − er and the expected value of g when aD − aj is eD − 2X with
7Let us remind you that the expected final outcomes of FTC (er) and FT
R (er) are (eD−X, er+X, er) and (eD−X, er, er+X),
respectively. Then gC = gR implies u(EFT
C(er)
[a, e])= u
(EFT
R(er)
[a, e]).
13
prob p and eD − 2X − erH with prob 1− p. Since expected values of gap aD − aj are same, when g is Fehr
and Schmidt (1999)’s form, we can see both of them are expressed at the level of point M in figure 4, so
that the first term of G is 0. Similarly the second term of G in (8) is the difference between the value of g
when the gap is surely eD −X − er and the expected value of g when the gap is eD −X with prob p and
eD −X − erH with prob 1 − p. When g is Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s form, the farmer one is expressed at
the level of point J and later one is at the point K in figure 4, so that the second term of G is positive.
Therefore G is negative, and we can see the dictator is risk loving by Lemma 2. In this case, the linearity of
g in envy domain makes the net expected utility of giving certain recipient C small (zero),8 which results in
the dictator’s risk loving behavior.
! (= !$ = !%)
'( − 2+ − ',-(= −6)
/( − /01 23
'( − 2+ − 4',(= −0.6)
'( − + − ',-(= −1)
'( − +(= 5)
'( − + − 4',(= 4.4)'( − 2+
(= 0)
!('( − + − 4',) > ;!('( − +) + (1 − ;)!('( − + − ',-)
!('( − 2+ − 4',) > ;!('( − 2+) + (1 − ;)!('( − 2+ − ',-)
=
>
?
@A
Figure 5: (Case 2) concave in envy domain, and linear in guilt domain
In case 2, g is exactly same as case 1 in guilt domain, that is linear form, and so is the utility level of g
at the point N in envy domain. The difference is the curvature of g in envy domain; g is concave form. The
first term of G in (8) is the difference between values of g at the point M and O, which is positive. That
comes from the concavity of g in envy domain. The second term of G in (8) is the difference between values
at the point J and K, which is positive but smaller than in case 1. Since by figure 5 the first term of G is
larger than the second one, the dictator is risk averse in this example. We can see more concave form of g
in envy domain, intuitively more risk averse in envy domain, makes the net expected utility of giving certain
recipient C larger, which makes dictators more risk averse.9 Bellemare et al. (2008) find in their experiment
that their subjects have a increasing and concave utility function in envy domain using ultimatum game
8More precisely, the more convex in the envy domain, the smaller net expected utility of giving C is.9The functional form in guilt domain also affects the risk attitude. Especially the more convex form in guilt domain, the
value of G becomes larger, which results the dictator becomes more risk averse.
14
under certain decision environment. Risk averse behaviors in our experiment may provide an evidence for
the importance of this result when we treat people’s risk attitude toward other’s allocation.
Now let us uncover the interaction of Saito (2013) and ARAO. The following is a characterization result
on the risk attitude by Saito (2013)’s form.
Proposition 1 Suppose eD −X ≥ X and eD −X < erH +X. And suppose a dictator follows the form (6),
and gC = gR(anonymity). Then the dictator is (i)risk averse, (ii)risk neutral, (iii)risk loving if and only if
(a)er < eD − (1 + p)X, (b)er = eD − (1 + p)X, (c)er > eD − (1 + p)X.
Proof: See Appendix A.3. �
Proposition 1 implies the risk attitude of dictators following the form (6), in our experiment is as follows:
Pairs eD X erH p risk attitudePair 1 10 5 6 0.9 risk lovingPair 2 10 5 6 0.8 risk lovingPair 3 10 5 12 0.9 risk lovingPair 4 10 3 6 0.9 risk aversePair 5 10 3 6 0.8 risk aversePair 6 10 3 12 0.9 risk aversePair 7 10 5 6 0.95 risk lovingPair 8 10 5 12 0.95 risk loving
Table 3: Prediction of risk attitude from the form (6)
We can see under the assumption of Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s linear form dictators are predicted to be
risk loving in 5 pairs out of 8 in our experiment. From these, we obtain the following.
