state water resources control board€¦ · 15/03/2016 · precipitation index for water year 2016...
TRANSCRIPT
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
State Water Resources Control Board
Drought Update
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
March 15, 2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Statewide Drought Conditions
Local Emergencies Declared
• 27 Counties
• 13 Cities
• 9 Tribal Reservations
• 12 Special Districts
County & Tribal Drought
Task Force
• 30 Counties
• 2 Tribes
Official State of Emergency Declared on
January 17, 2014
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
~-- - ---------------- Probability of Below ! Equal l !Chances!
40% SO%
Probability of Above ----------- ------- - +
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40%
..,_----------- - -- ---- Probability of Be low ! Eqlllll I !Chllnces;
40% 50%
Probability of Above --------- - - ------- - +
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
50% 40%
~------------------- Probability of Below I Equal 1
!Chances!
40% 50%
Probability of Above ------------ ---- - - - +
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E National Weather Service CNRFC - Sacramento, CA Created: 03/14/ 2016 06:58 AM PDT
Follow Us:
www.cnrfc.noaa .gov
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
SACRAMENTO RIVER - BEND BRIDGE Issuance Time: Mar 14 2016 at 1:53PM PDT Monitor Stage: 22 Feet Flood Stage: 27 Feet
SACRAMENTO RIVER - FREMONT WEIR Issuance Time: Mar 14 2016 at 2:17 PM PDT Monitor Stage: 33.5 Ft Flood Stage: 40.8 Ft Danger Stage: 41.8 Ft MERCED RIVER - YOSEMITE AT POHONO BRIDGE
Issuance Time: Mar 14 2016 at 2:23 PM PDT Monitor Stage: N/A Flood Stage: 10.0 Feet
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Current Regional Snowpack from Automated Snow Sensors
% of April 1 Average I % of Normal for This Date
NORTH Data as of March 14 2016
Number of Stations Reoortlno 23
Averaae snow water eaulvatant llncheal 28.9
Percent o f Aorll 1 Averaael%1 100
Percent of norm-' for this date %\ 102
CENTRAL Data as of March 14 2016
Central Sierra Numbe< of Stations Rooortlno 40
Averaao snow water eoulvolent Inches 26.0
Percent of Aorfl I Averaoe l~l 90
Southern Sierra Percent of normollor lhlo dotal%\ 94
SOUTH Date u of March 14 2016
Numbe< of Statlona Reoortlno 28 Averaoe snow water Alluivalent llnches\ 20.8
Pet'cent of Anrfl 1 Averaae % 77
Percent of normal for this dole 1%1 8t
STATE Data as of March 14 2016
Number of Statlona Renortlna 91
Averaae snow water anulv.lent Inches 25.2
Percent of Aorll l Averoao f%1 89
Percent of normal for thlo date f%1 92
Statewide Average: agok I 92%
Data as of March 14, 2016
Updated 03/14/2016 08:45AM
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
100
95
90
85
80
- 75 Ul Q) .s::. (.) 70 c -c 65 0
:;:::; nJ - 60 ·c. '(j Q) 55 .... D.
