solvency ii update · ― a fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ―...

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Solvency II update Gui Iglesias KPMG in the UK 23 June 2016

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Page 1: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

Solvency II update

Gui IglesiasKPMG in the UK—23 June 2016

Page 2: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

What is Solvency II?

Page 3: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

3© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Solvency IINew EU Regulation effective 01/01/2016, designed to

— Provide greater protection to policyholders through an enhanced prudential regime

— Better align capital requirements to the firms’ asset and liability profiles and enhances the quality of capital

— Improve firms’ own risk management with the aim of reducing the probability of firm failure

— Reform the public disclosure about a firm’s financial condition, to encourage effective exercise of market discipline

PILLAR 1

Quantitative requirements— ‘Market-consistent’ valuation of assets

and liabilities— Best estimate liabilities plus risk

margin— Capital requirements

Minimum (MCR) Solvency (SCR)

— Tiering of own funds— Group capital requirement

PILLAR 2

System of Governance— Internal controls and risk management

system— Required functions— Own risk and solvency

assessment (ORSA)— Supervisory review— Capital add-ons

PILLAR 3

Market discipline— Transparency— Disclosure

Quantitative Reporting Templates Regular Supervisory Report

(RSR) Solvency and financial

condition report (SFCR)— Solo/Group

Page 4: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

Status of regulation

Page 5: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

5© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Status of regulationSolvency II Regulatory Framework

Directive (Level 1) Implementing measures (Level 2)

Implementing Technical Standards (Level 2.5) Guidelines (Level 3)

Solvency II Timeline

Solvency II in force1 January 2016

First Solvency II reporting by companies

May 2016

First Solvency II public disclosureMay 2017

EIOPA to make a proposal for Solvency II

review 2018

Source: EIOPA

Page 6: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

How Solvency II is impacting the industry

Page 7: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

7© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Solvency II – News headlines and market impact

Fitch: Solvency II Ratios Move into the Spotlight

Fitch Ratings – 9 May 2016

UK fears that rules harm insurance competition

Financial Times – 7 February 2016

EU watchdog lauds insurer moves to adapt business

models

Reuters – 23 May 2016

Axa chief calls for stability after Solvency II introduction

Financial Times – 25 February 2016

Offshore Captives Ideal For Longevity Swaps And

Reinsurance

Artemis.bm – 28 October 2015

Page 8: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

Solvency II market disclosures

Page 9: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

9© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Extent of Solvency II voluntary disclosures

AEG

ON

Allia

nz

Aviv

a

AXA

CN

P

Del

ta L

loyd

Gen

eral

i

Han

nove

r R

e

L&G

LBG

Mun

ich

Re

NN

Gro

up

Old

Mut

ual

Phoe

nix

Prud

entia

l

SCO

R

Stan

dard

Li

fe

Key

met

rics

disc

lose

d

Solvency II cover ratio

Own funds / SCR

SCR by risk type

SCR impact of diversification (a) (d)

Anal

ysis

di

sclo

sed

Sub group disclosures

Reconciliation to IFRS (b)

Reconciliations to MCEV n/a

Sensitivities

Analysis of change

Quality of capital (c) (d) Note: (a) AEGON disclose diversification across entities only.

(b) AEGON provide a qualitative commentary on the differences between IFRS and Solvency II but they have no numbers.(c) Allianz disclose the proportion of asset in various asset classes in their analyst presentation which implies the quality of capital however this is not disclosed in the Solvency II format(d) AXA disclose diversification benefits across risks and quality of capital, however these were part of their Q3 2015 disclosure

― All insurers in this sample provided a SII Cover ratio― All but one provided Own Funds and SCR― Few insurers presented reconciliation to IFRS and analysis of change

Page 10: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

10© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Quality of capitalQuality of capital by Solvency II Tier Note: (a) This is based on Q3 2015 disclosure

(b) L&G have a deductions line in the theirdisclosed quality of capital which has beenignored in the analysis.

