statistcal analysis of the public and private sector...
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CHAPTER VSTATISTCAL ANALYSIS
OF THE PUBLIC AND
PRIVATE SECTOR BANKS
As the task of making the catalytic agents o f development continues, the
extensive application financial analysis of banks will assume greater
significance. In the current banking environment marked by increased market
competition restricting of the banking industry, rising customers expectation
and increasing demand for risk management measures, banks in India have
perhaps no option but to embark upon an integrated development and
application o f financial analysis tools together with application statistical tools
for analysis o f banking efficiency. In fact, the underlying objective of all this
should be to bring about improvement indecision-making, productivity,
profitability, asset quality, management efficiency, liquidity and above all
upgrade risk management measures. In this context, banks have been asked to
use CAMEL parameters for extensive improvement in their performance and
efficiency by diverting more attention on these parameters while operating their
business. It is against this backdrop, which in previous chapter an analysis of
bank’s understudy has been presented based on CAMEL parameters. It is
common observation that these banks that consistently experience above-
average interest spread, capital adequacy and profitability have been
categorized as growth banks.
However, financial theorists such as saloman (1 9 6 3 )1 and Miller and
Modigliani (1 9 6 1)2 define a growth company as a firm with the management
ability and the opportunities to make investments yield rates of return greater
than the firm’s required rate of return. As a result these growth banks shall
have to excel not only on capital adequacy, asset quality, earning and liquidity
front but should have to depict sheen in significant manner in management
efficiency and risk sensitivity also, therefore, in present chapter an attempt is
made to analyse the bank under study on the basis o f CAMEL parameter using
1 Salmon, Ezra 1963. “ The Theory of Financial M anagem ent New York, Columbia University
press.2 Modigliani, F. and Leah Modigliani, 1997. “Risk Adjusted Performance”, Journal of Portfolio
Management, 23 (2 ) writer : 45-54.
129
different statistical measures, so as to judge the performance on these
parameters.
1) Capital Analysis Statistical Analysis
Capital adequacy is important for a bank to maintain depositors’ confidence
and preventing the bank from going bankrupt. Capital is seen as a cushion to
protect depositors and promote the stability and efficiency of financial system
around the world.
Table 5.1: Capital Adequacy Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios Banks Mean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
F - Value Significance
(Two-Tailed)
ACGR Significance
of ACGR
Capital
Adequacy
Ratio
SBI 13.10 0.97
5.83 0.008
0.80 0.361
BOB 12.53 0.84 1.14 0.123
PNB 11.18 1.82 4.54 0.001
Debt-Equity
Ratio
SBI 1.38 0.40
25.55 0.000
6.41 0.044
BOB 0.51 0.20 5.67 0.208
PNB 0.67 0.23 4.61 0.478
Advances to
Assets
SBI 39.39 4.13
4.21 0.026
1.39 0.229
BOB 44.14 2.57 1.08 0.093
PNB 41.36 4.10 3.16 0.000
G-securities
to Total
Investments
SBI 78.41 8.88
2.18 0.132
3.74 0.000
BOB 65.32 11.88 5.55 0.000
PNB 66.92 21.91 9.54 0.257
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Table 5.1 presents statistical analysis o f capital adequacy position o f the
three public sector banks under study in terms o f four ratios namely: Capital
Adequacy Ratio, Debt-Equity Ratio, Advances to Assets and G-securities to
Total Investments. It is obvious from the table that these banks have
maintained the average Capital Adequacy Ratio at 13.10%, 12.53% and
11.18% respectively between 1998-99 to 2007-08. This shows that banks under
study have maintained higher CRAR than the prescribed level. The Annual
Compound Growth Rate is found positive in case o f all the three banks; it
indicates the banks have enough capital to absorb unexpected losses. The above
also holds good with respect to Debt/Equity Ratio, wherein the compound
growth rates are positive 6.41, 5.67 and 4.61 percent. This indicates that the
dependence on debt capital has increased overall over the period of study
although debt capital has decreased over the last five years in case of all the
three banks, therefore the statistical analysis depicts that Indian public sector
banks are credit shy. The positive annual growth rate o f Advances to Assets
ratio at 1.39% in SBI, 1.08% in BOB and 3.16% in PNB indicates towards an
improvement in case of all the three public sector banks. As regards the ratio of
government securities to total investment, the table under reference offers that
SBI has maintained the mean ratio at 78.41% , BOB at 65.32% and PNB at
66.92% . The difference between the three banks on this count is found
insignificant at 0.05 level of significance, which indicates that no bank is
superior to the other bank in terms of the ratio Government Securities to Total
Investment. Interestingly, this ratio (percentage o f investment in government
securities to total investment) indicates an increasing trend of three banks, but
the compound growth rate is found significant in case o f SBI and PNB. Hence
the approach of the banks is turning as conservative.
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Table 5.1(A): Capital Adequacy Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMeanRatio
StandardDeviation
F - ValueSignificance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance
of ACGR
Capital Adequacy Ratio
ING 14.25 5.22
8.22 0.002
-8.74 0.008
FB 10.90 1.27 3.26 0.001
JKB 17.42 3.16 -3.49 0.055
Debt-Equity
Ratio
ING 1.47 0.83
13.73 0.000
24.75 0.003
FB 0.95 0.34 -5.10 0.203
JKB 0.23 0.13 9.05 0.279
Advances to
Assets
ING 45.95 7.92
9.21 0.001
4.54 0.006
FB 53.12 2.80 0.63 0.293
JKB 41.61 6.30 3.90 0.007
G-securities to
Total Investments
ING 62.68 12.37
1.30 0.289
6.02 0.000
FB 62.68 12.37 6.02 0.000
JKB 55.98 6.29 3.62 0.000
Table 5.1 (A ) presents statistical analysis of capital adequacy position of
the three private sector banks under study in terms of four ratios namely:
Capital Adequacy Ratio, Debt/Equity Ratio, Advances to Assets and G-
securities to Total Investments. It is obvious from the table that these banks
have maintained the average Capital Adequacy Ratio at an average of 14.25%,
10.90% and 17.42% respectively between 1998-99 to 2007-08. This shows that
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banks under study have maintained higher CRAR than the prescribed level.
