skeena salmon benchmarks and status

31
Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status Josh Korman (Ecometric/UBC) Steve Cox-Rogers (DFO)- Sockeye Data and estimates of carrying capacity Karl English (LGL) – Escapement and Exploitation Data Development and Synthesis Mike Hawkshaw (UBC) – State Space Modelling Carl Walters (UBC) – State Space Modelling

Upload: jodie

Post on 05-Jan-2016

28 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

DESCRIPTION

Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status. Josh Korman (Ecometric/UBC) Steve Cox-Rogers (DFO)- Sockeye Data and estimates of carrying capacity Karl English (LGL) – Escapement and Exploitation Data Development and Synthesis Mike Hawkshaw (UBC) – State Space Modelling - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Josh Korman (Ecometric/UBC)

Steve Cox-Rogers (DFO)- Sockeye Data and estimates of carrying capacity

Karl English (LGL) – Escapement and Exploitation Data Development and Synthesis

Mike Hawkshaw (UBC) – State Space Modelling

Carl Walters (UBC) – State Space Modelling

Page 2: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Sockeye Data

# of Age PR-based SmaxCU Name 1980-2008 1960-2008 Samples Estimate

Alastair 19 39 151 (2) 23,437Aldrich 422Asitika 0 1AtnaAzuklotz 13 15 5,933Babine_Enhanced 26 36 17,489 (32) 1,700,000Babine_Early 26 36 46362

Babine_Mid 26 36 46362

Babine_Late 26 36 46362

Bear 5 10 46 (1) 40,532BulkleyDamshilgwit 2 2 67 (1) 2,000DennisEcstall/LowerFootsoreJohansonJohnston 3 10 4,125Kitsumkalum 20 40 20,531Kitwancool 4 4 299 (4) 36,984KluatantanKluayazLakelse 13 33 194 (1) 35,916MaxanMcdonell 6 22 4,072Morice 13 33 98 (1) 191,362Motase 9 9 1,764NilkitkwaSicintineSlamgeeshSpawningStephens 12 29 7,069SustutSwan 11 21 100 (1) 21,432Tahlo/Morrison 15 31 44,587

# of Stock-Recruit Points

Page 3: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0 10 25

0

10

20

30

40

50

60Alastair

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 2 4 6 8

0

5

10

15Azuklotz

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 400

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000Babine_Enhanced

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 100 250

0100

200

300400

500

600

Babine_Early

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 40 80

0

50

100

150 Babine_Mid

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 300 600

0

500

1000

1500

Babine_Late

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0.0 0.3 0.6

0

1

2

3

4

5Bear

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 4 8 12

0

2

4

6

8

Johnston

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 20 40

0

10

20

30

40

50Kitsumkalum

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0.0 1.5 3.0

0

2

4

6

8

Kitwancool

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 20

0

10

20

30

40Lakelse

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 4 8

0

5

10

15

20

Mcdonell

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 40 80

0

50

100

150

200Morice

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0.0 0.2 0.4

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Motase

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 5 15

0

5

10

15

20

Stephens

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 4 8 12

0

10

20

30

40

Swan

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 10 20

010203040506070

Tahlo/Morrison

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s) Sockeye

Page 4: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0 1 2 3 4 5

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Pro

ba

bili

ty

Alastair

Azuklotz

Babine_Enhanced

Babine_Early

Babine_Mid

Babine_Late

Bear

Johnston

Kitsumkalum

Kitwancool

Lakelse

Mcdonell

Morice

Motase

Stephens

Swan

Tahlo/Morrison

Sockeye

Page 5: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1995 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

Alastair

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5Azuklotz

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-3

-2

-1

0

1

Babine_Enhanced

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1

0

1

2 Babine_Early

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5Babine_Mid

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-2

-1

0

1

Babine_Late

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-2

-1

0

1

2Bear

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-0.8

-0.6-0.4-0.20.00.20.4

0.6Johnston

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-0.6-0.4

-0.20.00.2

0.40.6

Kitsumkalum

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

Kitwancool

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Lakelse

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5 Mcdonell

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.5-1.0-0.50.00.51.01.5

Morice

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0Motase

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6Stephens

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

Swan

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1995 2010

-1.5-1.0-0.50.0

0.51.01.5

Tahlo/Morrison

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

Brood Year

Lo

g R

es

idu

als

(o

bs

-pre

d)