Prediction 1-1 Suppose a dictator follows the form (5), and gC = gR. Then Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s
form predicts Table 3. If they are not observed, that implies dictators do not follow Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s
form.
3.3.2 Discussion for prediction 2: RRAO
To have prediction 2, we consider two potential mechanisms: preference for other’s state and subjective
probability caused by differences in states. As a benchmark, dictators who follow the form (5) care only the
final outcomes a = (aD, aC , aR). Thus, as we see in previous section, dictators choose the same action in
both treatments, which implies eSc = eNc . Now we discuss the potential effect of recipient’s initial endowment
which realizes eSc 6= eNc . First let us introduce the concept of preferences for other’s state using Fehr and
Schmidt (1999)’s form.
Definition 1 Suppose a dictator’s utility for certain allocations and initial endowments is represented by
15
(4). Dictator has a preference for other’s initial endowment if there exists some ej and e′j (ej 6= e′j) such that
αj(ej) 6= αj(e′j) and/or βj(ej) 6= βj(e
′j). (9)
As we show multiple examples in the introduction, people may prefer giving others whose initial endow-
ment is low to giving others whose initial endowment is high even if final allocations are same. This situation
can be described by the definition 1, in particular when αj(ej) > αj(e′j) and βj(ej) < βj(e
′j) for e′j > ej .
10
This means guilt concern is weakened for others who have higher initial endowments, while envy concern is
strengthened. If a dictator has this kind of preference, he/she wants to avoid giving a recipient whose initial
endowment is high, which implies they are less likely to prefer risky recipient in the state-risk treatment than
in the non-state risk treatment. If many dictators in our experiment have this kind of preference, we can
observe eSc > eNc .
Prediction 2-1 Suppose a dictator has a preference for other’s initial endowment. Then eSc 6= eNc can be
observed. Especially, suppose αj(ej) > αj(e′j) and βj(ej) < βj(e
′j) for e
′j > ej, then eSc > eNc can be observed.
Proof: See Appendix A.4 for the proof of second statement. �
Another potential mechanism is subjective probability. Though each dictator knows the objective probabil-
ity, he/she may form her own subjective probabilities which differ by other’s states. This captures a decision
maker’s psychological evaluation for the true objective probability, which concept comes from probability
weighting in prospect theory (Kahneman and Tversky (1979)).
Definition 2 Let π(s, ej) be dictator’s subjective probability of recipient’s initial endowment being ej, where
s is an objective probability. Dictator’s subjective probability depends on other’s initial endowments if there
exists ej , e′j (ej 6= e′j) such that
π(s, ej) 6= π(s, e′j).
As one possible example, dictators may think rich one is more likely to be their recipients, that is π(s, e′j) >
π(s, ej) for e′j > ej . This probability weighting follows the idea of a rank-dependent utility developed by
Quiggin (1982) and Schmeidler (1989). 11 If a dictator forms this kind of subjective probability, he/she
wants to avoid giving a risky recipient in other treatment than in comp treatment since he/she perceives
larger chance to feeling envy in other treatment.
Prediction 2-2 Suppose dictator’s subjective probability depends on other’s initial endowments. Then eSc 6=
eNc can be observed. Especially, if π(s, e′j) > π(s, ej) for e′j > ej, then eSc > eNc can be observed.
Proof: See Appendix A.5 for the proof of second statement. �
10Cox, Friedman and Sadiraj (2008) introduce this formulation as an example of a concept “more altruistic than(MAT)”.11However note that we cannot naturally extend their arguments to inequality aversion models, and this is one of the theoretical
challenges.
16
3.4 Summary of predictions
Sum up above predictions as follows. First two predictions presented here state general features of individuals’
behaviors, while the later three predictions state potential mechanisms behind dictators’ behaviors.
Prediction 1 Suppose dictators have a standard social preferences. Dictators are (i)risk averse, (ii)risk
neutral, (iii)risk loving, if and only if (i) eTc > er, (ii) eTc = er, (iii) e
Tc < er for each T ∈ {S,N}.
