sentinel week 2 h4d stanford 2016

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Team Sentinel Team members: Jared Dunnmon Darren Hau Atsu Kobashi Rachel Moore Military Liaisons John Chu (Colonel, US Army) Todd Cimicata (Commander, US Navy) Problem Sponsor Jason Knudson (Lieutenant, US Navy 7th Fleet) Tech Mentors include: Graham Gilmer (Booz Allen Hamilton) Sean Murphy (Hytrust)

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Page 1: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Team Sentinel● Team members:

○ Jared Dunnmon

○ Darren Hau

○ Atsu Kobashi

○ Rachel Moore

● Military Liaisons

○ John Chu (Colonel, US Army)

○ Todd Cimicata (Commander, US Navy)

● Problem Sponsor

○ Jason Knudson (Lieutenant, US Navy 7th Fleet)

● Tech Mentors include:

○ Graham Gilmer (Booz Allen Hamilton)

○ Sean Murphy (Hytrust)

○ Drew Barker (NIAC)

● # of customers we spoke to this week: 14

● What we do: we create data analysis and information sharing infrastructure to leverage remote sensing capabilities in support of the Seventh Fleet’s maritime domain awareness

● Why it matters: $25k sonar buoys and convoluted information sharing processes

Page 2: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Team Sentinel

● Team members:

○ Jared Dunnmon

○ Darren Hau

○ Atsu Kobashi

○ Rachel Moore

● Military Liaisons

○ John Chu (Colonel, US Army)

○ Todd Cimicata (Commander, US Navy)

● Problem Sponsor

○ Jason Knudson (Lieutenant, US Navy 7th Fleet)

● Tech Mentors include:

○ Graham Gilmer (Booz Allen Hamilton)

○ Sean Murphy (Hytrust)

○ Drew Barker (NIAC)

● # of customers we spoke to this week: 12

● What we do: we create data analysis and information sharing infrastructure to leverage remote sensing capabilities in support of the Seventh Fleet’s maritime domain awareness

● Why it matters: $25k sonar buoys and convoluted information sharing processes

“I am the sentinel of the sea.”

-- Anonymous

Page 3: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Team Sentinel

● Team members:

○ Jared Dunnmon

○ Darren Hau

○ Atsu Kobashi

○ Rachel Moore

● # of interviews: 13

○ Users: 5

○ Buyers: 3

○ Experts: 7

● What we do: Fill in intelligence gap about surface ships in an A2/AD environment by

○ Enabling rapid deployment of low-cost sensors

○ Expanding breadth of data acquired

○ Enhancing intel through contextualization

● Why it matters:

○ A2/AD prevents deployment of traditional ISR

○ Current assets are incapable of providing timely insight throughout 7th Fleet’s operational domain

● Military Liaisons

○ John Chu (Colonel, US Army)

○ Todd Cimicata (Commander, US Navy)

● Problem Sponsor

○ Jason Knudson (Lieutenant, US Navy 7th Fleet)

● Tech Mentors include:

○ Palantir (TBD)

Page 4: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Customer Discovery

Hypotheses Experiments Results Action

Information sharing is core problem

- Interview with Moon- Engagement with Knudson

- We learned about MOC - very fluid info transfer between N2/N3- National efforts to address info sharing

- Determine if compatible format (.kmz) is all we need to plug into system

Predictive analytics for hot-spots will add value

- Engagement with Knudson, Chimi

- This will be a “gain” but is not the main pain-point we should be addressing.

- No action until proven otherwise

A2/AD -> we are interested in ISR for sub-surface ships

- Engagement with Knudson- Interviews with Gauthier, Hertel, Ahn- NAP article on C4ISR

- 7th Fleet wants details about surface ships (e.g. hull number)- A2/AD is a concern because we can no longer deploy traditional ISR assets (e.g. P3’s)

- Determine the specific information 7th Fleet wants about surface ships (e.g. materials, personnel, speed)

Sensors platforms exist for our needs

- Interview with Gauthier -> waveglider efforts- Interview with Frost, Ahn -> temporal problem

- EXISTENCE ≠ AVAILABILITY- Sensor platforms cannot be deployed in a timely fashion

- Determine a “good-enough” time to data acquisition (e.g. 1 hr? 30 min?)

Page 5: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Research- Interviews to assess needs, organizational dynamics, procurement strategy- Site visits to see current practices- Identify key geographic areas of interest

Prototype- Evaluate existing sensor platforms with commercial partners- Integrate sensor(s) of interest into partner product- Compile existing data resources- Evaluate ML algorithms

Scaling- Develop fabrication / procurement strategy- Develop tactical deployment strategy

Strategic Decision MakersE.g. CPT Greg Hussman, VADM Joseph Aucoin

Analysts (N2)E.g. Jason Knudson, John Chu, Jed Raskie, Joseph Baba Deployers (N3)We need to find + talk with these people

ACQUIRING READY-TO-USE DATA

Episodic persistence- Persistent coverage of a chokepoint area for a limited time (days - 1 mo)

Timely deployment strategy- i.e. deploy disposable sensors off of waveglider- sub-2 hr latency (TBD)- deployable from multiple platforms

Lower cost sensor solution- disposable/low-maintenance- modularity + distributed architecture

Open Architecture- Improved information sharing with differential permissions- Object-oriented database that is easily searchable- Cross-domain analysis techniques to integrate multiple data sources- Compatible data format (.kmz)

Actionable intelligence- Predictive vs reactionary intel through machine learning - identify potential hot spots- Simplifying to reduce data overload- Improved UI increases decision quality and speed

