state of the female electorate - america first policies...and passage of tax reform, president...

1 National Voter Tracking Data Tracking Polls from June-December, 2017

State of the Female Electorate

January 16-19, 2018 N = 1,200 respondents

(1/3 Landline, 1/3 Cell, 1/3 Internet) margin of error: +/- 2.83%


With soaring stock markets, plummeting unemployment rates, and passage of tax reform, President Trump’s approval rating

among women is heading in the right direction.

32% 37%

62% 59%

Nov 30 - Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

Approve Disapprove

-30 -22

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? Among Women

+8


Roughly half (48%) of all women ‘support’ the job President Trump is doing, and over 9-in-10 Republican women approve,

or like some of the actions he is taking as President (91%).

Approver Supporter

Republican Women (14%) 84% 91% Democrat Women (22%) 9% 20% Independent Women (13%) 35% 50% Women 18-44 (21%) 21% 36% Women 45-64 (21%) 49% 57% Women 65+ (13%) 44% 53%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President? IF NOT APPROVE, ASK: Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: Even though I may not approve of the job that Donald Trump is doing as President, I do like some of the actions he is taking?

20%

17% 6%

48%

Trump Supporter

37% Total Approve

Among Women


On the Issues: Over the past two months, the President’s handling of specific issues has lead to growing approval

numbers among female voters. Please tell me whether you approve or disapprove of the job President Donald Trump has done

on each of the following… Among Women

35% 37%

51% 47%

Nov 30-Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

34% 37%

57% 55%

Nov 30-Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

39% 39%

51% 46%

Nov 30-Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

40%

44% 49%

42% Nov 30-Dec 3

2017 Jan 16-19

2018

Handling of ISIS and Terrorism Handling of the Economy

Handling of Trade Deals Handling of National Security and the Border

-9 +2 -12 -7

-23 -18 -16 -10

+11 +5

+5 +6


Optimism among the Female Voters


Optimism in America: Women’s perception that America is better off today than a year ago has grown a net 7-points in the

past two months.

27%

27% 31%

51% 51% 48%

Nov 6-8 2017

Nov 30 - Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

Better off than it was a year ago Worse off than it was a year ago

As you know, it was about a year ago that Donald Trump won the Presidential election. Over the past year, when you think about our country in general would you say that our country is….

Among Women

-24 -24 -17 Even +7


Economic Optimism: Currently, 4-in-10 women believe America is in the process of becoming great again, closing the

economic optimism gap to 1-point. When you think about jobs, the economy, trade deals and the stock market, regardless of

personality or partisanship, do you think America is in the process of becoming great again? Among Women

37% 40%

44% 41%

Nov 30 - Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

Yes No

-7 -1 +6


Tax Reform’s Growing Support: Since November, women’s support for tax reform has grown a net 11-points.

27% 32% 34%

52% 54% 48%

Nov 6-8 2017

Nov 30 - Dec 3 2017

Jan 16-19 2018

Support Oppose

-25 -22 -14

Do you support or oppose the tax reform plan that was passed by President Trump and Republicans in Congress? Among Women

+3 +8


Optimism by Issue: In thinking about the past year, women believe that unemployment has dropped, the economy has

improved, and illegal immigration has declined.

40%

42%

43%

40%

27%

34%

25%

35%

36%

38%

39%

45%

53%

59%

Over the past year, lobbyists and the DC elite have begun to lose their influence.

Over the past year, trade agreements have been renegotiated in a way that benefits American workers and

businesses.

Over the past year, the U.S. has been winning the war against ISIS and terrorism.

Over the past year, manufacturing jobs have been brought back to the U.S.

Over the past year, undocumented illegal immigration into the U.S. has declined.

Over the past year, the economy of the U.S. has improved.

Over the past year, unemployment rates in America have declined.

Agree Disagree

23% Strong 17% Strong

16% Strong

18% Strong

19% Strong

26% Strong

26% Strong

25% Strong 14% Strong

20% Strong

21% Strong

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statements… Among Women

+34

+19

+18

-1

-5

-6

-5


Issue Importance among Women


In the coming year, women would like to see Congress lower the cost of healthcare by working to fix the current

problems with ObamaCare.

