speednews aerospace & defense suppliers conference rich baldwin vice president, military sales...
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SpeedNews Aerospace & Defense SuppliersSpeedNews Aerospace & Defense SuppliersConferenceConference
Rich BaldwinVice President, Military Sales
5/11/05
2© 2004 ACSS
Today’s TopicToday’s Topic
Safety/Surveillance Considerations
for
UAVs
3© 2004 ACSS
AgendaAgenda
About ACSS
UAV Market Picture
UAV Market Influencers
UAV Safety
Future Directions
“We've already had two midair collisions between UAVs and other airplanes. We have got to get our arms around this thing…"
Gen. John Jumper said, according to United Press International
4© 2004 ACSS
Innovative Solutions for Safe FlightInnovative Solutions for Safe Flight
Our Avionics Improve Safety and Situational Awareness
Aircraft Collision Avoidance Systems
Terrain Collision Avoidance Systems
Aircraft-to-Aircraft Data Communication
Data Link Communications (Aircraft-to-Ground/Ground-to-Aircraft)
5© 2004 ACSS
StructureStructure
ACSS, an L-3 Communications & Thales Company
Joint Venture Company
Operated As L-3 Communications Company
Managed by an Executive Board With Representatives From Both Companies
L-370%
Thales30%
CompanyCompany
ACSS
Leading-Edge Surveillance Products for Global Aviation
TCAS
TAWS
T2CAS
Mode S/IFF
Thales Avionics Represents ACSS Products in the Commercial Air Transport Market
6© 2004 ACSS
7© 2004 ACSS
UAV Market PictureUAV Market Picture
Two Major Market Challenges:
1. Resolution of airspace management and current FAA regulatory roadblocks (File and Fly)
Will determine applied surveillance ops procedures
2. Evaluation of aerial missions best suited for UAVs
Will determine safety technology needs
The show is on!Major players continue to form alliances and purchase subsystem developers in a strategic chess match
8© 2004 ACSS
UAV MarketUAV Market
Approximately $12 Billion in U.S. funding with 12% CAGR 2005-2010 in two main areas:
Commercial Platforms
Tactical/Combat Platforms
55%
20%
14%
10%1%
US
Europe
Asia
Middle Eastand SouthAsia
Rest of theWorld
Source for breakout of w orld market, Aerospace Daily, December 6, 2002
9© 2004 ACSS
UAV World UAV World MarketMarket
Most Growth: UCAV
Total Total Avionics MarketAvionics Market 2004-2020: 1800M (w/o support) 2004-2020: 1800M (w/o support)
Vehicles Quantity per year
0
100
200
300
400
500
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
HALE MALE TUAV UCAV
Avionics Market per year - MEuros
0
50
100
150
200
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
HALE MALE TUAV UCAV
10© 2004 ACSS
Planned Global UAV ExpendituresPlanned Global UAV Expenditures
Source: OSD Roadmap 2002
DoD Annual Funding Profile For UAVs($M(TY$))
$106
$144
$165 $2
52 $430
$225
$267
$272
$553
$359
$420
$388
$284 $363
$763
$1,3
66 $1,6
44
$2,1
01
$1,9
56
$2,0
10
$2,7
43
$3,2
21
$-
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
1988
1989
1991
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Includes: A/C Control stations Maintenance
Significant GrowthSignificant Growth 2000 - 20102000 - 2010
11© 2004 ACSS
UAV Mission VariantsUAV Mission Variants
CurrentFuture
ReconnaissanceSurveillanceTarget AcquisitionBattle Management
ReconnaissanceMine DetectionMappingSurveillanceTarget Acquisition & DesignationSIGINTBattle ManagementCommunications RelayJammingOffensive A/G MissionsDefensive A/A…
Forest Fire DetectionEnvironmental MonitoringAgricultureFishingLaw enforcement…
CivilCivil
MilitaryMilitary
Concepts of use are emerging Mission variants will impose
system definition UAVs may pave the way for
one - man cockpit in civil a/c
12© 2004 ACSS
UAV Border Patrol ScenarioUAV Border Patrol Scenario
13© 2004 ACSS
Airspace Integration HierarchyAirspace Integration Hierarchy
1200 feet AGL
18,000 feet
Class 1 and 2 Micro and Mini UAVsCommercial (future-primarily), Military MarketNo Collision Avoidance SystemMost Likely a 1:1 Ratio UAV:Controller
Class 2 and 3 MALE Mini and Tactical UAVsCommercial, Homeland Defense & Military MarketTransponder*, See & Avoid, VFR Qualifications
Class 3 Tactical UAVsHomeland Defense & Military MarketTransponder, See & Avoid, DME, IFR Qualifications
Class 4 and 5 HALE UAVs and UCAVCommercial, Homeland Defense & Military MarketTransponder, See & Avoid, DME, IFR Qualifications
60,000 feet Global Hawk
Predator
Pioneer
Shadow
Hunter
Pointer
Dragon Eye
Micro AVs
* Transponders required above 10,000 ft
Class E“other”
Class A
Class E*“other”
Class GNot
regulated
10,000 ft
4,000 ft
2,500 ftClass D
Class C
Class B
AirspaceClass
Class 6 Ultra HALE UAVs Helios
Class D
Class C
Class B
14© 2004 ACSS
UAV Surveillance ScenarioUAV Surveillance Scenario
15© 2004 ACSS
UAV Surveillance ScenarioUAV Surveillance Scenario
16© 2004 ACSS
C2 Assets
UCSELEMENT
AIR VEHICLE ELEMENT