Prediction 1 predicts dictators’ bahavior for ARAO. Elicited cutoffs (eTc ) directly map to risk preferences for
others in absolute term in our experiment.
Prediction 2 Suppose dictators have a standard social preferences. If dictators have independent preference
of recipient’s initial endowment, then eSc = eNc . Equivalently if eSc 6= eNc , then there exist some dictators who
do not have independent preference of recipient’s initial endowment.
Prediction 2 predicts behviors for RRAO. That is, we expect to observe same outcome for two different
treatments (state-risk and non-state-risk treatments) under standard social preferences in previous literature,
and we expect to observe behavioural differences if ROO matters.
Prediction 1-1 Suppose a dictator follows the form (5), and gC = gR. Then Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s
form predicts Table 3. If they are not observed, that implies dictators do not follow Fehr and Schmidt (1999)’s
form.
Above predition considers potential mechanism behind Prediction 1 for ARAO. Analyzing potential behavior
expected from Fehr and Schmidt (1999) and its applications, we expect to observe risk loving behavior for 5
out of 8 tasks. If we cannot observe such behaviors, it implies that people do not follow Fehr and Schmidt
(1999). We presented alternative modification which predict risk averse behaviors by allowing curvatures for
the functional form.
Prediction 2-1 Suppose a dictator has a preference for other’s initial endowment. Then eSc 6= eNc can be
observed. Especially, suppose αj(ej) > αj(e′j) and βj(ej) < βj(e
′j) for e
′j > ej, then eSc > eNc can be observed.
Prediction 2-2 Suppose dictator’s subjective probability depends on other’s initial endowments. Then eSc 6=
eNc can be observed. Especially, if π(s, e′j) > π(s, ej) for e′j > ej, then eSc > eNc can be observed.
Those two predictions show potential mechanisms behind Prediction 2. The first prediction analyzes the case
when dictators have preference on other’s initial endowment. The second prediction considers the case when
dictators have subjective risk attitudes toward others, and the attitudes differ by others’ initial endowments.
17
4 Results
The experiment was conducted in October and November in 2018 at the computer laboratory in the Uni-
versity of Maryland at College Park. We had 16 sessions in total with 192 subjects in total (12 participants
by session and 96 participants by treatment), and all the participants were the undergraduate students at
the University of Maryland. Including the instruction, participants spent 30 to 45 minutes at the laboratory
earning $18.11 on average which include the participation fee of $7. The maximum earnings in our experi-
ment was $25.25, and the minimum earnings was $9.512.
Main results are presented in Figure 6. For each small figure, we present the turning points of decisions (i.e.
when DMs switch who to give, from a safe receiver to a risky receiver). Clear (white) bars represent choices
in the non-state risk treatment, and green bars represent choices in the state-risk treatment. Vertical red
dashed lines represent the expected value of a risky recipient’s expected endowment (er = perL+(1− p)erH)
for each lottery. We exclude those who exhibit inconsistent behavior predicted from our theory. That is, we
exclude those who have more than two switching points and those who give to risky recipient in the first
choice in a list and switch to risky recipient at some point. Because of the instruction which repeatedly
mentions people are likely to start from certain recipient and switch the recipient only once throughout each
list, 85% of DMs are consistent with our theory.
As we can clearly see from the graphs, there are two main findings. First, for ARAO, we find strong risk
aversion for all sets of parameters. More precisely, turning points switching from certain recipients to risky
recipients are higher than the “expected value” which is calculated from er = p ∗ erH . As we discussed in
Section 3.3.1 and summarized as Prediction 1-1, standard theories on the inequality aversion involving risks
cannot explain this phenomenon: strong risk aversion observed from the results suggest that we need to modify
existing theories such as Saito (2013). As we investigate the feature of the utility function, one potential
solution is to allow curvature for the utility function as suggested in Bellemare et al. (2008)13. Note that this
result is not likely to be observed from the “random” choices given by subjects. If subjects are completely
selfish and do not care other’s allocation, choices in our experiment do not matter for subjects because we fix
the amount of transfer (and therefore amounts for dictator’s final allocation). Conditional on final allocation
and the proportion of high-type risky recipients, we examined differences between distributions. That is, we
compare distributional differences between (i) (a) vs (b) vs (c), (ii) (d) vs (e) vs (f), and (iii) (g) vs (h),
which suggests that decision makers behave differently, and thus they care and try to avoid risks on others.
