russia stretch ceilings market

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Demo-Version

Russia: Stretch

Ceilings Market

Analysis and Forecast to 2017

December 2012

Marketing Research

http://www.russianmarketreport.com/

from 23 IndexBox Marketing © 2012 www.indexbox.ru

Market Research Russia: Stretch Ceilings Market. December 2012 (Demo-version)

Brief Overview

The report on the Russian stretch ceilings market contains:

Analysis and forecast of market dynamics;

Structure of consumption by region;

Analysis of domestic production, market shares of the main market players;

Analysis of exports and imports;

Analysis of factors, influencing the development of the market;

Analysis of raw materials’ base;

Analysis of the state of the consuming industries;

Assessment and forecast of market development;

Financial and economic profiles of the leading companies in the industry.

Methodology:

Expert interviews with top managers of the largest players on the market;

Analysis of information, received from the main market participants;

An analysis of statistical information:

o Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat);

o The Federal Customs Service (FTS);

o The Ministry of Economic Development;

o The Federal Tax Service;

o Industry associations.

The report contains information on the following commodity groups:

Ceilings from vinyl film;

Seamless ceilings.

The report contains 111 pages, 42 tables, 73 figures.

The report will allow you to:

1. Identify key indicators of the market, build your own business forecasts, based on

market data;

2. Evaluate the growth potential and threats in the market.

Key figures presented in the report on the Russian stretch ceilings market:

Volumes of production, exports and imports;

Indicators of market development;

Consumption indicators.




The report contains the consensus market forecast based on the average value of the

forecasts of market participants. As market experts are considered: manufacturers,

importers, wholesale distributors, high-volume consumers, professional associations and

unions, and trade publications. The experts, participating in the survey, are provided with

special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




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verify all secondary information used in the report.

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the economy. Cross-analysis of related industries enables our clients to get a

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Research Design

The purpose of the study is to analyze the state of the Russian stretch ceilings market and

build a forecast of the industry in the medium term.

Geography of the research: Russia

Methodology

1. Analysis of secondary market data:

Secondary data refers to data from the Internet (industry portals, competitors’ sites,

shopping sites, articles and reviews, reference materials), specialized publications, state and

private media companies, marketing agencies, commercial databases, “IndexBox

Marketing” own research.

2. Analysis of Materials from Market Participants (price lists, brochures, etc.):

Data collection from market participants is needed to analyze the specifics of the market

and the parties involved in it, their pricing and assortment policy. Data on market

participants is gathered during the analysis of secondary information, and also by sending

requests for price lists and other presentation materials.

3. Expert Interviews with Market Participants

The analysis of secondary information is completed by expert interviews with

representatives of market participant companies – manufacturers and trading companies.

Our approach to the estimation

The consensus market forecast is the average value of the forecasts of market participants

(experts).

Experts

As market experts are considered: manufacturers, importers, wholesale distributors, high-

volume consumers, professional associations and unions, and trade publications. Expert

opinions are collected during telephone interviews conducted by IndexBox on a regular

basis (the standard is every six months, but can be more often, based on a special request

or under conditions of high volatility in the market). IndexBox has created an extensive

database of experts within key industries. The experts, participating in the survey, are

provided with special conditions on the purchase of the reports.




Accuracy of forecasts

The accuracy of forecasts is verified by experts in the given industry, based on the historical

period (3 years). In accordance with this accuracy, each expert weighs out the forecasts to

create the overall average forecast

Indicators

1. Consumption: Consumption is the main index estimated by our experts and features

the dynamics of consumption in real terms in the short to medium term. Experts give

an estimate of the potential volume of consumption in accordance with their

expectations and production plans (for manufacturers).

2. Internal production: It is based on the projected volume of consumption and production

capacity in any given industry, assessing, of course, and factoring in the dynamics of

domestic production.

3. Imports and Exports: Takes into account the retrospective dynamics of export-import

operations, strengths and weaknesses of the domestic production, changes in

legislation, the macroeconomic situation in the countries of the supplier (beneficiary) of

a product, an assessment of the dynamics of imports and exports.




