rv 2014: rail~volution 101 by gb arrington

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MAKING PLACE BETTER Reflec%ons: Rail~Volu%on @20 [email protected] [email protected] gbplacemaking.com

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Rail~Volution 101 AICP CM 2 What have we learned during Rail~Volution’s first twenty years? How can we make a place better? What are the fundamental principles of building livable communities with transit? What have we learned across disciplines in the public, private, nonprofit and philanthropic sectors? How can transit-oriented design be a catalyst for positive solutions, as well as meeting energy and environmental challenges? How do green design, reduced trips and energy usage, and a smaller carbon footprint come into play? How can we promote long-term sustainable economic growth in our neighborhoods? Hear the voices of experience from Rail~Volution’s first two decades. Participate in an in-depth discussion on where we’ve been and where we go from here. What’s changed? What’s happening? What’s ahead? Moderator: Tim Baldwin, Principal, Rocky Mountain West Transit & Urban Planning; Associate, Steer Davies Gleave, Denver, Colorado Dan Bartholomay, Chief Executive Officer, Rail~Volution, Minneapolis, Minnesota Shelley Poticha, Director, Urban Solutions, Natural Resources Defense Council, Washington, DC Scot Spencer, Associate Director for Advocacy and Influence, Annie E Casey Foundation, Baltimore, Maryland Peter McLaughlin, County Commissioner, Hennepin County, Minneapolis, Minnesota Earl Blumenauer, 3rd District, Oregon, United States Congress, Washington, DC GB Arrington, Principal, GB Place Making, Portland, Oregon

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Page 1: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

MAKING PLACE BETTER Reflec%ons:    

Rail~Volu%on  @20        

[email protected]  ar r ington .gb@gmai l .com gbp lacemak ing .com

Page 2: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

OVERVIEW

§  20 years §  Beyond myths §  Tomorrows stations §  TOD principals §  Creating value §  TOD market §  Case studies §  Conclusions

Topics

Page 3: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed fromRail~Volution 1 to Rail~Volution 20

Circa 1980 Portland LRT & Transit Station Area Planning renderings "

Page 4: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed TOD cartoons  to  1,000’s  of  built  TOD  projects  

Portland Cartoon " Portland, Dallas, Cleveland Washington DC, San Francisco, Minneapolis TODs "

Page 5: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed Export  Portland  TOD  to  a  na%onal  movement                

Minneapolis, Phoenix, Charlotte, Boston, Seattle, Miami "

VP Gore, Rail~Volution 1998 Orenco Station "

Page 6: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed Educa%on  &  advocacy  to  a  growing  lifestyle    

West Baltimore, Denver, Chicago, California, Brisbane AU "

My home,Portland Urban Infill TOD"

Page 7: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed Planning  is  sufficient  to  an  implementa%on  focus      

Garland, TX"Miami "

Page 8: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed Any  TOD  is  ok  to  equitable  +  sustainable  +  jobs  TOD        

Affordable TOD 10th & Osage Denver "

Arlington VA, San Jose, Vancouver BC "

Page 9: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed Transit  a  “good”  to  transit  designed  for  development            

Seattle Streetcar "60th & I-84 Portland "

Page 10: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed A  residen%al  project  to  a  mixed  use  district          

Pearl District, Portland "Del Mar, Pasadena "

Page 11: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LOOKING BACK QUICKLY

What’s changed Limited  TOD  examples  to  a  market  preference              

SW Waterfront, Portland "Mockingbird Station, Dallas "

Page 12: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

Development  next  to  transit  is  TOD    

TOD MYTHS

Page 13: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

TOD or TAD?