The Annual Compound Growth Rate is found negative in case of ING Vysya
and JK Bank because the ratio has shown declining trend for the last five years;
in case of Federal Bank ACGR is found positive, it indicates the banks have
enough capital to absorb unexpected losses. Debt/Equity Ratio have increased
in case of the banks except The Federal Bank. This has also been conformed by
the ACGR, wherein the compound growth rates are positive in case of ING
Vysya, JK Bank and negative in case of Federal Bank. This indicates that the
dependence on debt capital has increased overall over the period o f study in
case of ING Vysya and JK Bank although debt capital has decreased over the
last five years in case of all the three banks. The positive annual growth rate of
Advances to Assets ratio at 4.54% in ING Vysya, 0.63% in Federal Bank and
3.90% in JK Bank indicates towards an improvement in case o f all the three
private sector banks. As regards the ratio o f government securities to total
investment, the table under reference offers that ING Vysya has maintained the
mean ratio at 62.68% , Federal Bank at 62.68% and JK Bank at 59.98% the
difference between the three banks on this count is found insignificant at 0.05
level of significance, which indicates that no bank is superior to the other bank
in terms o f the ratio Government Securities to Total Investment. Interestingly,
this ratio (percentage of investment in government securities to total
investment) indicates an increasing trend of three banks and the compound
growth rate is found significant in case of all the three banks. Hence the
approach of the bank’s is turning as conservative.
2) Asset Quality Statistical Analysis
The quality of assets is an important parameter to gauge the strength of
the bank. The prime motto behind measuring the assets quality is to ascertain
the component o f non-performing assets (NPA’s) as a percentage of the total
assets.
133
Table 5.2: Asset Quality Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
RatioStandardDeviation
F - ValueSignificance
(Two-Tailed)ACGR
Significance of ACGR
Gross NPA’s to Gross Advances
SBI 12.57 5.28
0.18 0.839
-15.99 0.000BOB 13.14 5.22 -15.15 0.000PNB 11.85 3.97 -12.59 0.001
Gross NPA’s to Total
Assets
SBI 4.84 2.08
0.65 0.528
-14.93 0.000BOB 5.73 1.83 -11.93 0.001PNB 5.07 1.48 -10.23 0.002
Net NPA’s to
Net Advances
SBI 5.11 1.88
0.05 0.954
-13.72 0.000BOB 5.11 2.75 -23.36 0.000PNB 5.47 3.99 -53.76 0.006
Net NPA’s to Total Assets
SBI 3.23 2.33
6.24 0.006
-22.77 0.000BOB 3.70 2.09 -25.15 0.000PNB 0.98 0.57 -15.47 0.025
Table 5.2 presents statistical analysis o f asset quality position o f the
three public sector banks under study in terms o f four ratios namely: Gross
NPA’s to Gross Advances, Gross NPA’s to Total assets, Net NPA’s to Net
Advances and Net NPA’s to total Assets. The analysis depicts a tremendous
improvement in asset quality o f all the three public sector banks. The annual
compound growth rate of these ratios has witnessed significant growth for the
three public sector banks. The absolute values o f asset quality ratios are
revealing no significant difference between the three public sector banks as
revealed by the F- test applied for the purpose at 1 percent and 5 percent level
of significance as p > 0.05. However, it can be seen that there is significance
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difference between banks in case of Net NPA’s to Total Asset ratio (0.05). The
variability in terms of standard deviation is recorded highest for all the banks in
case o f Gross NPA’s to Total Assets ratio. The analysis in asset quality ratios
of all banks it can be deduced that asset quality of all the banks have witnessed
significant improvement over the period of study. However, in terms of
variability PNB has registered picture because S.D. is lower against other two
banks for all the ratios studied for analysis of asset quality. The behaviour of
asset quality shows tunic style decline in NPA’s.
Table 5.2(A): Asset Quality Ratios - Select Statistics(Figures in percent)
Ratios Banks Mean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
T - Value SignificanceTwo-Tailed)
ACGR Significance
of ACGR
Gross NPA’s
to Gross Advances
ING 6.76 4.28
8.54 0.001-23.21 0.000
FB 10.82 3.47 -11.16 0.000JKB 4.68 1.97 -13.37 0.000
Gross NPA’s to Total Assets
ING 3.68 2.82
8.46 0.001-24.17 0.000
FB 5.94 2.09 -12.18 0.000JKB 2.10 0.91 -12.36 0.000
Net NPA’s to
Net Advances
ING 5.64 3.91
2.60 0.093
-18.63 0.002
FB 5.03 3.28 -20.03 0.049
JKB 2.66 1.60 -18.77 0.000
Net NPA’s to
Total Assets
ING 3.23 2.33
6.18 0.006
-22.77 0.000FB 3.70 2.09 -25.15 0.000
JKB 0.98 0.57 -15.47 0.025
135
Table 5.2(A ) presents statistical analysis o f asset quality position o f the
three private sector banks under study in terms o f four ratios namely: Gross
NPA’s to Gross Advances, Gross NPA’s to Total assets, Net NPA’s to Net
Advances and Net NPA’s to total Assets. The analysis depicts a tremendous
improvement in asset quality of all the three private sector banks. The annual
compound growth rate of these ratios is significant at 0.05 level of significance
for the three public sector banks. The absolute values o f asset quality ratios are
revealing significant difference between the three private sector banks as
revealed by the F- test applied for the purpose at 1 percent and 5 percent level
of significance as p > .05. However, it can be seen that there is significance
difference between banks in case of Net NPA’s to Total Asset ratio (0.05). The
variability in terms of standard deviation is recorded highest for all the banks in
case o f Gross NPA’s to Total Assets ratio. From the analysis in asset quality
ratios o f all banks, it can be deduced that the banks have witnessed significant
improvement over the period of study. However, in terms o f variability JK
Bank has registered picture because S.D. is lower against other two banks for
all the ratios studied for analysis of asset quality. The behaviour of asset quality
shows tunic style decline in NPA’s. Overall asset quality ratios have registered
a declining trend. Thus, indicating improvement in asset quality position of
both Public and Private Banks.
