silver concierge stanford 2016

42
Initial business idea: Phone-based on-demand concierge service for older adults Lessons learned presentation | 120 interviews John Deniston MBA1 Deborah Stamm MBA1 Quinlan Jung MS CS Eli Bildner MBA1 Suzanne Adatto MBA2/ MA Ed. Silver Concierge

Upload: steve-blank

Post on 15-Feb-2017

4.436 views

Category:

Education


2 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Initial business idea: Phone-based on-demand concierge service for older adults

Lessons learned presentation | 120 interviews

John Denisto

nMBA1

Deborah StammMBA1

QuinlanJung

MS CS Eli

BildnerMBA1

SuzanneAdattoMBA2/MA Ed.

Silver Concierge

Page 2: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Total available market (TAM):Americans age 75+ not living in nursing homes or other full-care facilities(US Census, US Dept. of HHS)

~18.1M

in the beginning, we had a lot of ideas...

Page 3: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Total available market (TAM):Americans age 75+ not living in nursing homes or other full-care facilities(US Census, US Dept. of HHS)

~18.1M

But then we SPOKE with customers and tested hypotheses with our MVP

Would you call us to order transportation and meals?

Page 4: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Total available market (TAM):Americans age 75+ not living in nursing homes or other full-care facilities(US Census, US Dept. of HHS)

~18.1M

most of our hypotheses, it turns out, were wrong*

*though a few were right

Page 5: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Total available market (TAM):Americans age 75+ not living in nursing homes or other full-care facilities(US Census, US Dept. of HHS)

~18.1MThis is the story of how we moved fromfiction to fact

Page 6: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

The outline

Initial needfinding

week 0 week 1 week 2 week 3

Continued needfinding

tested value prop

(Landing Page)

prep’d MVP& recruited participants

week 4

pilot MVP(Meals, online

shopping)

week 5

refine MVP

(+ Rides & Groceries)

week 6

refine acquisition

Little House + B2B Channels

week 7

pivot

nerdwallet for senior care | B2B

service for assisted living

week 8

MVP feedbackstructured

diagnostic quiz vs open-ended chat

week 9

MVP feedbackcaregiver

needfinding and MVPs

Chapter 1: Silver Concierge

Chapter 1 Chapter 2: B2B Chapter 3: CareCoach

Page 7: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

Page 8: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

customer = adult children

key value proposition: access to on-demand services

Page 9: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 3: 41 interviews

- target user ≠ economic buyer- “seniors” ≠ a customer archetype- being a caregiver is hard- lack of access to services is a problem — & others are noticing

Even before we launched our MVP, we’d learned a lot about our business.

Page 10: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Seni

or C

are

Senior Transportation

Senior

Nutrition

On-DemandServices Con

cierg

es

& Cur

ators

Competitive landscape

Page 11: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 3: 41 interviews

MVP #1:Silver

Concierge

Page 12: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 4: 54 interviews

We get lots of interest from caregivers, but sign up only one older adult user

This is wonderful — I’m going to tell all of my

friends!

Page 13: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 4: 54 interviews

What we probably should have done...

Let’s do in-depth interviews

with the caregivers and older adults we weren’t able to

convert!

Page 14: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 4: 54 interviews

What we did instead...

Let’s pilot for another

week!

Page 15: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 4: 54 interviews

(John working his charm with the

good people of The Little House)

Page 16: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 5: 71 interviews

But not even John’s charm can get us to product-market fit...

Page 17: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 1: silver concierge

week 5: 71 interviews

Customer (“care coordinator”)

Customer acquisition

Call to concierge

Service delivery

On-demand service providers

Medical providers & case managers

Friends & peers Senior communities

Page 18: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

“The handoff between older adults and children, unless the older adult is really incapacitated, is basically impossible.”

- Laura Connors, ED Beacon Hill Village

“My grandmother is hugely stubborn and will not change anything unless she absolutely has to.”

