savills grey template/media/files/s/savills-plc/annual reports... · 4 revenue up 7% to £721.5m...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Savills plc Results for Year Ended
31 December 2011
2
Disclaimer
2
Forward-looking statements
These slides contain certain forward-looking statements including the Group’s
financial condition, results of operations and business, and management’s
strategy, plans and objectives for the Group. These statements are not
guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and
other factors, some of which are beyond the Group’s control, are difficult to
predict and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed
or implied or forecast in the forward-looking statements. These factors include,
but are not limited to, the fact that the Group operates in a highly competitive
environment. All forward-looking statements in these slides are based on
information known to the Group on the date hereof. The
Group undertakes no obligation publicly to update or revise
any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise
3
Presentation Format
Results
Introduction
Financial Review
Operational Review, Strategic Priorities
Focus on Global Residential Business
Summary and Outlook
3
4
Revenue up 7% to £721.5m (2010: £677.0m)
Underlying PBT up 7% to £50.4m (2010: £47.3m)
Market share growth in Mainland China and Hong Kong
Continued strength in Prime London Residential
Significant improvements in United States and Cordea Savills
Increased investment in the business
Underlying Basic EPS up 4% to 29.0p (2010: 27.9p)
Dividend increased 4% to 13.5p per share (2010: 13.0p)
Highlights
4
5
Financial Review
5
6
Summary Underlying Results
Year ended December (£ millions) 2011 2010 % chg
Revenue 721.5 677.0 6.6%
Underlying profit before tax 50.4 47.3 6.6%
Underlying PBT margin 7.0% 7.0%
Underlying basic earnings per share 29.0p 27.9p 3.9%
Dividend per share 13.5p 13.0p 4.0%
Net cash 73.6 86.9 (15.3)%
Net assets 204.4 209.1 (2.2)%
6
7
Underlying PBT Reconciliation
Year ended December (£ millions) 2011 2010
Reported profit before tax 40.0 36.8
Goodwill/intangible/investment impairments/amortisation 10.0 7.1
Share-based payment adjustment 0.8 3.3
Restructuring costs 1.9 -
(Profit)/loss on disposal of subsidiaries, joint venture &
available-for-sale investment
(2.3)
0.1
Underlying PBT 50.4 47.3
7
8
Global Revenue and Underlying PBT
Year ended December
(£ millions)
Revenue
2011
2010
% chg
UPBT
2011
2010
% chg
Transaction Advisory 275.3 270.7 1.7% 24.2 30.8 (21.4)%
Property Management 278.6 243.7 14.3% 16.7 14.4 16.0%
Consultancy 143.4 134.2 6.9% 12.6 10.6 18.9%
Fund Management 20.8 19.0 9.5% 4.7 3.4 38.2%
Other / Financial Services 3.4 9.4 (63.8)% (7.8) (11.9) 34.5%
Total 721.5 677.0 6.6% 50.4 47.3 6.6%
8
9
Transactional Business
Year ended December
(£ millions)
Revenue
2011
2010
% chg
UPBT
2011
2010
% chg
Commercial Transactions - Asia Pacific
- UK
- Europe
- America
80.2
47.9
26.0
6.3
85.5
48.2
30.2
3.1
(6.2)%
(0.6)%
(13.9)%
103.2%
11.2
4.6
(8.8)
(1.4)
13.4
7.7
(4.3)
(3.6)
(16.4)%
(40.3)%
(104.7)%
61.1%
Residential Transactions - UK
- Asia Pacific
95.0
19.9
86.8
16.9
9.4%
17.8%
14.8
3.8
13.3
4.3
11.3%
(11.6)%
Total 275.3 270.7 1.7% 24.2 30.8 (21.4)%
9
10
Non-transactional Business
Year ended December
(£ millions)
Revenue
2011
2010
% chg
PBT
2011
2010
% chg
Property Management - Asia Pacific
- UK
- Europe
172.4
77.8
28.4
151.0
72.4
20.3
14.2%
7.5%
39.9%
10.9
6.5
(0.7)
10.4
5.8
(1.8)
4.8%
12.1%
61.1%
