rural economy a reality check

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    Rural Economy : A RealityCheck

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    Introduction

    The economy was characterized by extensive

    regulation, protectionism and public ownership

    This lead to pervasive corruption and slow growth

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    Economic scenario in Rural India

    The Rural Economy in India is wholly agriculture

    based

    In India, agriculture accounts for almost 19% of

    Indian GDP

    The Ministry of Agriculture, the Ministry of Rural

    Infrastructure, and the Planning Commission ofIndia

    - Governing bodies

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    A target of Rs 225,000 crores for farm credit has been set

    for the financial year 2007-2008. 50 lakh new farmers have been brought under the banking

    system.

    Agricultural Insurance to facilitate agricultural loans to the

    farmer.Allocation for the Rural Infrastructure Development Fund

    to be increased substantially.

    In the financial year 2006-07, 35 projects were

    successfully completed.

    Additional irrigation of 900,000 hectares has been targeted

    in the financial year 2007 - 2008.

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    Changing face of Rural India

    When we talk of rural economy we talk about mainly

    economy, education and health

    Handloom weaving, oil pressing, bidi manufacturing

    etc

    Generate more than half the national income

    Flow of agricultural credit Increase in rural literacy rate and social status

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    Population below the poverty line

    Period No. ofpersons

    (millions)

    % ofpersons

    1983 252 46

    1993-94 244 37

    1999-2000 193 27

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    Government, NGOs, social welfare organizations etc

    Microfinance and Micro credit

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    FIVE YEAR PLANS

    The economy ofIndia is based in part on planningthrough its five-year plans, developed, executed and

    monitored by the Planning Commission.

    Montek Singh Ahluwalia is currently the DeputyChairman of the Commission.

    First five year plan (1951-1956) presented byJawaharlal Nehru.

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    THE FIVE-YEAR PLANS

    SECTORALALLOCATIONS DURING THE 5-YR PLANS (Rs. billion)

    Heads of development 7th plan

    (1985-90)

    8TH Plan

    (1992-97)

    9th Plan

    (1997-02)

    10th Plan

    (02-07)

    1AGRICULTURE

    105 225 372 589

    2 RURAL

    DEVELOPMENT89 344 890 1,219

    Source: Planning Commission 2002

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    CURRENTLY..

    11TH five year plan (2007-2012)

    Objectives:

    Income and poverty

    GDP growth from 8% to 10%

    Create 70 million new work opportunities

    Education

    Reduce dropout rates of children from elementary school from52.2% in 2003-04 to 20% by 2011-12

    Literacy rate for persons of age 7 years or above to 85%

    Health, women and children

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    cont..

    Infrastructure

    Ensure electricity connection to all villages and BPLhouseholds

    Connect every village by telephone networks andprovide broadband connectivity to all villages by 2012

    Environment

    Increase forest and tree cover area by 5 %

    Attain WHO standards of air quality in all major citiesby 2011-2012

    Increase energy efficiency by 20% by 2016-2017

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    PERCENTAGESHAREOFTHE DIFFERENTSECTORSIN GDP

    YEAR

    PRIMARY

    (agri and

    allied)

    SECONDARY

    (manufacturing)TERTIARY

    (services)

    TOTAL

    1950-51 57.214.8

    28.0 100.0

    1980-81 39.7 23.7 36.6 100.0

    2001-02 23.9 26.6 49.5 100.0

    SOURCE: National Account Statistics, 1951-2001

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    THE TRANSITION OF THE RURAL

    ECONOMY

    1. FOOD GRAIN

    CROPS

    2. ON-LAND

    ACTIVITIES

    3. FARM

    ACTIVITIES

    1. NON-FOOD GRAIN

    CROPS, CASH

    CROPS

    2. OFF-LANDALLIED

    ACTIVITIES

    (livestock, fisheries)

    3. NON-FARMACTIVITIES

    (manufacturing and

    services)