~ 50 .s::. ... c 0 45 ::E --~
40 nJ c Q)
.~ 35 -~ 30 ::::J
E ::::J
25 (J
20
15
10
5
0
North Sierra Precipitation: 8-Station Index, March 14, 2016
-----M-SC- --Mount Shasta City Percent of Average for this Date: 131% I • __...-~ SHA - Shasta Dam ~ ~MNR - Mineral
~ ~ /ORO - Quincy • ~ BCM - Brush Creek
Oct 1
• ~ SRR - Sierravi lle RS .. .:--BYM- Blue Canyon
... ---PCF- Pacific House
Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1
1982-1983 (wettest) 88.5
1997-1998 ~---------- 82.4
Average (1922-1998) 50.0
c 0
:;:::; nJ -·c. '(j Q) .... D. .... nJ Q)
> .... ~
2014-2015 Daily Precip nJ __________ ____; __ 37.2 3=
nJ -0 1-
1976-1977(2nd driest & driest thru Aug) 19.0
Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1 Oct 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Northern Sierra 8-Station Precipitation Index for Water Year 2016- Updated on March 14, 2016 08:45AM
Note: Monthly totals may not add up to seasonal total because of rounding Water Year Monthly totals are calculated based on Daily precipitation data from 12am to 12am PST
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- • Average 16.1 16 -------------------------------------------------------------------- ~
1 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------- WY2016 1 4 --------------------------------------------------------------------
14.0
13 --------------------------------------------------------------------
1 2 -------------------------------------- _______________ 11.8---------
11 --------------------------------------------------
-Ill ~ 10 u r:::::
- 9 r::::: 0
~ 8 ~
_________ _ 9_,0 ____________________ _
8.4 ------ --------------------------------------------- ------- SJ ) __
111111111!!!!1!
~ 7 IlL
--------------------------- -6 ,9 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------__ 6.3
6 ------------------------------- -
5 --------------------------- -----------------------
4 -----------------------------------3-.1----------- -------iiiiiiiiiii-3.-9------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 ------ --------.3_0._ ~
-----------2:.1-----------
2 ------------------------------- - ---------------------------~_._!_ _________________________________________________________________________________ _ -
1.2 ______________________________________________ _ l .Q _______________________________________ iiiiiiiiiiil0'9 _______ _
0.2 0.3 0
OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
Water Year
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
San Joaquin Precipitation : 5-Station Index, March 14, 2016
,.------------ Percent of Average for this Date: 115% I 90
85
1982-1983 (wettest) 80 77.4
75
70 -(fj
~ 65 1997-1998 65.2
u c ::.. 60 c 0 :;: ~ 55 ·c. '2 50 ... 0..
c 0 :;: ~ -·c.
'(3 Q)
~45 -c ~ 40 --
Average (1961-2010)
... 0.. ... ~
40.8 Q)
> ... ~ '(ij 35 c
Q) -~ 3=
Q) > 30 :;: ~
~ -0 1-
::J E 25 ::J (.)
20 -----~~t:?r~n;ih,iP.:::i:- 19.0 14-2015 Daily Precip 15.4
15
10 1976-19n(2nd driest & driest thru Aug)
5
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1 Oct 1
Water Year {October 1 -September 30)
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
San Joaquin 5-Station Precipitation Index for Water Year 2016- Updated on March 14, 2016 08:45AM
Note: Monthly totals may not add up to seasonal total because of rounding Water Year Monthly totals are calculated based on Daily precipitation data from 12am to 12am PST
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------• Average 10 --------------------------------------------------------------------10.0
WY2016 9 -----------------------------------------------------11:8 ---------- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------'---===== ----'
8 -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------7;8---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- 7.5
7 -------------------------------------------------- -------------------6-9--- · -Ill cv ~ 6
_ 6.2 --------------------------------------------------
6 .1 --------------------------- -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
r:::::
r::::: 0
~ 5 ~
u cv I-lL 4 -------------------------------
3 ---------------- ---------------
2 ------------~-2.1 1.9
1 ------------
0 OCT
5.1
_ 4.7
1.4
NOV DEC JAN FEB
---------------------- ----------- -----·1· a ·----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- · _ 0.6 _ 0.7
_ 0.3 _ 0.2 -
MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
Water Year
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Tulare Basin Precipitation: 6-Station Index, March 14, 2016 70
r......,-:==:;;::;:=--=:----- Percent of Average for this Date: 109% I 65
60
55
-(fj Q)
s:. 50 u c ::.. c 0 45 :;: nl -·c. '(3 40 Q) ... 0..
~35 -c 0
~ 30 ~ '(ij c Q) 25 > :;: ~
~ 20 ::J (.)
15
10
5
Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1
1968-1969 (Wettest)
~--------- 56.3
54.2 1997-1998
Average (1961-201 0) 29.3
2014-2015 Daily Precip.