Total Property Management 278.6 243.7 14.3% 16.7 14.4 16.0%
Consultancy - UK
- Asia Pacific
- Europe
107.4
24.9
11.1
97.5
26.3
10.4
10.2%
(5.3)%
6.7%
10.9
1.8
(0.1)
9.1
1.6
(0.1)
19.8%
12.5%
0.0%
Total Consultancy 143.4 134.2 6.9% 12.6 10.6 18.9%
Fund Management 20.8 19.0 9.5% 4.7 3.4 38.2%
Other / Financial Services 3.4 9.4 (63.8)% (7.8) (11.9) 34.5%
Total 446.2 406.3 9.8% 26.2 16.5 58.8%
10
11
Business Review
11
12
Market share growth in Mainland China and Hong Kong despite falling volumes in
Hong Kong
UK and Europe market slowed in second half prompted by Euro
Hire of sector specialists and small acquisitions to benefit in future periods
US significantly improved with continued investment in the business
Commercial Transaction Advisory Business
Year ended December (£ millions)
Revenue 2011
2010
% chg
PBT 2011
2010
% chg
Commercial Transactions - Asia Pacific
- UK
- Europe
- America
80.2
47.9
26.0
6.3
85.5
48.2
30.2
3.1
(6.2)%
(0.6)%
(13.9)%
103.2%
11.2
4.6
(8.8)
(1.4)
13.4
7.7
(4.3)
(3.6)
(16.4)%
(40.3)%
(104.7)%
61.1%
Total 160.4 167.0 (4.0)% 5.6 13.2 (57.6)%
12
13
UK Prime Residential market performed strongly, particularly in Prime Central London
New offices in Mayfair, Chelsea and St John’s Wood
In UK market outside London showing signs of recovery in Q4 2011
Reduced activity in Asia Pacific towards year end and growth costs reduced profits
Residential Transaction Advisory Business
Year ended December (£ millions)
Revenue 2011
2010
% chg
PBT 2011
2010
% chg
Residential Transactions
- UK - Asia Pacific
95.0 19.9
86.8 16.9
9.4% 17.8%
14.8 3.8
13.3 4.3
11.3% (11.6)%
Total 114.9 103.7 10.8% 18.6 17.6 5.7%
13
14
Area under management up 23% to c.1,360m ft² (2010: 1,105m ft²)
Asia Pacific - continued revenue growth but expansion costs and minimum wage
legislation restricted PBT growth
UK - benefited from investment in previous year plus some significant contract wins
Continental Europe - benefited from termination of unprofitable contracts and
acquisition in Sweden
Property Management
Year ended December (£ millions)
Revenue 2011
2010
% chg
PBT 2011
2010
% chg
Property Management - Asia Pacific
- UK
- Europe
172.4
77.8
28.4
151.0
72.4
20.3
14.2%
7.5%
39.9%
10.9
6.5
(0.7)
10.4
5.8
(1.8)
4.8%
12.1%
61.1%
Total 278.6 243.7 14.3% 16.7 14.4 16.0%
14
15
Consultancy
Year ended December
(£ millions)
Revenue
2011
2010
% chg
PBT
2011
2010
% chg
Consultancy - UK
- Asia Pacific
- Europe
107.4
24.9
11.1
97.5
26.3
10.4
10.2%
(5.3)%
6.7%
10.9
1.8
(0.1)
9.1
1.6
(0.1)
19.8%
12.5%
0.0%
Total 143.4 134.2 6.9% 12.6 10.6 18.9%
Strong performance from valuation teams, but reduced bank lending in Europe remains
UK Planning consultancy benefited from acquisition of the London Planning Practice
Asia Pacific discontinuation of unprofitable business reduced revenue but improved PBT
15
16
Funds under management rose 3% to €3.4bn (2010: €3.3bn)
Strong inflows from flagship funds (Charities Property Fund, UK Income and Growth
Funds and Euro Commercial Fund) and commitments to segregated investment
mandates
Exited a number of uneconomic investment mandates
In January 2012 acquired International Property Asset Management GmbH in
Germany
Fund Management
Year ended December (£ millions)
Revenue 2011
2010
% chg PBT 2011
2010
% chg
Fund Management 20.8 19.0 9.5% 4.7 3.4 38.2%
16
17
Year ended December (£ millions)
Revenue 2011
2010
% chg
PBT 2011
2010
% chg
Commercial Transactions
Property Management
Consultancy
26.0
28.4
11.1
30.2
20.3
10.4
(13.9)%
39.9%
6.7%
(8.8)
(0.7)