Sockeye

Page 6: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1995 2010

05

101520

2530

35 Alastair

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

2

4

6

8Azuklotz

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

200

400

600

800

Babine_Enhanced

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

50

100

150

200

Babine_Early

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

20

40

60

80Babine_Mid

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600Babine_Late

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

5

10

15

20

Bear

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

5

10

15

Johnston

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

10

20

30

40

Kitsumkalum

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

5

10

15

20

25 Kitwancool

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

20

40

60

80

Lakelse

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

5

10

15Mcdonell

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

20

40

60

80

100Morice

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Motase

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

5

10

15

20Stephens

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

0

5

10

15

20

25

Swan

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1995 2010

01020

304050

6070Tahlo/Morrison

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

Brood Year

Es

ca

pe

me

nt

('0

00

s)

Sockeye

Page 7: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

AvgEsc/So

Avg

ER

/Uo

pt

AlastairAzuklotz

Babine_Enhanced

Babine_Early

Babine_Mid

Babine_Late

Bear

Kitsumkalum

Kitwancool

Lakelse

Mcdonell

Morice

Motase

Stephens

Swan

Tahlo/Morrison

Sockeye

Page 8: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Limited Effect of TimePeriod on Benchmarksand Status

Page 9: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0 10 25

0

10

20

30

40

50

60Alastair

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 2 4 6 8

0

5

10

15Azuklotz

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 400

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000Babine_Enhanced

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 100 250

0100

200

300400

500

600

Babine_Early

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 40 80

0

50

100

150 Babine_Mid

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 300 600

0

500

1000

1500

Babine_Late

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 5 10

0

5

10

15Bear

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 4 8 12

0

5

10

15

Johnston

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 20 40

0

10

20

30

40

50Kitsumkalum

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0.0 1.5 3.0

0

2

4

6

8

Kitwancool

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 40 80

0

20

40

60

80Lakelse

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 4 8

0

5

10

15

20

Mcdonell

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 40 80

0

50

100

150

200Morice

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0.0 0.2 0.4

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Motase

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 5 15

0

5

10

15

20

Stephens

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 4 8 12

0

10

20

30

40

Swan

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 20 40

0

20

40

60

80

Tahlo/Morrison

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s)

Page 10: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

HBM alpha

Sta

te S

pa

ce a

lph

a

Alastair

Azuklotz

Babine_Enhanced

Babine_Early

Babine_Mid

Babine_Late

BearJohnston

Kitsumkalum

Kitwancool

Lakelse

Mcdonell

Morice

Motase

Stephens

Swan

Tahlo/Morrison

Page 11: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status
Page 12: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status
Page 13: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Chinook

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

0

5

10

15

Ecstall

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Lower_Skeena

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 1 2 3 4

0

1

2

3

Kalum_Early

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 10 20 30 40

0

20

40

60

80Kalum_Late

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 20 40 60 80

0

20

40

60

80

100

120Mid_Skeena_Large_Lakes

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

0

10

20

30

40

Mid_Skeena_Main_Tribs

Spaw ners ('000s)R

ecru

its (

'000

s)

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5

0

2

4

6

8

Upper_Bulkley

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s)

Page 14: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

Ecstall

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.4

-0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6Lower_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.5

0.0

0.5Kalum_Early

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.5

0.0

0.5

Kalum_Late

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.5

0.0

0.5

Mid_Skeena_Large_Lakes

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.4-0.20.00.20.40.60.8

Mid_Skeena_Main_Tribs

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]re

s[1:

Nyr

s[i],

i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

Upper_Bulkley

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

Brood Year

Lo

g R

es

idu

als

(o

bs

-pre

d)

Page 15: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

2

4

6

8Ecstall

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

1

2

3

4

5

6Lower_Skeena

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

1

2

3

Kalum_Early

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

10

20

30

40Kalum_Late

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

20

40

60

80Mid_Skeena_Large_Lakes

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

510

15

20

2530

Mid_Skeena_Main_Tribs

Spaw ners ('000s)R

ecry

uts

('000

s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

2

4

6

8

Upper_Bulkley

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

Brood Year

Es

ca

pe

me

nt

('0

00

s)