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    THE RURAL ECONOMIC STRUCTURE

    RURALECONOMY

    FARM SECTOR

    (agri & allied)

    AGRO-PROCESSING

    (sugarcane, oilseed)

    AGRICULTURE

    NON-FARM SECTOR

    ANIMALHUSBANDRY

    (dairy, poultry)

    HORTICULTURE

    FORESTRY

    MANUFACTURING

    (handloom, handicrafts)

    MINING &QUARRYING

    CONSTRUCTION

    RURALINDUSTRIES

    TRANSPORT &

    STORAGE

    COMMUNITY &

    SOCIALSERVICE

    RETAILING & TRADING

    RURALSERVICES

    COMMUNICATIONFISHING

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    Farm sector: Agriculture and Allied Activities

    Ranks second in farm output

    Contributed nearly 19% of the GDP in 2007,emplyed 60% of

    the workforce

    Second largest producer in the world of milk, cashew nuts,

    coconuts, tea, ginger, turmeric and black pepper.

    Worlds largest cattle population: 193 million

    Second largest producer of wheat, rice, sugar, cotton, silk,

    peanuts, and inland fish

    Second largest producer and consumer of silk in the world

    Third largest producer of tobacco

    Largest fruit producer accounting for 10%of the world fruit

    production.

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    Non-farm sector and Rural industries

    Industry accounts for 26.6% of the GDP and employs

    17% of the total work force

    Textile manufacturing second largest source ofemployment after agriculture

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    RURAL ENTERPRISES

    RURAL ENTERPRISES IN INDIA

    1980 1990 1998

    AGRICULTURALENTERPRISES

    (million)

    NONAGRICULTURAL

    ENTERPRISES (million)

    TOTALRURALENTERPRISES

    (million)

    TOTALNUMBEROF WORKERS

    EMPLOYED (million)

    GROWTHOF WORKERS (%)

    1.27 2.08 3.18

    9.74 12.28 14.01

    11.01 14.36 17.19

    24.23 32.17 38.13

    --- 2.88 2.15

    Source: CSO, Economic Census 1998, AllIndia Report.

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    FIFTH ECONOMIC CENSUS, 2005.

    S.No.ITEM RURAL

    COMBINED

    (RURAL+URBAN)

    1 a) Number of enterprises ( in 000) 25809 42124

    b) Percentage share 61.3 5 100.0 %

    2 Percentage of agricultural enterprises 23.2 % 15.3 %

    3

    a) Number of enterprises (in 000)

    i) With out premises

    ii) Having 10 or more workers

    b) Percentage share in total enterprises

    i) Without premises

    ii) Having 10 or more workers

    5384 7912

    225 583

    20.9 % 18.8 %

    0.9 % 1.4 %

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    Sl.No ITEM RURALCOMBINED

    (RURAL+URBAN)

    Average annual growth rate (%)

    in enterprises over EconomicCensus 1998

    4

    5.5

    3% 4

    .80 %

    5 a) Number of persons employed

    (in 000)

    50186 98968

    b) Percentage share 50.7 % 100.0 %

    Percentage to hired workers in

    the total persons employed6 41.6 % 52.4 %

    Percentage of total adult female

    workers in the total persons

    employed

    7 24.3 % 19.3 %

    Average annual growth rate (%)

    in total employment over

    Economic Census 1998

    8 3.33 % 2.49 %

    Source: CSO, Economic Census 2005, All India Report.

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    Non agricultural activities increased by 7%

    Migration down from 62.2% to 56.5%

    Size and distribution of rural assets

    50% (poor households) owned 10% of the

    assets

    10% (rich households) owned 50% of the

    assets

    40% of the middle income group households

    more than 40 % of the total assets.

