state capitalism: myth and reality herzliya conference february 1, 2012

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State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

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Page 1: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

State Capitalism: Myth and Reality

Herzliya ConferenceFebruary 1, 2012

Page 2: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

The hypothesis: state capitalism

“… governments use various kinds of state-owned companies to manage the exploitation of resources that they consider the state’s crown jewels and to create and maintain large numbers of jobs. They use select privately owned companies to dominate certain economic sectors. They use so-called sovereign wealth funds to invest their extra cash in ways that maximize the state’s profits. In all three cases, the state is using markets to create wealth that can be directed as political officials see fit. And in all three cases, the ultimate motive is not economic (maximizing growth) but political (maximizing the state’s power and the leadership’s chances of survival). This is a form of capitalism but one in which the state acts as the dominant economic player and uses markets primarily for political gain. … China holds the key.” – Ian Bremmer, The End of the Free Market

Page 3: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

China is certainly catching up

Source: IMF

Page 4: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

But is that a result of state capitalism?

Source: IMF

Page 5: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

State capitalism … in Europe

Source: IMF

Page 6: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

Competitiveness is the key

Source: WEF

Page 7: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

And it’s institutions that matter

Page 8: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

And it’s institutions that matter

Source: WEF

Page 9: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

State capitalism = corruption

Page 10: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

State capitalism = corruption

China’s score: 36

Page 11: State Capitalism: Myth and Reality Herzliya Conference February 1, 2012

Don’t kotow to the “Beijing Consensus”

Niall Ferguson 2012