spectrum priorities for latin america - en · source: public announcements, regulatory bodies lte...
TRANSCRIPT
Spectrum Priorities
for Latin America
Erasmo Rojas
Director Latin America
& Caribbean
Agenda
• 4G Americas
• Market & Technology Update
• ITU spectrum requirements
• Latin America spectrum analysis
• Conclusions
www.4gamericas.org
4G Americas Board of Governors
www.4gamericas.org
Global Mobile Traffic:
Voice & Data 2010-2018
Source: Ericsson (Nov 2012)
Mobile Data Traffic will grow 12 times between 2012 and 2018
LTE
HSPA
GSM
TD-SCDMA
CDMA
Other
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
10,000
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Mo
bile
Su
bs
cri
pti
on
s (
Millio
ns)
www.4gamericas.org
Latin America & Caribbean
Wireless Technology Evolution 2000-2012
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Mil
lio
ns o
f S
ub
scri
pti
on
s
GSM Analogue CDMA iDEN TDMA W-CDMA
Source: Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+ 4Q 2012
12% 16%
19% 23%
31% 43%
54%
66%
78%
87%
96% 106
%
www.4gamericas.org
0.00%
20.00%
40.00%
60.00%
80.00%
100.00%
120.00%
140.00%
160.00%
180.00%
Arg
enti
na
Boliv
ia
Braz
il
Chile
Colo
mbi
a
Cost
a Ri
ca
Dom
inic
an R
ep.
Ecua
dor
El S
alva
dor
Gua
tem
ala
Hon
dura
s
Mex
ico
Nic
arag
ua
Pana
ma
Para
guay
Peru
Puer
to R
ico
Uru
guay
Ven
ezue
la
Latin America Mobile Penetration, Dec. 2012
Source: Signals Telecom Consulting www.4gamericas.org
0 50 100 150 200
Guatemala
Peru
Colombia
Dominican Rep.
Venezuela
Ecuador
Mexico
Argentina
Chile
Brazil
Top 10 Wireless Data Markets in Latin America by 2Q 2013
97%
117% 112%
71%
98%
86%
91%
79%
91%
95%
39%
39%
33%
17%
17%
17%
13%
10%
10%
10%
270 M
27 M
60 M
103 M
17 M
31 M
11 M
43 M
30 M
16 M
% Data % Voice Penetration
Average Latin America penetration: 90% voice and 24% data Subscriptions
Source: Bank of America Merrill Lynch,
Global Wireless Matrix 2Q2013
(Millions)
www.4gamericas.org
Global LTE Status as of June 2013
Source: 4G Americas,
Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+ June 2013 Estimates
USA
62 Million
Canada
3 Million Korea
23 Million
Japan
26 Million
Rest of APAC
7 Million
Europe
5.3 Million Rest of World
700 Thousand
Asia
Pacific
56 Million
44%
North America
65 Million
51%
127 Million Subscriptions
Latin America =
316 Thousand Brazil = 174 Thousand
(55%)
www.4gamericas.org
Source: Public Announcements, Regulatory Bodies
LTE in Latin America & Caribbean
Mexico 1700/2100 AWS Movistar Telcel
Brazil 2500-2690 MHz Claro Oi On* Sky Telecom * TIM VIVO
Puerto Rico AT&T 1700/2100 MHz Claro 700 MHz Open Mobile 700 MHz Sprint 850 &1900 MHz
T-Mobile 1700/2100 MHz
Dominican Republic Orange Dominicana1800 MHz Tricom 1900 MHz
Antigua & Barbuda 700 MHz Digicel*
Colombia 2500/2690 Mhz UNE
Bolivia 700 MHz Entel
Chile 2500-2690 MHz Claro
Paraguay Personal 1900 MHz VOX 1700/2100 MHz
Uruguay Antel 1700/2100 MHz
Virgin Islands AT&T 1700/2100 MHz Sprint 1900 MHz
Band (MHz) Networks
2500-2690 8
1700/2100 7
700 4
1900 3
1800 2
850 / 1900 1
*Indicates TDD networks All remaining networks are FDD
25 Commercial Networks in 12 countries
Venezuela Digitel1800 MHz
August 8, 2013
www.4gamericas.org
Current Latin America LTE Spectrum Bands
700
MHz
4 Countries
1700/2100
MHz
9 Countries
2500
MHz
3 Countries
LTE has been launched by 25
operators in 12 Latin American
countries as of September 2, 2013
www.4gamericas.org
Spectrum Demand
The dramatic increase in mobile broadband and
data traffic drives the need for additional
spectrum throughout the Americas region
ITU analysis states that spectrum requirements by 2015
for a single country will range around 1300 MHz
Latin America and the Caribbean governments have
allocated only 20% of this requirement as an average
www.4gamericas.org www.4gamericas.org
Year 2010 2015 2020 2010 2015 2020 2010 2015 2020
Higher market setting 840 880 880 0 420 840 840 1300 1720
Lower market setting 760 800 800 0 500 480 760 1300 1280
Spectum Requirement for
RATG 1 (MHz)
Spectum Requirement for
RATG 2 (MHz)
Total Spectrum Requirement
(MHz)Market Setting
ITU Spectrum Allocation Recommendations
Source: International Telecommunications Union (ITU-R M. 2078) www.4gamericas.org
Latin America’s Allocated Spectrum Bands
Source: Signals Telecom Consulting
Spectrum Band MHz 700 850 900 1700 1800 1900 1700/2100 2100 1900/2100 2300 2500
Argentina - √ - - - √ - - - - -
Bolivia √ √ - - - √ √ - - - -
Brasil - √ √ - √ √ - - √ - √
Chile - √ - - - √ √ - - - √
Colombia - √ - - - √ √ - - - √