    Land ownership

    Landholdings increased by 50%

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    Labour Force Characteristics

    Urban Share (in %)

    Male Female Total

    1. Employed 51.8 13.9 33.7

    2. Unemployed 2.4 0.8 1.6

    3. LabourForce

    (Total) 54.2 14.7 35.3

    4. Not counted in

    the labour force 32.8 71.7 51.4

    5. Working age

    population (Total) 87 86.4 86.7

    6. Non-working

    age population 13 13.6 13.3

    7. Population

    (Total) 100 100 100

    Rural Share (in %)

    Male Female Total

    1. Employed 53.1 29.9 41.9

    2. Unemployed 0.9 0.3 0.6

    3. LabourForce

    (Total) 54 30.2 42.5

    4. Not counted in

    the labour force 30.3 53.9 41.7

    5. Working agepopulation (Total) 84.3 84.1 84.2

    6. Non-working age

    population 15.7 15.9 15.8

    7. Population (Total) 100 100 100

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    Rural income (farm + non farm) contributes around 57% of the totalincome in India

    Considering (93 94) per capita income for rural sector increased from Rs.5783 to 9481 Rs in (99 00).

    Share of non farm income has increased rapidly from 32% to 47%

    Rural employment is classified into 1. Self employed

    2. Wage labourers

    Self employment farmers purchasing power has increased, since value ofoutput increased by 9.2% compared to past 7.7% increase in input.

    Distribution of land holdings and the cropping pattern are the key

    determinants of farm profitability

    Wage laboureres 33% of the total rural workforce works as agriculturalwork labourers

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    Rural income

    1st non farm sector

    2nd

    farmer3rd wage earner

    Over the last 20 years non food expenditure has gone up 5 times

    where as food expenditure increased by 4 times.

    Rural spending per person is 5830 Rs per annum compared to urban

    - Rs 10260

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    Rural Infrastructure :1. Transport and communication

    Road connectivity

    - Pradhan Mantra Gram Sadak Yojna

    Post Offices

    - Largest postal network in the world

    (1,55,000 + offices)

    - Postal Circle , Divisions

    - Categorized as head, sub, branch post office

    Radio

    - Coverage to 98 % of the population.

    - Broadcast farm programs and home programs

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    Television

    - Doordarshan (one of the largest terrestrial networks in the

    world)

    - Reach 87% of the population.

    Print and Press Media

    - Registrar of Newspaper forIndia (RNI)

    - Not reaching rural areas.

    Telecom Services , Mobile Services

    - Villages connected through Village Public Telephones

    (VPT).- More than 84% of villages covered

    - 3.6 crore mobile users ,15% in rural areas.( as per 2005)

    - Mobile Postman Scheme

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    Rural Health Services:3 tier system

    1. Sub Centres

    - Contact Point b/w PHC & community

    - One multi purpose worker (male) and

    Auxilary Nurse-midwife (ANM)

    2. Primary Health Centres (PHC)

    - First contact point b/w community & a

    medical officer.

    - Medical officer and 14 paramedical and

    other staffs.

    - Referal unit for 6 sub centres, 6 beds.

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    3. Community Health Centres (CHC)- 4 medical specialists

    (Surgeon,physician,gynaecologist &

    paediatrician) and 21 paramadecial and

    other staffs.- Referal unit for 4 PHC , 34 beds

    Education

    Electricity

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    PUBLIC DISTRIBUTIONSYSTEM

    PDS means the distribution of essential commodities to a large number of

    people through a network of fair prices shops on a regular basis.

    PDS with a network of about 4.76 lakh FPS is the largest distribution

    network of its kind in the world.

    80% (i.e 3.8 lakh) FPS are in rural areas.

    Targeted Public Distribution System - to reform and improve the PDS by

    focusing on the poor and needy sections of the society.

    There should be a Fair Price Shop within a radius of 3kms Per every 2000

    card population in rural areas

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    Agri Infrastructure

    Govt ofIndias intervention in the agricultural marketingsystem is limited to protecting the interests of producersand consumers and promoting the organized marketingof agricultural commodities.

    7161 regulated markets to which the central governmentprovides assistances in the establishment of infrastructure

    Various central government organizations are involved inagricultural marketing.

