Prepared by:

Formerly Tauri Group Space and Technology

State of theSatellite Industry

Report

September 2018Prepared by:

Prepared by:

Formerly Tauri Group Space and Technology

• Satellite industry revenue was $268.6 billion in 2017• Overall industry growth of 3% worldwide• Three of four satellite industry segments posted growth

Top-Level Global Satellite Industry Findings

2

1%

10%

5.6%

-16%

Satellite services: the largest segment; 1% growthConsumer services continue to dominate the overall satellite industry

Satellite manufacturing revenues increased by 10%More satellites launched in 2017

Launch industry revenues declined by 16%Number of launches consistent with previous years, more launches using less expensive launch vehicles

Ground equipment revenues grew by 5.6%Growth in GNSS and network equipment, consumer equipment remaining flat

Prepared by:

Formerly Tauri Group Space and Technology

Space Observation (1%)

Non-Profit Communications (1%)

3

The Satellite Network in ContextOperational Satellites

by Function and Mass Class• Estimated as of December 31, 2017• Number of satellites increased 49% over 5

years (from 1,167 in 2013)» Satellites launched 2013—2017 increased 147%

over previous 5 years» Average 272/year» Due mostly to small/very small satellites in

LEO (<1,200 kg)» Total satellite mass in orbit about 3,000 metric tons» Average operational lives of larger (mostly

communications) satellites becoming longer, exceeding 15 years; 272 active satellites launched before 2003

» 531 active satellites in GEO (mostly communications)

• 1738 satellites operated by entities from 62 countries (some in regional consortia) » Cumulatively, organizations from 81 countries have

deployed at least one satellite since 1957• U.S. entities operate 803 satellites, some in

partnership with other nations

Commercial Communications

Government Communications

Earth Observation

Military Surveillance

Total OperationalSatellites

1,738

R&D

Scientific

Navigation

Meteorology

Extra Heavy (7,000+ kg) (1%)

On-Orbit Satellites by Mass Class (total mass ~3,000MT)

Nano(1-10 kg)

Intermediate(2,500-4,200 kg)

Medium(1,200-2,500 kg)

Micro(10-200 kg)

Small (600-1,200 kg)

Large(4,200-5,400 kg)

Mini (200-600 kg)

Heavy (5,400-7,000 kg)

Unknown/Classified

Pico (0.1-1 kg)

Prepared by:

Formerly Tauri Group Space and Technology

4

Case Study:On-Orbit Satellite Servicing

• On-orbit capability to conduct maintenance, augment propulsion, and/or refuel spacecraft using autonomous vehicles. Segments include satellite life extension, salvage operations, robotic maintenance, and deorbiting, with focus on high revenue-generating GEO assets

• Problem needing a solution: 10% of anomalies occur within the first two months after launch—yet account for 36% of cases with full loss of capability*

• Major programs» Government efforts: NASA GSFC Robotic Refueling Mission on ISS, Restore-L, DARPA Robotic Servicing of

Geosynchronous Satellites (RSGS), DLR Deutsche Orbitale Servicing Mission (DEOS)» Commercial efforts: Northrop Grumman Innovative Solutions (formerly Orbital ATK) Mission Extension Vehicle

(MEV), Maxar Space Infrastructure Servicing (SIS), Effective Space SPACE DRONE• Developing “rules of the road”: Consortium for Execution of Rendezvous and Servicing Operations

(CONFERS), initiated in 2017• Market projections

» Northrop Grumman Innovative Solutions projects revenue of $400M to $500M per year» First Northrop Grumman commercial MEV to launch in 2018; contracts to service two Intelsat satellites» One analysis firm projects $3B in revenue through 2027

• Related emerging markets: on-orbit manufacturing, assembly, and debris removal

* Kunstadter, C., “Space Insurance Update 2017,” International Union of Aerospace Insurers