3) Management Soundness
A particularly interesting form of financial performance analysis of
banking companies is the analysis of management efficiency. The efficient
management shall reflect in increased employee, branch and overall
productivity of assets and liabilities of the banks.
136
Table 5.3: Management Soundness Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios Banks Mean
RatioStandardDeviation
F - Value Significance
(Two-Tailed)ACGR Significance
of ACGR
Net Total
Income to No. of
employees
SBI 0.14 0.05
0.65 0.532
12.88 0.000
BOB 0.15 0.04 8.96 0.000
PNB 0.12 0.05 12.48 0.000
Profit per employee
SBI 0.01 0.01
2.57 0.095
8.82 0.006
BOB 0.01 0.01 6.72 0.086
PNB 0.02 0.02 -10.30 0.201
Business per
employee
SBI 1.60 0.71
0.50 0.614
14.44 0.000
BOB 1.97 0.95 13.12 0.000
PNB 1.68 0.91 18.81 0.000
Table 5.3 exhibit the select statistics representing the level of
management efficiency of the three public sector banks under study. From the
table it is evident that almost each ratio indicates upward trend for all the banks
and indicates high level of productivity. Table 5.3 reveals that the ACGR
concerning each o f the management efficiency ratios are positive except profit
per employee ratio in case of PNB (10.30). The ratio o f Net Income to Number
o f Employees is an indicator of management’s efficiency; the mean score of the
three banks in case of this ratio is registered at 0.14 percent in case of SBI, 0.15
percent in case o f BOB and 0.12 percent in case o f PNB. There is no
significant difference between the three banks and the same is confirmed by the
F-test also as p > 0.05. The ratios of Profit per Employee and Business per
Employee are found almost same in case o f all the three banks. This indicates
no significant difference in the ratio of the three banks under reference.
137
However, business per employee is more variable in terms o f S.D. for all the
three banks but lower in case of SBI. There is variability in case of PNB, but
the bank has witnessed better profitability ratios needs in-depth study before
any reasons may be assigned to this state of phenomenon.
Table 5.3(A): Management Soundness Ratios - Select Statistics(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
Standard
DeviationF - Value
Significance
(Two-Tailed)ACGR
Significance
of ACGR
Net Total Income to No. of employees
ING 0.16 0.04
0.44 0.649
9.56 0.000
FB 0.18 0.04 8.41 0.000
JKB 0.18 0.07 14.59 0.001
Profit per
employee
ING 0.01 0.01
7.03 0.003
- -
FB 0.01 0.005 7.14 0.044
JKB 0.03 0.02 16.20 0.017
Business per employee
ING 2.32 1.15
0.23 0.796
16.13 0.000
FB 2.09 1.23 11.81 0.519
JKB 2.50 1.54 39.75 0.012
(- ) indicates dependent variable has non-positive values; no equation estimated.
Table 5.3 (A ) exhibit the select statistics representing the level of
management efficiency of the three private sector banks under study. From the
table it is evident that almost each ratio indicates upward trend for all the banks
and indicates high level of productivity. Table 5.3(A ) reveals that the ACGR
concerning each of the management efficiency ratios are positive except profit
per employee ratio in case of ING. The ratio o f Net Income to Number of
Employees is an indicator of management’s efficiency; the mean score of the
three banks in case o f this ratio is registered at 0.16 percent in case of ING,
0.18 percent in case of FB and 0.18 percent in case o f JK Bank. There is no
138
significant difference between the three banks and the same is confirmed by the
F-test also as p > 0.05 except in case of profit per employee ratio. However,
business per employee is more variable in terms of S.D. for all the three banks
but lower in case o f ING. There is variability in case o f FB, but the bank has
witnessed better profitability ratios needs in-depth study before any reasons
may be assigned to this state of phenomenon. Private sector banks succeeded
higher level o f management efficiency than public sector banks.
4) Earnings Statistical analysisIn the earning perspective, the focus o f analysis is the impact of
changes in interest rates on accrual or reported earnings. This is the most used
approach to interest rate risk assessment taken by many banks. Variation in
earnings is an important focal point for interest rate analysis because reduced
earnings or outright losses can threaten the spread insulation and financial
stability o f an institution by undermining its capital adequacy and by reducing
its market confidence.
i) Spread Statistical Analysis: The difference between the total income and
total expenses o f the banks gives the pre-tax income. However, considering the
intermediation function, it is the interest income (N il) that is more crucial for
the banks. N il or spread is the difference the interest income and the interest
expenses. Spread is the bread for the banks. For long term sustenance of the
bank, this should be positive. In a deregulated interest rate environment, the
market plays a critical role deciding the interest rates. In addition to the
pressure built by competition for deposits and is thereby affecting the NIL The
main ratio depicting potential of banks from there prime activity is spread
analysis. The insulation of positive spread indicates that asset liabilities have
been positively and properly managed. The group o f ratios lime lighting the
spread insulation o f bank under study is presented in Table 5.4. The ACGR
measured interms of Interest Income to Total Income is recorded at -0.57
percent in case of SBI, -1.31 percent in case of BOB and -0.70 percent in case
of PNB.