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    Mandis

    They are agricultural markets set up by state governments to procure

    agricultural products directly from framers.

    Located in high production centres of different crops, these markets

    may be categorized as grain mandis, cotton mandis etc

    Most agricultural area with a population of more than 10,000 have

    mandis

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    Marketing Infrastructure

    Haats

    Periodic markets still play an important role in the ruraleconomy as well as in the social life of villagers

    First point contact for villagers with the market

    A means of distributing local products and exchangingrural surplus

    An opportunity for buying daily necessities

    Melas

    These occasions serve as the meeting ground for peoplefrom different communities and religious groups , forlivelihood and agricultural commodities , for crafts andcraftsmen and for displaying various skills

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    Commercial Infrastructure

    Regional rural banks

    Set under an Act of parliament in 1976

    Objective Developing the rural economy through thepromotion of agriculture, trade and commerce , industry

    by extending credit , particularly to small and marginalfarmers, agricultural labourers and small entrepreneurs.

    Credit provided by a combination of central government,state government and the sponsoring commercial bank

    Scheduled commercial banks

    Cooperative banks

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    Government Policies And The

    Rural Face Of Reforms

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    Who is responsible for Rural developmental

    activities in India?

    Ministry ofRural Development. Infrastructural Development

    Agricultural Sector DevelopmentActivities

    Non-Farm Sector

    Social Sector

    Issues Handled

    Production

    Productivity

    Skills

    Access to Institutional Credit Marketing of Produce and Services

    Educational and Health

    Social Restructuring and Empowermentof Women

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    Areas Focused and Programs

    1. Changing Rural Infrastructure

    Prime Ministers Village Development Program

    Primary Health Care

    Universalisation of primary education

    Safe drinking water

    Public housing assistance to all shelter less poor families

    Nutrition

    Connectivity of all villages and habitations by roads, and

    streamlining of the public

    Distribution system with a focus on the poor.

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    2. Employment Opportunities

    New credit linked subsidy programme called Prime Ministers

    Employment Generation Programme (PMEGP)

    Merged two schemes that were in operation till 31.03.2008

    namely Prime Ministers Rojgar Yojana (PMRY) and Rural

    Employment Generation Programme (REGP) for generation of

    employment opportunities through establishment of microenterprizes

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    3. District Rural Development Agency

    Aims at alleviating Poverty

    Different Wings

    * Self Employment Wing* Wage Employment Wing

    * Engineering Wing

    * Accounts Wing

    * Monitoring and Evaluation Wing

    * General Administration Wing

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    Land Reforms

    Economic Holding

    One that could provide a reasonable standard of living

    Land CeilingNo individual farmer should own more than three times

    the economic holding

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    CURRENT BUDGET PROVISIONS For Rural Development

    Swarnajayanthi Gram Swarozgar Yojana

    This scheme is to provide self-employment

    to the poor.

    Objective of the SGSY is to bring the assisted poor familiesabove the Poverty Line by providing them income-generatingassets through a mix of Bank Credit and GovernmentalSubsidy.

    Monitoring-programme is monitored from the Central level

    down to the grassroot level.

    Indira Awaz Yojana

    The objective of this scheme is to provide dwelling unitsto the homeless Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes

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    Priority in Selection of Beneficiaries

    SC/ST households who are victims of atrocity.

    SC/ST households, headed by widows and unmarried woman.

    SC/ST households affected by flood, fire, earthquake, cyclone and

    similar natural calamities.

    Other SC/ST households

    Non- SC/ST households Physically handicapped

    Appropriate Construction Technology and local

    materialsDrinking Water Supply

    Sanitation and Sanitary

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    Conclusion

    Analysis of the rural economy- 5 year plans

    It takes a close look at rural economic structure.

    Growth in purchasing power.

    Government policies and rural economies and their impact.

    Pace of progress has been set. It needs to be accelerated.