§  Majority of development at US transit stations are not TODs

§  TOD is still illegal in at most US transit stops

§  Not enough to be next to transit, must be shaped by transit

LRT Station"

Transit-Oriented Development Transit Adjacent Development Cisco Systems TAD

San Jose, CA"

Street Car TOD Portland, OR"

Page 14: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

SHAPED BY TRANSIT

§  Greater density §  Less parking §  Better public realm §  Mix of uses §  Very walkable §  Tame the car

San Diego, Portland, San Francisco, Washington, DC, Denver San Francisco, Dallas"

Page 15: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LRT Station

ORENCO STATION

§  Safe streets §  Strong center §  Local services §  Parks & open space §  Housing choices §  Good jobs

a great neighborhood for a successful TOD ~ The fundamentals

Hillsboro, OR"

Page 16: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

geSng  the  planning  right  is  sufficient      

TOD MYTHS

Page 17: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

KEYS TO TOD SUCCESS: IMPLEMENTATION FOCUS §  Planning  based  in  development  reality    

§  Apply  the  power  of  partnerships  

§  Market  driven,  not  transit  driven  TOD  

§  Designed  for  the  pedestrian      

41st & Fox Commuter Rail Station Denver "

Page 18: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

VISION FOR WHAT YOU WANT

Overlake Transit Village, Redmond, WA"

Page 19: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

CLEAR PATH & ROLES TO GET THERE

Overlake Transit Village, Implementation Plan, Redmond, WA"

Page 20: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

This  is  a    great  TOD  project    

TOD MYTHS

Page 21: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

Active defined center

§  Series of projects "§  18 hours of activity "§  Quality public realm /

sense of place "§  Employment closest to transit"§  Compact & dense "

PRINCIPLES FOR TOD a successful

Page 22: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

TOD: A DISTRICT NOT A PROJECT

T!

Orenco StationA District

The RoundA Project

T!

Page 23: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

§  Mission Bay redevelopment

§  University Campus §  High Density Housing §  Mixed-use §  Station at

SF Giants ball park

MISSION BAYSAN FRANCISCO

Page 24: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

Transit  enables    TOD    

TOD MYTHS

Page 25: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

LINK TO A BROADER STRATEGY

State Center TOD Strategy, Baltimore MD"

§  More than transit §  Part of community’s

vision for growth §  Building partnerships

essential §  Basis to gain greater broader

support & success

TOD: a “means to an end” to achieving community objectives

Page 26: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

City shaping with transit requiresa new approach to transit.

21ST CENTURY STATIONS

Quality designMake transit workCreate a placeConnect to the community

Navy Yard StationWashington, DC

Page 27: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

Transit  riders:  the  market  for  TOD    

TOD MYTHS

Page 28: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

UNDERSTANDING YOUR MARKET

§  Emerging Trends in Real Estate ‘10: –  "The future is about

green development, infill, & TOD" §  Majority of TOD residents

are childless –  Empty-nesters &

young urban professionals §  TOD households tend

to be higher income –  Reflects newer construction

Portland TOD Condo"

Page 29: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

MILLENNIALS WANT URBAN

§  88% of Gen Y want to be in an urban setting §  1/3rd willing to pay for the ability to walk §  Huge market: 80m Gen Y v 76m Boomers

2011 National Association of Home Builders:

Page 30: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

WHAT TOD RESIDENTS WANT

From Transit Community Resident Surveys:

§  Well designed communities §  Easy access to a center §  High quality residence §  Quality transit service §  Pedestrian Friendly §  Good price value

The Merrick"

Orenco Town Center"

“The ability to walk to a pint of milk”

Page 31: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

TOD    needs  less  parking    

TOD MYTHS

Page 32: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

Limited, managed parking §  Always  a  challenging  issue  §  Consider:  size,  loca%on,    

design  &  management  §  No  minimum  ra%os,  maximums    §  Disconnect  parking  from  buildings,  

manage  by  district      §  Park  ‘for  sale’  nearly  conven%onally    

PRINCIPLES FOR TOD a successful

Page 33: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

10 Trips "

6.67 Trips "

3.55 Trips "

Single Family"

Multifamily "Multifamily TOD "

TODS BEHAVE DIFFERENTLY

T O D h o u s i n g g e n e r a t e s 5 0 % l e s s a u t o t r a ffi c t h a n c o n v e n t i o n a l h o u s i n g

Dai

ly V

ehic

le T

rips "