Second, for RRAO, we could not observe clear differences between two treatments. Not only from those
12To fully control the environment, we restrict the number of participants to 12 per each session. To guarantee this number,we invited more than 12 subjects per session, and paid the participation fee of $7 for those who came to the lab later than the12th subjects
13We cannot back-up the functional form of the utility from this experiment, because there is no variation in own allocation.That is, we fixed own allocation as well as the amount of transfer in our experiment. This is going to be a trade-off betweenallowing potential to excuse (Exley (2016)) not to give to others using risks on others. We believe this is going to be an interestingresearch agenda for future.
18
(a) (x, erH , 1− p) = (3, 6, 10) (b) (x, erH , 1− p) = (3, 6, 20) (c) (x, erH , 1− p) = (3, 12, 10)
(d) (x, erH , 1− p) = (5, 6, 5) (e) (x, erH , 1− p) = (5, 6, 10) (f) (x, erH , 1− p) = (5, 6, 20)
(g) (x, erH , 1− p) = (5, 12, 5) (h) (x, erH , 1− p) = (5, 12, 10)
Figure 6: Main results: DMs’ decisions by each parameter
graphs, regression analyses in Table 4 and simple t-test checking differences of means in Table 5 all suggest
that we cannot reject the hypothesis that DM behave differently in those two treatments. These results imply
that at least in our experiment, we could not observe particular effect on RRAO, when we regard high initial
endowment as unfavorable situation. This may be because people only care about final outcome as currently
assume in all the existing literature, or “high initial endowment” maybe not unfavorable enough to avoid.
Therefore, it is too early to conclude that RRAO does not matter for people’s decision making. We believe
that dictating and quantifying importance of RRAO will be future research topic.
19
Table 4: Regression analysesDependent variable: turning point of DM’s choice
(1) (2) (3) (4)Other Risk 0.128 0.00700 -0.0640 -0.155
(0.222) (0.430) (0.212) (0.345)
Endowment of Rich 0.462∗∗∗ 0.453∗∗∗ 0.464∗∗∗ 0.461∗∗∗
(0.0244) (0.0361) (0.0225) (0.0321)
Prob. being Rich 0.0529∗∗∗ 0.0544∗∗∗ 0.0565∗∗∗ 0.0550∗∗∗
(0.00777) (0.0118) (0.00571) (0.00801)
Endowment of Rich× Other-Risk 0.0187 0.00722(0.0489) (0.0450)
Prob. Rich× Other-Risk -0.00296 0.00279(0.0155) (0.0114)
[1em] Constant -0.657∗∗ -0.596 -0.473∗ -0.426(0.241) (0.348) (0.206) (0.264)
Observations 1217 1217 1133 1133R2 0.275 0.275 0.335 0.335
Standard errors in parentheses∗ p < 0.05, ∗∗ p < 0.01, ∗∗∗ p < 0.001
Table 5: Means and differences of each experiment
Parameters (x, er, p) State risk Non-State risk Difference(3, 6, 10) 3.03 (0.134) 2.68 (0.164) 0.349 (0.211)N 81 73(3, 6, 20) 3.01 (0.134) 3.02 (0.156) -0.007 (0.206)N 78 74(3, 12, 10) 5.96 (0.330) 5.48 (0.334) 0.49 (0.463)N 78 73(5, 6, 5) 2.24 (0.178) 2.28 (0.164) -0.04 (0.242)N 77 81(5, 6, 10) 3.04 (0.168) 2.96 (0.183) 0.079 (0.249)N 76 76(5, 6, 20) 3.18 (0.158) 3.20 (0.155) -0.008 (0.221)N 73 73(5, 12, 5) 4.92 (0.325) 4.81 (0.301) 0.11 (0.464)N 77 73(5, 12, 10) 5.62 (0.283) 5.568 (0.327) 0.048 (0.432)N 75 75
Standard errors are in parentheses.