139
Table 5.4: Spread Ratios - Select Statistics(Figures in percent)
Ratios Banks Mean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
F - Value Significance(Two-Tailed)
ACGR Significance
of ACGR
Interest Income to
Total Income
SBI 84.46 2.41
0.25 0.783
-0.57 0.067
BOB 85.13 4.22 -1.31 0.007
PNB 83.87 4.94 -0.70 0.322
Interest
Income to
Total Assets
SBI 8.22 0.81
3.44 0.047
-3.11 0.000
BOB 7.34 0.97 -4.16 0.000
PNB 8.48 1.21 -4.66 0.000
Interest
Expenses to Total Income
SBI 55.11 4.93
0.87 0.429
-1.88 0.057
BOB 54.91 6.72 -3.72 0.001
PNB 51.70 7.50 -3.70 0.011
Interest Expenses to
Total Assets
SBI 5.37 0.79
0.02 0.983
-4.45 0.002
BOB 5.34 1.18 -7.46 0.000
PNB 5.28 1.21 -7.62 0.000
Net Interest
Margin
SBI 2.82 0.25
1.80 0.185
-0.98 0.328
BOB 3.07 0.33 1.02 0.403
PNB 3.11 0.44 1.66 0.394
All the three banks have witnessed negative growth in terms of this
important parameter and as such pin points that gap between asset and
liabilities mismatch. Other spread ratios are no way exception to this ratio. In
case o f Net Interest margin the ACGR is recorded at -0.98 (SBI), 1.02 (BOB)
and 1.66 (PNB). However, there is positive sign as the Interest Expenses to
Total Assets ant Total Income ratio have shown significant decline also
resulting in positive net interest margin for PNB and BOB and insignificant
140
ratio for SBI. This further reveals that PNB has utilized best practice of risk
management and as such are able to increase the net margin o f 1.66. The
insignificance is also confirmed by the result of F-test in respect of all the
above spread ratios. The important finding of study in this context is that
significant difference is discovered between banks in their interest income to
total asset ratio as p < .05. This means banks are not properly considering
proper match o f asset and liabilities.
Table 5.4(A): Spread Ratios - Select Statistics(Figure in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
F - ValueSignificance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance of
ACGR
Interest
Income to
Total
Income
ING 82.28 2.92
0.37 0.695
-0.41 0.325
FB 86.10 3.92 -0.66 0.210
JKB 80.40 25.67 3.31 0.698
Interest Income to
Total Assets
ING 8.81 1.15
2.54 0.098
-3.14 0.029
FB 9.29 1.48 -4.37 0.007
JKB 8.03 1.12 -4.38 0.001
Interest
Expenses to
Total
Income
ING 62.46 9.13
1.91 0.167
-4.45 0.000
FB 62.75 10.33 -5.12 0.000
JKB 56.30 4.21 -0.93 0.292
Interest Expenses to
Total Assets
ING 6.63 1.63
3.91 0.032
-8.45 0.000
FB 6.86 1.90 -8.88 0.001
JKB 5.12 0.77 -4.61 0.001
Net Interest
Margin
ING 2.01 0.67
5.71 0.009
7.45 0.045
FB 2.42 0.66 7.38 0.023
JKB 2.92 0.44 -4.08 0.007
141
The main ratio depicting potential of banks from there prime activity is
spread analysis. The insulation of positive spread indicates that asset liabilities
have been positively and properly managed. The group o f ratios lime lighting
the spread insulation of bank under study is presented in Table 5.4. The ACGR
measured in terms of Interest Income to Total Income is recorded at -0.41
percent in case o f ING, -0.66 percent in case of FB and 3.31 percent in case of
JK Bank. ING Vysya and Federal Bank have witnessed negative growth in
terms o f this important parameter and as such pin points that gap between asset
and liabilities mismatch. Other spread ratios are no way exception to this ratio.
In case of Net Interest margin the ACGR is recorded at -3.14 (ING), -4.37 (FB)
and -4.38 (JKB). However, there is positive sign as the Interest Expenses to
Total Assets ant Total Income ratio have shown significant decline also
resulting in positive net interest margin for ING and FB and insignificant ratio
for JKB. This further reveals that ING and FB have utilized best practice of
risk management and as such are able to increase the net margin of 7.45 in case
of ING and 7.38 in case of FB. The insignificance is also confirmed by the
result o f F-test in respect of all the above spread ratios. The important finding
of study in this context is that significant difference is discovered between
banks in their N il ratio as p < 0.05. This means banks are not properly
considering proper match of asset and liabilities.
The N il is the actual measure of banks performance as an intermediary,
as it examines the bank’s ability in mobilizing lower cost funds and investing
them at a reasonably higher interest. By borrowing short and lending long,
banks could have earned higher spreads nevertheless by doing so they will be
exposed to greater risks. Net Interest Margin (i.e. spread) for private Indian
banks are normally higher than public sector banks. However, one important
revelation o f this study speaks that deregulation of interest rate have squeezed
the NIM for Indian banks though banks have tried their best to manage spread.
142
The results o f spread analysis are corroborating with finding of (Mohan,•>
2005) . The situation of JK Bank in last year o f study shows more impact on
spread insulation because it declined compared to FB and ING Vysya.
ii) Burden Statistical Analysis:
Table 5.5: Burden Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
Standard
DeviationF - Value
Significance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance of ACGR
Non-Interest
Expenses to Total Income
SBI 25.24 2.34
2.31 0.119
0.04 0.974
BOB 23.55 2.20 1.89 0.051
PNB 25.75 2.61 1.35 0.232
Non-Interest
Income to Non-
Interest
Expenses
SBI 62.65 10.24
3.29 0.053
3.25 0.061
BOB 64.03 20.20 7.81 0.008
PNB 49.45 8.82 1.72 0.433
Non-Interest Income to
Average
working Funds
SBI 1.54 0.22
1.32 0.284
0.90 0.593
BOB 1.36 0.30 2.23 0.331
PNB 1.41 0.26 -0.92 0.683
The Burden Analysis reveals as to what extent the bank is in a position
to cover the non interest expenditure through non-interest income. If a bank is
able to cover the non-interest expenses with the help o f non-interest income the
bank is said to have fine performance and as much have no burden on interest
income on account of non-interest expenditure. The above analysis depicts that
mean score o f Non-Interest Expense to Total Income is lowest incase of BOB
3 Mohan, R. 2005. “Financial Sector Reforms: Policies and Performance Analysis”, Economic Political Weekly, Special Issue on Money, Banking and Finance (March), 40: 1106-1121.
143
(23 .55 ), followed by SBI (25 .24 ) and PNB (225.75). However, in case of PNB
the ratio of Non-Interest Income to Non-Interest Expenses is highest in case of
BOB (64.03), followed by SBI (62.65) and in case o f PNB the ratio stood at
(49.45). The input o f these two ratios can also be seen in case o f Non-Interest
Income to Average Working Funds, where this ratio is witnessed highest incase
of SBI (1 .54), followed by PNB (1 .41) and BOB (1.36). Variability in terms of
S.D., SBI has lowest variability (0.22), PNB (0 .26 ) and highest for BOB (0.30).
