some lte realities

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    1#Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010

    OperatorStrategiesforMobileBroadband

    MrcioNunes DiretordeEngenharia

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    BroadbandinBrazil

    7,7

    14,0

    11,5

    10,0

    5,7

    15,0

    7,0

    2,3

    00

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E

    Numberofsubscribers(inmillions) Broadbandpenetration

    3,1%

    4,1%

    5,2%

    6,0%

    7,2%7,8%

    3,6%

    1,2%

    0%0%

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010E

    Fixed Broadband Mobile Broadband

    CAGR25%

    CAGR155%

    CAGR23%

    CAGR155%

    MobileBroadbandislikelytoovertakeFixedBroadbandin2010

    Source:Teleco;Huawei

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    1Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010 3

    BroadbandinBrazil

    MobileBroadbandinBrazilhasroomtogrow

    7,16,0

    10,0 9,89,29,5

    3,6

    2,1 2,5

    0,5

    World Brazil Argentina Chile Mexico

    FixedMobile

    BroadbandPenetrationin2009

    World

    1,6%3,3%

    5,7%

    8,2%10,1%

    12,8%

    2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

    6,0%

    4,0%

    2,9%2,5%

    2,0%1,4%

    4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 jan/ 10

    Brazil

    MobileBroadbandParticipationinCellPhonesBase

    3yearsdelay

    Source:Teleco;Huawei

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    Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010 4

    Trends Devicesophistication

    Gaming

    Audio

    Video

    WebBrowsing

    Websearch

    PublishingandSharing

    Voice

    VideoMessaging

    Web

    Entertainment

    Commun

    ication

    SXGenultramobilecomputer

    520MHzprocessor

    runningWindowsCE5.0.

    MicrosoftOfficeMobile,

    256MBofRAM,20GBhard

    drive,WiFi,Bluetoothand

    triband

    GSM/EDGE/CDMAEVDO

    networkaccess,Ethernet

    andUSBports,LCDtouch

    screen,Webvideo

    camera,

    and

    a

    fold

    out

    QWERTYkeyboard.

    SonyPlaystationPortableHTCShift

    iPhoneNokia

    N95

    BlackBerryBold

    iPodTouch

    WindowsMobile6,800

    MHz,1GBRAMmemory,

    40GBHD,WiFi,Bluetooth,

    3G(HSDPA),Webcam,

    Biometricreader,Touch

    Screen

    Sony

    Playstation3

    UMTS,HSDPA,WiFi,EDGE,GPS,

    Bluetooth,Music,

    PushMail,Calendar

    GSM/HSDPA,

    160MB

    memory,GPS,

    5Mpixels

    camera,WiFi,

    Mp3player

    Bluetooth,7.1Dolby

    SurroundSound,

    USB2.0,BluRay,80

    GB,1.080p

    DigitalTV,

    GSM/HSDPA,28MB

    memory,2Mpixelscamera,WiFi

    SamsungSGHV820L

    3,5inchesWidescreen,

    Touchscreen,32GB,

    WiFiwebbrowsing,

    Mediaplayer,480x272

    pixelwidescreen,

    1,8GB,WiFicapabilities

    1GBmemory,

    WiFi,HSDPA,

    2Mpixels

    camera

    ThedeviceweformerlyknewasthecellphoneisevolvingintoanInternetenabledconsumerdevice

    Source:Vendorsites

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    Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010 5

    Trends Devicesophistication

    GlobalDevicesSales(inmillions) SmartphonesmarketshareinBrazil

    SmartphonesareagainingmomentuminBrazil

    Source:Teleco;Huawei

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    1Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010 6

    Trends Sophisticateddevicesdrive

    broadbandgrowth

    Email Web

    search

    Web

    services

    Social

    Networks

    MobileTV/

    Video

    Online

    games

    13%

    7%

    25%

    6% 7%2%

    Marketaverage

    Utilization

    rate

    83%

    60% 59%

    30%

    50%

    21%

    iPhone

    Improveduserexperiencedrivebroadbandgrowth

    Source:MMetrics;Nielsen;Cisco

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    Trends MobileDataTrafficGrowth

    2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

    Video Web/Data/Other P2P Gaming VoIP

    CAGR108%

    4%5%

    8%

    17%

    66%

    3,6EB

    2,2EB

    1,2EB

    0,6EB

    0,2EB0,09EB

    Videowilldrivemobiledatatrafficgrowth

    *EB=Exabyte=1.000.000TB;Source:CiscoVisualNetworkingIndex2009 2014

    Source:Cisco

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    MobileBroadbandevolution

    Devicesevolution Convergenceofcommunications

    Communications

    Webcapabilities

    Multimedia

    Connectivitytovariousaccessnetworks

    Usersevolution

    UserbehaviourtrendfromWired

    toWireless

    Endusersutilizingincreasingly

    advancedcommunications

    servicesandapplications

    SameRichAppsandServicesinallenvironments(Multimedia,High

    bandwidth,latencydependent)

    ConsistentQualityofExperience

    Individualsbecomingcontent

    creators

    Networkevolution

    Highdatarates

    All

    IP

    Network QoS

    Coexistenceandintegrationof

    differentaccessnetworks

    TrendsaredrivingRANevolution

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    RANTechnologiesEvolution

    Highereffic

    iency

    Faster

    userexperien

    ce

    RAN

    technologies

    evolving

    towards

    LTE

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    1#Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010

