shin corporation - stock exchange of thailandipstar sales 986 1,370 -28.0% ipstar services 1,182 911...
TRANSCRIPT
Opportunity DayFebruary 25, 2010
Shin Corporation
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Vision
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We are the leading value creation
asset management company in
telecom and media
Regional telecom infrastructure
operator
- Presence in more than 15 countries in Asia pacific (include both mobile & satellite business)
Leading mobile phone operators with total mobile subscribers of 31
millions
- Largest mobile phone network with > 50% revenue market share in Thailand
- No. 1 mobile operator with 55% market share in Laos
- No. 2 mobile operator with full range of fixed phone and internet platform in Cambodia
One of the leading satellite operator in Asia pacific that provide diversified services ranging from conventional broadcasting to high speed internet via satellite
“ To continually explore new business opportunities in Telecom & Media ”
SHIN Group today
mobile & satellite services
(3 countries)satellite service (12 countries)
Advertising
Agency
Group Profile
Regional
network provider
IPSTAR broadband satellite
in 12 countries
Thaicom
2 Thaicom satellites with
35 C-band & 16 Ku band
transponders
Domestic
Network Provider
Advanced Info Service
Largest mobile operator
with over 28m subscribers
and service revenue market
share > 50%
Wireless
CommunicationsMedia &
Advertising
DTV subs of almost 0.6m
LTC No.1 operator in Laos
with over 1.1m subscribers
Mfone No.2 operator in
Cambodia with over 0.8m
subscribers
International Business
Teleinfo Media
Yellow Pages and Content
Aggregator
CS Loxinfo
Internet Service Provider
Matchbox
Satellite &
Inter. Business
ITV
Key PortfolioAssets Stake Performance (FY 2009)
42.6%
AIS delivered a strong 28% YoY FCF growth for 2009 albeit the service revenue
declined 2.3% YoY. However, cost control and lower CAPEX supported AIS to generate
strong free cash flow of Bt31bn, a 28% YoY growth from Bt24.2bn in FY08. Data
services made a 24% YoY growth driven by the penetration of mobile internet.
41.1%
2009 revenue was Bt7,188m, up by Bt175m YoY mainly from IPSTAR bandwidth usage
and telephone service. As a result of revenue growth and 13.5% lower SG&A
expenses, EBITDA for 2009 grew 9.6% from 2008. However, a gain on foreign
exchange of Bt465m, offset by an increase in finance costs according to a fully
amortized borrowing cost associated with IPSTAR and Thaicom 5 loans after the
prepayment of these loans, led to 2009 net loss of Bt471m.
Subsidiary
of THCOM
Total revenue in 2009 was Bt2,147m, an increase of 11.4% YoY. The continued growth
of telephone subscribers in Lao PDR resulted in an increase in LTC’s subscribers from
964,518 in 2008 to 1,357,005 in 2009. For Mfone, it ended its market share at the
second largest with services subscriber 860,089 combined mobile and fixed despite the
relative high competition.
Subsidiary
of THCOM
CSL reported 2009 consolidated net profit of Bt287m, an increase of 28% YoY due to
the growth of the Voice Info Services and Mobile Content business, which resulted from
an efficient marketing plan. TMC recognized revenue from publishing the Thailand
Yellow Pages and Voice Info Services of Bt666m, a decrease of 11% from 2008, due to
a decrease in the sale of advertising space in the 2009 Thailand Yellow Pages books,
which was a result of the economic downturn.
Subsidiary
of THCOM
As at the end of 2009, accumulated DTV sales volume was 592,886 sets, up 246,274
sets from the end of 2008. In addition, DTV EASY, the portable satellite receiver was
launched in 4Q09.
Financial Performance
• 4Q09 is the first positive growth 4.3%
YoY and 6.2% QoQ.
• The YoY decline started to recover since
3Q09 and showed a clear rebound in
4Q09 mainly from better consumer
confidence in economy and seasonality.
• Effective cost control resulted in better
EBITDA margin at 44.8% versus 41.9% in
2008. However, EBITDA amount declined
1.2% YoY from lower service revenue
Financial Performance
Mobile internet and content enlarge 24% growth of data revenue.
The growth is mainly from Smartphone and social networking.