There was no significant difference in burden ratios of the three banks as
revealed by the F-test at 5percent significance level but there were significant
difference between banks on account of non-interest income and non-interest
expenses as p < .05.
Table 5.5(A): Burden Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
Standard
DeviationF - Value
Significance
(Two-Tailed)ACGR
Significance
of ACGR
Non-Interest
Expenses to Total Income
ING 18.97 5.90
0.65 0.529
2.30 0.544
FB 18.30 2.55 3.06 0.025
JKB 16.96 2.58 0.55 0.764
Non-Interest
Income to Non- Interest Expenses
ING 87.35 24.18
3.37 0.049
-5.94 0.160
FB 81.00 15.23 3.33 0.096
JKB 62.40 25.94 4.43 0.429
Non-Interest
Income to
Average working
Funds
ING 2.20 0.95
6.42 0.005
-2.74 0.620
FB 2.30 0.80 10.30 0.001
JKB 1.14 0.58 -0.49 0.938
144
The Burden Analysis of private sector banks reveals as to what extent
the bank is in a position to cover the non interest expenditure through non
interest income. If a bank is able to cover the non-interest expenses with the
help o f non-interest income the bank is said to have fine performance and as
much have no burden on interest income on account o f non-interest
expenditure. The above analysis depicts that mean score of Non-Interest
Expense to Total Income is lowest incase of ING (18 .97 ), followed by FB
(18 .30 ) and JKB (16.96). However, in case of ING the ratio of Non-Interest
Income to Non-Interest Expenses is highest in case of BOB (87.37), followed
by FB (81 .00 ) and in case of JKB the ratio stood at (62.40). The input of these
two ratios can also be seen in case of Non-Interest Income to Average Working
Funds, where this ratio is witnessed highest incase o f FB (2 .30 ), followed by
ING (2 .20 ) and JKB (1.14). Variability in terms o f S.D., JKB has lowest
variability (0 .58 ), FB (0 .80 ) and highest for ING (0 .95). There was significant
difference in burden ratios of the three banks except in case of non-interest
expenses to total income as revealed by the F-test at 5 percent significance
level.
iii) Profitability Statistical analysis: The group o f profitability for SBI,
BOB and PNB banks is depicted in table 5.6. It is obvious from the table that
these banks have maintained the average Profit Margin Ratio at 9.17% , 8.63%
and 9.14% respectively between 1998-99 and 2007-08. The Annual Compound
Growth Rate o f profitability is found highly significant in case of PNB only.
The difference between the three public sector banks on this count is found
significant at 0.009 level of significance, which indicates that PNB, enjoying
super profitability over other two public sector banks. The positive annual
growth of the Asset Utilization ratio at 12.70 percent in SBI, 10.31 Percent in
BOB and 13.13 in PNB shows that it gives inputs in the efficiency of all the
three public sector banks and positive annual growth o f Equity Multiplier is
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recorded at 12.70 percent in SBI, 10.31 in BOB and 13.13 in PNB indicates
towards an improvement in the efficiency of the three public sectors banks.
Table 5.6: Profitability Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMeanRatio
StandardDeviation
F - ValueSignificance
(Two-Tailed)ACGR
Significance
of ACGR
ProfitMargin
SBI 9.17 1.94
0.17 0.847
0.19 0.948
BOB 8.63 2.24 3.51 0.309
PNB 9.14 2.79 7.79 0.009
AssetUtilization
SBI 9.71 0.82
0.41 0.665
12.70 0.000
BOB 9.69 1.12 10.31 0.000
PNB 10.09 1.34 13.13 0.000
EquityMultiplier
SBI 606.44 218.00
17.79 0.000
12.70 0.000
BOB 239.68 76.28 10.31 0.000
PNB 304.25 106.36 13.13 0.000
Return on
Assets
SBI 0.89 0.21
0.46 0.635
2.35 0.429
BOB 0.81 0.19 0.26 0.936
PNB 0.88 0.18 3.89 0.100
Return on
Equity
SBI 528.53 197.86
14.69 0.000
10.45 0.002
BOB 193.23 78.36 11.35 0.006
PNB 278.59 129.32 16.99 0.000
The ratio Return on Assets is registered at 0.90% approximately for SBI
and PNB but is lower in case of BOB (.80 percent). PNB has outperformed SBI
and BOB in terms of growth rate in Return on Assets front. The difference the
three banks on this count is found significant at 0.10 level o f significance,
which indicates the supremacy of PNB over the other two public sector banks
in terms of the ratio Return on Equity. Interestingly, the Return on Equity
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indicates increasing trend in case of all the three public sector banks, but PNB
has also outperformed SBI and BOB in terms of growth rate in case of Return
on Equity. It is 10.45 percent, 11.35 and 16.99 percent in case of SBI, BOB and
PNB respectively. The study of profitability ratio is depicting one interesting
revelation that variability in terms standard deviation is highest in case of PNB
for all the ratio of profitability. There were “significant difference” discovered
between PNB, SBI and BOB on account of Equity Multiplier and ROE ratio as
p < .05. The various ratios measuring profitability in case o f ING Vysya,
Federal Bank and JK Bank banks are depicted in table 5.6 (A). It is obvious
from the table that these banks have maintained the average Profit Margin
Ratio at 4.32% , 6.80% and 12.70% respectively between 1996-97 and 2005-06.
