sri lanka: recent economic developments in chartstourism arrivals and earnings monthly arrivals 0...

Sri Lanka: Macroeconomic Developments in

Charts

March 2015

Central Bank of Sri LankaEconomic Research Department

IndexReal Sector and Inflation

Real GDP Growth (Annual /Quarterly)

Sectoral GDP Growth

Per Capita GDP

Unemployment

Poverty

Inflation (Headline and Core Inflation)

External SectorEarnings from Merchandise Exports

Earnings from Merchandise Imports

Trade Balance

Tourism: Arrivals and Earnings

Tourism: Monthly Arrivals

Workers’ Remittances

Current Account Balance

Balance of Payment

Foreign Direct Investment Flows

Gross Official Reserves

Exchange Rate Movements

Fiscal SectorGovernment Revenue

Government Expenditure: Recurrent Expenditure

Government Expenditure: Public Investment

Budget Deficit

Public Debt

Monetary SectorReserve Money Growth and Money Multiplier

Broad Money Growth

Credit to the Private Sector

Net Credit to Government

Credit to Public Corporations

Net Foreign Assets

Policy Interest Rates and Overnight Money Market Rates

Treasury Bill Yields and the Yield Curve

Market Interest Rates

Financial SectorBanking Sector Indicators(i)

Banking Sector Indicators(ii)

Banking Density

Non-Bank Financial Sector Indicators(i)

Non-Bank Financial Sector Indicators(ii)

Stock Market Performance

Central Bank of Sri Lanka Economic Research Department

Real Sector and Inflation


Real GDP GrowthAnnual Real GDP Growth Quarterly Real GDP Growth

6.0

-1.5

4.0

5.95.4

6.2

7.7

6.8

6.0

3.5

8.0 8.2

6.3

7.2 7.4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

%

6.2

7.0

6.3

4.3

1.6

2.1

4.2

6.1

7.1

8.5

8.0

8.6

8.0 8.18.5

8.38.0

6.4

4.8

6.36.1

6.8

7.98.2

7.67.8 7.7

6.4

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

20

08

-Q1

20

08

-Q4

20

09

-Q3

20

10

-Q2

20

11

-Q1

20

11

-Q4

20

12

-Q3

20

13

-Q2

20

14

-Q1

20

14

-Q4

%


Source: Department of Census and Statistics

Sectoral GDP Growth

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Gro

wth

Rat

e (%

)

Agriculture Sector

2011 2012 2013 2014

0

5

10

15

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Gro

wth

Rat

e (%

)

Industry Sector

2011 2012 2013 2014

0

2

4

6

8

10

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4

Gro

wth

Rat

e (%

)

Services Sector

2011 2012 2013 2014

Central Bank of Sri Lanka Economic Research Department Source: Department of Census and Statistics

Per Capita GDP

869 838 874981

1,062

1,241

1,421

1,617

2,011 2,054

2,397

2,836 2,922

3,280

3,625

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

US$


Source: Department of Census and StatisticsCentral Bank of Sri Lanka

Unemployment



7.67.9

8.88.4 8.3

7.2

6.5

6.0

5.45.8

4.9

4.24.0

4.4 4.3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

%

Poverty

28.8

22.7

15.2

8.9

6.7

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1995/1996 2002 2006/2007 2009/2010 2012/2013

%

Poverty Headcount Ratio



1.4

0

5

10

15

20

25

De

c-0

6M

ar-0

7Ju

n-0

7Se

p-0

7D

ec-

07

Mar

-08

Jun

-08

Sep

-08

De

c-0

8M

ar-0

9Ju

n-0

9Se

p-0

9D

ec-

09

Mar

-10

Jun

-10

Sep

-10

De

c-1

0M

ar-1

1Ju

n-1

1Se

p-1

1D

ec-

11

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2M

ar-1

3Ju

n-1

3Se

p-1

3D

ec-

13

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4M

ar-1

5

%

Core (xFFET+ RC)*

Inflation

Headline Inflation Core Inflation(Y-O-Y)



0.1

2.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

De

c-0

6M

ar-0

7Ju

n-0

7Se

p-0

7D

ec-

07

Mar

-08

Jun

-08

Sep

-08

De

c-0

8M

ar-0

9Ju

n-0

9Se

p-0

9D

ec-

09

Mar

-10

Jun

-10

Sep

-10

De

c-1

0M

ar-1

1Ju

n-1

1Se

p-1

1D

ec-

11

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2M

ar-1

3Ju

n-1

3Se

p-1

3D

ec-

13

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4M

ar-1

5

%

Headline (Y-o-Y) Headline (Annual Avg.)*Calculated by excluding fresh food, energy, transport, rice and coconut from the Colombo

Consumers’ Price index.