RevenueTHCOM
EBITDA
Revenue Breakdown
Sales and service
revenues (in M฿)2009 2008 %YoY
Conventional
Satellite Services 2,338 2,302 1.6%
IPSTAR Sales 986 1,370 -28.0%
IPSTAR Services 1,182 911 29.7%
Telephone Services 2,147 1,927 11.4%
Internet and
Media Services 535 503 6.4%
Total 7,188 7,013 2.5%
29.7% increase in IPSTAR Services and 11.4% increase in Telephone Services
Growth in IPSTAR Bandwidth revenue attributable to 10.7% increase in EBITDA of Satellite Business
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Low Gearing ratio at D/E of 0.56x
2008
Unit : MBt
* Exclude Cash** Exclude Interest-Bearing Debt
2009
Unit : MBt
THCOM
Consolidated Net Profit - YoY
5,649
+624 +111 -36+147
6,495
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
AIS THCOM SHIN, ITV, MB, ITAS
PS impairment
+1,230 from absence of signifiacnt impairment loss offset by
-606 declined
net profit
Mainly from FX
gain
Lower profit of
MB
Absence of impairment loss in Payment Solution
(divest ed
in 1Q09)
+ 846
+15%
Btm
7,341 (195) (650) 6,4952009 contrubution
significant
2009 contribution
2009 Consolidated Net Profit by
Segment
Btm % Btm %
SHIN (230) -4% (204) -4% -13%
Wireless (Local) 7,341 113% 6,717 116% 9%
THCOM + International business (195) -3% (306) -5% 36%
ITV (430) -7% (445) -8% 3%
Others (ITAS+SMB) 11 0% 51 1% -78%
Net Income (loss) 6,496 100% 5,649 97% 15%
2009 2008%YoY
Consolidated Assets & D/E Ratio
• Debt free at SHIN level
• Cash on hand as at December 31, 2009 was Bt3.7bn
84,780
67,267 63,259 61,540 0.69
0.35 0.36 0.36
0.00
0.10
0.20
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.60
0.70
0.80
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
x
Bah
t m
illi
on
Total Assets Debt/Equity ratio
Attractive Dividend Yield
SHIN proposed an interim dividend payment for Jan 1, 2010 – Apr, 8, 2010 operation at Bt1.25/share and
a special dividend at a rate of Bt2.00/share, totaling amount of Bt3.25/share. The payment is subject to
approval of 2010 Annual General Meeting (AGM) of shareholders
2.00
2.60
2.30
0.30
2.40 2.40
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
DP
S
Dividend per share (LHS) Dividend yield (RHS)
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Price Performance
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
% Change from Closing Price at the end of 2009
SHIN +5%
ICT +1%SET -5%
Shin Share Price and Indices
SHIN ICT SET
Net Asset Value
Net Asset Value
share price * MKt Cap % owned by value
(Local) Bt mn SHIN Btmn
AIS 88.25 261,700 42.61% 111,523
THCOM 6.00 6,576 41.14% 2,705
Total Mkt value of AIS, THCOM 114,228
Cash at end of 2009 1,836
Debt at end of 2009 -
SHIN's NAV ** 116,064
SHIN's NAV per share (THB) 36.26
SHIN share price 29.50
% discount 19%
* Closing price on Feb 22, 2010
** Excl. Non-listed companies
SHIN Share Price and NAV
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SHIN Share Price Performance
Market Price NAV
2010 – The year of expansion in Telecom & Media
Drive AIS to fully utilize business opportunity from the
hype of data growth and lay foundation for 3G business
Expand the network and capacity in Cambodia and
Laos to capture the rapidly increasing mobile
penetration
With rising demand for broadcasting transponder in
South Asia and Thailand, opportunity to add more
capacity to our satellite business
Lay foundation on Media business in preparation to 3G
business
SHIN Group in the future
“Some statements made in this presentation are forward-looking
statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties.
These include statements with respect to our corporate plans,
strategies and beliefs and other statements that are not historical
facts. These statements can be identified by the use of forward-
looking terminology such as “may” , “will” , “expect” , “anticipate”,
“intend” , “estimate” , “continue” , “plan” or other similar words.
The statements are based on our management’s assumptions and
beliefs in light of the information currently available to us. These
assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the
actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different
from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or
implied by such forward-looking statements.”
Disclaimer
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