Annual Compound Growth Rate is found significant only in case of ING Vysya
Bank. The banks differ significantly incase o f profit margin over the period of
study. The mean ratio of the Asset Utilization ratio at -10.53 percent in ING, -
10.79 Percent in FB and 9.13 in JK Bank indicates towards an improvement in
the efficiency of all the three private sector banks. A substantially lower than
average ratio may indicate an institution is not generating the same income off
its assets as its peers. The reasons for this can be investigated i.e. it could
indicate over-capitalization, say something about the efficiency in the use of
resources. The annual growth o f the ratio (Equity Multiplier) at -12.18 percent
in ING, 1.01 in FB and 7.27 in JKB measures financial leverage and represents
both a profit and risk management. It compares assets with equity and large
values indicate a large amount of debt financing in comparison to equity. It has
impact on return on assets. A critical scrutiny of EM helps to evaluate whether
capital support is proportionate to the risks assumed in the balance sheet. As
regards the ratio Return on Assets, the table under reference offer that ING has
maintained around .55 percent, during last ten years, FB has maintained it
around .70 percent and FB has maintained it around 1.18 percent. JK Bank has
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outperformed ING and FB in terms of growth rate in this ratio (Return on
Assets).
Table 5.6(A): Profitability Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
F - ValueSignificance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance of
ACGR
ProfitMargin
ING 4.32 3.80
10.19 0.001
18.43 0.019
FB 6.80 3.41 15.06 0.203
JKB 12.70 5.34 4.71 0.353
AssetUtilization
ING 10.53 1.46
3.51 0.044
-3.92 0.006
FB 10.79 1.65 -3.75 0.027
JKB 9.13 1.37 -3.61 0.037
EquityMultiplier
ING 390.48 158.88
27.90 0.000
-12.18 0.079
FB 394.33 142.03 1.01 0.806
JKB 36.11 16.03 7.27 0.166
Return on
Assets
ING 0.55 0.40
5.83 0.008
- -
FB 0.70 0.28 3.10 0.323
JKB 1.18 0.56 1.07 0.863
Return on
Equity
ING 220.21 180.36
7.51 0.003
- -
FB 280.90 172.24 12.35 0.314
JKB 39.94 22.70 8.38 0.177
(- ) indicates dependent variable has non-positive values; no equation estimated.
148
The difference the three banks on this count is found significant at 0.05 level of
significance, which indicates the supremacy of JK Bank over the other two
private sector banks in terms of the ratio Return on Equity. Interestingly, the
ratio percentage o f Return on Equity indicates increasing trend in case of all the
three private sector banks, The difference between the three banks on this count
is found significant at 0.05 level of significance and the private banks differ
significantly in case of ROE ratio.
From the above analysis it is revealed that the Net Interest Income
(Spread) of the banks has declined in the interest rate deregulated period but
the banks could increase and sustain the profit during the same period by
reducing the Burden. The effect o f control on burden ratio and spread managed
by banks witnessed in the earlier analysis has been evidently reflected in the
increased profitability ratio of both public and private sector banks during the
post deregulation period o f interest rates.
5) Liquidity Statistical Analysis
Banks need liquidity to meet deposit with drawls and to fund loan demand. The
variability of loan demand and variability of deposit determine banks liquidity
needs. Liquidity is essential in all banks to compensate the expected and
unexpected Balance Sheet fluctuations and to provide funds for growth. The
price o f liquidity is a function of market conditions and market perceptions of
the risk, both interest rate and credit risk reflected in the banks balance sheet
and off balance sheet activities. If liquidity needs are not taken care off, banks
may be forced to restructure or acquire additional liabilities under market
conditions. It is believed that under deregulation interest rate this problem is
evident to arise for banks. The banks portfolio policies should be so designed
as to enable the banks to meet the liquidity requirements without exposing
itself both to embracement or unusual pressures and in short to liquidity risk.
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Keeping in view the liquidity importance of banks, the most important liquidity
ratio in terms o f statistical analysis is presented in table 5.7.
Table 5.7: Liquidity Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios Banks MeanRatio
StandardDeviation
F - Value Significance(Two-Tailed)
ACGR Significance
of ACGR
Total Liquid
Assets to Total
Assets
SBI 19.07 5.70
2.52 0.099
-9.71 0.001
BOB 17.19 6.99 -12.50 0.001
PNB 13.77 2.13 -2.62 0.129
Total Liquid
Assets to Total
Deposits
SBI 26.32 8.68
6.20 0.006
-11.18 0.000
BOB 19.66 8.38 -12.95 0.001
PNB 14.66 4.50 -4.08 0.239
Credit to
Deposits
SBI 6.26 1.28
9.16 0.001
0.05 0.983
BOB 3.61 1.83 11.26 0.032
PNB 3.64 1.61 10.84 0.001
Inter bank
deposits to Total deposits
SBI 10.40 0.87
54.28 0.000
2.16 0.010
BOB 7.92 0.88 3.39 0.000
PNB 6.88 0.57 2.05 0.003
The ACGR of first two liquidity ratios namely Total Liquid Assets to
Total Assets and Total Liquid Assets to Total Deposits are found negative and
therefore are insignificant and the same is conformed by the F-test. However,
the trend in ACGR is found positive in case of Total Liquid Assets / Total
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Deposits and Inter bank deposits/Total deposits. An attempt is also made to
determine whether the liquidity ratios o f the above three banks differ
significantly. The result indicates significant difference between the liquidity
positions o f the three banks only in terms o f liquidity ratio Inter bank
deposits/Total deposits, out o f four ratios. Hence, there is no acknowledgeable
difference in the liquidity position of the three banks under reference. There
were significant differences between banks in terms o f Total Liquid Assets to
Total Deposits, Credit to Deposits and Inter Bank Deposits to Total Deposits as
p < 0.05.