Table of Contents 1. Executive summary

2. Research design

3. Classification of stretch ceilings

4. Characteristics of raw materials’ base

5. Technology of production of stretch ceilings

6. Characteristics of the Russian stretch ceilings market

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian stretch ceilings market in 2008 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

6.2. Structure of the stretch ceilings market: production, exports, imports,

consumption

7. Characteristics of the domestic production of stretch ceilings in 2005 - 2011

7.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of stretch ceilings in 2005 - 2011

7.2. Structure of the production stretch ceilings by regions of the Russian Federation

7.2.1. Volume and dynamics of the production of stretch ceilings in the Republic of

Tatarstan in 2005 - 2011

7.2.2. Volume and dynamics of the production of stretch ceilings in Ivanov region

in 2005 - 2011

7.2.3. Volume and dynamics of the production of stretch ceilings in Nizhegorod

region in 2005 - 2009

7.3. Main manufacturers of stretch ceilings and their corresponding shares

7.3.1. CJSC "Kazan Factory for Artificial Leather "

7.3.2. FGYP “IvNIIPIK” FSB ROSSII

7.3.3. CJSC “Okanit”

7.3.4. Group of companies “ASTA”

7.3.5. "Potolkoff"

7.3.6. “Long Life”

7.3.7. Company “OKSVA-story”

7.3.8. Company Fran

7.3.9. “VIPCEILING”

7.3.10. Company Saros Design

7.3.11. "Plast-Group"

7.3.12. Company “Deсken”

7.3.13. Company KARE NOAR

7.3.14. Company “Eco Nat”

8. Characteristics of prices of stretch ceilings

8.1. Structure of forming the value of stretch ceilings

8.2. Dynamics of manufacturers’ prices of polymer films

9. Characteristics of the imports of stretch ceilings to the Russian market

9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings

9.2. Manufacturing countries, leading suppliers of the imported stretch ceilings on the

territory of the Russian Federation




9.3. Foreign companies, manufacturers of the stretch ceilings, imported into the

Russian Federation

9.4. Importing companies of the stretch ceilings, imported into the Russian Federation

9.5. Recipient regions of the imports of stretch ceilings

10. Characteristics of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings

10.1. Volume and dynamics of the exports of stretch ceilings

10.2. Recipient countries of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings

10.3. Manufacturing companies, supplying stretch ceilings for exports

10.4. Sending regions of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings

11. Factors, influencing the development of the stretch ceilings market in Russia

11.1. Social economic situation in the Russian Federation in 2009 – 1st quarter of 2012

11.2. Level of welfare of the population and consumer spending

11.3. State of the construction industry

11.4. State of the companies in the construction industry

12. Characteristics of the consumption of stretch ceilings

12.1. Volume and dynamics of the consumption of stretch ceilings in 2008 – 2011.

Forecast for 2012 - 2017

12.2. Balance between production and consumption of stretch ceilings

13. Forecast for the development of the stretch ceilings market in 2012 - 2017

13.1. Preconditions for the development of the Russian economy

13.2. Scenarios for development of the world economy

13.3. Scenarios for development of the stretch ceilings market

13.4. Evaluation of the potential volume of supply of stretch ceilings in 2012 - 2017

13.5. Evaluation of the development of the stretch ceilings market after Russian

accession into WTO




List of tables

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the stretch ceilings market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in thousands of square meters

Table 2. Production of stretch ceilings in the Russian Federation in January 2005 - June

2012, in thousands of square meters

Table 3. Production of stretch ceilings in the Republic of Tatarstan in January 2005 - June


Table 4. Production of stretch ceilings in Invanov region in January 2005 – June 2012, in

thousands of square meters

Table 5. Production of stretch ceilings in Nizhegorod region in January 2005 - October 2009,

in thousands of square meters

Table 6. Average prices of stretch ceilings by types and manufacturers in the first half of

2012

Table 7. Average manufacturers’ prices of polymer films in the Russian Federation in

January 2008 - June 2012

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2009 – January - May

2012, in square meters and in thousands of square meters.

