sixth annual cmrs competition report
DESCRIPTION
Sixth Annual CMRS Competition Report. Thomas J. Sugrue Opening Remarks June 20, 2001. UP 584% From 16 Million Subscribers in 1993. UP 364% From 39,775 Jobs in 1993. DOWN 64% From $0.58 per minute in 1993. Charting the Growth in the Mobile Telephone Industry: 1993 - 2000. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Thomas J. Sugrue
Opening RemarksJune 20, 2001
Sixth Annual CMRSCompetition Report
Charting the Growth in the Mobile Telephone Industry: 1993 - 2000
UP584%
From 16 Million
Subscribers in 1993
UP364%
From 39,775 Jobs in 1993
UP543% From $14
Billion as of 1993
DOWN64%
From $0.58 per minute in
1993
Subscribers Jobs CapitalInvestment
Price per minute
109 MillionSubscribers in 2000
184,449 Jobs in2000
$89.6 BillionInvested as of 2000
$0.21 Per Minute in 2000
Source: Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association; The Strategis Group, 2001
UP82% From 140 MOUs as of 1993
Minutes of Use
255 Average Monthly MOUs in 2000
Total US Commercial Wireless Subscribers: 1992 to 2000
0
40
80
120
160
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Mil
lion
s of
Sub
scri
bers
Paging/Messaging
Mobile Telephone
Source: Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association, Strategis Group
Mobile Telephone Competition
90.8%84.4%
75.1%
46.7%
11.9%
78.3%
65.5%
8.9%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
3 ormore
4 ormore
5 ormore
6 ormore
7 ormore
Number of Competitors in a County
Per
cent
of U
.S. P
opul
atio
n
2001
1997
Source: Federal Communications Commission
Average Price Per Minute for Mobile Telephone Service
$0.53
$0.58 $0.57 $0.56$0.54
$0.43
$0.35
$0.28
$0.21
$0.45
$0.10
$0.20
$0.30
$0.40
$0.50
$0.60
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Ave
rage
Pri
ce P
er M
inut
e
Source: The Strategis Group, 2001
Average Local Monthly Bill1993 to 2000
$61.49$56.21
$51.00$47.70
$42.78$39.43 $41.24
$45.27
$0.00
$16.00
$32.00
$48.00
$64.00
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Ave
rage
Loc
al M
onth
ly B
ill
Source: Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association
Average Minutes-of-Use per Month1993 to 2000
140119 119 125 117
136
185
255
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Ave
rage
MO
Us
Per
Sub
scri
ber
Per
Mon
th
Source: Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association
Major Carriers Expanded Nationwide Networks
• Six nationwide or nearly-nationwide carriers – Acquisitions
– Mergers
– License swaps
– Partnerships
• Sprint PCS
• Verizon Wireless
• VoiceStream
• AT&T Wireless
• Cingular
• Nextel
Tom Sugrue Has Added Minutes and Lowered His Monthly Bill...
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
1999-2000 2000-2001
Min
utes
Per
Use
Per
Mon
th
$30.00
$35.00
$40.00
$45.00
$50.00
Mon
thly
Bill
210 Anytime Minutes
$40per
month
$35per
month
150 Anytime
+2000 Weekend Minutes
Source: Sugrue family budget
$0
$25
$50
$75
Mon
thly
Cos
tWireline Substitution in the
Wiener-Goldstein Household
Monthly Access(unlimited local calling,includes SLC)
3 Vertical Services(Call waiting, CallerID,Voicemail)
Long Distance(100 minutes@ 7¢/minute)
Wireline(3rd line, Maryland)
Wireless(Verizon Wireless DigitalChoice)
$22.00
$34.99
$16.49
$7.00
Monthly Access (200 peak and1500 off-peak minutes)
$0.42 Universal Service Fee$0.60 911 Surcharge$2.83 Federal & State Taxes
$0
Total Cost = $47.29
Total Cost = $38.84
Long Distance and Vertical Services
$3.62 Universal Service Fee$0.60 911 Surcharge$1.14 Miscellaneous Fee$1.85 Federal & State Taxes
International Comparisons:Wireless Penetration: YE 2000
Source: The Cellular Review, Bearn Stearns, Feb. 12, 2001, at 7 (Europe); Subscriber Count: Cellular Telephone Subscription by Country, Asiacom, at 12 (Japan & China); Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association (December 2000).
76% 72%67%
58%50%
46%39%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
Swed
en
Ital
y
U.K
.
Ger
man
y
Fra
nce
Japa
n
U.S
.
Chi
na
Prepaid as a Percentage of Total Subscriber Base
85%
68%
49% 48% 47%
11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ital
y
U.K
.
Fra
nce
Ger
man
y
Sw
eden
U.S
.
Mill
ions
Source: Mobile Matters, JP Morgan, March 2001, at 10 (Europe); Johnathan Burns, Tales Of The Tape:Prepaid Wireless A New Way Of Wireless, Dow Jones Newswire,
Jan. 29, 2001 (citing Knox Bricken of the Yankee Group).
International Comparisons:Total Subscribers: YE 2000
109.5
86.5
5848.2 42 40.1
30.2
6.3
0
20
40
60
80
100
120U
.S.
Chi
na
Japa
n
Ger
man
y
Ital
y
U.K
.
Fra
nce
Sw
eden
Mill
ions
Source: Mobile Matters, JP Morgan, March 2001, at 11-12 (Europe); Subscriber Count: Cellular Telephone Subscription by Country, Asiacom, at 12 (Japan & China); Cellular Telecommunications & Internet Association (December 2000).