External Sector


Earnings from Merchandise Exports

600

650

700

750

800

850

900

950

1,000

1,050

1,100

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

US$

mn

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka and Sri Lanka Custom

Expenditure on Merchandise Imports

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2,200


US$

mn

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015


Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka and Sri Lanka Custom

Trade Balance

-1.8

-1.2-1.4 -1.5

-2.2-2.5

-3.4-3.7

-6.0

-3.1

-4.8

-9.7-9.4

-7.6

-8.3

-1.9

-12.0

-10.0

-8.0

-6.0

-4.0

-2.0

0.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Q1

US$

bn


Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka

TourismArrivals and Earnings Monthly Arrivals

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000


Nu

mb

er2012 2013 2014 2015

252 213

363454 408 429 410 385 342 350

576

830

1039

1715

2431

762

0

200,000

400,000

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

1,200,000

1,400,000

1,600,000

1,800,000

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15 Q

1

Nu

mb

er

US$

mn

Earnings from tourism(US$ mn) Tourist arrivals(No)


Source: SLTDASource: Central Bank of Sri Lanka and Sri Lanka Tourist Development Authority (SLTDA)

Workers’ Remittances

1,160 1,155 1,287 1,414 1,305

1,968 2,161

2,502

2,918

3,330

4,116

5,145

5,985

6,407

7,018

1,661

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Q1

US$

mn



Current Account Balance



-1.1

-0.2 -0.2-0.1

-0.6 -0.7

-1.5-1.4

-3.9

-0.2

-1.1

-4.6

-4.0

-2.5

-2.0

-5.0

-4.5

-4.0

-3.5

-3.0

-2.5

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

US$

bn

Foreign Direct Investment Inflows

175 82

197 229 223 272

604

734

889

601 516

1,066

1,382 1,437

1,685

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

US$

mn


Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Board of Investment and Colombo Stock Exchange

Balance of Payments

-0.50.2

0.30.5

-0.2

0.5

0.2

0.5

-1.4

2.7

0.9

-1.10.2

1.0

1.4

-2.0

-1.5

-1.0

-0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

US$

bn

Overall Balance



Gross Official Reserves



0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Mar

-09

Jun

-09

Sep

-09

De

c-0

9

Mar

-10

Jun

-10

Sep

-10

De

c-1

0

Mar

-11

Jun

-11

Sep

-11

De

c-1

1

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Mo

nth

s

US$

bn

Gross Official Reserves and Months of Imports

Gross Reserves Months of Imports

Exchange Rate Movements



109

114

119

124

129

134

139

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs. US Dollar

103

108

113

118

123

128

133

138

143

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs. Australian Dollar

1.00

1.10

1.20

1.30

1.40

1.50

1.60

1.70

1.80

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs. Japanese Yen

170

180

190

200

210

220

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs. Sterling Pound

1.90

2.00

2.10

2.20

2.30

2.40

2.50

2.60

2.70

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs. Indian Rupee

138

148

158

168

178

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs. Euro

Fiscal Sector


Government Revenue

16.8 16.6 16.6

15.2 14.915.5

16.315.8

14.914.5 14.6 14.8

13.913.1

12.2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

182

00

0

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

P.

% o

f G

DP


Source: Ministry of Finance

Government ExpenditureRecurrent Expenditure Public Investment

6.4

5.9

4.64.8

5.1

6.1 66.4

6.0

6.86.4 6.5

5.95.5

5.0

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

P.

% o

f G

DP

20.2 21.6

20.9

18.4 18.6 18.1 18.6 17.4 16.9

18.216.7

15.714.9

13.9 13.5

0

5

10

15

20

25

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

P.

% o

f G

DP



Budget Deficit

9.5

10.4

8.5

7.37.5

7 7 6.9 7

9.9

8

6.96.5

5.9 6.0

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 P.

% o

f G

DP



Central Government Debt

96.9

103.3105.6

102.3 102.3

90.687.9

85.081.4

86.2

81.978.5 79.2 78.3

75.5

0

20

40

60

80

100

1202

00

0

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

P.