(c) NN group have a non-SII regulated entities linein their disclosed quality of capital which hasalso been ignored in the analysis

(d) Please note that the information presented herewas disclosed in Euros and converted to GBPat the exchange rate as at 31 Dec 2015(In GBP) AE

GO

N(d

)

AXA

(a,d

)

CN

P

Del

ta

Lloy

d(d)

Gen

eral

i(d)

L&G

(b)

Mun

ich

Re

NN

G

roup

(c,d

)

Old

Mut

ual

Prud

entia

l

Stan

dard

Li

fe

Total of exposure (£m)

14.75 43.7 16.96 2.88 30.46 13.50 30.02 9.82 6.00 20.10 5.50

Tier 1 (unrestricted)

65% 68% 70% 50% 78% 81% 86% 70% 78% 78% 73%

Tier 1 (restricted) 15% 16% 15% 13% 11% 4% 4% 15% 5% 4% 16%Tier 2 10% 16% 15% 33% 11% 14% 8% 9% 17% 18% 11%Tier 3 10% 0% 4% 0% 0% 1% 6% 0% 0% 0%Total group SII OF

100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%

― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier

― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and 90%

― Tier 3 is the lowest quality of capital and no insurer had more than 10%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

AEGON AXA CNP Delta Lloyd Generali L&G Munich Re NN Group Old Mutual Prudential StandardLife

Tier 1 (unrestricted) Tier 1 (restricted) Tier 2 Tier 3Source: Public information

Page 11: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

11© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Solvency II cover ratios and target rangesSolvency II cover ratios (Own funds over SCR) ranked by decreasing order, target ranges and credit ratings

FY 2015 Solvency ratios and target ranges

302%

239%221% 211% 205% 202% 200% 193% 192%

180% 169% 162% 160%148%

135%

131%

130%

100%

150%

200%

250%

300%

Mun

ich

Re(

a)

AA

-

NN

Gro

up(a

)

A-

Han

nove

r Re(

a,b)

A-

SCO

R(b

)

AA

-

AXA

(b)

A-

Gen

eral

i(b)

A-

Alli

anz(

b)

AA

Prud

entia

lA

A

CN

P(b)

A Avi

vaA

+

L&G

AA

-

Stan

dard

Life

A-

AEG

ON

A-

LBG

BB

B+

Old

Mut

ual

BB

B+

Del

ta L

loyd

(b)

A-

Phoe

nix

AA

+

Own funds (bn)

30.0 9.8 9.3 6.8 43.7 30.5 53.6 20.1 17.0 21.8 13.5 5.5 20.0 n/d 6.0 2.9 5.8

SCR (bn)

10.0 4.1 3.8 3.2 21.2 15.1 26.8 10.4 8.9 12.1 8.0 3.4 12.5 n/d 4.4 2.2 4.5

Surplus (bn)

20.1 1.5 5.5 3.5 22.4 15.3 26.8 9.7 8.1 9.7 5.5 2.1 7.5 3.2 1.6 0.7 1.3

Note: (a) Economic Capital Q3 2015 figure(b) Please note that the information presented here was disclosed in EUR and converted to GBP at the exchange rate as at 31 Dec 2015

Shareholder view

Target range

Page 12: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

M&A Activities

Page 13: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

13© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

M&A – News headlines

Solvency II rules set to spark M&A surge in insurance sector

Financial Times – 3 Jan 2016

Swiss Re acquires Guardian Financial Services for £1.6 billion

Financial Times – 7 February 2016

French insurer AXA sells last UK life and savings business

Yahoo – 27 May 2016

L&G picks up Aegon's remaining UK annuities

business

Reuters – 23 May 2016

Page 14: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

A new reserving model

Page 15: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

15© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Solvency II Balance Sheet

Minimum capital requirement (MCR)

Solvency Capital Requirement (SCR)

Risk margin

Best estimate

Technical provisions

Assets covering technical provisions

and SCR

Own funds (basic and

ancillary)

Surplus/Excess Own Funds

Assets Liabilities

Page 16: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

16© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Components of the technical provisionsTechnical Provisions Best Estimate Risk Margin

Best estimate Claims Provision Premium Provision

=

=

+

+

Earned exposure Unearned exposure

Valuation date

The best estimate of future cashflows also includes the

IPT cashflows

Page 17: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

Reporting challenges

Page 18: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

18© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

Solvency II reporting challengesSolvency II reporting is required every quarter and annually The deadlines for reporting are challenging and get tighter

each year during the transition period

The amount of information to be reportedunder Solvency II is a significant increasefrom before e.g.. Assets, intragroup transactions,capital requirement, own funds, technical provisions

Solvency and Financial ConditionReport (SFCR) for the public

Regular Supervisory Report(RSR) for the regulator

Increased reporting

challenges

Q1 Q2

Q3Q4Annual

Page 19: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

Thank you

Page 20: Solvency II update · ― A fewer subset of companies disclosed a breakdown of capital by tier ― Tier 1 is the highest quality of capital and most companies held between 80% and

kpmg.com/socialmedia kpmg.com/app

© 2016 KPMG International Cooperative ("KPMG International"), a Swiss entity. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no services to clients. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis-à-vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.

The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavor to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act on such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.

The KPMG name and logo are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.