Page 34: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

TODS CREATE LESS TRAFFIC TOD residents are:

§  Twice as likely not to own a car as US Households

§  5 times more likely to commute by transit than others in region

Self-selection: §  Responsible for up to 40%

of TOD ridership bonus

Rio Vista, San Diego"

Columbia City, Seattle"

Page 35: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

½  mile  is    the  TOD    walkshed    

TOD MYTHS

Page 36: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

Compact pedestrian-oriented §  Block sizes for 5-minute walk"

•  Max of 400 ft block face"§  Orient buildings to sidewalks "§  Calm streets "§  Active street edges with wider

sidewalks "§  Retail & office closet to transit"

PRINCIPLES FOR TOD a successful

Page 37: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

DISTANCE, USE & MODE SHARE

WMATA Survey – transit share decreases with distance §  First 600 ft really matters §  Office mode share drops about 1% every 100 ft §  ½ mile residential share 200% higher than office

Lesson: put office & retail closest to station "

Page 38: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

Density  makes  TOD    viable      

TOD MYTHS

Page 39: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

Medium to higher density §  Greater than community average"§  Distance to transit matters"§  To support transit on average:"

– 6 to 7 du/ac for frequent bus"– 9 to 25 du/ac for rapid transit"

§  Minimum density effective tool "

PRINCIPLES FOR TOD a successful

Page 40: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

TRANSIT ALONE DOES NOT CREATE VALUE Value results from: §  Overall development market §  Land available for development §  Supportive plans & policies §  Designing transit for value

West Corridor, Denver"New Lynn Station, Auckland, NZ"

Page 41: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

TRANSIT RENT PREMIUM

Locations within ½ mile of transit command much higher rents §  Washington D.C.

+28% rent premium §  Northern Virginia &

Montgomery Co + 40% rent premium

CoStar  Group  2011  

Navy  Yard  &  Waterfront  Metro  Stops    

Page 42: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

RAIL DEVELOPMENT PREMIUM TriMet Blue Line study – Hillsboro to Gresham §  Found a 36% premium

over & above what could otherwise be expected without LRT –  Blue Line LRT:

36% increased rate of & density of development

Blue Line TOD"

Page 43: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

             

TODs  maximize    mixed  use        

TOD MYTHS

Page 44: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

Mix of uses §  Planners require it too often "§  Vertical or Horizontal"§  Most difficult TOD element"§  Great TOD benefits"

– More walking + ridership"– Reduced auto-use"

§  Prohibit auto-oriented uses closest to transit "

PRINCIPLES FOR TOD a successful

Page 45: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

PEARL DISTRICT PORTLAND

Mixed-Use TOD Public & private partnership

–  Housing –  Infrastructure –  Parks

§  Since1997 –  $1B+ Devlp –  3,000+ units

§  Tight parking §  22% affordable

Page 46: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

               

We  need    rail  before    we  do  TOD    

TOD MYTHS

Page 47: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

DON’T NEED TO WAIT FOR TRANSIT

§  Transit-Oriented

§  Pedestrian-Oriented

§  Development-Oriented

""

T    O    D                                P    O    D                            D    O    T    

       

Same planning & development fundamentals apply

Page 48: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

               

These      ideas  won’t  work  here  

TOD MYTHS

Page 49: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

FIRM BASE TO DRAW ON

§  Market  preference    for  urban  housing  

§  Lot’s  of  experience    to  draw  from    

§  Demographics  trends    are  favorable    

§  Federal  policy  support        

Blue Line, Twin Cities"

Page 50: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

COMMUNITY BUILDING + PEOPLE MOVING

§  Trends are on your side §  Plan for the pedestrian §  Leverage the power of partnerships §  Raise your aspirations §  Make TOD legal & easy §  Develop a strategy equal to the task

Melbourne AU, Seattle, Portland"

Page 51: RV 2014: Rail~Volution 101 by GB Arrington

ar r ington .gb@gmai l .com gbp lacemak ing .com 971-282-5118

THANK YOU