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SA. Quimbo X. Javier 12 September 2014 UPSE Friday Seminar Series

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Page 1: SA. Quimbo X. Javierecon.upd.edu.ph/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/should-we-re... · 2014. 9. 15. · D.L. Tan, Maximo B. Rodriguez Jr., Rufus B. Rodriguez (4278, 4372, and 4890) Reducing

SA. Quimbo X. Javier

12 September 2014

UPSE Friday Seminar Series

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Several calls for lower income tax rates among legislators

There are currently eight (8) bills filed in the House of Representatives and three (3) bills in the Senate seeking to lower income tax rates or initiate re-bracketing. All these measures acknowledge the unfairness and inequality of the prevailing income tax system, wherein the burden falls on the middle class.

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Authors/Bill Number Romero “Miro” S. Quimbo (HB 4829) Adjusting the taxable income brackets and setting a flat for Self-Employed

and Corporations

Salvacion “Sally” S. Ponce-Enrile (HB 210) Increasing the tax brackets from 7 to 13 with a rate ranging from 2.5% - 32%

Magtanggol I T. Gunigundo (HB 4099) Reducing the top bracket tax rate from 32% to 30% and a flat rate of 15% for Corporations

Arthur C. Yap (HB 4849) Increasing tax brackets from 7 to 8 with a rate ranging from 2% to 30%

Roman T. Romulo (HB 4880) Reducing tax brackets from 7 to 6 and two-part implementation with a rate ranging from 13%-30% for 2016 that will become 10%-28% in 2017

Rodrigo A. Abellanosa, Angelina “Helen” D.L. Tan, Maximo B. Rodriguez Jr., Rufus B. Rodriguez (4278, 4372, and 4890)

Reducing tax brackets from 7 to 5 and three part implementation with a rate of 15%-32% this 2015, 13%-28% this 2016, and 10%-25% this 2017

Dakila Carlo E. Cua (HB 4600) Imposing a flat rate of 10% for professionals

Victoria G. Noel (HB 4925) Reduction of tax brackets from 7 to 6, three part implementation of individual tax rates of 15%-32% fro 2015, 13%-28% for 2016, and 10%-25% for 2017 as well as for Corporation Income Tax Rates of 30% for 2015, 27% for 2016, and 25% for 2017

Juan Edgardo “Sonny” M. Angara (SB 2149) Adjusting tax brackets and lowering income tax rates, with the highest rate to be reduced from 32% to 25% by 2017

Paolo Benigno “Bam” A. Aquino (SB 1942) Adjusting tax brackets, lowering income tax rates, and exempting Marginal Income Earners (not Over P60,000); with automatic indexation to inflation every 6 years

Ralph G. Recto (SB 716) Adjusting tax brackets and lowering income tax rates, with automatic indexation to inflation every 6 years without need for legislative action

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A Brief Description of the Income Tax System in the Philippines

How equitable are income taxes in the Philippines? Horizontal Equity Vertical Equity Compliance Equity

• Tax Participation • Tax Gap

Intertemporal Equity

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Proposed Tax Reforms:

Inflation-adjusted tax brackets Simplified and reduced tax rates

Results:

Decomposition of Income Tax Collections by Tax Bracket

Projected Income Tax Collections Equity Effects

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Individual 6%

Withholding on Wages

85%

Withholding at Source

9%

Breakdown of Taxes on Individual (Compensation and Business)

TAX CLASSIFICATION 2013 TOTAL 1,216,661

I. Taxes on Net Income and Profit 718,361

A. Company, Corporate, Enterprise 424,497

B. Individual 246,580 1. Compensation and Business 235,878 a. Individual 14,309 b. Withholding on Wages 200,776 c. Withholding at Source 20,793 2. Capital Gains 10,702

C. Others 47,284

II. Excise Taxes 118,856

III. Value Added Taxes 250,149

IV. Other Percentage Taxes 60,807

V. Other Taxes 68,488

20% of Total

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Bracket Taxable Income Tax Due 1 Not over 10K 5%

2 Over 10K but not over 30K P500 + 10% of the excess over 10,000

3 Over 30K but not over 70K P2,250 + 15% of the excess over 30,000

4 Over 70K but not over 140K P8,500 + 20% of the excess over 70,000

5 Over 140K but not over 250K P22,500 + 25% of the excess over 140,000

6 Over 250K but not over 500K P50,000 + 30% of the excess over 250,000

7 Over 500K P125,000 + 32% of the excess over 500,000

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There are multiple tax deductions that the individual can avail of: P50,000 deduction P25,000 per child (maximum of 4 children) Professionals can avail of a 40% optional standard

deduction RA 9504 exempts minimum wage earners from income

tax payments. RA 8424 exempts the 13th month pay of public and

private entities provided that it does not exceed P30,000

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Horizontal Equity – Similarly situated taxpayers are taxed similarly.