Table 9. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in square meters

Table 10. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in thousands of USD

Table 11. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in January - May 2012, in square

meters

Table 12. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in January - May 2012, in thousands of

USD

Table 13. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

square meters

Table 14. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 15. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in January -

May 2012, in square meters

Table 16. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in January -

May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 17. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

square meters

Table 18. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

thousands of USD.

Table 19. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in January -

May 2012, in square meters

Table 20. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in January -

May 2012, in thousands of USD

Table 21. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in 2011, in

square meters

Table 22. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in 2011, in

thousands of USD.

Table 23. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in January - May




2012, in square meters

Table 24. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in January - May

2012, in thousands of USD

Table 25. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in square

meters

Table 26. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in

thousands of USD

Table 27. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in January - May

2012, in square meters

Table 28. Volume of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in January - May

2012, in thousands of USD

Table 29. Volume and dynamics of the exports of stretch ceilings in 2009 – January - May

2012, in kilograms and in square meters

Table 30. Dynamics of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in kilograms

Table 31. Dynamics of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in USD

Table 32. Volume of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

kilograms

Table 33. Volume of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

USD

Table 34. Volume of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

kilograms

Table 35. Volume of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

USD

Table 36. Volume of the exports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in kilograms

Table 37. Volume of the exports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in USD

Table 38. Profitability of the production and dynamics of the net financial results of

companies by types of economic activity in 2008 - January 2012

Table 39. Forecast for the balance between supply and demand on the stretch ceilings

market in 2009 - 2015, in millions of square meters

Table 40. Forecast for the development of the stretch ceilings market in 2011 - 2017, in


Table 41. Volume of the import customs duties of stretch ceilings in 2012 and forecast for

its change, based on Russia’s accession to the WTO

Table 42. Volume and dynamics of the stretch ceilings market in 2008 - 2010 and forecast

until 2017 after Russia’s accession to the WTO, in thousands of square meters




List of Figures

Fig. 1. Volume of supply on the stretch ceilings market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast for 2012

- 2017, in thousands of square meters.

Fig. 2. Dynamics and structure of the stretch ceilings market in 2008 - 2011 and forecast

until 2017, in millions of square meters

Fig. 3. Structure of the stretch ceilings market by origin in physical terms in 2011

Fig. 4. Production of stretch ceilings in the Russian Federation in January 2011 - June 2012,

in thousands of square meters.

Fig. 5. Production of stretch ceilings in the Russian Federation in January 2010 - June 2012,

in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 6. Production of stretch ceilings in the Russian Federation in 2005 - 2011, in thousands

of square meters

Fig. 7. Structure of production of stretch ceilings by Federal Districts of the Russian

Federation in 2005 – 1st half of 2012

Fig. 8. Production of stretch ceilings in the Republic of Tatarstan in January 2011 - June


Fig. 9. Production of stretch ceilings in the Republic of Tatarstan in January 2010 - June

2012, in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 10. Production of stretch ceilings in the Republic of Tatarstan in 2005 - 2011, in


Fig. 11. Production of stretch ceilings in Ivanov region in January 2011 - June 2012, in


Fig. 12. Production of stretch ceilings in Ivanov region in January 2010 - June 2012, in %,

to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 13. Production of stretch ceilings in Ivanov region in 2005 - 2011, in thousands of

square meters

Fig. 14. Production of stretch ceilings in Nizhegorod region in January 2008 - October 2009,

in thousands of square meters

Fig. 15. Production of stretch ceilings in Nizhegorod region in January 2007 - October 2009,

in %, to the analogical period of the previous year

Fig. 16. Production of stretch ceilings in Nizhegorod region in 2005 - 2009, in thousands of

square meters

Fig. 17. Structure of production of stretch ceilings in the Russian Federation by

manufacturers in 2005 – 1st half of 2012

Fig. 18. Structuer of value of stretch ceilings

Fig. 19. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of polymer films in the Russian