- Remote caregiver in Pennsylvania

Page 19: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Gain Creators

Customer JobsIndependence

- Eat healthy meals- Get safe rides- Human connection

- Lack awareness of current solutions - Don’t want to be “needy” - Senior care solutions expensive - Tech solutions complicated & lack help

- Lack of trust is major barrier- Desire personal,

human interaction

User Segment- Empowering (can use on own)- Easy; no new tech required (phone)- Trusted; satisfaction guaranteed- Responsive & schedulable- Affordable, clear pricing- Provides human touch

Products& ServicesPhone access to:

- Meal delivery- Ride services

- Access to previously unknown resources, incl those otherwise unreachable by phone- Reduce life pressures; create convenience- Enable budgeting w/clear, predictable pricing

- Preserve independence; reduce anxiety about aging- Trusted & guaranteed; reduce uncertainty - Remove barrier of tech adoption- Provide human connection

Customer Jobs

Peace of mind- Busy & balancing priorities - Geographic separation - Lack of tech adoption by senior - Crisis-driven solution finding

- Senior care solutions expensive

- Reduced anxiety over care- Reduced schedule burden- Increased connection to senior- Predictable spending

Gains Users

Buyers

Pains

Gains

Pains

Gain Creators

Pain Relievers

Our value propositions simply weren’t resonating...

Page 20: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Gain Creators

Customer JobsIndependence

- Eat healthy meals- Get safe rides- Human connection

- Lack awareness of current solutions - Don’t want to be “needy” - Senior care solutions expensive - Tech solutions complicated & lack help

- Lack of trust is major barrier- Desire personal,

human interaction

User Segment- Empowering (can use on own)- Easy; no new tech required (phone)- Trusted; satisfaction guaranteed- Responsive & schedulable- Affordable, clear pricing- Provides human touch

Products& ServicesPhone access to:

- Meal delivery- Ride services

- Access to previously unknown resources, incl those otherwise unreachable by phone- Reduce life pressures; create convenience- Enable budgeting w/clear, predictable pricing

- Preserve independence; reduce anxiety about aging- Trusted & guaranteed; reduce uncertainty - Remove barrier of tech adoption- Provide human connection

Customer Jobs

Peace of mind- Busy & balancing priorities - Geographic separation - Lack of tech adoption by senior - Crisis-driven solution finding

- Senior care solutions expensive

- Reduced anxiety over care- Reduced schedule burden- Increased connection to senior- Predictable spending

Gains Users

Buyers

Pains

Gains

Pains

Gain Creators

Pain Relievers

Tech isn’t as big a barrier to adoption as we thought; but trust is huge

Page 21: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

“[They] do not want to do anything that will shut them in the house more. Independence is not just about access to basic needs, it is about getting out and being a part of the larger world.”

- Bay Area Caregiver

Page 22: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Gain Creators

Customer JobsIndependence

- Eat healthy meals- Get safe rides- Human connection

- Lack awareness of current solutions - Don’t want to be “needy” - Senior care solutions expensive - Tech solutions complicated & lack help

- Lack of trust is major barrier- Desire personal,

human interaction

User Segment- Empowering (can use on own)- Easy; no new tech required (phone)- Trusted; satisfaction guaranteed- Responsive & schedulable- Affordable, clear pricing- Provides human touch

Products& ServicesPhone access to:

- Meal delivery- Ride services

- Access to previously unknown resources, incl those otherwise unreachable by phone- Reduce life pressures; create convenience- Enable budgeting w/clear, predictable pricing

- Preserve independence; reduce anxiety about aging- Trusted & guaranteed; reduce uncertainty - Remove barrier of tech adoption- Provide human connection

Customer Jobs

Peace of mind- Busy & balancing priorities - Geographic separation - Lack of tech adoption by senior - Crisis-driven solution finding

- Senior care solutions expensive

- Reduced anxiety over care- Reduced schedule burden- Increased connection to senior- Predictable spending

Gains Users

Buyers

Pains

Gains

Pains

Gain Creators

Pain Relievers

“Improved” access to services doesn’t mitigate concerns about aging — it amplifies them!

Page 23: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

“I don’t want to be a part of a service where I wouldn't know the driver.”

- Older adult, Palo Alto

Page 24: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 2: silver concierge (b2b)

Page 25: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 2: b2b concierge

week 6: 84 interviews

Hypothesis: If caregivers won’t intermediate to deliver Silver Concierge to older adults, perhaps elder living companies and facilities might….

Page 26: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 2: b2b concierge

week 6: 84 interviews

Independent-living facilities, senior apartments, and 55+ villages will want to partner with us to outsource service delivery

Page 27: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 2: b2b concierge

week 6: 84 interviews

Volunteers are enough to fill most of our

service requests...

sounds interesting, but we’re only doing a few Uber rides

a month...

Page 28: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 2: b2b concierge

week 7: 96 interviews

Positive feedback, but no one is really grabbing this out of our hands...