% o

f G

DP



Monetary Sector


Reserve Money Growth and Money Multiplier

Reserve Money Growth(Y-O-Y) Money Multiplier



0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

Q1

M1 M2 M2b

24.7

20.6

8.8

-1.6

3.4

1.5

18.8

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Mar

-11

Jun

-11

Sep

-11

De

c-1

1

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

% Y

-O-Y

Broad Money Growth

17.7

20.7

19.1

22.8

18.2

15.2 15.3

18.3

16.7

14.7

13.0

11.9

12.8

12.5

10

12

14

16

18

20

22

24

Jan

-11

Feb

-11

Mar

-11

Ap

r-1

1M

ay-1

1Ju

n-1

1Ju

l-1

1A

ug-

11

Sep

-11

Oct

-11

No

v-1

1D

ec-1

1Ja

n-1

2Fe

b-1

2M

ar-1

2A

pr-

12

May

-12

Jun

-12

Jul-

12

Au

g-1

2Se

p-1

2O

ct-1

2N

ov-

12

Dec

-12

Jan

-13

Feb

-13

Mar

-13

Ap

r-1

3M

ay-1

3Ju

n-1

3Ju

l-1

3A

ug-

13

Sep

-13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3D

ec-1

3Ja

n-1

4Fe

b-1

4M

ar-1

4A

pr-

14

May

-14

Jun

-14

Jul-

14

Au

g-1

4Se

p-1

4O

ct-1

4N

ov-

14

Dec

-14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Mar

-15

%

Broad Money (M2b) Growth(Y-O-Y)



Credit to the Private Sector



5.3

28.5

-6.3

34.4

8.8

13.9

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Jan

-02

Mar

-02

May

-02

Jul-

02

Sep

-02

No

v-0

2Ja

n-0

3M

ar-0

3M

ay-0

3Ju

l-0

3Se

p-0

3N

ov-

03

Jan

-04

Mar

-04

May

-04

Jul-

04

Sep

-04

No

v-0

4Ja

n-0

5M

ar-0

5M

ay-0

5Ju

l-0

5Se

p-0

5N

ov-

05

Jan

-06

Mar

-06

May

-06

Jul-

06

Sep

-06

No

v-0

6Ja

n-0

7M

ar-0

7M

ay-0

7Ju

l-0

7Se

p-0

7N

ov-

07

Jan

-08

Mar

-08

May

-08

Jul-

08

Sep

-08

No

v-0

8Ja

n-0

9M

ar-0

9M

ay-0

9Ju

l-0

9Se

p-0

9N

ov-

09

Jan

-10

Mar

-10

May

-10

Jul-

10

Sep

-10

No

v-1

0Ja

n-1

1M

ar-1

1M

ay-1

1Ju

l-1

1Se

p-1

1N

ov-

11

Jan

-12

Mar

-12

May

-12

Jul-

12

Sep

-12

No

v-1

2Ja

n-1

3M

ar-1

3M

ay-1

3Ju

l-1

3Se

p-1

3N

ov-

13

Jan

-14

Mar

-14

May

-14

Jul-

14

Sep

-14

No

v-1

4Ja

n-1

5M

ar-1

5

%

Rs.

bn

Private Sector Credit Volume(LHS) Private Sector Credit Growth(RHS)

Net Credit to the Government



203

781

1343

1645

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

Jan

-00

Au

g-0

0

Mar

-01

Oct

-01

May

-02

De

c-0

2

Jul-

03

Feb

-04

Sep

-04

Ap

r-0

5

No

v-0

5

Jun

-06

Jan

-07

Au

g-0

7

Mar

-08

Oct

-08

May

-09

De

c-0

9

Jul-

10

Feb

-11

Sep

-11

Ap

r-1

2

No

v-1

2

Jun

-13

Jan

-14

Au

g-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs.

bn

Central Bank Commercial Banks Claim on Government (net)

Credit to Public Corporations



41 54

155

364 359

331

485

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

Dec

-01

Mar

-02

Jun

-02

Sep

-02

Dec

-02

Mar

-03

Jun

-03

Sep

-03

Dec

-03

Mar

-04

Jun

-04

Sep

-04

Dec

-04

Mar

-05

Jun

-05

Sep

-05

Dec

-05

Mar

-06

Jun

-06

Sep

-06

Dec

-06

Mar

-07

Jun

-07

Sep

-07

Dec

-07

Mar

-08

Jun

-08

Sep

-08

Dec

-08

Mar

-09

Jun

-09

Sep

-09

Dec

-09

Mar

-10

Jun

-10

Sep

-10

Dec

-10

Mar

-11

Jun

-11

Sep

-11

Dec

-11

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

Dec

-12

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

Dec

-13

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

Dec

-14

Mar

-15

Rs.

