sasin entrepreneurship october sundowner - how to come up with your company’s valuation by surasit...
TRANSCRIPT
HOW TO COME UP WITH YOUR COMPANY’S VALUATION?
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WHY SHOULD YOU VALUE COMPANY
• To get external investment
• To know whether this company is worth spending
time on or not (Is this a lifestyle business or a
Scalable Start Up)
CHECKLIST TO COME UP WITH YOUR VALUATION
• Business Model (Commission, Ads, Listing Fee etc)
• Sales Projection (Unit sold, Market Size, etc)
• Setup Cost (Tech Cost, Factory Setup, etc)
• Operating Cost (Salary, Rent, COGS, etc)
• Sales / Marketing Cost (Advertisements, Commissions, etc)
DIFFERENT METHODS TO VALUE YOUR COMPANY
• Market & Transaction Based Comparable
• User Base Comparable (Tech industry)
• Revenue Comparable
• Asset Based Valuation
• Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)
LET’S LOOK AT $19BN WHATSAPP ACQUISITION
• Revenue = $20mn / year (normal company would require Whatsapp
to have about $1.5bn after-tax income to get $19bn valuation)
• Active User Base = $450mn
• At that point, Facebook was trading at $145/user, Twitter
was trading at $128/user
• Facebook paid Whatsapp at $42/user
VALUATION TERMS WHEN TALKING TO AN INVESTOR
• Pre-money Valuation vs Post-money Valuation • Pre = Valuation minus Investment • Post = Valuation including Investment
• Break-even Point • How many months will you need to get to cash flow positive
• Payback Period • How many months will you need to recover the investment
• Average Burn Rate • How much money are you spending per month on Operating Cost
FACTORS THAT AFFECT VALUATION (LATE STAGE)
• Good Will • IPs (eg. Google bought Motorola for $12bn & sold for $3bn) • Brand Value • Team (Acqui-Hire)
• Synergy • Buy to monopolize the market (eg. Expedia) • Replacement cost for another company • Eg. OpenTable & Priceline
• User base value to another industry • Eg. Whatsapp, SnapChat
LET’S GO TO THE FINANCIAL MODEL
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