section 07 02e (1)
TRANSCRIPT
SECTION 7.2APPLICATIONS OF THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
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Definition: z-score of x
Let x be a value from a normal distribution with mean µ and standard deviation σ. We can convert x to a z-score by using a method known as standardization.
The z-score of x is(x )z
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Definition: z-score of x
Properties of the z-score1. The z-score follows a standard normal distribution.
2. Values below the mean have negative z-scores, and values above the mean have positive z-scores.
3. The z-score tells how many standard deviations the original value is above or below the mean.
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Example 7.14Heights in a certain population of women follow a normal distribution with mean µ = 64 inches and standard deviation σ = 3 inches.
a. A randomly selected woman has a height of x = 67 inches. Find and interpret the z-score of this value.Solution: The z-score for x = 67 is z = (67–µ)/σ = (67–64)/3 = 1.00. Because the z-score is positive, we interpret this by saying that a height of 67 inches is 1 standard deviation above the mean height of 64 inches.
b. Another randomly selected woman has a height of x = 63 inches. Find and interpret the z-score of this value.Solution: The z-score for x = 63 is z = (63–µ)/σ = (63–64)/3 = –0.33. Because the z-score is negative, we interpret this by saying that a height of 63 inches is 0.33 standard deviation below the mean height of 64 inches.
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Finding an Area Under a Normal Curve Using TablesWhen using tables to compute areas, we first standardize to z-scores, then proceed with the methods from the last section.
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Example 7.15 (Tables)
A study reported that the length of pregnancy from conception to birth is approximately normally distributed with mean µ = 272 days and standard deviation σ = 9 days. What proportion of pregnancies last longer than 280 days?
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Example 7.15 (Tables)
Step 1: Find the z-score for x = 280.The z-score for 280 is
Step 2: Sketch a normal curve, label the mean, x-value, and z-score, and shade in the area to be found.
280 272 0.899
xz
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Example 7.15 (Tables)
Step 3: Since we are interested in the proportion of pregnancies lasting longer than 280 days, find the area to the right of z = 0.89.
Using Table A.2, we find the area to the left of z = 0.89 to be 0.8133. The are to the right is therefore 1 – 0.8133 = 0.1867. We conclude that the proportion of pregnancies that last longer than 280 days is 0.1867.
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Example 7.17 (Tables)
The length of a pregnancy from conception to birth approximately normally distributed with mean µ = 272 days and standard deviation σ = 9 days. A pregnancy is considered full-term if it lasts between 252 days and 298 days.
What proportion of pregnancies are full-term?
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Example 7.17 (Tables)
Step 1: Find the z-score for x = 252 and x = 298.
z-score for x = 252:
z-score for x = 298:
Step 2: Sketch a normal curve, label the mean, the x-values, and the z-scores, and shade in the area to be found.
252 272 2.229
z
298 272 2.899
z
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Example 7.17 (Tables)
Step 3: Using Table A.2, we find that the area to the left of z = 2.89 is 0.9981 and the area to the left of z = –2.22 is 0.0132. The area between z = − 2.22 and z = 2.89 is therefore 0.9981 – 0.0132 = 0.9849.
The proportion of pregnancies that are full-term, between 252 days and 298 days, is 0.9849.
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Find the Value from a Normal Distribution with a Given ProportionSuppose we want to find the value from a normal distribution that has a given proportion of the population above or below it.
The method for doing this is the reverse of the previous method where we found a proportion for a given value. In other words, we want to find the value from the distribution that has a given z-score.
Therefore, we will solve z = (x – µ)/σ for x. This produces x = µ + zσ.The value of x that corresponds to a given z-score is
given by x = µ + zσ
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Example 7.18 (Tables)
Heights in a group of men are normally distributed with mean µ= 69 inches and standard deviation σ = 3 inches.
a. Find the height whose z-score is 1. Interpret the result.Solution:We use the invNorm command
b. Find the height whose z-score is – 2.0. Interpret the result.
c. Find the height whose z-score is 0.6. Interpret the result.
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Example 7.18
Heights in a group of men are normally distributed with mean µ= 69 inches and standard deviation σ = 3 inches.
a. Find the height whose z-score is 1. Interpret the result.
Solution:We want the height that is equal to the mean plus one standard deviation. Therefore, x = µ + zσ
= 69 + (1)(3) = 72
We interpret this by saying that a man 72 inches tall has a height one standard deviation above the mean.
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Example 7.18
Heights in a group of men are normally distributed with mean µ= 69 inches and standard deviation σ = 3 inches.
b. Find the height whose z-score is – 2.0. Interpret the result.
Solution:We want the height that is equal to the mean minus two standard deviation. Therefore, x = µ + zσ
= 69 + (– 2)(3) = 63
We interpret this by saying that a man 63 inches tall has a height two standard deviation below the mean.
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Example 7.18
Heights in a group of men are normally distributed with mean µ= 69 inches and standard deviation σ = 3 inches.
c. Find the height whose z-score is 0.6. Interpret the result.
Solution: We want the height that is equal to the mean plus 0.6 standard deviation. Therefore, x = µ + zσ
= 69 + (0.6)(3) = 70.8
We interpret this by saying that a man 70.8 inches tall has a height 0.6 standard deviation above the mean.
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Finding a Normal Value That has a GivenProportion Above or Below It Using TablesThe following procedure can be use to find the value from a normal distribution that has a given proportion above or below it using Table A.2:
Step 1: Sketch a normal curve, label the mean, label the value x to be found,
and shade in and label the given area.Step 2: If the given area is on the right, subtract it from 1 to get the area on the left.Step 3: Look in the body of Table A.2 to find the area closest to the given area. Find the z-score corresponding to that area.Step 4: Obtain the value from the normal distribution by computing
x = µ + zσ
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Example 7.19 (Tables)
Mensa is an organization whose membership is limited to people whose IQ is in the top 2% of the population. Assume that scores on an IQ test are normally distributed with mean µ = 100 and standard deviation σ = 15. What is the minimum score needed to qualify for membership in Mensa?
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Example 7.19 (Tables)
Step 1: The figure below represents a sketch of the normal curve, showing the value x separating the upper 2% from the lower 98%.
Step 2: The area 0.02 is on the right, so we subtract from 1 and work with the area 0.98 on the left.
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Example 7.19 (Tables)
Step 3: The area closest to 0.98 in Table A.2 is 0.9798, which corresponds to a z-score of 2.05.
Step 4: The IQ score that separates the upper 2% from the lower 98% is
x = µ + zσ = 100 + (2.05)(15) = 130.75
Since IQ scores are generally whole numbers, we will round this to x = 131.
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