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Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July 2012 Trade, food and health inequity

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Page 1: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Sharon Friel

National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health

The Australian National University

3rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8th July 2012

Trade, food and health inequity

Page 2: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

What do we want?

Page 3: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

People-centred food systems

Amended, Lang and Heasman (2004) Food Wars: the global battle for mouths, minds and markets

Fairness in

Page 4: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

What have we got

Page 5: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

IFPRI, Global Hunger Index 2010

1 billion undernourished people in the developing world

Page 6: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

two billion people are overweight

Page 7: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

1. Liberalisation of international food trade

2. Increased foreign direct investment

3. Globalised advertising and marketing

3 drivers of dietary change

Page 8: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Bilateral Investment Treaties explode

Slide: Richard Baldwin

Page 9: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Proliferation of new generation RTAs – broader scope and deeper integration

UNESCAP 2010, Asia Pacific Trade Investment Report 2011

Page 10: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

1. Nutritional quality and quantity of imports

2. Foreign direct investment – convenience creep

3. Limitations on domestic policy instruments

4. Reduce tax-revenue base of governments to fund nutrition health and social programs

Four trade-related pathways of concern for nutrition and health equity

Page 11: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

• In 2004 mutton flap consumption was about 600 g per week per adult and comprised 18% of total meat consumption

• Draft legislation for import quota to any product that had >40% energy from fat• Under WTO trade rules quotas are perceived as highly trade distorting• WTO accession negotiations resulted in postponement of legislation

Quantity of mutton flaps imported into Tonga, 1980–2007

Thow et al 2010 Food Policy 35: 556–564

Page 12: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

1. Nutritional quality and quantity of imports

2. Foreign direct investment – convenience creep

3. Limitations on domestic policy instruments

4. Reduce tax-revenue base of governments to fund nutrition health and social programs

Page 13: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Per capita sales of unhealthy food and beverage commodities, 1997–2010, projected to 2016

Stuckler et al (2012) Manufacturing Epidemics: The Role of Global Producers in Increased Consumption of Unhealthy Commodities Including Processed Foods, Alcohol, and Tobacco. PLoS Med 9(6): e1001235. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001235

Page 14: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Stuckler et al (2012) Manufacturing Epidemics: The Role of Global Producers in Increased Consumption of Unhealthy Commodities Including Processed Foods, Alcohol, and Tobacco. PLoS Med 9(6): e1001235. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001235

Soft Drink Consumption(volume per capita)

1% higher GDP per capita 0.90%***

(0.19)1 percentage point higher urban population (% of total)

0.018%*

(0.0068)

Free Trade Agreement with the United States

55.4%*

(24.2)

Number of Countries 35R2 0.74

FTAs, Soft Drink Consumption, 35 low- and middle-income countries, year 2010

Page 15: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Top 10 manufacturers of packaged foods

Stuckler et al (2012) Manufacturing Epidemics: The Role of Global Producers in Increased Consumption of Unhealthy Commodities Including Processed Foods, Alcohol, and Tobacco. PLoS Med 9(6): e1001235. doi:10.1371/journal.pmed.1001235

Three quarters of world food sales involve processed foods, for which the largest

manufacturers hold over a third of the global market.

Page 16: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

1. Nutritional quality and quantity of imports

2. Foreign direct investment – convenience creep

3. Limitations on domesticpolicy instruments

4. Reduce tax-revenue base of governments to fund nutrition health and social programs

Page 17: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Thailand Snack Food Labelling

Technical Barriers to Trade Dispute

• 2006 Proposed Traffic Light System X

• Proposed Warning Label

• 2007 Label:“Should consume small amounts, and

exercise for a better health.”

changed to

“Should take less, and exercise for a better health”

Page 18: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

1. Nutritional quality and quantity of imports

2. Foreign direct investment – convenience creep

3. Limitations on domestic policy instruments

4. Tariffs: reduce tax-revenue base of governments to fund nutrition health and social programs

Page 19: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Pacific Agreement of Closer Economic Relations (PACER PLUS)

Oxfam 2009

• Elimination of substantially all import tariffs between PICs and Australia and New Zealand

• Most of the increase will be in PIC imports not exports

Education Health PACER revenue loss

Cook Islands 14 11 6

Fiji 29 14 3

Kiribati 14 9 15

PNG 10 6 2

Samoa 22 17 12

Tonga 13 14 19

Vanuatu 23 11 18

Government Expend as % Total Budget

Page 20: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Global food prices, 1990-2012

FAO 2012

2002-2004=100

Page 21: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Food commodity speculationTrends in rice futures (2000–08)

Pace and Costello (2008). Food commodity derivatives: a new cause of malnutrition. The Lancet Vol 371 May 17

Page 22: Sharon Friel National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health The Australian National University 3 rd People’s Health Assembly, Cape Town 8 th July

Thank you