_ __,-_ __,_..--_,.,------- 13.5
____ ,-- ------------ 10.9 1976-1977 Daily Precip (Driest)
Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1 Oct 1 Water Year {October 1 -September 30)
c 0 :;: nl -·c. '(3 Q) ...
0.. ... nl Q)
> ... ~
~ nl -0 ......
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Tulare Basin 6-Station Precipitation Index for Water Year 2016 - Updated on March 14, 2016 08:45 AM
Note: Monthly totals may not add up to seasonal total because of rounding Water Year Monthly totals are calculated based on Daily precipitation data from 12am to 12am PST
Ill cv
.s::::
8 ---------------------------------------------------------------------
7 ---------------------------------------------------------------------
6 ----------------- -·-··· ·-········· · ···-········ ·-····--··· ·--··· ·····
::; 5 ---------------------------------------------------- --..-.v----------t: 0
~ ... 'iii 4 --------------------------------------------------
'2 3.6 ... Q..
3 --------------------------------~ -3.1
2 -------------------------------
8.6 •Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ ------------------------- ~ n WY 2 0 1 6
_ 5.5 _ 5.2
~-4.7 ·~
3.9
11111!!!!!!1!1. 2.6 ~
I
1.5
_ 1.2 1 -------------
1.1 - ----- --------------------J!III!!I!I!I!I• -~:-~--------------------- ------ -------------------------------------------------------
·~
OCT NOV DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP
Water Year
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
% Cap % Avg
Trinity 45 59
Shasta 79 103
Oroville 70 97
Folsom 69 116
New Melones 22 36
San Luis 48 54
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
R~servoir Conditions
..,.,
.. oo
1000
2000
1000
0 SHA
,,. 100 ,.
:!J-1--..iF'-HID
-. lOOO .j )e
2000 1
100: j O RO TO% I 20: T.°F
122.4 ., "' 0
COY '~% I 1~ T.<F
~:~ l r_r BUC Z5% I 72 T/IF
1Coo
~ .. 1- r 0
•.. ........_
1000 .
""' . Dl ·
O •
BUL
97T
"" . '
82% ·tl~r
o;.%1 1 94 r..o..r
"~ I~ PNF ~3% I -42= TAF TRM 3:% I 3TT.<>F
GJG~:h IJI:d3tee l31Hi2l16 0.1 15 ='II
., $0
ao 0
sec
.., 200 , ..
0
NHG .;~ I t>JTIIF
~ .. .. o 210
0 ISB
a -9..., 1·268 A,=
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Trinity Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
lL 4,000 ~ >.
+-' 3,000 '(3
ro. CL Ill u '- 2,000
·c; ;;,. v '- 1,000 Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 1 ,099, 772 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyt I tHis~~::vg ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Trinity Lake Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13,2016
2,500,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 2,447,650 AF
2,250,000
2,000,000 - ----- -- - ----:--- ------ - ---
ii:' ~
1,750,000
Qi :> Qj
...I 1,500,000 .... ·a :> ... Qj
1,250,000 II) Qj
a: ~ (11
...I
~ 1,000,000
·;:
~ 750,000
500,000
250,000
0 +------r-----,------~-----r-----r-----,------~----~----~------r-----,-----~ Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Lake Shasta Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
lL 4,000 ~ >.
+-' 3,000 '(3
ro. CL Ill u '- 2,000
·c; ;;,. v '- 1,000 Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 3,582,246 AF
(Tota;~:.~tlyt I tHis~3~~~g )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
~ ~ ~ > Ql
...I ,_ '(5 > ~ Ill Ql
a: s Ill ell J:. en Ql :.t. ell
...I
Lake Shasta Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016 4,750,000
4,500,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 4,552,000 AF
4,250,000
4,000,000
3,750,000
3,500,000 3,582,246 AF
3,250,000
3,000,000
2,750,000
2,500,000
2,250,000
2,000,000
1,750,000
1,500,000
1,250,000
1,000,000
750,000
500,000
250,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Lake Oroville Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
lL 4,000 ~ >.
