s w a p adler haymans manurung direktur fund management pt nikko securities indonesia
TRANSCRIPT
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S W A P
Adler Haymans Manurung
Direktur Fund Management
PT Nikko Securities Indonesia
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Nature of Swaps
A swap is an agreement to exchange cash flows at specified future times according to certain specified rules
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Swap
• Currency Swap
• Interest Rate Swap
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Typical Uses of anInterest Rate Swap
• Converting a liability from– fixed rate to floating rate – floating rate to fixed rate
• Converting an investment from – fixed rate to floating rate– floating rate to fixed rate
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An Example of a “Plain Vanilla” Interest Rate Swap
• An agreement by Microsoft to receive 6-month LIBOR & pay a fixed rate of 5% per annum every 6 months for 3 years on a notional principal of $100 million, transaction date March 5th, 2004.
• Next slide illustrates cash flows
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---------Millions of Dollars---------
LIBOR FLOATING FIXED Net
Date Rate Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow
Mar.5, 2004 4.2%
Sept. 5, 2004 4.8% +2.10 –2.50 –0.40
Mar.5, 2005 5.3% +2.40 –2.50 –0.10
Sept. 5, 2005 5.5% +2.65 –2.50 +0.15
Mar.5, 2006 5.6% +2.75 –2.50 +0.25
Sept. 5, 2006 5.9% +2.80 –2.50 +0.30
Mar.5, 2007 6.4% +2.95 –2.50 +0.45
Cash Flows to Microsoft
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Microsoft and Intel
Intel Microsoft
LIBOR
5%
• Notional principal – did not exchange
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---------Millions of Dollars---------
LIBOR FLOATING FIXED Net
Date Rate Cash Flow Cash Flow Cash Flow
Mar.5, 2004 4.2%
Sept. 5, 2004 4.8% +2.10 –2.50 –0.40
Mar.5, 2005 5.3% +2.40 –2.50 –0.10
Sept. 5, 2005 5.5% +2.65 –2.50 +0.15
Mar.5, 2006 5.6% +2.75 –2.50 +0.25
Sept. 5, 2006 5.9% +2.80 –2.50 +0.30
Mar.5, 2007 6.4% +102.95 –102.50 +0.45
Cash Flows to Microsoft
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Swap to Transform Liability
• Microsoft has arranged to borrow US$ 100 million at LIBOR plus 10 bps
• Microsoft– It pays LIBOR plus 0.1% to outside lenders– It receives LIBOR under the terms of the swap– It pays 5% under the term of the swap
• Intel has a 3-year $ 100 million loan outstanding on which it pays 5.2%.
• Intel– It pays 5.2% to outside lenders– It pays LIBOR under the terms of the swap– It receives 5% under the term of the swap
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Intel and Microsoft (MS) Transform a Liability
LIBOR
5%
LIBOR+0.1%
5.2%Intel Micrsoft
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Swap to Transform Assets
• Microsoft owns US$ 100 million in bonds that will provide interest at 4.7% pa over the next 3 years
• Microsoft– It receives 4.7% on the bonds.– It receives LIBOR under the terms of the swap– It pays 5% under the term of the swap
• Intel has investment of US$ 100 million that yields LIBOR minus 20 bps.
• Intel– It receives LIBOR minus 20 bps on its investment– It pays LIBOR under the terms of the swap– It receives 5% under the term of the swap
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Intel and Microsoft (MS) Transform a Asset
LIBOR
5%
LIBOR - 0.2%
4.7%
Intel Micrsoft
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Through Intermediary FI
• Financial Institution as intermediary among parties
• Financial institution earns about 3 or 4 basis point (0.03% to 0.04%) on a pair of offsetting transactions
• Microsoft ends up borrowing at 5.115%
• Intel ends up borrowing at LIBOR plus 21.5 bps.