20
5 Concluding remarks
In this paper, we provide an experiment to capture risk on others (ROO). While ROO appears in the
wide range of economic activities, such as charitable giving and discrimination, previous literature has not
investigated theoretical and empirical properties of ROO. We introduce two concepts to examine risk attitudes
towards others: “absolute level of risk attitudes toward others” (ARAO) which captures general risk attitudes
toward recipients’ risky payoffs, and “relative level of risk attitudes toward others” (RRAO) which captures
behavioral difference depending on types of risks conditional on same expected outcomes.
We introduce the modified dictator game with three agents (a dictator, safe and risky recipients) to
identify both ARAO and RRAO. In this environment, the dictator confronts trade off between giving to safe
and risky recipients. Our goal in this experiment is to find the point that dictators switch from preferring to
give to certain recipient to risky recipient (so that dictators are indifferent to give to either recipients). From
this structure of the experiment, we can identify risk attitudes in general toward others, which is ARAO.
We compare this value between two treatments to evaluate ROO: “state-risk treatment”, where the risky
recipient has high initial endowment with small probability (which is generally unfavorable under inequality
averse preference) and “non-state risk treatment”, where the risky recipient does not have any endowment for
sure but has some small chance to receive some transfer from a third party. Comparing those two treatments,
we can evaluate how people react to different types of risks, and identify RRAO.
There are two findings from our experiment conducted at the University of Maryland at College Park
in 2018. First, for ARAO, we find that people are consistently risk averse that they do not want to give
to others with risk. The results are inconsistent with existing theoretical model such as Fehr and Schmidt
(1999) and Saito (2013). We suggest to allow curvature on the utility function as suggested in Bellemare et
al. (2008), instead of the linear specification in Fehr and Schmidt (1999) so that we can address the issue.
Second, For RRAO, we did not find any difference between two treatments. That is, under our experimental
condition, it is likely that people evaluate “state-risk treatment” and “non-state risk treatment” in same
manner. This result stems from two potential reasons. First, people may just care outcomes, and do not
care initial condition. This is consistent with the previous theories investigating the interaction between
risk preferences and other-regarding preferences, such as Saito (2013). Second, people may not regard “high
initial endowment of other” as unpreforable. While some experiment (e.g. Eckel and Grossman (1996), Eckel
et al. (2005)) find that people dislike to give to those who are rich, some other research (e.g. Chen and Li
(2009) ) shows the parameter “envy” is much smaller than “guilt” for the Fehr-Schmidt utility function. To
understand the importance of RRAO, one may conduct some new experiment which has more specific context
on unpreferable groups. While we fail to detect difference between treatments, our experimental design has
a strength that we can evaluate unpreferable group in monetary term.
21
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A Proofs of Propositions
A.1 Preliminary
The form (4) is rewritten as follows:
uFS(a, e) = aD +∑
j∈{C,R}
(βj − σ(aD − aj)(αj + βj)
)(aD − aj), (10)
23
where σ(x) = 1l(x ≥ 0). Using (10) and (6), the utility for lottery FTj (ec) (j ∈ {C,R}, T ∈ {S,N}), which is
defined in section 3.1(1)(2), is rewritten as follows:
USaito(FTj (ec)) = (eD −X) +
(βC − σ(d(C, j))(αC + βC)
)d(C, j)
+ δ(βR − σ(EFT
j (ec)[d(R, j)])(αR + βR))EFT
j (ec)[d(R, j)] (11)
+ (1− δ)EFTj (ec)
[(βr − σ(d(R, j))(αr + βr)
)d(R, j)
],
where d(k, j) = (eD − X) − akj with akj being an final allocation of recipient k ∈ {C,R} when dictator
gives X to j ∈ {C,R}. The difference between αR and αr is whether they are random variable or not. αR
is dictator’s guilt parameter to risky recipient R, which is not random variable. On the other hand, αr is
αrL with prob p and αrH with prob 1− p, where rH means recipient R when he/she has erH initially or by
transfer, and rL means recipient R when he/she has erL(= 0) initially or by transfer. Thus αr is random
variable. βr and βR are defined similarly.