    HSPAEvolution

    Combinations

    10 codes, 16QAMWRAN P5

    15 codes, 64QAMWRAN P7

    MIMOWRAN P7FP

    Multi CarrierWRAN W10A

    Highere

    fficien

    cy

    Faste

    ruserexpe

    rienc

    e

    7 21

    28

    4284

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    PortugalAllonHSPAEvolution

    0

    500

    1 000

    1 500

    2 000

    2 500

    3 000

    3 500

    Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209

    Thousands

    Mobile Broadband

    Fixed Broadband

    0

    500

    1 000

    1 500

    2 000

    2 500

    3 000

    3 500

    Q107 Q207 Q307 Q407 Q108 Q208 Q308 Q408 Q109 Q209

    Thousands

    Mobile Broadband

    Fixed Broadband

    Mobile Broadband

    Fixed Broadband

    21Mbps 3

    million

    MobileBroadbandsubscribers

    YoYgrowth55%

    Source: ANACOM, Portuguese telecom regulator

    Allthreemobile

    operatorslaunched

    HSPAEvolution

    with21Mbps

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    1Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010 12

    RANEvolution

    Industry

    forecasts

    high

    adoption

    rates

    for

    LTE

    Source:Qualcomm

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    RANEvolution

    UMTS HSPA HSPA+ LTE

    Networksin

    service346 325 42 2

    Countriesin

    service140 137 24 2

    Networks

    Planned/In

    deployment

    79 92 N/A 135

    137 LTE operations in 55 countries to be deployedUp to 25 LTE networks in service by end 2010

    High

    number

    of

    LTE

    commitments

    Source: 3GAmericas

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    1Mobile Broadband Outlook for the Americas, Rio de Janeiro, 26 April 2010 14

    Backhaulbottleneck

    GSM

    RNC

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    RBS

    Backhaul

    BSC

    RBS

    14.4Kbps

    384Kbps

    3.6Mbps

    14Mbps

    42Mbps

    80160Mbps

    2.5G/3G

    HSPA

    HSPA+

    LTE

    Source: Ericsson

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    NetworkArchitectureevolution

    Verticalnetworks Transition ALLIP

    MobileService

    IP FrameRealy

    ATM

    TDM

    MobileService

    Ethernet

    FrameRealy

    ATM

    TDM

    IPMPLS

    MobileService

    IPMPLS

    Ethernet

    Transport

    Tran

    sport

    T

    ransport

    Access

    AccessAccess

    Evolution

    Integrate

    and

    Simplify

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    RANevolution Coverageexpansion

    HSPA

    GSM/EDGE

    HSPA

    GSM/EDGE

    HSPA

    LTE

    GSMcoverageoftodaynormallyverygood

    HSPAcoveragestillnotshowingitsfull

    potential

    LTEisaroundthecornerbutwillnotprovide

    countrywidecoverageinmanyyears

    HSPA

    coverage

    will

    grow

    before

    LTE

    large

    scale

    deployments

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    Transportconvergence

    ATM/IP

    BSC/RNC/CGWBTS/NodeB/eNodeB

    CommonSiteAllIPRANoverEthernet

    BSC

    RNC

    CGW

    BTS

    eNB

    NodeB

    GOAL:ONESINGLEIPTRANSPORTINTERFACE@RAN

    Aggregation

    IPupgrade

    Singleinterface

    NativeIP/Eth

    IPupgrade

    Singleinterface

    NativeIP/Eth

    Fullyflexiblenetwork

    Withlowesttotalcostofownership

    Optimize CommunicationNetworks

    Source: Ericsson

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    NetworkArchitectureevolution

    SDHRings

    RNC

    BSCBTS

    NodeB

    BTS

    NodeB

    SDH/PDH

    Microwaves

    Airinterface MobileBackhaul RANEDGE

    RNC

    BSC

    SGSN

    GGSN

    MGW

    MSS

    CoreIP/MPLS

    IP/MPLS

    GMSCMGWPSTN

    Internet

    CellSites Aggregation Core

    ATMoMPLS

    FRoMPLS

    TDMoMPLS

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    NetworkArchitectureevolution

    RNC

    BSCBTS

    NodeB

    BTS

    NodeB RNC

    BSC

    SGSN

    GGSN

    MGW

    MSS

    ATMoMPLS

    FRoMPLS

    TDMoMPLS

    GMSCMGWPSTN

    Internet

    IP/MPLS IP/MPLS

    Airinterface MobileBackhaul RANEDGE CoreIP/MPLS

    CellSites Aggregation Core

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    2G

    Transport,SwitchingandAccess

    Applications

    IMS

    2G

    3G

    LTE

    RedesSegmentadas IMS

    Services Services

    3G LTE

    Transport, Switching and Access

    NetworkArchitectureevolution

    IMS

    IMSastheenablerofLTEandcurrentaccessnetworksintegration

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    KeyTakeaways

    TrendsaredrivingRANevolution

    MobileBroadbandislikelytoovertakeFixedBroadbandin2010

    ThedeviceweformerlyknewasthecellphoneisevolvingintoanInternetenabledconsumerdevice

    Videowilldrivemobiledatatrafficgrowth

    RANtechnologiesevolvingtowardsLTE

    StrongindustrydriversforLTE

    IndustryforecastshighadoptionratesforLTE

    HighnumberofLTEcommitmentsworldwide

    Backhaulbottleneck

    Networkarchitectureevolutiondemands

    AllIPTransportconvergence

    RANevolvestoIPandtheBackhaulevolvestoEthernet

    IMSastheenablerofLTEandcurrentaccessnetworksintegration

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    Thankyou!

    MrcioNunes

    [email protected]