Table 5.7(A): Liquidity Ratios - Select Statistics(Figure in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
Standard
DeviationF - Value
Significance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance of
ACGR
Total Liquid
Assets / Total Assets
ING 15.12 6.31
1.89 0.171
-14.31 0.000
FB 11.72 4.20 2.25 0.638
JKB 15.94 4.70 -8.29 0.005
Total Liquid
Assets / Total Deposits
ING 18.30 7.44
2.01 0.154
-13.93 0.000
FB 13.23 4.51 2.13 0.630
JKB 17.50 5.90 -8.83 0.010
Credit /
Deposits
ING 62.56 6.70
16.26 0.000
3.11 0.000
FB 60.69 2.86 -0.95 0.062
JKB 51.42 3.53 1.81 0.007
Inter bank
deposits / Total
deposits
ING 7.47 0.77
36.47 0.000
2.84 0.005
FB 5.82 0.50 1.75 0.047
JKB 4.55 0.95 6.18 0.001
The ACGR of first two liquidity ratios namely Total Liquid Assets to
Total Assets and Total Liquid Assets to Total Deposits are found negative
except Federal Bank and therefore are insignificant and the same is conformed
151
by the F-test. However, the trend in ACGR is found positive in case of Credit
to Deposits and Inter bank deposits/Total deposits. An attempt is also made to
determine whether the liquidity ratios o f the above three banks differ
significantly. The result indicates significant difference between the liquidity
positions o f the three Private Banks, in terms of Credit to Deposits and liquidity
ratio Inter bank deposits to Total deposits, out o f four ratios. Hence, there is no
acknowledgeable difference in the liquidity position o f the three banks under
reference. There were significant differences between banks in terms o f Total
Liquid Assets to Total Deposits and Credit to Deposits as p < 0.05.
The banks portfolio policies should be so designed as to enable the
banks to meet the liquidity requirements without exposing itself both to
embracement or unusual pressures and in short to liquidity risk. Keeping in
view the liquidity importance of banks, the most important liquidity ratio in
terms o f statistical analysis is presented in table 5.7 (A). The overall
conclusions o f this analysis shows that banks have managed the liquidity
properly during post deregulation period and have maintained ALM in terms
liquidity gaps and duration.
Volatile Liquidity statistical Analysis: Table 5.8 depicts the volatile
liquidity position of SBI, BOB and PNB. It is obvious from the table that the
three public sector banks indicates negative trend in Volatile liabilities minus
temporary investment to Net loans plus investment due in more than one year
on an average, these banks are found maintain this ratio at 19.26 percent (SBI),
15.41 percent (BOB) and 7.06 percent (PNB) over the period o f study.
152
Table 5.8: Volatile Liquidity Dependence Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios Banks Mean
RatioStandardDeviation
F - Value Significance(Two-Tailed)
ACGR Significance
of ACGR
Volatile liabilities-
temporary
investment to Net loans + investment
due in more than
one year
SBI 19.26 5.40
16.92 0.000
-9.18 0.000
BOB 15.41 6.15 -11.12 0.001
PNB 7.06 1.39 -3.49 0.106
Credit to Total
Liabilities
SBI 39.51 5.51
0.85 0.438
2.99 0.019
BOB 44.06 4.47 2.69 0.003
PNB 41.45 11.53 5.14 0.249
Purchased funds to Total Assets
SBI 4.51 0.62
7.70 0.002
-0.78 0.657
BOB 2.83 1.36 10.77 0.030
PNB 2.65 1.35 15.68 0.030
Loan losses (NPA’S) to Total
net loans
SBI 5.11 1.89
1.66 0.208
13.80 0.000
BOB 7.08 0.73 -1.88 0.068
PNB 5.48 3.96 -44.21 0.001
The above indicates that the liquidity position o f SBI is sounder as
compared to BOB and PNB. Opposite is the position obtained about the ratio of
Credit to Total Liabilities. The ratio is recorded on an average at 39.51 percent,
44.06 percent and 41.45 percent in case o f SBI, BOB and PNB respectively,
ACGR in case of this ratio is positive and there is no significance difference
between the banks as revealed by the F-test. The ratio Purchased funds to
Total Assets is recorded at on an average o f 4.51 percent, 2.83 percent and 2.65
percent in case of SBI, BOB and PNB respectively their is significance
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difference between the banks as revealed by the F-test in case of this ratio.
However the trend in ACGR is found in case of BOB and PNB. The ratio Loan
losses (N PA ’S) to Total net loans on an average stood at 5.11 percent, 7.08
percent and 5.48 percent in case of SBI, BOB and PNB respectively. However,
ACGR is found positive in case of SBI only. In so far as the absolute value of
the above ratio is concerned, no significance difference between the sample
organizations is revealed by the F-test applied for the purpose at 5 percent level
of significance.
Table: 5.8 (A) Volatile Liquidity Dependence Ratios - Select Statistic(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
F-ValueSignificance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance
of ACGR
Volatile liabilities
-temp, investment
to Net loans +
investment due in
more than one
year
ING 6.96 0.88
5.95 0.007
-0.390 0.805
FB 4.06 0.97 -5.92 0.008
JKB 6.47 3.23 -15.88 0.000
Credit to Total
Liabilities
ING 46.65 8.69
2.98 0.068
5.53 0.000
FB 50.19 5.65 -1.21 0.366
JKB 42.38 6.81 4.39 0.002
Purchased funds
to Total Assets
ING 4.17 0.60
3.43 0.047
2.55 0.106
FB 3.16 0.62 5.35 0.001
JKB 3.45 0.69 4.92 0.015
Loan losses
(NPA’S) to Total
net loans
ING 5.33 3.84
4.19 0.026
-19.04 0.001
FB 5.69 3.03 -16.27 0.036
JKB 2.29 1.03 -14.93 0.000
Table 5.8 (A ) depicts the volatile liquidity position of ING, FB and JK
Bank. It is obvious from the table that the three private sector banks indicates
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negative trend in Volatile liabilities minus temporary investment to Net loans
plus investment due in more than one year on an average, these banks are
found maintain this ratio at 6.96 percent (ING), 4.06 percent (FB), and 6.47
percent (JK B) over the period o f study. The above indicates that the liquidity
position o f ING is sounder as compared to other two banks. Opposite is the
position obtained about the ratio of Credit to Total Liabilities. The ratio is
recorded on an average at 46.65 percent, 50.19 percent and 42.38 percent in
case of ING, FB and JKB respectively, ACGR in case of this ratio is negative
only in case of Federal Bank and there is no significance difference between
the banks as revealed by the F-test. The ratio Purchased funds to Total Assets
is recorded at on an average of 4.17 percent, 3.16 percent and 3.45 percent in
case of ING, FB and JKB respectively, their is significance difference between
the banks as revealed by the F-test in case of this ratio. The trend in ACGR is
found in case o f all the three banks. The ratio Loan losses (NPA’S) to Total net
loans on an average stood at 5.33 percent, 5.69 percent and 2.29 percent in case
of ING, FB and JKB respectively. However, ACGR is found negative in case
of all the banks. In so far as the absolute value of the above ratio is concerned.
