rural economy: it’s time…
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by Donald J R MacRae Rural Development Council Stirling Management Centre 8 th June 2009. Rural Economy: It’s Time…. What is Rural Scotland?. *Rural – Settlements with a population of less than 3,000. AccessibleRural*. Remote Rural*. drive time < 30 mins. drive time > 30 mins. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Rural Economy: It’s Time…
by
Donald J R MacRae
Rural Development Council
Stirling Management Centre
8th June 2009
What is Rural Scotland?
*Rural – Settlements with a population of less than 3,000
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
Settlements with population of
10,000+
Remote Rural*
AccessibleRural*
drive time< 30 mins.
drive time> 30 mins.
Remote Rural 1,991
Accessible Rural 6,200
Rest of Scotland 12,978
Net–migration 2005/2006
Rural Scotland gaining relatively more people
*Net-migration
*Net-migration = in-migration minus out-migration
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
Net–migration 2005/2006
Rural Scotland gaining relatively more people
Remote Rural 0.6% 1,991
Accessible Rural 1.0% 6,200
Rest of Scotland 0.3% 12,978
*Net-migration as % of population Net-migration
*Net-migration = in-migration minus out-migration
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
Employment by Firm Size, 2007
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
12%
11%
10%
40%
26%
Rest of Scotland
Employees
0-9
10-49
50-249
250+
Public Sector
Rural Scotland – a small firm economy
firms with 250+ employees
firms with 0-9 employees
Employment by Firm Size, 2007
39%
16%
10%
14%
21%
27%
14%
10%
28%
21%
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
12%
11%
10%
40%
26%
Remote rural Accessible rural Rest of Scotland
Employees
0-9
10-49
50-249
250+
Public Sector
Rural Scotland – a small firm economy
firms with 250+ employees
firms with 0-9 employees
19
10
10
9
8
8
8
8
Other
The economy
Obtaining finance
Recruiting staff
Regulations
Taxation, VAT, PAYE, NI,business rates
Competition in the market
Transport issues
%
Remote Rural
Obstacles to Success of Business
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
12
7
5
5
17
16
5
1
19
10
10
9
8
8
8
8
Other
The economy
Obtaining finance
Recruiting staff
Regulations
Taxation, VAT, PAYE, NI,business rates
Competition in the market
Transport issues
%
Accessible Rural Remote Rural
Obstacles to Success of Business
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
Regulation high on list for Accessible Rural
11
15
0
17
5
1
8
8
8
Regulations
Competition in themarket
Transport issues
%
Rest of Scotland Accessible Rural Remote Rural
Obstacles to Success of Business
Source: Rural Scotland Key Facts 2008.
Degree of Diversification and GDP per Capita Levels
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
High Degree of Diversification Low
Degree of Diversification from Primary Sector and GDP per Capita Growth
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
High Degree of Diversification Low
New VAT Registrations as % of Stock (end 2007)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16
Orkney IslandsShetland Islands
Dumfries & GallowayScottish Borders,
Eilean SiarArgyll & Bute
MorayHighland
Perth & KinrossEast Lothian
East AyrshireMidlothian
South AyrshireAngus
FifeNorth Ayrshire
SCOTLANDStirling
AberdeenshireDundee City
East RenfrewshireSouth LanarkshireEdinburgh, City of
RenfrewshireE. DunbartonshireClackmannanshire
Glasgow CityW. Dunbartonshire
West LothianInverclyde
North LanarkshireFalkirk
Aberdeen City
Source: BERR (2008).
Rural?
Rural Scotland – lower business birth rate?
Rural Scotland
Challenges
• Sparsity of population
• Poorer access to markets
• Absence of critical mass
• Limited housing supply
• Limited number of entrepreneurs.
Rural Scotland
Opportunities
• Renewables
• ‘local’
• Tourism
• Life quality.
Performance of Scottish Predominantly Rural Regions among OECD Predominantly Rural Regions
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
GDP per capita and GDP per capita growth (1998-2003)
GDP per capita PPP 2004 at 2000 prices (£)
Performance of Scottish Predominantly Rural Regions among OECD Predominantly Rural Regions
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
GDP per capita and GDP per capita growth (1998-2003)
GDP per capita PPP 2004 at 2000 prices (£)
OECD (27) average(1.6%)
OECD (27) average(18,500)
% growth
Performance of Scottish Predominantly Rural Regions among OECD Predominantly Rural Regions
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
GDP per capita and GDP per capita growth (1998-2003)
GDP per capita PPP 2004 at 2000 prices (£)
Scotland (2.4%)
Scotland (26,250)
OECD (27) average(1.6%)
OECD (27) average(18,500)
% growth
Scotland predominantly urban
Performance of Scottish Predominantly Rural Regions among OECD Predominantly Rural Regions
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
GDP per capita and GDP per capita growth (1998-2003)
GDP per capita PPP 2004 at 2000 prices (£)
Edinburgh CityGlasgow City
Scotland (2.4%)
Scotland (26,250)
OECD (27) average(1.6%)
OECD (27) average(18,500)
% growth
Scotland predominantly urban
Scotland predominantly rural
Performance of Scottish Predominantly Rural Regions among OECD Predominantly Rural Regions
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
-4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Source: OECD Rural Policy Reviews, Scotland, UK (2008).
GDP per capita and GDP per capita growth (1998-2003)
GDP per capita PPP 2004 at 2000 prices (£)
Shetland Isles
Perth & Kinross, Stirling
Scottish Borders
Edinburgh CityGlasgow City
Inverness & Nairn, Moray, Badenoch & Strathspey
Caithness & Sutherland. Ross & Cromarty
Lochaber, Skye & Lochalsh, Argyll and the Islands Western Isles
Dumfries & Galloway
Scotland (2.4%)
Scotland (26,250)
OECD (27) average(1.6%)
OECD (27) average(18,500)
% growth