Now define V (ec|T ) ≡ USaito(FTC (ec))− USaito(FT
R (ec)) for each T ∈ {S,N}. Then we can see
V (ec|T ) = vC(ec|T )− δvR(er|T )− (1− δ)E[vr(er|T )], (12)
where
vC(ec|T ) ≡ −βCX +(d(C,R)σ(d(C,R))− d(C,C)σ(d(C,C))
)(αC + βC),
vR(er|T ) ≡ −βRX +(EFT
C (ec)[d(R,C)]σ(EFTC (ec)[d(R,C)])− EFT
R (ec)[d(R,R)]σ(EFTR (ec)[d(R,R)])
)(αR + βR),
vr(er|T ) ≡ −βrX +(d(R,C)σ(d(R,C)− d(R,R)σ(d(R,R)))
)(αr + βr),
equivalently,
vC(ec|T ) =
αCX if ec < eD − 2X
αC(eD −X − ec) + βC(eD − 2X − ec) if eD − 2X ≤ ec ≤ eD −X
−βCX if eD −X < ec
(13)
vR(er|T ) =
αRX if er < eD − 2X
αR(eD −X − er) + βR(eD − 2X − er) if eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X
−βRX if eD −X < er
(14)
24
vr(er|T ) =
αrX if er < eD − 2X
αr(eD −X − er) + βr(eD − 2X − er) if eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X
−βrX if eD −X < er
(15)
where er is erL with prob p, and erH with prob 1−p. vC(ec|T ) is a net utility from giving certain recipient
C who surely has ec, vR(er|T ) is a net utility from giving risky recipient R in the sense of ex-ante fairness,
and vr(er|T ) is a net utility from giving recipient R in the sense of ex-post fairness.
A.2 Existence and uniqueness of the cutoff
In the proof we use the notations and forms in subsection 3.3 and Appendix A.1. It is an essence to the proof
that vC(ec|T ), which is a net utility from giving certain recipient C who surely has ec, is a decreasing in ec.
Proposition 2 Suppose erL = 0, eD − 2X ≥ 0, eD − 2X < erH and eD −X > er. And suppose a dictator
follows Saito (2013)’s form (6), and αC = αR = αr ≡ α, βC = βR = βr ≡ β for any r ∈ {rL, rH}
(anonymity). Then there exists unique cutoff eTc ∈ (0, erH) such that FTR (eTc ) ∼ FT
C (eTc ).
Proof: By (12)(13)(14)(15) and anonymity, we can see
V (ec|T ) ≡ USaito(FTC (ec))− USaito(FT
R (ec)) = vC(ec|T )− δvR(er|T )− (1− δ)E[vr(er|T )], (16)
where
vC(ec|T ) =
αX if ec < eD − 2X
α(eD −X − ec) + β(eD − 2X − ec) if eD − 2X ≤ ec ≤ eD −X
−βX if eD −X < ec
(17)
vR(er|T ) =
αX if er < eD − 2X
α(eD −X − er) + β(eD − 2X − er) if eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X
−βX if eD −X < er
(18)
25
vr(er|T ) =
αX if er < eD − 2X
α(eD −X − er) + β(eD − 2X − er) if eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X
−βX if eD −X < er
(19)
Note that vC , vR and vr is weakly decreasing in ec, er and er respectively, so that V (ec|T ) is continuous
and weakly decreasing in ec. Thus it suffices to show that (i)V (0|T ) > 0, and (ii)V (erH |T ) < 0. Since
V (ec|T ) is independent of T , in what follows we will omit the term T .