44%

35%

33%

28%

24%

23%

21%

20%

18%

Lowering the cost of healthcare

Improving education

Creating new jobs and improving the economy

Reforming our immigration system

Improving our nation's infrastructure

Increasing national security

Reforming the criminal justice system

Reducing the federal deficit

Combating the opioid epidemic

Which of the following do you see as the most important issue for Congress and the President to address in the coming year:

Among Women

57%

21%

16%

Work to fix the problems with ObamaCare

Repeal and Replace ObamaCare

Leave ObamaCare as it is

If “Lowering the cost of healthcare,” ask: (n288) In thinking about the state of the Affordable Care Act, commonly referred to as ObamaCare, would you like Congress to:


Cultivating the Female Vote: Women would find it important if Congress passed a variety of ‘bipartisan’, commonsensical

policy measures.

8.5 8.4

8.2 7.8 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.7

7.5 7.5 7.5 7.4

6.8 6.5

6.0 5.5

4.2

Passing legislation to prevent sex trafficking.

Giving Veterans more options when it comes to health care.

Improving international relations.

Improving our national infrastructure.

Lowering the federal deficit.

Streamlining higher education funding and student loans.

Reforming the criminal justice system.

Making it easier for qualified small businesses to receive bank loans to help grow their business.

Supporting our nation's farmers with laws to ensure their crops are protected.

Passing legislation to combat the opioid crisis.

Reforming our welfare system, by requiring able-bodied adults to work for the benefits that they receive.

Renegotiating trade deals to better benefit U.S. workers and businesses.

Draining the swamp in Washington.

Protecting our borders and enforcing immigration laws.

Limiting family-based immigration to immediate family, to reduce "chain migration."

Repealing and replacing ObamaCare.

Constructing a wall along our Southern border.

On a scale of one to ten, how important are the following issues to you? (Ranked by MEAN Score) Among Women


Legislative initiatives that are most important to women, are the same initiatives that are most important to the

electorate as a whole.

8.5

8.4

8.2

7.8

7.7


Giving Veterans more options when it comes to health care.




On a scale of one to ten, how important are the following issues to you? (ranked by MEAN Score)

Among All Voters

8.4

8.3

7.9

7.9

7.7

Giving Veterans more options when it comes to healthcare.





Among Women Voters


Strategic passage of non-divisive legislation in 2018 may garner female trust on ‘important’ issues such as infrastructure, the

criminal justice system, and fighting for the middle class.

28%

28%

27%

33%

36%

36%

28%

39%

38%

40%

45%

44%

53%

50%

39%

42%

45%

39%

29%

40%

38%

33%

33%

26%

25%

22%

12%

9%

9%

3%

1%

1%

0%

7%

12%

18%

Fighting for the middle class.


Representing the view of the elites in New York and Hollywood.

Reforming the criminal justice system.

Reforming our welfare system.


Draining the swamp in Washington.

Renegotiating trade deals that benefit U.S. workers and businesses.


Repealing and replacing ObamaCare.

Protecting our borders and enforcing immigration laws.

Getting tougher on violent criminals like MS13 gang members.

Republican Democrat

-

-

-

Republican – Democrat

+

+

+

-

-

-

-

-

For each issue, please tell me if who you trust (ROTATE) Republicans or Democrats, to better handle the issue...

Among Women


Summary


Where Women Stand

Is America is better off? •  Women agree that over the past year unemployment rates have dropped, the

economy has improved, and illegal immigration has declined.

•  Recent trends show women’s expanding acceptance of the positive state of our nation, the stock market and trade deals, and the passage of tax reform.

But. . . •  Women still don’t ultimately believe that America is better off today than it was

a year ago.

•  Women need to see Republicans pass distinct, bipartisan legislation in order to develop trust for members of the party.

state of the female electorate - america first policies...and passage of tax reform, president...

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