Vertical Equity – Taxes are based on the ability to pay. Time-Related Equity – Taxes are not unduly distorted

when income or wealth levels fluctuate over time. Compliance Equity – All taxpayers pay what they owe

on a timely basis.

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Source: 2012 LFS

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73 percent of salary and wage workers are income tax-exempt

27 percent of 58 percent of all workers pay income taxes that are withheld at source

16 percent of all workers shoulder 85 percent of all individual income taxes

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-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EightDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

Salary and wage earnerSelf-employed (non-prof)Self-employed (prof)

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0.04% 0.4%

4.4%

13.9%

26.7% 27.3% 27.4%

Bracket 1 Bracket 2 Bracket 3 Bracket 4 Bracket 5 Bracket 6 Bracket 7

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0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.10% 0.80% 1.40% 5.00%

16.80%

75.80%

Decile 1 Decile 2 Decile 3 Decile 4 Decile 5 Decile 6 Decile 7 Decile 8 Decile 9 Decile 10

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262 1,846 5,134 14,644 33,296

74,836

244,253

Bracket 1 Bracket 2 Bracket 3 Bracket 4 Bracket 5 Bracket 6 Bracket 7

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54%

61% 63%

66% 69% 71% 74% 75% 77% 79%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EighthDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

National average = 69%

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25% 28%

31%

36% 38%

43% 45% 46% 47% 47%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

45%

50%

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EighthDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

National average = 41%

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21% 25% 26%

30% 33% 34%

41% 39%

46% 50%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EighthDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

National average = 30%

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100% 100% 100%

99%

99%

98% 99%

98%

99% 99%

98%

98%

99%

99%

100%

100%

101%

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EightDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

National average = 99%

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100%

98%

100% 100%

99% 99%

99% 99%

100%

99%

98%

98%

99%

99%

100%

100%

101%

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EightDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

National average = 99%

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100% 100% 96%

92% 91% 88%

79%

66% 59%

47%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

FirstDecile

SecondDecile

ThirdDecile

FourthDecile

FifthDecile

SixthDecile

SeventhDecile

EightDecile

NinthDecile

TenthDecile

National average = 64%

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Horizontal Vertical Compliance Intertemporal

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Bracket Taxable Income

1 Not over Php 24,647

2 Over Php 24,647 but not over Php 73, 942

3 Over Php 73, 942 but not over Php 172, 532

4 Over Php 172, 532 but not over Php 345, 063

5 Over Php 345, 063 but not over Php Php 616, 184

6 Over Php 616, 184 but not over Php 1, 232, 369

7 Over Php 1, 232, 369

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Decompose total individual income tax collections as reported by BIR by bracket

Use income and household characteristics from the merged 2012 LFS-2013 FIES to estimate taxable income and tax payments due Assume income underreporting 10% - 30% Limitation: maximum income is 10M only

Use tax payments reported by BIR for the top 500 tax payers for individuals with at least 16 M pesos

Tax payments for those with income 10M-16M are treated as a residual

All relevant tax rules applied to estimate taxes due (for professionals we used standard deductions, not the 40% optional standard deductions)

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23 B Reduction

(9.9%)

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Objective: improve tax compliance

Tax compliance, from an economic point of view, results from an individual taxpayer's weighing of benefits and costs (see, for example, Allingham and Sandmo 1972). The benefits of tax compliance would include avoidance of penalties if caught evading weighted by the likelihood of getting caught. On the other hand, the main cost of tax compliance (i.e., tax payments) would be higher with tax rates and inflation.

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Likelihood of tax evasion increases with higher tax rates (Wu and Teng 2005, Crane and Nourzad 1990, Clotfelter 1983)

Underreporting of income tends to be more likely with inflation. That is, taxpayers attempt to regain some lost purchasing power by underreporting income (Crane and Nourzad 1986)

Excessive complexity of rules also increases the cost of compliance and reduces the chances of severe punishment due to noncompliance (Roth et al. 1989, p.128)

tax noncompliance rates are related to measures of complexity, which in turn are related to the probability that evasion will be detected and punished (Klepper and Nagin 1989, Slemrod 2007)

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Income Bracket Tax Rate Tax Exempt of Income Not Over P 173,942 0% Over P173,942 but not over P445,063 9% Over P445,063 but not over P10,000,000 17% Over P10,000,000 30%

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6 B Increase

(2.2%)

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35 B Increase (14.6%)

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9% 17% 30%

0%,9%

0%

*Regression-based

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5%

68%

27%

0%

62%

38%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Up to 70K 70-500K Over 500K

Base Simulated

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Yes, rethink income taxation in the Philippines Simplify, lower income tax rates to address compliance

equity concerns

Adjust tax brackets according to inflation to address intertemporal equity concerns

Bundle of reforms can increase tax revenues if compliance improves