(i)(ii): Using (16)(17)(18)(19), erL = 0, eD − 2X ≥ 0, eD − 2X < erH and eD −X > er,
V (0) = vC(0)− δvR(er)− (1− δ) {pvr(erL) + (1− p)vr(erH)}
= αX − δvR(er)− (1− δ) {pαX + (1− p)vr(erH)}
> αX − δαX − (1− δ) {pαX + (1− p)(α(eD −X − erH) + β(eD − 2X − erH))}
= (1− δ)(1− p) {αX − α(eD −X − erH)− β(eD − 2X − erH)}
= −(1− δ)(1− p)(α+ β)(eD − 2X − erH) > 0,
V (erH) = vC(erH)− δvR(er)− (1− δ) {pvr(erL) + (1− p)vr(erH)}
= (1− (1− δ)(1− p))vC(erH)− δvR(er)− (1− δ)pvr(erL)
< (1− (1− δ)(1− p)) {α(eD −X − erH) + β(eD − 2X − erH)}
− δ {α(eD −X − er) + β(eD − 2X − er)} − (1− δ)pαX
= (1− (1− δ)(1− p))(α+ β)(eD − 2X − erH) + (1− (1− δ)(1− p))αX − δ(α+ β)(eD −X − er)
+ δβX − (1− δ)pαX
= (1− (1− δ)(1− p))(α+ β)(eD − 2X − erH)− δ(α+ β)(eD − 2X − er)
= p(1− δ)(α+ β)(eD − 2X − erH)− δ(α+ β)(erH − er) < 0
�
26
𝑒"𝑂
𝑉(𝑒"|𝑇)
𝑒) − 2𝑋 𝑒) − 𝑋 𝑒-.
𝑉(0|𝑇)
𝑉(𝑒-.|𝑇)
𝑒"0
Figure 7: An example of unique cutoff in the case of eD −X < erH
A.3 Proof of proposition 1
Proof: When a dictator follows the form (4), and αC = αR = αr ≡ α, βC = βR = βr ≡ β for any
r ∈ {rL, rH}(anonymity), we can rewrite G in Lemma 2 as follows:
G = g(eD − 2X − er)− g(eD −X − er)
− p{g(eD − 2X)− g(eD −X)}+ (1− p){g(eD − 2X − erH)− (1− p)g(eD −X − erH)}
= vC(er|T )− E[vr(er|T )] (20)
where
vC(er|T ) =
αX if er < eD − 2X
α(eD −X − er) + β(eD − 2X − er) if eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X
−βX if eD −X < er
(21)
vr(er|T ) =
αX if er < eD − 2X
α(eD −X − er) + β(eD − 2X − er) if eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X
−βX if eD −X < er
(22)
Note that vr(0|T ) = αX by eD − 2X ≥ 0, andvr(erH |T ) = α(eD − X − erH) + β(eD − 2X − erH) or
−βX by eD − 2X ≤ erH . Now we consider the following three cases: (i)eD − X < er, (ii)er < eD − 2X,
(iii)eD − 2X ≤ er ≤ eD −X, and we shall check the sign of G.
27
(i): In this case, eD −X < erH holds since erH > er. Then G = −p(α+ β)X < 0.
(ii): In this case, we have G = αX − pαX − (1 − p)hr(erH |T ) = (1 − p){αX − vr(erH |T )}. Then we can
see G = −(1− p)(α+ β)(eD − 2X − erH) > 0 when erH ≤ eD −X, and also G = (1− p)(α+ β)X > 0
when eD −X < erH .
(iii): In this case, we have G = α(eD−X−er)+β(eD−2X−er)−pαX−(1−p)vr(erH |T ) = (α+β)(eD−2X−
er)+(1−p){αX−vr(erH |T )}. First when erH ≤ eD−X, G = (α+β)(eD−2X−er)+(1−p)(α+β)(eD−
2X − erH) = p(α+ β)(eD − 2X) ≥ 0.14 Next when eD −X < erH , G = (α+ β)(eD − (1 + p)X − er),
so that the sign of (eD − (1 + p)X − er) determines the sign of G. We can see (a)G > 0, (b)G = 0,
(c)G < 0 if and only if (a)er < eD − (1 + p)X, (b)er = eD − (1 + p)X, (c)er > eD − (1 + p)X.