Reduce manpower burden: - Remove tedious/manual tasks through automation- More efficiently use existing analysts

- Decreased time to predict hot spots, ID & differentiate threats

- Good UI for operators, decision-makers

- Timely, episodic persistent coverage with easily-deployed system

- Cost savings with respect to existing solutions

- Prototype operability + demonstrated scalability

Hardware- Acquire initial sensor platform with single desired capability- Build multiple units pursuing the same threat group (network effects) and derive useful insights from analysis tools- Design deployment strategy + platform- Deploy pilot in operational environment- Develop fabrication/procurement pipeline + cost models for scaling

Software- Determine most useful data interface for analysts

Fixed- Buying proprietary data- Software tools- Hardware evaluation + prototyping equipment- Evaluation of commercial products

Prototyping- Existing sensor platforms- Existing deployment platforms- Academic research

Scaling- Available commercial + military data- Existing database tools (Palantir, AWS)

- Need demand from operators and deployment personnel in 7th Fleet

- Need commanding officer to confirm decision-making benefits

- Need intelligence officers from ONI / N2 to confirm effectiveness of insights

- Need IT approvals to integrate into systems

- Need support of commercial partners if want to leverage their platforms

Beneficiaries

Mission AchievementMission Budget/Costs

Buy-In

Deployment

Value Proposition

Key Activities

Key Resources

Key Partners

Military- 7th Fleet + designated sponsor- Naval Postgraduate School (NPS)- Office of Naval Research (ONR)- Acquisition Personnel

Commercial- Distributed sensor platform companies (i.e. Saildrone, AMS)- Data analytics (i.e. Palantir, Google)- Advanced manufacturing

Academic- Universities (i.e. University of Hawaii)- National Labs (Lincoln Labs, Sandia)

Other- IUU fishing + anti-smuggling stakeholders (i.e. Coast Guard, PNA)

Mission: Provide Cost-Effective, Actionable Intelligence at All Times

Testing- 7th Fleet assets for pilot- Research barge

Variable- Travel for site visits, pilots- R&D personnel- Manufacturing

Page 6: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Products& Services

- Timely data- Good UI/UX for

presenting data

- Cheaper acquisition- Less maintenance- Robust system that

can handle disruption- Increased coverage

area and persistence- Predictive

intelligence

Customer Jobs

Gains

Pains

Gain Creators

Pain Relievers

- Improved deployment strategy

- Good UI/UX- Automated alerts for

areas of interest

- Allocate assets- Identify, eliminate

threats- Predict hot spots- Safety of team- Projecting peace,

stability in region

- Increased asset / manpower utilization

- Better decisions- Deterrence- Preemptive

deployment

- Poor quality/lack of data- Time consuming system- Latency of data ->

insight- Reactive intelligence

Admiral/Strategic Decision Maker

Value Proposition Canvas

Page 7: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Products& Services

- Contextualized, object-oriented database

- Robust network- Algorithms for

processing, analyzing data

- Ability to search for trends across database

- Faster deployment of sensors

- Integration of data sources

- Automation of data analysis

- Predictive intelligence

Customer Jobs

Gains

Pains

Gain Creators

Pain Relievers

- Contextualized, object-oriented database

- Compatible data format- Incorporate multiple data

streams- Persistent coverage

- Collect & analyze data

- Communicate findings

- Piece together contextualized awareness

- More actionable insights

- Faster identification & response times

- Preemptive deployment

- Incorporation of context is manual/mental

- Poor quality / lack of data- Latency of data -> insight- No persistent coverage- Reactive intelligence

Analyst (N2)

Value Proposition Canvas

Page 8: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Products& Services

- Low cost, disposable sensors

- Improved deployment strategy

- Remote operability- Disposable- Reduced expense- Integration of data

sourcesCustomer

Jobs

Gains

Pains

Gain Creators

Pain Relievers

- Safe, at-distance deployment

- Autonomous operation- Disposable- Reduced expense

- Deploy sensors in timely manner

- Monitor status- Maintenance

- Safer deployment- Reduced manpower, time- Reduced operator error

- High manpower, time- Operator error- Safety concern for deploying

in unfriendly territory

Deployers (N3)

Value Proposition Canvas

Page 9: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Customer Workflow

N2

N3

N2(“owns”

the intel)

N3(“owns”

the assets)

Ready-To-Use DataDeployment

Data Acquisition

Data Analysis

Data

Order/Decision

Page 10: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Customer Workflow

N2

N3

N2(“owns”

the intel)

N3(“owns”

the assets)

Contextualized DataDeployment

Data Acquisition

Data Analysis

Data

Order/Decision

MVP

Page 11: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Data Acquisition

MVP

- What data is most useful to capture?- What sensor modalities can capture?- What products exist?

Page 12: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Data Acquisition

MVP

Deployment

- What data is most useful to capture?- What sensor modalities can capture?- What products exist?

- What deployment options exist?- What is easiest to deploy?- What is “good-enough” time to data acquisition?- What is the deployment process?

Page 13: Sentinel Week 2 H4D Stanford 2016

Data Acquisition

ContextualizedDatabase

MVP

Deployment

Last Month

Today

Object-orientedDatabase

Query

- What data is most useful to capture?- What sensor modalities can capture?- What products exist?

- What deployment options exist?- What is easiest to deploy?- What is “good-enough” time to data acquisition?- What is the deployment process?

- Is .kmz format all that is necessary for compatibility?- What do companies like Palantir do today?