(0.1)
(4.3)
(1.8)
(0.1)
(104.7)%
61.1%
0.0%
Total 65.5 60.9 7.6% (9.6) (6.2) (54.8)%
Europe
Economic crisis affected Transaction markets
PM revenue growth through acquisition (Sweden); profits improving (investment)
Ireland made €0.5m profit
£2.6m investment in core Europe (2010: £0.6m) in leasing teams /valuation
£1.2m restructuring costs (Rome/Barcelona closed)
17
18
Resilient Performance through Diversification
UK 49%
Asia 41%
Europe 9%
US 1%
2011 Revenue by Geography £’m
UK 352.3
Asia 297.4
Europe 65.5
US 6.3
Property & Facilities
Mgmt 39%
Transaction 38%
Consultancy 20%
Fund Mgmt 3%
Other <1%
2011 Revenue by Business £’m
Transaction Advisory 275.3
Property / Facilities Mgmt 278.6
Consultancy 143.4
Fund Management 20.8
Other 3.4
18
19
The Savills Proposition
To be the advisor of choice in our core markets
The Savills differentiation is:
Our Brand
Strength in both prime Residential and prime Commercial
Market leaders in UK and Asia with global network
Highest quality staff
Performance driven culture
19
20
Management Priorities
Expand our Global Residential presence and branding
Further expansion in London Residential - new office openings
Strengthen our global platform/capability to capture/advise global capital flows
Continue growth of Global Property Management
Build our European Fund management platform and review international
opportunities
Investment in Global client service platform (IT)
20
21
Progress against these priorities - Organic
Strategic Priorities
Global Prime Residential Rupert Sebag-Montefiore – Chairman
Recruitment in Sydney and Asia
South of France under review
Global Cities research programme initiated
New York Residential Association - Stribling
Global Cross-Border Capital Markets Simon Hope - Chairman
Recruitment of US based cross border and hospitality teams
London team recruited
Progress since 2010
European Fund / Asset Management Recruitment in core Europe (Germany/France)
Recruitment in Asia
Operating Platform Commitment to new Residential Agency system and CRM investment programme
21
22
Progress against these priorities - Acquisitions
* Price shown is total. All acquisition payments phased over a number of years
Acquisitions Business Activity Price £ *
2011
Sweden Property & Project Management £3.8m
Sweden Facilities Management £1.8m
London Retail £2.5m
London Planning £1.3m
Singapore Property Management £0.6m
2012
London Investment Agency £1.6m
Germany Fund Management £4.6m
22
savills.co.uk
Savills Strategy for Global Residential
Rupert Sebag-Montefiore
23 23
Strategy in 2 Parts
Global Strategy
London Strategy
24
25
Concentrate on major world cities
Residential growth strategy
With high profile
High profile markets BUT with low values and turnover = lower profits
With high values
With high unit turnover
Build profile with associate firms i.e. their business but our
brand
26
Most valuable residential markets
All have both primary & re-sale markets
All have strong commercial markets
All have worldwide profile
Many HNWI’s have interests in more than one of these cities
Long term targets are New York & Paris BUT Savills has unique advantage of existing business &
profile in the Asia Pacific cities
Sydney Shanghai Singapore Hong Kong London Paris (&
Riviera)
New York Moscow
Savills Associate Associate Savills Savills Savills Savills Associate
27
Hong Kong still leads in value -
despite recent price falls
0
50
100
150
200
250
Jun-11 Dec-11
Source: Savills Research 28
Offensive
Global Residential - Why?