Page 16: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8

0.9 Ecstall

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7Lower_Skeena

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Kalum_Early

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8Kalum_Late

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Mid_Skeena_Large_Lakes

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8Mid_Skeena_Main_Tribs

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Upper_Bulkley

Year

Ex

plo

ita

tio

n R

ate

Page 17: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

AvgEsc/So

Avg

ER

/Uo

pt

Lower_Skeena

Kalum_Early

Kalum_LateMid_Skeena_Large_Lakes

Mid_Skeena_Main_Tribs

Upper_Bulkley

Page 18: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

0

20

40

60

80

Skeena_Estuary

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 50 100 150 200

0

100

200

300

400

500

Lower_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 100 200 300 400 500 600

0

200

400

600

800

Middle_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 5 10 15

0

5

10

15

20

Upper_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s)

Coho

Page 19: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-2

-1

0

1

2

Skeena_Estuary

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Lower_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-2

-1

0

1

2Middle_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-0.2

-0.1

0.0

0.1

0.2Upper_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

Brood Year

Lo

g R

es

idu

als

(o

bs

-pre

d)

Page 20: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Skeena_Estuary

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

50

100

150

200

Lower_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

100

200

300

400

500

600Middle_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

5

10

15

20

Upper_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

Brood Year

Es

ca

pe

me

nt

('0

00

s)

Page 21: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Skeena_Estuary

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8Lower_Skeena

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Middle_Skeena

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7Upper_Skeena

Year

Ex

plo

ita

tio

n R

ate

Page 22: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

AvgEsc/So

Avg

ER

/Uo

pt

Skeena_Estuary

Lower_Skeena

Middle_Skeena

Upper_Skeena

Page 23: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

2000

4000

6000

8000Nass_Skeena_Estuary

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 500 1000 1500 2000

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Middle_Upper_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s)

0 200 400 600 800

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

Nass_Skeena_Estuary

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 1000 2000 3000 4000

0

5000

10000

15000

Lower_Skeena

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000 Middle_Upper_Skeena

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s)

Pink – Even Yrs Pink – Odd Yrs

Page 24: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Pink – Even Yrs Pink – Odd Yrs

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

Nass_Skeena_Estuary

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5Lower_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

Middle_Upper_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

Brood Year

Lo

g R

es

idu

als

(o

bs

-pre

d)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Nass_Skeena_Estuary

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Middle_Upper_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

Brood Year

Lo

g R

es

idu

als

(o

bs

-pre

d)

Page 25: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Pink – Even Yrs Pink – Odd Yrs

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

200

400

600

800Nass_Skeena_Estuary

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

Lower_Skeena

Spaw ners ('000s)R

ecry

uts

('000

s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

3500Middle_Upper_Skeena

Spaw ners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

Brood Year

Es

ca

pe

me

nt

('0

00

s)

Page 26: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Pink – Even Yrs Pink – Odd Yrs

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

0.8Nass_Skeena_Estuary

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Lower_Skeena

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Middle_Upper_Skeena

Year

Ex

plo

ita

tio

n R

ate

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7

Nass_Skeena_Estuary

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

0.7Middle_Upper_Skeena

Year

Ex

plo

ita

tio

n R

ate

Page 27: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

AvgEsc/So

Avg

ER

/Uo

pt

Nass_Skeena_Estuary

Middle_Upper_Skeena

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

AvgEsc/So

Avg

ER

/Uo

pt

Nass_Skeena_Estuary

Lower_SkeenaMiddle_Upper_Skeena

Page 28: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0 50 100 150

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

Lower_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

0

5

10

15

20

25

Middle_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ruits

('0

00s)

Spawners ('000s)

Re

cru

its

('0

00

s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-2

-1

0

1

2

Lower_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

Middle_Skeena

SR_BY[1:Nyrs[i], i]

res[

1:N

yrs[

i], i]

Brood Year

Lo

g R

es

idu

als

(o

bs

-pre

d)

Chum

Page 29: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

50

100

150

Lower_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14 Middle_Skeena

Spawners ('000s)

Rec

ryut

s ('0

00s)

Brood Year

Es

ca

pe

me

nt

('0

00

s)

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

Lower_Skeena

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

Middle_Skeena

Year

Ex

plo

ita

tio

n R

ate

Chum

Page 30: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

AvgEsc/So

Avg

ER

/Uo

pt

Lower_Skeena

Middle_Skeena

Page 31: Skeena Salmon Benchmarks and Status

Summary

Species # CUs # CUs < Sgen1 # CUs Overharvested

Sockeye 17 5 0

Chinook 7 0 0

Coho 4 <=1 1

Pink 5 1 0

Chum 2 0 (uncertain!) 1