bn

Net Foreign Assets(NFA)



253.17

-197.8-162.04

-1,000

-800

-600

-400

-200

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

De

c-0

2

Mar

-03

Jun

-03

Sep

-03

De

c-0

3

Mar

-04

Jun

-04

Sep

-04

De

c-0

4

Mar

-05

Jun

-05

Sep

-05

De

c-0

5

Mar

-06

Jun

-06

Sep

-06

De

c-0

6

Mar

-07

Jun

-07

Sep

-07

De

c-0

7

Mar

-08

Jun

-08

Sep

-08

De

c-0

8

Mar

-09

Jun

-09

Sep

-09

De

c-0

9

Mar

-10

Jun

-10

Sep

-10

De

c-1

0

Mar

-11

Jun

-11

Sep

-11

De

c-1

1

Mar

-12

Jun

-12

Sep

-12

De

c-1

2

Mar

-13

Jun

-13

Sep

-13

De

c-1

3

Mar

-14

Jun

-14

Sep

-14

De

c-1

4

Mar

-15

Rs.

bn

NFA of Central Bank NFA of Commercial Banks NFA of the Banking System

Policy Interest Rates and Overnight Money Market Rates

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

30

-Jan

-12

4-M

ar-1

2

7-A

pr-

12

11

-May

-12

14

-Ju

n-1

2

18

-Ju

l-1

2

21

-Au

g-1

2

24

-Se

p-1

2

28

-Oct

-12

1-D

ec-1

2

4-J

an-1

3

7-F

eb

-13

13

-Mar

-13

16

-Ap

r-1

3

20

-May

-13

23

-Ju

n-1

3

27

-Ju

l-1

3

30

-Au

g-1

3

3-O

ct-1

3

6-N

ov-

13

10

-Dec

-13

13

-Jan

-14

16

-Fe

b-1

4

22

-Mar

-14

25

-Ap

r-1

4

29

-May

-14

2-J

ul-

14

5-A

ug-

14

8-S

ep

-14

12

-Oct

-14

15

-No

v-1

4

19

-Dec

-14

22

-Jan

-15

25

-Fe

b-1

5

31

-Mar

-15

%

Average Weighted Call Money Rate Standing Deposit Facility Rate* Standing Lending Facility Rate **

*Previously named as the Repo Rate

** Previously named as the Reverse Repo Rate



Treasury Bill Yields and the Yield Curve

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

1-J

an-1

12

0-F

eb-1

11

1-A

pr-

11

31

-May

-11

20

-Ju

l-1

18

-Sep

-11

28

-Oct

-11

17

-Dec

-11

5-F

eb-1

22

6-M

ar-1

21

5-M

ay-1

24

-Ju

l-1

22

3-A

ug-

12

12

-Oct

-12

1-D

ec-1

22

0-J

an-1

31

1-M

ar-1

33

0-A

pr-

13

19

-Ju

n-1

38

-Au

g-13

27

-Sep

-13

16

-No

v-1

35

-Jan

-14

24

-Feb

-14

15

-Ap

r-1

44

-Ju

n-1

42

4-J

ul-

14

12

-Sep

-14

1-N

ov-

14

21

-Dec

-14

9-F

eb-1

53

1-M

ar-1

5

%

Treasury Bill Yields and Policy Interest Rates

Standing Deposit Facility Rate Standing Lending Facility Rate91- Day Treasury bill 364- Day Treasury bill182- Day Treasury bill



5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

3 M

on

th

6 M

on

th

12

Mo

nth

2 Y

ear

3 Y

ear

4 Y

ear

5 Y

ear

6 Y

ear

8 Y

ear

10

Yea

r

15

Yea

r

20

Yea

r

30

Yea

r

%

Secondary Market Yield Curve

End 2011 End 2012 End 2013

End 2014 2015 Q1

Market Interest Rates

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Feb

-11

Mar

-11

Ap

r-1

1M

ay-1

1Ju

n-1

1Ju

l-1

1A

ug-

11

Sep

-11

Oct

-11

No

v-1

1D

ec-

11

Jan

-12

Feb

-12

Mar

-12

Ap

r-1

2M

ay-1

2Ju

n-1

2Ju

l-1

2A

ug-

12

Sep

-12

Oct

-12

No

v-1

2D

ec-

12

Jan

-13

Feb

-13

Mar

-13

Ap

r-1

3M

ay-1

3Ju

n-1

3Ju

l-1

3A

ug-

13

Sep

-13

Oct

-13

No

v-1

3D

ec-

13

Jan

-14

Feb

-14

Mar

-14

Ap

r-1

4M

ay-1

4Ju

n-1

4Ju

l-1

4A

ug-

14

Sep

-14

Oct

-14

No

v-1

4D

ec-

14

Jan

-15

Feb

-15

Mar

-15

%

Monthly Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) Average Weighted Deposit Rate (AWDR)