Costa Rica - √ - - √ - - √ - - -
Dominican Republic - √ √ √ √ √ - - - - -
Ecuador √ √ - - - √ √ - - - -
El Salvador - √ √ - - √ - - - - -
Guatemala - √ √ - - √ - - - - -
Honduras - √ - - - √ - - - - -
Meico - √ - - - √ √ - - - -
Nicaragua √ √ - - √ √ - - - - -
Panama - √ - - - √ - - - - -
Paraguay - √ - - - √ √ - - - -
Peru - √ √ - - √ √ - - - -
Puerto Rico √ √ √ - - √ √ - - √ -
Uruguay - √ √ - √ √ √ - √ - -
Venezuela - √ √ - √ √ - - - - -
700 1700/2100 2500
www.4gamericas.org
Market
Percentage of ITU
Recommendation
2015 completed
Percentage of ITU
Recommendation
2020 completed
Argentina 14.62% 11.05%
Bolivia 13.85% 10.47%
Brazil 38.65% 29.22%
Chile 30.38% 22.97%
Colombia 31.73% 23.98%
Costa Rica 20.05% 15.15%
Dominican Republic 16.49% 12.47%
Ecuador 13.85% 10.47%
El Salvador 15.69% 11.86%
Guatemala 16.20% 12.24%
Honduras 13.08% 9.88%
Mexico 18.70% 14.13%
Nicaragua 20.15% 15.23%
Panama 10.00% 7.56%
Paraguay 16.92% 12.79%
Peru 23.38% 17.67%
Puerto Rico 25.90% 19.58%
Uruguay 20.77% 15.70%
Venezuela 15.69% 11.86%
Regional Average 19.80% 14.96%
Spectrum Allocated per ITU Recommendation
Source: Signals Telecom Consulting
19.80%
Percentage of ITU
Recommendation
2015 completed
www.4gamericas.org
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Ecuador
Argentina
Venezuela
Guatemala
Dominican Rep.
Mexico
Peru
Chile
Colombia
Brazil
Spectrum available (MHz)
Spectrum and Mobile Broadband Adoption
2Q 2013
39%
39%
33%
18%
17%
17%
13%
10%
10%
9%
503
243
204
214.4
304
210.6
412.5
Source: Regulators, Informa Telecoms & Media, WCIS+ June 2013
Mobile
Broadband
Penetration
180
395
190
www.4gamericas.org
450 MHz Brazil 14 MHz auctioned June 2012 for rural services
700 MHz
Chile 90 MHz to be auctioned second half 2013. Will use APT
option
Brazil Auction planned during 2014
Ecuador 30 MHz directed allocated to state operator. Will use APT
option
Colombia Auction planned during 2014. Will use APT option
Mexico Auction rules to be published in 2014 . Will use APT option
Bolivia LTE in service (December 2012) using USA option
Antigua &
Barbuda LTE TDD in service (November 2012) using USA option
Puerto Rico 5 LTE networks in service (first November 2011) using USA
option
Frequency Band Status September 2013
Low Bands
www.4gamericas.org
Frequency Band Status September 2013 High Bands
1.7/2.1
GHz
(AWS)
Chile 90 MHz auctioned in 2009 to 2 new players
Colombia 90 MHz auctioned in June 2013 (3 blocks of 30 MHz)
Ecuador 40 MHz directed allocated to state operator
Peru 80 MHz auctioned in July 2013 (2 blocks of 40 MHz)
Mexico 60 MHz auctioned in 2010
Uruguay 40 MHz directed allocated to state operator. 20 MHz auctioned in March
2013
Argentina 90 MHz to be auctioned: Date and rules unknown
Uruguay LTE in service end 2011
Mexico LTE in service end 2012
1.8 GHz Dominican Republic LTE in service mid 2012
Venezuela LTE in service August 2013
2.6 GHz
Colombia 50 MHz auctioned in 2010. 100 MHz to be auctioned in June 2013
Brazil 140 MHz FDD + 35 MHZ TDD auctioned in 2012
Chile LTE in service June 2013
Colombia LTE in service mid 2012
Brazil LTE TDD in service end 2011 and LTE FDD in service end 2012
www.4gamericas.org
Issues and Opportunities in
Latin America & Caribbean
• Increasingly restrictive wireless regulations in the
region
• Government initiatives and involvement in creating
national broadband plans
• Average data contribution (VAS) to ARPU: 27% Vs.
43% in North America
• 24% Mobile Broadband penetration : 147 million
subscriptions
• Mobile Broadband penetration increasing and
providing Internet access for the masses
www.4gamericas.org
As per ITU-R M.2078 requirements for IMT-2000 and IMT-
Advanced by 2015, Latin American markets as an average
have failed to reach at least 50% of the 1300 MHz
recommendation. Only Brazil (38.65%), Chile (30.38%) and
Colombia (31.73%) have allocated more than 30%
Conclusions
In densely populated urban areas, spectrum constraints are
compounded by delays in the authorization of new tower
deployments or deployment of new technologies
Allocation of spectrum to dedicated data channels may allow
mobile operators to offer better mobile broadband throughput
speeds, thus increasing consumer satisfaction as well as
government objectives of expanding broadband coverage in
their markets
It is extremely important for the Americas region to work together
for a harmonized spectrum plan to benefit from the economies
of scale in the ecosystem and LTE mobile broadband roaming
www.4gamericas.org