Page 29: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 2: b2b concierge

week 7: 96 interviews

(PIVOT)

Page 30: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 3: CareCoach | the pivot

Page 31: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

chapter 3: CareCoach week 7: 96 interviews

What we knew- Older adults often don’t think there’s a problem- Acquiring older adults as users is really hard (high CAC)- Service provision doesn’t address loneliness/isolation- Extreme price sensitivity- High-touch service important => unit economics tough- Caregivers are overwhelmed, overworked, and want support

Page 32: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Research and mastery of latest senior-tech and pricing

Logistics of on-demand response to questions

Product and service providers

AARP

Senior Activity Centers

Senior-housing advisory+referral services

Caregiver Cara is 40-50 with a parent who is 75-90 and still living independently but starting to struggle

Cara is employed, busy and has children of her own

Cara is overwhelmed

Cara is worried about affording care

Our customers are product and service providers (uber, lyft, nursing homes, gadgets) hoping to reach caregivers and seniors

Personalized, expert support to help you navigate caring for an older loved one

Trusted resource would reduce time and stress associated with “becoming an expert” caregiver

Transparent pricing

Emotional need- Guilt and fear

Acquisition via web searchMommy blogsCaregiver blogsHospitalsSenior-housing advisory+referral services

Employees committed to providing gold-standard content and service

Effective branding

Get: “acquire via online search

Keep: quality product, emails on latest tech advances/products

Grow: Viral loop is critical; “up-sell” to consulting services

Referral fee from service providers

“Premium” personalized coach/consultant (could build in house or partner with other service)

Biggest cost driver (unit economics/variable costs) is customer acquisition

chapter 3: CareCoach week 7: 96 interviews

CareCoachBMC

Page 33: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

What we found…

- Local knowledge critical (scalability challenge)

- Acquisition is still challenging (caregivers don’t necessarily look online)

- “There are so many things I know I should be doing, I don’t even know where to start.”

- BUT: Huge, pressing pain points around being a caregiver

chapter 3: CareCoach week 8-9: 118 interviews

Page 34: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Focus on Caregivers

so what comes next?

Page 35: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

We didn’t find product-market fit. But we uncovered a whole lot of lessons.

Page 36: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

THANK YOU

the teaching team: steve, steve, and jeff

our wonderful mentors: justin wickett & mar hershenson

our LLP classmates

our interviewees, testers, and supporters

Page 37: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Silver Concierge Appendix: Market Sizing and Customer Relationship Funnel

Page 38: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

The Opportunity Total available market

(TAM):Americans age 75+ not living in nursing homes or other full-care facilities(US Census, US Dept. of HHS)

~18.1M

Served available market (TAM):...living in urban and major suburban areas (50%) with access to family or friend caregivers (65%)(US Admin. on Aging, Institute on Aging )

~5.9M

Target market:...with household incomes of >$50,000 (49%)(US Admin. on Aging)

~2.9M

Page 39: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Get

our B2CCustomer Relationships

Keep GrowAcquire:Online Advertising

Traditional Advertising:Radio, print (AARP)

Activate:Create account + pay first monthly fee

CAC:$100 LTV Revenue: $3,900 LTV Profit: $1,060*

Parent/Child connection

Deals from partners

Upsell:Additional Services (if

partner revenue model)

Premium: In-person;Tech support

Cross-Sell: Lead-generation for

other products+ services: Evolve home

Modification, Lindycare

*Lifetime @ 4 years

Page 40: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

Get

our B2B2CCustomer Relationships

Keep GrowAcquire:Direct Sales to Independent Living communities

Partnerships with Senior Centers

Activate:Activated accounts with communities

CAC:$16,800 LTV Revenue: $457,500 LTV Profit: $97,500*

Sales leverage

Bulk pricing

Upsell:Additional services

Tech support

Cross-Sell: Lead-generation for

the independent communities from

outside customers?

*Lifetime @ 5 years

Page 41: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

CareCoach Appendix: What would be next

Page 42: Silver Concierge Stanford 2016

What (would be) next: TurboTax for Caregivers

Customer: Caregivers

Pain: “Holy Cow, I now need to take care of my parent, I don’t even know where to start or what to do”

Pain reliever: A trusted platform to guide caregivers who are just getting started and perhaps to help manage their finances as their loved ones age further.

Revenue: Advertisement (likely through placement and lead generation rather than banner ads). Potential to upsell for finance management (fee basis) in future product iteration.