Federation in January - December 2011

Fig. 20. Index of the average manufacturers’ prices of polymer films in the Russian

Federation in January - June 2012

Fig. 21. Dynamics of the average manufacturers’ prices of polymer films in the Russian

Federation in January 2010 - June 2012, deviation in %, to the analogical period of the

previous year

Fig. 22. Comparison of the average manufacturers’ prices of polymer films by Federal

Districts, in June 2012




Fig. 23. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2009 – January - May 2012, in square

meters

Fig. 24. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in square meters and in %

Fig. 25. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in thousands of USD and in %

Fig. 26. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in January - May 2012, in square meters

and in %

Fig. 27. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in January - May 2012, in thousands of

USD and in %

Fig. 28. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011 in

physical terms

Fig. 29. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011 in

value terms

Fig. 30. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in January -

May 2012, in physical terms

Fig. 31. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in January -

May 2012 in value terms

Fig. 32. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 33. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

value terms

Fig. 34. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in January

- May 2012, in physical terms

Fig. 35. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in January

- May 2012, in value terms

Fig. 36. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 37. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in 2011, in

value terms

Fig. 38. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in January - May

2012, in physical terms

Fig. 39. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by importing companies in January - May

2012, in value terms

Fig. 40. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in physical

terms

Fig. 41. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in value

terms

Fig. 42. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in January - May

2012, in physical terms

Fig. 43. Structure of the imports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in January - May

2012, in value terms

Fig. 44. Dynamics of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings in 2009 - January - May 2012,

in square meters

Fig. 45. Dynamics of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in kilograms and in %

Fig. 46. Dynamics of the Russian exports of stretch ceilings in 2011, in USD and in %




Fig. 47. Structure of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 48. Structure of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing countries in 2011 in

value terms

Fig. 49. Structure of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

physical terms

Fig. 50. Structure of the exports of stretch ceilings by manufacturing companies in 2011, in

value terms

Fig. 51. Structure of the exports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in physical

terms

Fig. 52. Structure of the exports of stretch ceilings by recipient regions in 2011, in value

terms

Fig. 53. Quarterly dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2007 - 2011 in 2008 prices, in trillions

of RUR, excluding the seasonality factor

Fig. 54. Dynamics of the GDP of Russia in 2005 - 2011, in 2008 prices, in billions of RUR

Fig. 55. Dynamics of the real disposable income of the population, the real wages, the real

pensions in 2005 - 2013, in %

Fig. 56. Quarterly dynamics of the real disposable income of the population in the Russian

Federation, in %, to the corresponding period of the previous year

Fig. 57. Structure of the real disposable income of the population in 2009 - 2011, in %

Fig. 58. Dynamics of outstanding debts of physical persons in January 2009 – November

2011, growth temps, in %

Fig. 59. Total construction volume of commissioned buildings in the Russian Federation in

2005 – 2011, in millions of cubic meters

Fig. 60. Structure of commissioned buildings in 2005 - 2011, in cubic meters

Fig. 61. Total construction volume of commissioned residential buildings in the Russian

Federation in 2005 - 2011 in millions of cubic meters

Fig. 62. Total construction volume of commissioned non-residential buildings in the Russian

Federation in 2005 – 2011, in millions of cubic meters

Fig. 63. Volume of commissioning of multy-flat residential buildings in 2005 - 2011, in


Fig. 64. Volume of commissioning of individual residential buildings in 2005 - 2011, in


Fig. 65. Number of months, needed to work in order to purchase 1 square meter of a

property on the primary market

Fig. 66. Dynamics of production in different industries of the economy in 2008 - 2011 (2008

– base year)

Fig. 67. Dynamics of the investments in fixed assets in comparable prices (index of physical

volume) in 2005 – 2011, in %, to the previous year

Fig. 68. Structure of investments in fixed assets by sources of financing in the Russian