Since eD −2X < eD − (1+p)X < eD −X, by (i)(ii)(iii) we can see (a)G > 0, (b)G = 0, (c)G < 0 if and only
if (a)er < eD − (1+p)X, (b)er = eD − (1+p)X, (c)er > eD − (1+p)X. By Lemma 2 the proof completes. �
!𝑒#𝑒$ − 2𝑋 𝑒$ − 𝑋𝑒$ − (1 + 𝑝)𝑋
𝐺 < 0𝐺 > 0 𝐺 < 0𝐺 = 0𝐺 > 0
(𝑖𝑖𝑖)(𝑖𝑖) (𝑖)
Figure 8: Characterization of G
A.4 Proof of prediction 2-1
Here let us denote preference parameters as αTj and βT
j to the recipient j when a dictator makes decisions in
treatment T ∈ {S,N}. On prediction 2-1, we prove the following.
Proposition 3 Suppose a dictator follows the form (6), and has a preference for other’s initial endowment
such that αNrH > αS
rH and βNrH < βS
rH , and αNR > αS
R and βNR < βS
R.15 Further suppose αS
C = αNC and
βSC = βN
C , and αSrL = αN
rL and βSrL = βN
rL.16 If eNc ∈ (0, erH) holds, then eSc > eNc .
Proof: Since a dictator follows the form (6), we can apply (12)(13)(14)(15). By assumptions we can attain
vc(eC |S) = vc(eC |N), vR(er|N) > vR(er|S), vrL(erL|S) = vrL(erL|N), and vrH(erH |N) > vrH(erH |S), so
that V (ec|S) > V (ec|N) for all ec ∈ [0, erH ]. Since both V (ec|S) and V (ec|N) are continuous and decreasing
in ec, eNc ∈ (0, erH) implies eSc > eNc . �
14Note that er = p0 + (1− p)erH .15it corresponds to αj(ej) > αj(e
′j) and βj(ej) < βj(e
′j) for e′j > ej in Prediction 2-1.
16This is reasonable since recipient C and rL’s initial endowment are same in both treatments, respectively.
28
𝑒"𝑂
𝑉(𝑒"|𝑇)
𝑒) − 2𝑋 𝑒) − 𝑋 𝑒-.
𝑉(0|𝑆)
𝑉(𝑒-.|𝑆)
𝑒"1
𝑉(𝑒-.|𝑁)
𝑒"3
𝑉(0|𝑁)
𝑉(𝑒"|𝑆)
𝑉(𝑒"|𝑁)
Figure 9: Effect of preference for other’s initial endowment in the case of eD −X < erH
A.5 Proof of prediction 2-2
Now we denote subjective probability as πT (s) to an objective probability s when a dictator makes decisions
in treatment T ∈ {S,N}. On prediction 2-2, we prove the following.
Proposition 4 Suppose a dictator follows the form (6), and has subjective probability such that πS(1− p) >
πN (1− p).17 Further suppose eD − 2X ≥ 0 and erH > eD − 2X + αrH
αrH+βrHX. Then it holds eSc > eNc .
Proof: Since a dictator follows the form (6), we can apply (12)(13)(14)(15). Denote subjective expected
value of recipient R’s earnings without transfer as erT = πT (1− p)erH for each T , and note that er
S > erN .
First it holds vC(ec|S) = vC(ec|N) since they does not depend on subjective probability πT (1 − p). Next
since erS > er
N , vR(·|S) = vR(·|N), and vR is non-increasing, it holds vR(erN |N) ≥ vR(er
S |S). Lastly,
erL ≤ eD − 2X implies vrL(erS |S) = vrL(er
N |N) = αrLX. And eD − 2X + αrH
αrH+βrHX < erH implies
vrH(erH |S) = vrH(erH |N) < 0, so that πN (1 − p)vrH(erH |N) > πS(1 − p)vrH(erH |S) since πS(1 − p) >
πN (1− p). Therefore by (12) we can see V (ec|S) > V (ec|N) for all ec ∈ [0, erH ], which completes the proof.
�
17It corresponds to π(s, e′j) > π(s, ej) for e′j > ej in Prediction 2-2.
29