+-' 3,000 '(3
ro. CL Ill u '- 2,000
·c; ;;,. v '- 1,000 Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 2,491 ,852.5 AF
(Tota;~:.~tty, I tHis~~::vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Lake Oroville Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13,2016
3,500,000 Total Reservoir Carracity: 3,537,577 AF
3,250,000
3,000,000
2,750,000
iL ~ 2,500,000 2,491,852.5 AF Cii > <II ...J
2,250,000 ... ·o
2,000,000 > ~ <II a: 1,750,000 ~ ·:;;: 1,500,000 0 ... 0 <II
..:.: 1,250,000 _j
1,000,000
750,000
500,000
250,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Folsom Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
1,000
lL
~ 750 >. +-' "(3 ro. CL Ill 500 u '-·c; ;;,. v 250 '-Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 673,159 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyo I tHis~,~~~~g ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Folsom Lake Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
1,000,000
950,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 977 ,_000 AF
900,000
850,000
800,000
iL ~
750,000
700,000 Qj > 650,000 <II ...J
600,000 ... ·a c: 550,000 ~ 500,000 <II a: <II 450,000 ..::.: ttl
...J 400,000 E
0 350,000 (J)
0 IL 300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
New Melones Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
lL 4,000 ~ >.
+-' 3,000 '(3
ro. CL Ill u '- 2,000
·c; ;;,. v '- 1,000 Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 529,444 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyt I tHis:~::vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
New Melones Levels : Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016 2,500,000
Total Reservoir Capacity: 2,400,000 AF
2,250,000
2,000,000
iL 1,750,000 ~ Qj > ~ 1,500,000 ... ·s > ~ <II 1,250,000 a: 1/)
<II
~ 1,000,000 :::!! 3:: ~ 750,000
500,000 ~-----------
250,000 ~--------
Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
lL
~ >.
+-' '(3 ro. CL Ill u '-·c; ;;,. v '-Ill v
0!::
San Luis Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Current Level: 969,494 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyt I tHis~!:'::vg ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
~ ~ ~ > ~ ,_ ·a > ,_ Qj IJ)
&. .'!1 :I
...J
c: «< en
San Luis Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
2,100,000
2,000,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 2,041 ,000 AF
1,900,000
1,800,000
1,700,000
1,600,000
1,500,000
1,400,000
1,300,000
1,200,000
1,100,000
1,000,000
900,000
800,000
700,000
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Black Butte I
Black Butte Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
150
lL
~ >. 100 +-'
"(3 ro. CL Ill u '-·c; so ;;,. v '-Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 81 ,517 AF
(Tota~::.~tlyt I tHis~,~~~~g )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
iL ~ Qi > (I)
...I ,_ ·cs c: (I) t/) (I)
a: .2! -:::1 IIJ ..:.: tJ «< iii
Black Butte Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13,2016 150,000
140,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 143,700 AF
130,000
120,000
110,000
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) ......_ 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Bullards Bar Conditions (as of Midnight · March 13, 2016)
1,000
lL 900
~ 800 >. 700 +-'
"(3 ro. e;oo CL Ill 500 u L.. 400 ·c; ;;,. 300 v L.. Ill 200 v
0!:: 100
0
Current Level: 788,155 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyo I tHis~>~2~~g ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Bullards Bar Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
1,000,000
950,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 966,000 AF
900,000
850,000
800,000
750,000
u::- 700,000 ~ ~ >
650,000
~ 600,000 .... ·a > 550,000 .... Qj
500,000 IJ) Qj
~ 450,000 «< Ill IJ) ~
400,000 ... ~ "3
350,000
Ill 300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Camanche
Camanche Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
400 lL
~ >. 300 +-'
"(3 ro. CL Ill u 200 '-·c; ;;,. v '- 100 Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 139,379 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyo I O:His~!:'::vg ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Camanche Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
425,000
400,000 Total Reservoi r Capacity: 417,120 AF
375,000
350,000
325,000
u::- 300,000 ~ ~ >
275,000
j 250,000 ,_
·a > 225,000 ,_ Qj IJ)
&. 200,000 Qj .l:
175,000 u c ttl E 150,000 ttl (.)