There is significance difference between the samples organizations is revealed
by the F-test applied for the purpose at 5 percent level of significance.
6) Asset Liability Management statistical Analysis
Business o f banking involves the identifying, measuring, accepting and
managing the risk, the heart of bank financial management is risk management.
One of the most important risk-management functions in bank is Asset
Liability Management. Traditionally, administered interest rates were used to
price the assets and liabilities of banks.
155
Table 5.9: Asset Liability Management Ratios - Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMeanRatio
StandardDeviation
F - ValueSignificance(Two-Tailed)
ACGRSignificance
of ACGR
Working
funds/ Total Assets
SBI 11.57 4.39
6.48 0.005
-11.48 0.002
BOB 17.58 5.07 -7.94 0.009
PNB 11.73 3.12 -6.80 0.039
Retained
Earnings/
Total Assets
SBI 0.65 0.16
3.57 0.042
1.94 0.578
BOB 0.58 0.19 2.17 0.645
PNB 0.80 0.20 2.20 0.419
EBIT(nnrt)/
Total Assets
SBI 6.50 0.74
0.04 0.956
-3.30 0.002
BOB 6.37 1.19 -6.12 0.001
PNB 6.44 0.90 -4.50 0.000
Market value
of Equity/Book
Value of total
Liabilities
SBI 6.51 2.67
0.74 0.489
2.30 0.667
BOB 5.21 2.39 3.49 0.506
PNB 6.43 2.90 3.88 0.501
The above table 5.9 reveals the statistical analysis o f Asset Management
ratios of the three public sector banks. The analysis o f the sample organizations
is done with the help of four ratios. Annual Compound Growth Rate in case of
the ratio working funds to Total Assets is found negative all the three public
sector banks. This ratio, frequently found in studies o f corporate problems is a
measure o f a firm’s net liquid assets relative to its capitalization. Liquidity and
size characteristics are explicitly considered ordinarily; a firm experiencing
consistent operating losses will have shrinking current assets in relation to total
assets. From the analysis of above ratios it can be deduced deregulation of
156
interest rates have put pressure on banks liquidity. The ratio Retained Earnings
to Total Assets has been registered at 1.94 percent in case o f SBI, 2.17 percent
in case o f BOB and 2.20 percent in case of PNB in terms o f ACGR. A high or
increasing Retained Earnings to Total Assets ratio is usually a positive sign,
showing the bank is able to continually retain increasingly more earnings. As a
bank grows and matures, you should see this ratio increase. The ratio earning
before Interest and Tax (net of non recurring transactions) to Total Assets, the
ACGR is found negative and there is no significant difference between the
samples in case of the above ratio. The ratio Market value o f Equity to Book
Value o f total Liabilities has registered an increasing trend in ACGR of all the
three banks but the growth is not significant as the p > 0.05 in case o f this
ratio.
The table 5.9 (A ) reveals the statistical analysis o f asset management
ratios of the three private sector banks. The analysis of the sample
organizations is done with the help of four ratios. Annual Compound Growth
Rate in case o f the ratio working funds to Total Assets is found negative all the
three private sector banks. The ratio was maintained on an average of 12.95%,
11.54% and 13.72% in case of ING, FB and JK Bank respectively. This ratio,
frequently found in studies of corporate problems is a measure o f a firm’s net
liquid assets relative to its capitalization. Liquidity and size characteristics are
explicitly considered ordinarily; a firm experiencing consistent operating losses
will have shrinking current assets in relation to total assets. From the analysis
of above ratios it can be deduced deregulation o f interest rates have put
pressure on banks liquidity. The ratio Retained Earnings to Total Assets has
been registered at -3.31 percent in case of ING, 1.74 in case o f FB and -0.50 in
case o f JKB. A high or increasing Retained Earnings to Total Assets ratio is
usually a positive sign, showing the bank is able to continually
retain increasingly more earnings. As a bank grows and matures, you should
see this ratio increase but in case of the private sector banks the ACGR is
157
negative in case o f the said ratio and that is not the good sine for the long term
solvency for the banks. The ratio earning before Interest and Tax (net of non
recurring transactions) to Total
Table 5.9(A): Asset Liability Management Ratios — Select Statistics
(Figures in percent)
Ratios BanksMean
Ratio
StandardDeviation
F-ValueSignificance
(Two-Tailed)ACGR
Significance
of ACGR
Working funds to
Total Assets
ING 12.95 7.77
0.37 0.696
-21.38 0.000
FB 11.54 4.50 5.22 0.257
JKB 13.72 4.31 -8.67 0.013
Retained
Earnings to Total Assets
ING 0.56 0.17
8.24 0.002
-3.31 0.356
FB 0.77 0.18 -1.74 0.615
JKB 0.92 0.23 -0.50 0.868
EBIT(nnrt) to
Total Assets
ING 7.79 1.81
0.69 0.512
-7.99 0.000
FB 8.22 1.95 -7.14 0.004
JKB 7.28 1.55 -4.48 0.095
Market value of
Equity to Book
Value of total Liabilities
ING 5.54 2.41
1.05 0.364
10.99 0.025
FB 3.84 2.28 11.28 0.066
JKB 4.05 3.66 30.75 0.000
Assets, the ACGR is found negative and there is no significant difference
between the samples in case of the above ratio. The ratio Market value of
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Equity to Book Value of total Liabilities has registered an increasing trend in
ACGR and maintained on an average of 5.54%, 3.84% and 4.05% in case of
ING, FB and JKB respectively but the growth is not significant as the p > 0.05
in case of this ratio.
From the statistical analysis of the banks it can be concluded that the
banks have performed nicely in the deregulated environment. Banks were able
to maintain the mean ratio on a good average in case of all the performance
parameters, were able to minimize the variability and therefore were able to
manage risk but have failed to achieve the positive ACGR in case of many
important performance ratios.
159