shaping the future by adding value: which new ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive...

42
Check Against Delivery. Embargoed until 11:45 AM, 5 November 2010 Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New Manufacturing Technologies Can Face the Future? by Fritz Klocke RWTH Aachen University, Germany Session 8, Keynote Lecture Our Common Future, Essen, November 5th, 2010 Page 0 © WZL/Fraunhofer IPT Our Common Future, Hannover/Essen, 2-6 November 2010 (www.ourcommonfuture.de )

Upload: others

Post on 04-Jul-2020

0 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Check Against Delivery . Embargoed until 11:45 AM, 5 November 2010

Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New Manuf acturing Technologies Can Face the Future?

by Fritz KlockeRWTH Aachen University, Germany

Session 8, Keynote LectureOur Common Future, Essen, November 5th, 2010

Page 0© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Our Common Future, Hannover/Essen, 2-6 November 2010 (www.ourcommonfuture.de)

Page 2: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which new Manufacturing Technologies can face the Future?

Keynote Lecture

© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Fritz KlockeRWTH Aachen University Fraunhofer Institute for Production Technology IPTAachen, Germany

Our Common Future Conference Essen, 5 November 2010

Page 3: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Outline

� Challenges of the future

� Research and development in a dynamic surrounding

� Production engineering on the move -

Page 2© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Production engineering on the move -Technological sound solutions

� Case studies

� Conclusion

Page 4: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Environment, climate, recources

Overall balance

Industrial society in strained relations

Page 3© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Economy growthwelfare

Individual and collective needs

Source: Acatech, oct. 2007

Page 5: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Environment, climate, recources

Overall balance

Industrial society in strained relations

Page 4© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Individual and collective needs

Source: Acatech, oct. 2007

Economy growthwith less resources

Page 6: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

EnvironmentMobilityEnergy Mobility

MegatrendsMegatrends

Page 5© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

CommunicationsHealth Safety

Source: Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft

Page 7: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

EnvironmentMobilityEnergy Mobility

Natural Science and Engineering Science

do have to develop

technologically sound solutions!

Megatrends

Page 6© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

CommunicationsHealth Safety

Source: Fraunhofer-Gesellschaft

Production does has to realize products to market conditions!

Page 8: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

� Challenges of the future

� Research and development in a dynamic surrounding

� Production engineering on the move -

Outline

Page 7© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Production engineering on the move -Technological sound solutions

� Case studies

� Conclusion

Page 9: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

� Reduction of time– Time to market – Manufacturing time

� Short time delivery

Exactly delivery on timeplanning-

2020

resolution of the polylemma of production

reduced dilemmas

scale

Production theory and production management

Page 8© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Exactly delivery on time

� Robust processes

� Flexible processes

planning-orientation

2010 dilemma

value-orientation

timeline scope

scale

Page 10: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Process model Hybrid process modeling

Empirical models

Coupled multibody simulation

Process evaluation

� Stability

� Tolerances

Mec

h. p

roce

ss

beha

viou

r

Opt

imiz

ed

NC

-pro

gram

CAM Path optimization NC-simulation

Default of set-pointsx = ... (t) a = ... (t)y = ... (t) b = ... (t)z = ... (t)

OK

Work piece model

Yes

No

∆mech F(t)

Basics - holistic modelling platform

Page 9© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

F(t)f

xd

Empirical models

FEM-model

The

rmal

pro

cess

be

havi

our

Thermal machine model

Temperature distribution

� Tolerances

� Surfaces

∆total = ∆mech + ∆therm

Mec

h. p

roce

ss

beha

viou

r

Work piece model

∆therm T(t)

Page 11: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Basics

Sound knowledge of physical and chemical basics is essential

Modeling

Scope: from design to operation

Basics and holistic modeling

Page 10© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Holistic manufacturing chain, manufacturing history

Multi scaling

Scale hopping

Interface conditions, interface design

Page 12: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Adaptive Manufacturing

Adaptive Production

DefinedOutput

Variable Disturbance

VariableInput

Page 11© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Adaptive production means fast, accurate and automated adaption

to variable input parameters and disturbances at the same time

keeping the desired output at target

Page 13: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Adaptive Production

DefinedOutput

Random disturbance

VariableInput

Lot size, delivery time, productvariants, component repair

Adaptive Manufacturing

Page 12© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Adaptive production means fast, accurate and automated adaption

to variable input parameters and disturbances at the same time

keeping the desired output at targetNew products and processes

Page 14: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Mastery and application ofknowledge

based on science and theory and

empirically verified technical insights for implementing

technical solutions

Generalised Job Description of an Engineer - Educati on

Page 13© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

technical solutions for the benefit of

humankind

Education of technicians and research in engineering must be

continuously adapted to changing conditions

Page 15: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Outline

� Challenges of the future

� Research and development in a dynamic surrounding

� Production engineering on the move -

Page 14© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Production engineering on the move -Technological sound solutions

� Case studies

� Conclusion

Page 16: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Energy

Fossil recourses are running short

People do need electricity

heating and

What Does the Future Hold?