125,000
100,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) ......_ 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
New Hogan
New Hogan Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
300
0
Current Level: 113,460 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyt I tHis;,~::vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
New Hogan Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
325,000
Total Reservoi r Capacity: 317,000 AF 300,000
275,000
250,000
ii:' 225,000 ~ Qi > Ql
...1 200,000 ..
·s 175,000 > ..
3l Ql a: 150,000 c «< Cl 0 125,000 J: 3:: Ql z 100,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity _... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-201 5
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
lL
~ >.
+-' '(3 ro. CL Ill u L..
·c; ;;,. v L.. Ill v
0!::
Don Pedro Conditions (as of Midnight · March 13, 2016)
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Current Level: 1 ,069,933 AF
(Tota~~:.~tly' I tHis;,~::vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Don Pedro Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
2,100,000
2,000,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 2,030,000 AF
1,900,000
1,800,000
1,700,000
1,600,000
u::-1,500,000
~ 1,400,000 ~ 1,300,000 > j
1,200,000 ,_ ·a > 1,100,000 ,_ Qj IJ) 1,000,000 &. 0 ,_ '0
900,000 Qj D. 800,000 1:
700,000 0 c
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...... 1976-1977 (Driest) ......., 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
lL
~
Exchequer Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
1.000
>. 750 +-' '(3
:! ~ 500
0
Current Level: 258,000 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyo I tHi!~!:vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Exchequer Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13,2016
1,050,000
1,000,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 1,024,600 AF
950,000
900,000
850,000
800,000
£L 750,000
~ 700,000 ~ > Ql
...J 650,000
.!:: 600,000 0 > 550,000 ,_ Ql IJI
500,000 Ql a: ~ 450,000 :::l cr
400,000 Ql .s::: 0
350,000 )oC w
300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Millerton Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
1,000
lL
~ 750 >. +-' "(3 ro. CL Ill 500 u '-·c; ;;,. v 250 '-Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 330,095 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyo I tHis~!:'::vg ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Millerton Lake Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13,2016
525,000
500,000 Total Reservoi r Capacity: 520,500 AF
475,000
450,000
425,000 --------:------------------400,000
~ 375,000 ~
4i 350,000 > Ql ...J 325,000 ,_ "(5 300,000 > Qi
275,000 Ill Ql
a: 250,000 ~ (II 225,000 ...J c
200,000 0 ~ .!!! 175,000 i 150,000
125,000
100,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) ......_ 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Pine Flat
Pine Flat Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
1,000
7:50
500
2:50
0
Current Level: 326,739 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyo I tHis~~::vg ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Pine Flat Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016 1,050,000 ..----~---~--~---------~------~--~---~--~------,
1,000,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 1,000,000 AF
950,000
900,000
850,000
800,000
750,000
~ 700,000 ~ ~ >
650,000
~ 600,000 ,_ ·a >
550,000 ,_ Qj 500,000 IJ)
&. 450,000 (ij ii: 400,000 Qj c
350,000 ii: 300,000
250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity _... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Terminus Da
~ Terminus Dam
Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
lL
~ >.
+-' 150 "(3 ro. CL Ill u
L...
·c; 15 ;;,.
v L... Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 55,090 AF
(Tota~~:.~tlyt I tHis~,~~~~g ) Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Terminus Dam Levels : Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13,2016
190,000
180,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 185,600 AF
170,000
160,000
150,000
iL 140,000 ~ 130,000 Qj > 120,000 <II ...J ... 0 110,000 c: <II 100,000 IJ) <II a: 90,000 E (11
c IJ)
80,000 :I
70,000 ·= E ... 60,000 <II ..... 50,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Success Lake
Success Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
90
lL
~ >.
