se asia: brooke perspectives. key demographics asiaeurope (25 countries) usa 3.8 billion 455 million...
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SE Asia: Brooke PerspectivesSE Asia: Brooke Perspectives
Key Demographics Key Demographics
AsiaAsia EuropeEurope(25 countries)(25 countries)
USAUSA
3.8 billion3.8 billion 455 million455 million 290.5 million290.5 million
42.35m s.km42.35m s.km 3.89m sk.m3.89m sk.m 9.16m s.km9.16m s.km
US$4,969US$4,969
(per capita)(per capita)
US$23,600US$23,600 US$36,300US$36,300
Labour forceLabour force 1.72 billion1.72 billion 220 million220 million 142 million142 million
-2.5
-1
0.5
2
3.5
5
6.5
8
9.5
1999a 2000a 2001a 2002a 2003b 2004c 2005c
GDP Growth
20.4
8
5.7
5.4
2.2
1.2
0.92
0.7
0.5
0 5 10 15 20 25
Japan
Singapore
Taiwan
Hong Kong
Malaysia
Thailand
China
Philippines
Indonesia
Summary of Labour Cost per Hour (US$)
* For production workers. Includes pay for time worked, other direct pay (eg. holiday pay), employer expenditures on legally required insurance programmes and other labour taxes.
Consumption Trends in Asia Consumption Trends in Asia 2003/20042003/2004
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Ko
rea
Tai
wan
Jap
an
Ho
ng
Ko
ng
Ind
ia
Ind
on
esia
Ph
ilip
pin
es
Au
stra
lia
Th
aila
nd
Sin
gap
ore
Mal
aysi
a
Ch
ina
Asi
anA
vera
ge
%YoY
2003 1Q04
India: the next China ?India: the next China ?Improving economy Improving economy but FDI only US$3.4 but FDI only US$3.4 billion in 2003/4billion in 2003/4Increased spending on Increased spending on infrastructure plannedinfrastructure plannedOpening up of the Opening up of the telecom and real telecom and real estate markets to estate markets to foreign investorsforeign investorsOutsourcing from US Outsourcing from US and Europe continuesand Europe continues47 million new homes 47 million new homes requiredrequired
SingaporeSingaporeOver 8% GDP Over 8% GDP
growth in 2004 but growth in 2004 but expected to slow expected to slow
Retail sales slowingRetail sales slowingRecovery in property Recovery in property
markets mixed but markets mixed but activity increasing and activity increasing and 4 REITS planned4 REITS planned
Recent sale and Recent sale and leaseback of HSBC leaseback of HSBC BuildingBuilding
IndonesiaIndonesia
Recovery at last Recovery at last 2004 GDP growth was 2004 GDP growth was 5.1% and set to increase 5.1% and set to increase in 2005in 2005Consumer spending up – Consumer spending up – 50% increase in vehicle 50% increase in vehicle salessalesFDI tripled in 2004 y/y FDI tripled in 2004 y/y Stock exchange at record Stock exchange at record highhighStability improvingStability improving
MalaysiaMalaysia
Strong trading growth Strong trading growth and pressure to and pressure to revalue currencyrevalue currencyVacancies in over-Vacancies in over-invested property invested property markets decliningmarkets decliningStrong retail growth Strong retail growth with consumer with consumer spending upspending upIncreased inward Increased inward investment in the investment in the manufacturing sectormanufacturing sector
ThailandThailandImproving economy and Improving economy and
lower unemploymentlower unemploymentIncreased consumer Increased consumer
spending and auto industry spending and auto industry growinggrowing
Foreign funds returned to Foreign funds returned to the stock marketthe stock market
Jump in foreign invested Jump in foreign invested projects since electionprojects since election
Risk of instability in Risk of instability in southern provincessouthern provinces
PhilippinesPhilippines
6.4% GDP growth in 6.4% GDP growth in 2004 highest since 2004 highest since 19961996Domestic demand up Domestic demand up by 6.7%by 6.7%Increased foreign Increased foreign investment in call investment in call centres and business centres and business services outsourcingservices outsourcingIndustrial sector Industrial sector strengtheningstrengthening
Regional TrendsRegional TrendsGrowth in consumerismGrowth in consumerismInflux of overseas fundsInflux of overseas fundsHigher community Higher community aspirationsaspirationsInterest in REITSInterest in REITSIntegration of Integration of transportation/real transportation/real estate developmentestate developmentTourism as an Tourism as an investment driverinvestment driverSustainabilitySustainability
Regional ChallengesRegional Challenges
Mega cities and urban Mega cities and urban planningplanningUrban densities and Urban densities and housing provisionhousing provisionIntegration of Integration of city/regional planningcity/regional planningRegeneration v new Regeneration v new townstownsConservation of Conservation of heritage assetsheritage assets
Investment Difficulties – Regulatory BarriersInvestment Difficulties – Regulatory Barriers
Indonesia Local partner needed All foreign remittance transactions over US$10,000 or its equivalent must be
reported to Central Bank of Indonesia
Malaysia Local partner needed The National Land Code restricts the acquisition of land by non-citizens and
foreign companies
Philippines Local partner needed Foreigners cannot own land in the Philippines except in cases of hereditary
succession Foreign interest in a residential project cannot exceed 40%
India Repatriation of foreign capital invested in real estate is not allowed for foreign citizens & foreign companies
Funds for acquire or hold property in India must be provided by way of inward remittance of foreign currency
Thailand Local partner needed Foreigners cannot hold title to land but are allowed to purchase leasehold
interests
Regional Office Total ReturnsRegional Office Total Returns
CitiesCitiesAverage 5 YearAverage 5 Year
Total Return (%)Total Return (%)Seoul (CBD)Seoul (CBD) 23.423.4
BangkokBangkok 14.514.5
JakartaJakarta 12.212.2
BeijingBeijing 11.211.2
KL (City Centre)KL (City Centre) 7.47.4
Shanghai (Pudong)Shanghai (Pudong) 6.66.6
Shanghai (Puxi)Shanghai (Puxi) 3.93.9
Hong Kong (Central)Hong Kong (Central) 1.91.9
Manila (Makati)Manila (Makati) 0.60.6
Singapore (Raffles Place)Singapore (Raffles Place) -2.1-2.1
TokyoTokyo -5.4-5.4
Chasing the Tourism DollarChasing the Tourism Dollar
National/City approach to creating world class National/City approach to creating world class tourist destinations - very strong competitiontourist destinations - very strong competitionDevelopment of family tourism – Disney and Development of family tourism – Disney and Ocean Park, Universal Studios and Sentosa Ocean Park, Universal Studios and Sentosa Emergence of Macau as the Las Vegas of Asia Emergence of Macau as the Las Vegas of Asia and integration of gambling/entertainmentand integration of gambling/entertainmentThailand, Japan and Taipei legalising casinos – Thailand, Japan and Taipei legalising casinos – Hong Kong and Singapore consideringHong Kong and Singapore consideringVietnam, South Korea and the Philippines Vietnam, South Korea and the Philippines expanding existing casino operations expanding existing casino operations
Office Market TrendsOffice Market Trends
Steady/CoolingDown
WarmingUp
CoolingFurther
HotterStill
Hong KongTokyo
Hong KongTokyo
ShanghaiManila
ShanghaiManila
TaipeiJakarta
Ho Chi Minh
TaipeiJakarta
Ho Chi Minh
SingaporeBangkok
Kuala LumpurBeijingSeoul
SingaporeBangkok
Kuala LumpurBeijingSeoul
Sunny
Chilly
Professional Professional Property Services Property Services
LimitedLimited
PPPPSS