Page 15© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

light

This requireschange in power generation (conversion)

change in energy distributionchange in energy use (consumption)

Page 17: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Pow

er [

GW

]

20

40

60

80

100

120

WorldEurope

Wind energy

Page 16© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Quelle: GWEC / EWEA, Siemens, VDMA

keramisch gebundene

Reqiurements DevelopmentsNew industry New Technologies

0

Page 18: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Technology leadership

Page 17© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Enercon GmbHQuelle: Klingelnberg, Vestas GmbH

Tower and rotor designRotor adjustmentGear and gearless transmission

Page 19: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

MobilityAutomobile congestion

air traffic and train network overloaddo cause in-mobility!

People and economydo need

What Does the Future Hold?

Page 18© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

do need mobility !

This requires:intelligent traffic control

integrated traffic managementnew traffic concepts

Page 20: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

� 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies

� 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

China

� 200 million US dollars for development of cost -efficient traction batteries (2007/ 2012)

Japan

� 730 million euros for energy technologies (2007/2013)

� 65 million euros for Energy In Transport, among others (2009)

EU

Investments in »Electro mobility«

Page 19© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

cost -efficient traction batteries (2007/ 2012)

� 2 billion US dollars for battery technology� 25 billion US dollars in credit for production

plants of fuel-saving cars� 150 billion dollars for clean energy technologies

(over 10 years)

USA

� 500 million euros for electromobility (within the framework of the economic stimulus package II 2009/2011)

� 60 million euros for “Lithium-ion battery LIB 2015” (2007/2011)

Germany

Source: Fraunhofer Gesellschaft

Page 21: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

� Combustion engine� Camshaft, crankshaft, bearings, injection

system

� Clutch

Complete or partly substitution of components

Produkt

komplexeGestalt

innovativeWerkstoffe

sichereProzesse

Electro Mobility

Page 20© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Clutch� Gears� Exhaust system (sensors, particle filter)

There are many sub suppliers making their business in these markets.Emerging countries might go directly for electro mo bility.

Page 22: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Titanium in combination with CFK

Door segment blue: titaniumgrey: CFKA350

Join the best suited materials together.

Share of titanium and composite materials (A350) is increasing

Page 21© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Spanten, Rippen, FußbodenträgerFahrwerksschächte

Door part: Titanium

Titanium in combination with CFKdue to chemical and mechanical compatibility

Quelle: Premium Aerotech

Role: Multi material design.

Page 23: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

� New tools designs and tool materials

� Water jet cutting

� Laser assisted tape laying

� Multipurpose technology platforms

New challenges in manufacturing research and shop f loor realization

Page 22© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Multi Tape Laying Head, Fraunhofer IPTProf. Brecher

Page 24: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

safety housing

robot with

high-performancespindle

Multipurpose Technology Platforms

Page 23© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

robot withlaser heads

swivel rotary table

Excellence Cluster, RWTh-Aachen, WZL (Multipurpose Machine)Prof. Brecher

Page 25: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

People do need fresh waterfertile soil, clean air and an

intact environment

Fresh water for everybody might be the most important requirement

for the future

Water – an eminent resource in production

Page 24© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

This requiresClean water technologies

Saving and recycling of water inProduction

Environmentally friendly production

Page 26: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

71% of earth surface is covered by water.

2,5% of world wide

Water – an eminent resource in production

Page 25© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

2,5% of world wide water existence

is drinkable.2/3 hereof is frozen as ice.

Quelle: Bundesumweltamt / Statistisches Bundesamt

Page 27: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Coolants in Cutting and Grinding

Cleaning

Solvents

Electrolytes

Water – an eminent resource in production

Page 26© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Quelle: Bundesumweltamt / Statistisches Bundesamt

Electrolytes

Dielectrics

Quenching

Heat converter

Page 28: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Dry cutting

New coatings and tool design

New machine designs

Water – an eminent resource in production

Page 27© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

New machine designs

Minimal quantity lubrication (MQL)

Page 29: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Component/productGrindingMilling

Anneal-ing AssemblyForming

Semi-finishedpart/ material

Energy SuppliesTools

Resource-efficient production – the production chain as a focus

Page 28© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

productGrindingMilling ing Assembly

Support processes

Formingpart/ material

Residual materialschips, effluent,

sludgeScrap

Emissionsheat, noise, vapours,exhalation, vibrations

Source: IWT Bremen, Kutz + Schulz, ThyssenKrupp, AWK 2008

Page 30: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Conventional process chain

Forging

Soft turning,drilling, tappingwith coolinglubricant

Gear cuttingwith

lubricationCase hardening

Grindingwith

cooling lubricantGear lapping Screwing

Forging

Soft turning,drilling, tappingwith coolinglubricant

Gear cuttingwith

lubricationCase hardening

Grindingwith

cooling lubricantGear lapping Screwing

Optimisation step1.