Defensive
The super wealthy are ever more globally connected
They are acquiring property around the world
Prime for their own occupation
Investments for letting/children’s education
With our Asian offices, Savills has a better residential coverage than our competitors
Residential promotes the Savills brand
Residential now a recognised investment asset class
To protect & enhance our market share in London
To protect & enhance Savills Residential brand 29
UK Residential - a snapshot
70 UK offices (23 in London)
Residential Consultancy (Planning and Housing): £27.9m turnover and £3.1m profit
Over 75% of sales and lettings profits are London
2011 Global Residential related revenue (including Asia) was £160m – 22% of Group total
Revenue - £’m
Year 2011 2010 %
Transaction/ Agency 95.0 86.8 9%
Leasing/Management 17.5 16.2 8%
Total 112.5 103.0 9%
Profit - £’m
Year 2011 2010 %
Transaction/ Agency 14.8 13.3 11%
Leasing/Management 2.2 1.9 16%
Total 17.0 15.2 12%
30
31
Strategic decision to concentrate on London
Recent New Offices
2007 Knightsbridge (Chesterfields)
2008 Mayfair & Battersea
2011 St Johns Wood & Chelsea (temp)
2012 Chelsea (Fulham Road)
Notting Hill
Fulham Palace (Bishop’s Park)
2013 and beyond
2 to 3 new London offices per
annum, market and key player
dependent Recent openings
2012 office openings 32
Savills – the market leader at the top end
Source: Savills Research
Savills 25.4%
Other agents 24.1% Knight Frank, 21.9%
Strutt & Parker, 4.6%
Hamptons, 3.9%
Private Sale, 3.1%
Beauchamp Estates, 2.9%
Aylesford, 2.4%
Wetherell, 2.2%
Aston Chase, 1.8%
Glentree, 1.8%
Russell Simpson, 1.8% Sotheby's, 1.5% John D Wood, 1.3%
TK International, 1.3%
Includes second hand & new homes sales
Includes half commission deals
Excludes OHP
Proportion of
deals over £5m
in 2011 in
Central London
33
Prime London purchasers in 2011
UK, 66%
China & Pacific Asia,
4%
Eastern Europe and The CIS, 4%
North Africa and the Middle
East, 3%
Western Europe
including Nordic
Countries, 14%
Africa, 2%
South Asian sub-continent,
2%
North America, 4%
Other, 1%
UK, 37%
China & Pacific Asia,
32.65%
Eastern Europe and
The CIS, 7.76%
North Africa and the
Middle East, 12.65%
Western Europe
including Nordic
Countries, 4.90% Africa, 0.82%
South Asian sub-
continent, 3.27% North
America, 0.41%
Other, 0.41%
Re-sales Net overseas equity inflow £3.6bn
New Build Net overseas equity inflow £1.4bn
34
Summary of Savills Global Strategy
To grow residential in major cities outside London
To extend Savills leadership in London
The Result
To use our current platform to build the
Leading
Prime Global Residential
Network & Brand
The Result
To use our current platform
to enhance our
Leading
Prime Global Residential
Business
35
36
Summary
36
37
Summary & Outlook
Summary
Results demonstrate strength of Savills business model
Strong balance sheet – no debt
Outlook
2012 H1 challenging for some transactional markets but improvement expected in H2
UK prime residential and London Commercial resilient
China and non Transactional business growth to offset short term volume reductions in
HK
Action taken to improve continental European performance
Subject to unforeseen circumstances, we anticipate performing in line with expectations
for 2012
37