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Financial Institution is Involved
LIBOR LIBOR
LIBOR+0.1%
4.985% 5.015%
5.2%Intel MicrosoftF I
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Financial Institution is Involved
LIBOR LIBOR
LIBOR+0.1%
4.985% 5.015%
5.2%Intel MicrosoftF I
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Quotes By a Swap Market Maker
Maturity Bid (%) Offer (%) Swap Rate (%)
2 years 6.03 6.06 6.045
3 years 6.21 6.24 6.225
4 years 6.35 6.39 6.370
5 years 6.47 6.51 6.490
7 years 6.65 6.68 6.665
10 years 6.83 6.87 6.850
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The Comparative Advantage Argument
• Two companies wish to borrow $10 million for 5 years• AAACorp has a AAA credit rating• BBBCorp has a BBB credit rating• AAACorp wants to borrow floating• BBBCorp wants to borrow fixed• See Table below
Fixed Floating
AAACorp 4.0% 6-month LIBOR + 0.30%
BBBCorp 5.20% 6-month LIBOR + 1.00%
• AAACorp has comparative advantage in fixed-rate markets
• BBBCorp has comparative advantage in floating-rate markets
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The Swap
AAACorp BBBCorp
LIBOR
LIBOR+1%
3.95%
4%
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The Swap when a Financial Institution is Involved
AAACorp F.I. BBBCorp4%
LIBOR LIBOR
LIBOR+1%
3.93% 3.97%
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Criticism of the Comparative Advantage Argument
• The 4.0% and 5.2% rates available to AAACorp and BBBCorp in fixed rate markets are 5-year rates
• The LIBOR+0.3% and LIBOR+1% rates available in the floating rate market are six-month rates
• BBBCorp’s fixed rate depends on the spread above LIBOR it borrows at in the future
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The Nature of Swap Rates
• Six-month LIBOR is a short-term AA borrowing rate
• The 5-year swap rate has a risk corresponding to the situation where 10 six-month loans are made to AA borrowers at LIBOR
• This is because the lender can enter into a swap where income from the LIBOR loans is exchanged for the 5-year swap rate
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Valuation of an Interest Rate Swap that is not New
• Interest rate swaps can be valued as the difference between the value of a fixed-rate bond and the value of a floating-rate bond
• Alternatively, they can be valued as a portfolio of forward rate agreements (FRAs)
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Valuation in Terms of Bonds
• The fixed rate bond is valued in the usual way
• The floating rate bond is valued by noting that it is worth par immediately after the next payment date
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Valuation in Terms of FRAs
• Each exchange of payments in an interest rate swap is an FRA
• The FRAs can be valued on the assumption that today’s forward rates are realized
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Exchange of Principal
• In an interest rate swap the principal is not exchanged
• In a currency swap the principal is usually exchanged at the beginning and the end of the swap’s life
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Typical Uses of a Currency Swap
• Conversion from a liability in one currency to a liability in another currency
• Conversion from an investment in one currency to an investment in another currency
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An Example of a Currency Swap
An agreement to pay 7% on a sterling principal of £10,000,000 & receive 4% on a US$ principal of $15,000,000 every year for 5 years
HP IBM
Dollars 4%
Sterling 7%
• Fixed to Fixed Currency Swap, because the interest rate is fixed
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The Cash Flows
Year
Dollars Pounds$
------millions------
2004 –15.00 +10.002005 +0.60 –0.70
2006 +0.60 –0.70 2007 +0.60 –0.70
2008 +0.60 –0.70 2009 +15.60 −10.70
£
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Comparative Advantage Arguments for Currency Swaps
General Motors wants to borrow AUD
Qantas wants to borrow USD
USD AUD
General Motors 5.0% 12.6%
Qantas 7.0% 13.0%
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Currency Swap motivated by Comparative Advantage
AUD 11.9% AUD 13%
AUD 13%
USD 6.3%USD 5%
USD5%
GeneralMotors
F I QantasAirways
• GM is 0.7% pa better off than it would be if it went directly to AUD Markets
• Qantas exchanges an AUD loan at 13% pa for USD loan at 6.3% pa and ends up 0.7% pa better off than it would be if it went directly to USD Markets.
• Financial Institutions gains 1.3% pa on its USD cash flows and loses 1.1% pa on its AUD flows.
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Valuation of Currency Swaps
Like interest rate swaps, currency swaps can be valued either as the difference between 2 bonds or as a portfolio of forward contracts
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Swaps & Forwards
• The value of the swap is the sum of the values of the forward contracts underlying the swap
• Swaps are normally “at the money” initially– This means that it costs nothing to enter
into a swap– It does not mean that each forward
contract underlying a swap is “at the money” initially
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Credit Risk
• A swap is worth zero to a company initially
• At a future time its value is liable to be either positive or negative
• The company has credit risk exposure only when its value is positive
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Other Types of Swaps
Floating-for-floating interest rate swaps, amortizing swaps, step up swaps, forward swaps, constant maturity swaps, compounding swaps, LIBOR-in-arrears swaps, accrual swaps, diff swaps, cross currency interest rate swaps, equity swaps, extendable swaps, puttable swaps, swaptions, commodity swaps, volatility swaps……..