Hard turning

2. Optimisation step

Gear cuttingdry

Dry gearcutting

3. Optimisation step 3.

Soft turningwith coolinglubricant

WeldingSoft turningwith coolinglubricant

WeldingHard turning

Resource saving by process modification and –substi tution in bevel gear manufacturing

Page 29© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Wet machining:Cutting material: HSS Coating: TiN

Elimination lubrication/ yearca. 25.000 l

Dry machining:Cutting material: VHMCoating: TiAlN

New process parameters:Feed fCutting speed vc

Elimination cooling lubricant system, consumption/ yearEnergy: 1,15 Mio. kW/hMedium: 1052 m³Filter fleece: ca. 45 t

Screwing of crown wheel : - Process drilling and tapping- central cooling lubricant system

Welding of crown wheel : - Process Elimination of drilling and tapping

- Elimination of a central cooling lubricant system

Source: BMW, AWK 2008

Page 31: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Life Science

Endemic diseases and personnel solutions for an aging society are of top priority in national health care systems

People do needindividual implants and limbs

pharmaceuticals and

Page 30© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

pharmaceuticals and health care assistance

This requires interdisciplinarywork of biologists, medical doctors

and engineers

Page 32: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Info from pathogen

Recombined

TransientGeneticVehicle

Stabilize and package

Vaccines from Plants

Page 31© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Info from plant virus

Sow seeds Treat seedlings Grow in greenhouse Harvest and disrupt leaves

Purify vaccine

Page 33: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Objective

� Production of pharmaceuticals, such as vaccines, in sufficient quantities in transgenic and virus infected plants

� Development of a fully automated production system to facilitate and scale up vaccine production within three years

Methodology

� Complete design, engineering and assembly of the first pilot production module

Innovative technologies to manufacture ground-break ing biopharmaceutical products in microbes and plants

Page 32© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Adherence to validation guidelines to gain regulatory approval and certification of the whole production process

� Development of specialized equipment

Results

� Reconfigurable production plant for production of other biopharmaceutical agents (enlarged product scope)

� Specific biomass capacity (one metric tonne)Fraunhofer Foundation

Page 34: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Objective

� Process automation of a manually established tissue engineering process

� Increase the production of human skin test models for in vitrotests of chemicals, pharmaceuticals and cosmetics

� Ramp-up, commercialization and marketing strategy

Methodology

� Re-engineering of each step included in the laboratory process to enable complete process automation

Mass Customized Organ Replicates – Tissue Engineerin g on Demand

Page 33© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

to enable complete process automation

� Construction and development of the whole equipment including novel handling techniques as well as new tissue dissociation-and bioreactor-systems

� Integration of metrology for online process control

Results

� Development of stand alone process modules

� Optimized mass production of in vitro skin test modelsHuman keratinocytes

Fraunhofer Foundation

Page 35: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Tissue Engineering on Demand – Made by Fraunhofer-Ge sellschaft

Page 34© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Module BModule C

Module D/E

Fraunhofer Foundation

Page 36: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Outline

� Challenges of the future

� Research and development in a dynamic surrounding

� Production engineering on the move -

Page 35© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Production engineering on the move -Technological sound solutions

� Case studies

� Conclusion

Page 37: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Processes : � Technology platform� Uniform and »open« CAx Framework

Products� New Design� New Materials� New concepts

Search for synergies: pre-competitive researchProduction and maintenance of turbine components

Page 36© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Uniform and »open« CAx Framework� Modulare, adaptive operation

Process chain point of view : � System integration � Data management� Life Cycle management

Page 38: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Single Scale Production

Page 37© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Page 39: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Post-processing with the Fraunhofer NCProfiler:Machining task has to match the machine’s capabilit ies

Page 38© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Machine setup stored in NCProfiler

� Tool path continuity and orientation

� NC-Points distribution and density

� Axes acceleration profile

� Axes reversal points distribution

Page 40: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Outline

� Challenges of the future

� Research and development in a dynamic surrounding

� Production engineering on the move -

Page 39© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

� Production engineering on the move -Technological sound solutions

� Case studies

� Conclusion

Page 41: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Future developments have to be received as they evolve!

But we can do something,

that our future evolves as we feel like it!

Page 40© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Acc. to Curt Goetz, German author (1888 – 1960)

Let’s strive to meet the challenge!It is our common future!

Page 42: Shaping the Future by Adding Value: Which New ... · 1 billion euros for efficient drive technologies 2 billion euros for 10 pilot regions with a total of >10,000 cars (2009/2011)

Thank You very much for

Your kind attention!

Page 41© WZL/Fraunhofer IPT

Your kind attention!