+-' 60 "(3 ro. CL Ill u '-·c;
30 ;;,. v '-Ill v
0!::
0
Current Level: 27,880 AF
(Tota~!:.~tlyt I tHis~32~~g )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Success Lake Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
85,000
80,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 82,300 AF
75,000
70,000
65,000
ii:' 60,000 ~ Qj 55,000 ::> Q) ...J ,_ 50,000 0 c: 45,000 Q) (J) Q)
a: 40,000 Q)
..ltl: (I)
35,000 ...J (J) (J) Q) 30,000 tJ tJ ~ U) 25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0 Oct 1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...._ 1976-1977 (Driest) ......_ 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Isabella Lake
Isabella Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
lL 500 ~ >. 400 +-'
"(3 ro. CL
300 Ill u
L...
·c; 200 ;;,. v L... Ill v 100
0!::
0
Current Level: 50,558 AF
(Tota~Z~actlyt I tHis~~::vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Isabella Lake Levels : Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
650,000
600,000
550,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 568,000 AF
500,000
iL 450,000 ~
Qj >
400,000 <II ...I ... 0 > Qj
350,000 1/)
<II a: 300,000 <II ..lo:
_j ~ 250,000
~ «< ~ 200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Castaic Lake
Castaic Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
1100
lL 350 ~ 300 >. +-' "(3 250 ro. CL Ill 200 u L...
·c; 150 ;;,. v 100 L... Ill v
0!:: 50
0
Current Level: 100,060 AF
(lola~ ~:.~tlyo I O:His:~::vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Castaic Lake Levels: Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
325,000
300,000
275,000
250,000 iL ~ 225,000 Qj > <II ...J 200,000 ... ·a c: ~ 175,000 <II a: <II 150,000 ..::.: ttl
...J u 125,000 "(U (i) ttl (.) 100,000
75,000
50,000
25,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity ...... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Perris Lake
Perris Lake Conditions (as of Midnight - March 13, 2016)
Current Level: 44,970 AF
(Tota~!:.~tlyt I tHi!~!:vg )
Data Updated 03/1 412016 08:45 AM
Perris Lake Levels : Various Past Water Years and Current Water Year, Ending At Midnight March 13, 2016
130,000 Total Reservoir Capacity: 131 ,452 AF
120,000
110,000
100,000 iL ~ Qj >
90,000
<II ...J 80,000 ... ·o > ~ 70,000 <II a:
60,000 <II .ll: (11 ...J
-~ 50,000 ai
D.. 40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0 Oct1 Nov 1 Dec 1 Jan 1 Feb 1 Mar 1 Apr 1 May 1 Jun 1 Jul 1 Aug 1 Sep 1
Water Year (October 1 - September 30)
Historical Average - Total Reservoir Capacity _... 1976-1977 (Driest) -+- 1977-1978 -+- 1982-1983 (Wettest) - 2014-2015
- Current: 2015-2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Net Delta Outflow Index
0
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
50,000
60,000
70,000
80,000
90,000
11/1/15 12/1/15 1/1/16 2/1/16 3/1/16
CFS
NDOI (Actual) NDOI (Required)
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
6000(]
5500(]
5000(]
4500(]
=-LT 4oooo u <t VI
g 3500(] C)
VI Q)
E 30000 ::I 0 > .... m 25ooo >-~
--;; 3: 2000(]
1 500(]
1000(]
500(]
(]
1 0f{i) 11 2015
SACRAMENTO VALLEYWS. (SACCO) 03114/2016 Most Probable: 19300 kaf II 106°/o of Average 1120°/o of Median
Creat ed : 03.114120 16 at 09:1 1 A M PDT
________________________________ _ ·t,B.?Q.O_k~- _
1 11(]1 201 5
12f{i) 11 2015
011(] 1 201 6
02/01 201 6
03101 2016
04/01 2016
05101 201 6
r(]'6f01 20 16
Water Year .2016- Day (mmJdd)r