Average Weighted Fixed Deposit Rate (AWFDR) Average Weighted Lending Rate (AWLR)



Financial Sector


Banking Sector Indicators(i)

103 136 107 99 117 191 166 177

6.3

8.5

5.4

3.8 3.7

5.6

4.2 4.3

3.4

5.0

3.0

2.12.2

3.8

2.6 2.7

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0

50

100

150

200

250

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Q1

%

Rs.

bn

Non-Performing Loans of the Banking Sector

Gross NPL Volume(Rs.bn) Gross NPL Ratio(%) Net NPL Ratio(%)

1,975

2,601

3,149 3,427

3,895 4,082

2,586

3,073

3,625

4,170

4,686 4,775

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1

Rs.

bn

Assets and Liabilities of the Banking Sector

Loans and Advances Deposits



Banking Sector Indicators(ii)

13.4

11.8

22.0

19.8 20.3

16.0 16.6 16.4

4.44.6 4.6

4.2 4.1

3.5 3.5

3.8

1.1 1.0

1.8 1.7 1.7

1.3 1.4 1.4

1

2

3

4

5

0

5

10

15

20

25

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1%%

Profitability Indicators

Return on Equity Net Interest Margin Return on Assets

1,571 1,527 1,815 2,269 2,601 2,942 3,483 3,639

12.5

14.114.3 14.4

14.7 14.9

14.113.8

14.5

16.1 16.216.0

16.4

17.6

16.7

16.3

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Q1

%

Rs.

bn

Capital Adequacy Ratios

Risk Weighted Aseets (Rs.bn) Core CAR (%) Total CAR (%)



Banking Density by Province2009 2014


Non-Bank Financial Sector Indicators(i)

387.9

489.9

596.6

717.6

853.3 891.0

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

900

1,000

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1

Rs.

bn

Assets of the LFC & SLC Sector

146.1

186.0

254.1

337.3

414.0 418.3

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1

Rs.

bn

Total Deposits of the LFC & SLC Sector



LFC: Licensed Finance CompaniesSLC: Specilised Leasing Companies

Non-Bank Financial Sector Indicators(ii)

4.16.9 7.6 7.4

6.6

8.0

0.4 3.2 5.9 4.22.1 3.0

-2.8

11.6

34.3

18.9

8.2

13.1

-5

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

%

Profitability Indicators of the LFC and SLC Sector

Net Interest Margin Return on Assets Return on Equity



17.9 20.9 19.8 23.5 37.0 44.3 43.3

9.1

7.9

5.1

5.0

6.7 6.96.3

4.5

3.4

1.9 1.6

2.5 2.31.9

0

2

4

6

8

10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015Q1

%

Rs.

bn

Non-Performing Advances

Gross NPA (Rs.bn) Gross NPA Ratio (%) Net NPA Ratio (%)

Stock Market PerformanceShare Price Indices and Market Capitalisation Net Foreign Inflows to the Secondary

Market


Source: Colombo Stock Exchange

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

7,000

8,000

9,000

2-J

an-1

1

29

-Mar

-11

23

-Ju

n-1

1

17

-Se

p-1

1

12

-Dec

-11

7-M

ar-1

2

1-J

un

-12

26

-Au

g-1

2

20

-No

v-1

2

14

-Fe

b-1

3

11

-May

-13

5-A

ug-

13

30

-Oct

-13

24

-Jan

-14

20

-Ap

r-1

4

15

-Ju

l-1

4

9-O

ct-1

4

3-J

an-1

5

30

-Mar

-15

Rs.

bn

Ind

ex

Share Price Indices and Market Capitalisation

Market Capitalisation (RHS) All Share Price Index (LHS)

S&P SL 20 Index (LHS)

-6.3

-229.7

-171.2

305.2

178.7158.3

21.9

-300

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Q1

US$

mn

Net Foreign Inflows

The sets of graphs above summarise macroeconomicand financial market trends in Sri Lanka. However,these graphs do not provide source data. An extensiveset of data is available in the CBSL website. Informationfor 2014 and 2015 Q1 are provisional.


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