solar potential for colorado’s eastern plains...colorado’s solar thermal potential • large...
TRANSCRIPT
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Solar Potential for Colorado’s Eastern Plains
Rebecca Cantwell
Senior Program Director Colorado Solar Energy Industries Association
April 27, 2012
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• Nonprofit industry trade association • Mission: expand solar markets & generate jobs and
prosperity for the people of Colorado • Established in 1989 • 200+ solar business members • Advance policy & remove barriers • Promote public outreach & education
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Photo: Caleffi Solar
Solar Thermal Technology – Heats Water / Buildings
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Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Technology -- Generates Electricity
Photo: Namaste Solar
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Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Utility-Scale Electricity
Photo: First Solar
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Photo: NREL - 11070
Concentrating Solar Power (CSP)
Technology –
Utility-Scale Electricity
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Solar: Why All the Buzz?
• Job creation • Stable, predictable energy prices • Clean, renewable energy • The fuel is free & abundant • Already 10,000 Colorado homes and
businesses have gone solar
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Costs are dropping: Average panel costs are down 50% in 1 year
• Innovation & technology advancements • Increasing competition • Private & public investment • Increasing manufacturing capacity • Economies of scale • Installed costs now about $4.50/watt or less
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A strong record of growth
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2011 was a banner year for PV
• The U.S. now has over 4,460 MW of installed
solar electric capacity. • The utility PV market installed 758 MW in
2011, which is a 185 % increase over 2010. • The commercial PV market grew 127 % in
2011 • Section 1603 Treasury program, which expired
on Dec. 31, 2011, helped spur growth.
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Colorado Ranks #5 for PV
• PV INSTALLATIONS BY STATE (in MW) • 1. California 250 (2010) //542 (2011) • 2, New Jersey 132 (2010) //313 (2011) • 3. Arizona 63 (2010) // 273 (2011) • 4. New Mexico 43 (2010) // 116 (2011) • 5. Colorado 54 (2010) //91 (2011)
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What about the PV future?
• Continued growth forecast • Increasing competition drives down prices • Loss of federal grant program and
consolidation for manufacturers • New products and financial models, such as
leases and solar gardens • DOE announces grants to develop “plug and
play’’ systems this week
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Solar thermal technology provides a simple, reliable, cost-effective way to heat water and to heat (and cool) homes, businesses & industry.
What about Solar Thermal?
Photo Credit: NREL
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Colorado Is the Bulls-Eye for Solar Water Heating in the U.S.
Source: NREL – TMY3 Climate Data
(kWh)
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How Solar Thermal Works
• Collectors absorb the sun’s energy
• Energy transferred to storage or distribution systems
Image Credit: GEO
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Solar Thermal Addresses 59% of Home Energy Consumption
(Source: Dept of Energy, EIA, Consumption in BTUs)
Space Heating, 37%
Air-Conditioning, 9% Other Appliances and
Lighting, 26%
Refrigerators, 4%
Water Heating, 22%
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Colorado’s Solar Thermal Potential
• Large heating requirements
• Day-Night temperature swings
• Relatively cold groundwater
• Sunny climate
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Solar Thermal Roadmap
• Jan. 2012 documents projects $1 billion revenue by 2050
• 24,300 jobs possible in Colorado by 2050 • Need increased awareness, new financing
mechanisms, leveling the policy playing field and solving local impediments.
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The Future: Industry Trends • Systems - Greater Packaging and Integration • Skills - More Professional Training Programs &
Certifications • Inspections – Standardizing Across the State and
Country • Customer Acceptance – 3Year GEO Program
Quickly Sold Out • System Pricing – Gradual Change • Policy - Solar Thermal increasingly included in
state RPS Laws – AZ, NV, NY, NC, MD
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The Future: Thermal advances on the horizon
• Solar thermal storage (molten salts, earth storage, etc) • Combined heat and power (electricity) – Sterling engines • Hybrid systems (solar thermal, solar electricity, geothermal) • Concentrating solar thermal • Monitoring & control systems (prices coming down quickly) • Economies of scale & supply chain efficiencies • International players are investing in U.S. • Increased U.S. production / manufacturing / made in USA
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Colorado’s Solar Advantage – Even Sunnier Than the Sunshine State
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More than 6,000 Solar Jobs in Colorado
Photo: Abound Solar
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Solar Is Now A Major Job Creator
Top 10 States for Solar Jobs: • #1 California 25,575 • #2 Colorado MORE THAN 6,000 • #3 Arizona 4,786 • #4 Pennsylvania 4,703 • #5 New York 4,279 • #6 Florida 4,224 • #7 Texas 3,346 • #8 Oregon 3,346 • #9 New Jersey 2,871 • #10 Massachusetts 2,395
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Solar Jobs: Growing in Colorado
• More than 6,000 solar jobs today (vs .500 jobs in 2005)
• 400+ solar businesses today (vs . 40 biz in 2005)
• $500+ million in private investment since 2005
• Colorado is #1 state for solar jobs per capita
Source: Solar Foundation + COSEIA
Photo: Solar City
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Opportunities for the future
• Make solar a mainstream resource • Simplify the permitting process • Stabilize energy costs w/ solar • Target solar manufacturers & suppliers
– Network with solar business leaders – Solar Power Colorado - February 2013 in
Westminster largest B2B solar conference in the state
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Solar parity by decade’s end One of 22 teams nationally
• 22 National Teams • Each working on similar
issues • Effort to identify and share
best practices • Phase 1 is one year, then
opportunity to reapply
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Solar Friendly Communities
• We want to make it easier, faster and less expensive to go solar
• Initial partners are Denver, Boulder County, Fort Collins and Golden
• We want to reach out to eastern plains communities to share what we learn with you
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What are we working on?
• Assess national data to date • Survey our core communities and compare • Report on our findings from communities,
utilities and industry: what will move the needle? • Determine regional baselines • Identify ways to improve processes • Hold workshops for each community based on
recommendations on best practices
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What are some opportunities
• Find ways to standardize permits • Inspect projects in a consistent way • Ensure planning and zoning are not
impediments • Smooth out interconnection processes • Develop a roadmap of best practices • Recognize Solar Friendly Communities
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Questions?
• Contact me for more information: Rebecca Cantwell
COSEIA
• [email protected] • (303) 33307342