07/01 201 6
1118/01 20 16
09/01 2016
Observed to IDate Percent o il! Average: 1 017% (9430 k anr Water Y~ear to Date Averag:e : 881 0 kaifi
09.13(] 201 6
WY Volume Average -- WY Volume Median - WY to Date Obs WY to Date Avg - OaJ ly Obs + Obs Peak
rSOO
550
500
450
400
3.50
300
250
200
150
100
50
~ ESP 'WY Val Fest "'I 01%:. >< E S!P WY Vol Fest 500/a ¥ ESP WY Vol F est 90%
0 !!. -< 0 C" VI
~ ~ <:: Q. c: 3 (l) en --= = 0 VI
l> n I
~
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
1 200(]
1100(]
1 000(]
900(]
=-LT sooo u <t VI
g 700(] C)
600(]
5 00(]
400(]
300(]
200(]
1 00(]
(]
1 0f{i) 11 2015
1 11(]1 201 5
SAN J IOAQUIN VALLEY W SI {VN SCO) 03/14/20 16 Most ProbabEe : 583'0 kaf II 97°/o of Average 1 118°/a of Median
Created: 03.11412016 at 09:11 AM PDT
M ar 07 r:i-9.4 k af
)(
---------------------------------J~~-~~-
121lil 11 2(]15
011(] 1 201 6
Average
----------------------------------~~!~~L-
02/01 201 6
03101 2016
04/01 2016
05101 201 6
1(]'6{01 2016
Water Year .2016- Day (mmJdd )'
07/01 201 6
1(}8101 2016
tl.tiearan
09.101 2(]16
09.13(] 2016
Observed to IDate Percent oil! Average: 93% 'E155'8 kaf) Water Year to Date Average: 1 6·60 kat
WY Volume Av.erag:e -- WY Volume Median - WY to Date Obs WY to Date Avg - OaJ ly Obs + Obs Peak
120
1 10
100
90
30
70
160
50
40
.30
20
10
ESP 'WY Val Fest "'I 01%:. x E S!P WY Vol Fest 500/a ESP WY VoJ F est 90%
0 !!. -< 0 C" VI
~ ~ <:: Q. c: 3 (l) en --= = 0 VI
l> n I
~
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
State Water Resources Control Board
Drought Update
Status of Reporting Requirements
March 15, 2016
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Elements of December 2015 Order on Reconsideration
General Order Requirements
• Drought Contingency Plan & Updates
• Plan to Conduct Temperature Evaluations
• Sacramento River Temperature Plan
• American River / Folsom Lake Operations
• Stanislaus River / New Melones Operations
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Drought Contingency Plan and Monthly Updates
Recurring Challenges with Monthly Updates
• Rapidly Changing Hydrology
• Multiple Analytical Steps
• Multi-agency Coordination
• Stakeholder Input
• Need for more “Decision Space”
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Shasta Lake / Sacramento River
Added Dimension of Fill Management
• Current Storage – 3.7 maf
• Encroached into Flood Space
• End of March Storage easily over 4 maf
• Forecasted April – July Runoff
– 25% - 2.4 maf
– 50% - 1.7 maf
– 90% - 1.5 maf
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Folsom Lake / American River
Added Dimension of Fill Management
• Current Storage – 700 taf
• Encroached into Flood Space
• Forecasted April – July Runoff
• 25% - 1.7maf
• 50% - 1.1 maf
• 90% - 0.9 maf
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
Folsom Lake / American River
Order Requirements
• Seasonal Operations identified in DCP
• Temperature Plan set for June 1st
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
New Melones Lake / Stanislaus River
General Plan Elements of Draft Proposal
• Current Storage – 540 taf
• Biological Opinion flows for Stanislaus River
• End-of-September Storage at least 300 taf
• Augmented Volume for SJR Pulse Flow
• Modified D-1641 Vernalis flows April – June
• Final Draft Plan / Assessment next week
D R O U G H T P R E P A R E D N E S S & R E S P O N S E
- ~ - - -~- -
!Keep it ~up'l