UAV SURFACE COMPONENT
LAUNCH&
RECOVERY ELEMENT
PROPULSION
UNIT
AVIONICS
UNIT
UAV AIR COMPONENT
Operator(s)
UAV SYSTEMSTANAG 4586
DATALINK
ELEMENT
PAYLOAD ELEMENTMISSION
AND
PAYLOAD
UAVs & NetworkcentricityUAVs & Networkcentricity
17© 2004 ACSS
UAV UAV Potential Functions: SafetyPotential Functions: SafetyUCAV HALE MALE TUAV
On ground mission preparation/planning/replanning X X X XIn flight mission management X X X XFlight management
Flight Plan management X x x xTrajectory (manoeuvers) elaboration X x x xGuidance (Lateral / Vertical / Speed)
Autonomous take off and landing X x xTBA XTraffic avoidance X x X xTerrain avoidance X xAir to air refuelling X x xFormation keeping X
Remote control X X X XBackup : "Go Back Home" X X X x
Localisation/NavigationPrecise localization X Xx x xSecure localization X X X -Anti Jamming X X XSpeed X Xx xAir Data X X X xAttitude X X X xGround Position X x xFormation keeping X
SurveillanceTraffic X x X xTerrain X xWeather X x xIFF X x x
Data link communication X X X X
UxAV Functions
ON
GROUND
ON
BOARD
18© 2004 ACSS
UAV Market EnvironmentUAV Market Environment
Technology Considerations
New Control System Algorithms
Demonstrated for autonomous evasion capability
Lengthy roadmaps to test vehicle
Next stage will merge terrain data into flight model
Intelligent Autonomy
Networking/swarming
Ongoing funding
ACSS UAV Thinking
Organic technology
Systems technology (networks and/or partner bundles)
Platform and packaging (mil spec)
19© 2004 ACSS
FAA Perspectives on Collision AvoidanceFAA Perspectives on Collision Avoidance
TCAS II (TSO C-119) avionics is inappropriate for UAV collision avoidance
Designed for pilot in the loop
Bearing accuracy does not support maneuvers in the horizontal plane
Not certified for autonomous RA response
Advocates Mode-S transponder equipage for collision avoidance
Allows TCAS II equipped aircraft RA protection against UAV
TCAS II may be appropriate with independent See and Avoid capability (system)
New technology
20© 2004 ACSS
UAV Safety Mission: Technology DriversUAV Safety Mission: Technology Drivers
1. National Airspace (NAS) Penetration
2. Tactical/NCO/ISR Ops
Sense & Avoid (SAA) TechnologiesCooperative/Non-Cooperative
Via transponder interrogation
Equivalent Level of Safety (ELOS)Same as ‘see and avoid’ (Pi-Bot)
Sensor use Optical, infrared, radar
Present Limiting FactorsBandwidth limitations
Transmission time delay
Future
Autonomous operation (commercial and military ops)
Landing/Refueling
21© 2004 ACSS
Market SurveyMarket Survey
ConsiderationsPrograms
ACESS 5
Global Hawk
Predator
J-UCAS
SeFAR
DARPA Projects
MALE UAV
FAA Expected Behavior
Engineering PlanningTechnology Requirements
IP Considerations and future applications
Validation of Potential Business/Market Capture
22© 2004 ACSS
FAA OEP
DoDEfforts
2003 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 2024 2025
FAA FlightPlan
FAA Joint ATM
Vision
FAA Joint ATM
Vision
Develop UAV Standards
Revise 7610.4
Define ELOS
File-and FlyDemo Prep
On-Going “En Route Restratification,Resectorization and Rerouting”
“Develop policies, procedures, andapproval processes” for UAV ops
Regulations Analysis
DHS Efforts
ASTM
Access 5
F38 Comm.Formed
UAV Standards forAircrew, Air Traffic,Airworthiness
= Information/Resources Flow
7610.4 Revisions as needed
On-going S&A sensor develop.
Airworth Criteria into MIL HDBK 516 (or equivalent)
ROA Airports
FullAccess
UAV SupportFor DHS
UAV ConopsDevelopment
High AltAccess
BetterAccess
= Goal/Milestone
Standards-Based UAVRegulations In-Place
7610.4 UAV Section DeletedGATM Compliant UAVs
Around the CountryFile-and-Fly Demo
Airspace Opento HALE UAVs
High Altitude Phase 1 Expansion (Above 39,000’ at Seven Air Route Traffic Control Centers)
High Altitude Phase 2 Expansion(Moderate to High Density Airspace)
= Future Goal (Dates subject to change)
Management of Airspace
Control byException
Full UAV Integration
Full Integration of Military UAVs into the NAS
Autonomy Level10+ Achieved
F2411 S&AStandard
DOD UAV Airspace Integration MilestonesDOD UAV Airspace Integration Milestones
23© 2004 ACSS
Safety Roadmap: ACCESS 5Safety Roadmap: ACCESS 5
Scheduled at NASA Dryden
Flown as UAV, pilot in cockpit for flight safety
Controlled from ground
Full TCAS system installed
ACCESS 5 Flight Test
First TCAS II to fly in UAV
24© 2004 ACSS
Who Will Ensure UAV Safety?Who Will Ensure UAV Safety?
Regulators and Aviation Industry
Working together, we will ensure new technology options and rule making to provide equivalent levels of safety among manned and un-manned aircraft.
25© 2004 ACSS
SummarySummary
UAV Market is GrowingVariety of sizes and capabilities
Substantial expenditures in the years to come
More UAVs = More TrafficGreater need for surveillance and other safety systems
26© 2004 ACSS
Questions