Federation in 2007 - 2011

Fig. 69. Dynamics of consumption of stretch ceilings in the Russian Federation in 2008 -


Fig. 70. Forecast of the balance between supply and demand on the stretch ceilings market




in 2008 - 2017

Fig. 71. Forecast of consumption of stretch ceilings in 2012 – 2017, according to the base

scenario

Fig. 72. Forecast of consumption of stretch ceilings in 2012 – 2017, according to the

conservative scenario

Fig. 73. Forecast of consumption of stretch ceilings in 2012 – 2017, according to the

pessimistic scenario




Executive Summary

…

The volume of supply on the Russian stretch ceilings market in 2012 was almost … square

meters, which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the

volume of imported products on the stretch ceilings market was …%.

The volume of production of stretch ceilings in 2012 was … square meters, which is …%

higher than the volume of production in 2011.

The largest share (…%) of all stretch ceilings manufactured in the Russian Federation in

2012 belongs to the … Federal District.

In 2012, the import volume of stretch ceilings in Russia amounted to … square meters in

physical terms and to … thousand USD in value terms.

…

Key figures and

conclusions

about the market




6. Characteristics of the Russian

stretch ceilings market

...

6.1. Volume and dynamics of the Russian stretch ceilings

market in 2007 - 2012. Forecast for 2012 – 2017

The volume of supply on the Russian stretch ceilings market in 2012 was almost … square

meters, which is …% higher than the the same figure for 2011. It should be noted that the

volume of imported products on the stretch ceilings market was …% of the total market.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 1. Volume of the supply of stretch ceilings in 2008 - 2012 and forecast

for 2013 - 2017, in thousands of square meters and percentage




6.2. Structure of the stretch ceilings market in Russia:

production, exports, imports, consumption

The volume of imports of stretch ceilings in 2012 was about … square meters, which was

…% of the total market volume. A more detailed analysis of the imports and exports is

presented below.

Table 1. Volume and dynamics of the stretch ceilings market in Russia in

2008 - 2012 and forecast until 2017, in square meters

2009 2010 2011F 2012 2013F 2014F 2015F 2016F 2017F

Volume of production

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to

the previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of

exports In units

… … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of imports

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous

year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Volume of total supply

In units … … … … … … … … …

In %, to the

previous year

…% …% …% …% …% …% …% …%

Source: Data (“Rosstat”, “FTS”, Expert opinion), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




7. Characteristics of the domestic

production of stretch ceilings in Russia

in 2007 - 2012

…

7.1 Volume and dynamics of stretch ceilings production in 2007

- 2012

In 2011, the volume of production was higher than for the analogical period of the previous

year.

Source: Data (“Rosstat”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 6 Stretch ceilings production in 2007 - 2011, in thousands of square

meters

Characteristics of domestic production

- Volume and dynamics by type of

product

- Production capacities

- Structure of production

- Main producers and their market shares




7.3 The main manufacturers of stretch ceilings and their

corresponding market shares

Table 4. Manufacturers of stretch ceilings and their corresponding market shares

in 2011

Manufacturer Region

Production

of stretch

ceilings, in

square

meters

Market

share

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

… … … …

OTHERS … …

TOTAL … …

Source: Data (Company data), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

…




9. Characteristics of the imports of

stretch ceilings into the Russian

market 9.1. Volume and dynamics of the imports of stretch

ceilings

…

The volume of imports of stretch ceilings in 2011 was … square meters. The largest amount

of stretch ceilings was imported in …, when were imported … square meters.

Table 8. Volume and dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in 2012, in


Month Quantity, in thousands of square meters In %, to the previous month

January …

February … …%

March … …%

April … …%

May … …%

June … …%

July … …%

August … …%

September … …%

October … …%

November … …%

December … …%

Total …

Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)




Source: Data (“FTS”), Analysis (“IndexBox”)

Fig. 30. Dynamics of the imports of stretch ceilings in Russia in 2012, in thousands

of square meters

…




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