statistical sampling for auditors

Upload: praveena-raja

Post on 14-Apr-2018

224 views

Category:

Documents


1 download

TRANSCRIPT

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    1/130

    APIPA 2009 1

    STATISTICAL SAMPLING

    FOR AUDITORS

    Jeanne H.

    Yamamura

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    2/130

    APIPA 2009 2

    OBJECTIVES Review of sampling concepts

    Types of sampling Attribute sampling

    Steps

    Nonstatistical attribute sampling

    Compliance auditing

    Monetary unit sampling Steps

    Nonstatistical monetary unit sampling Classical sampling

    Ratio estimation

    Difference estimation

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    3/130

    APIPA 2009 3

    AUDIT SAMPLING Application of an audit procedure to less

    than 100% of the items in a population

    Account balance Class of transactions

    Examination on a test basis

    Key: Sample is intended to berepresentative of the population.

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    4/130

    APIPA 2009 4

    SAMPLING RISK Possibility that the sample is NOT

    representative of the population

    As a result, auditor will reach WRONGconclusion

    Decision errors

    Type I Risk of incorrect rejection Type II Risk of incorrect acceptance

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    5/130

    APIPA 2009 5

    TYPE I RISK OFINCORRECT REJECTION

    Internal control: Risk that samplesupports conclusion that control is NOT

    operating effectively when it really isAKA Risk of underreliance, risk of

    assessing control risk too high

    Substantive testing: Risk that samplesupports conclusion that balance is NOTproperly stated when it really is

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    6/130

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    7/130

    APIPA 2009 7

    WHICH RISK POSES THEGREATER DANGER TO ANAUDITOR?

    Risk of incorrect rejection

    Efficiency

    Risk of incorrect acceptance Effectiveness

    Auditor focus on Type II

    Also provides coverage for Type I

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    8/130

    APIPA 2009 8

    NONSAMPLING RISK Risk of auditor error

    Sample wrong population

    Fail to detect a misstatement when applying auditprocedure

    Misinterpret audit result

    Controlled through

    Adequate training Proper planning

    Effective supervision

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    9/130

    APIPA 2009 9

    SAMPLE SIZE FACTORS Desired level of assurance

    (confidence level)

    Acceptable defect rate (tolerableerror)

    Historical defect rate (expectederror)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    10/130

    APIPA 2009 10

    CONFIDENCE LEVEL Complement of sampling risk

    5% sampling risk, 95% confidence level

    How much reliance will be placed on testresults

    The greater the reliance and the more severethe consequences of Type II error, the higherthe confidence level needed

    Sample size increases with confidence level(decreases with sampling risk)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    11/130

    APIPA 2009 11

    TOLERABLE ERROR ANDEXPECTED ERROR

    Precision the gap between tolerableerror and expected error

    AKA Allowance for sampling risk Sample size increases as precision

    decreases

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    12/130

    APIPA 2009 12

    WHEN DO YOU SAMPLE? Inspection of tangible assets, e.g.,

    inventory observation

    Inspection of records or documents, e.g.,internal control testing

    Reperformance, e.g., internal controltesting

    Confirmation, e.g., verification of ARbalances

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    13/130

    APIPA 2009 13

    WHEN IS SAMPLINGINAPPROPRIATE?

    Selection of all items with a particularcharacteristic, e.g., all disbursements >$100,000

    Testing only one or a few items, e.g.,automated IT controls, walk throughs

    Analytical procedures

    Scanning Inquiry

    Observation

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    14/130

    APIPA 2009 14

    WALKTHROUGHS Designed to provide evidence regarding the

    design and implementation of controls Can provide some assurance of operating

    effectiveness BUT Depends on nature of control (automated or

    manual) Depends on nature of auditors procedures to test

    control (also includes inquiry and observation

    combined with strong control environment andadequate monitoring)

    Walkthough = sample of 1

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    15/130

    APIPA 2009 15

    STATISTICAL VSNONSTATISTICAL SAMPLING

    Statistical sampling Statistical computation of sample size

    Statistical evaluation of results

    Nonstatistical sampling

    Sample sizes should be approximately thesame (AU 350.22)

    Sample sizes must be sufficient to supportreliance on controls and assertions beingtested

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    16/130

    APIPA 2009 16

    WHEN IS SAMPLINGNONSTATISTICAL?

    If sample size determined judgmentally

    If sample selected haphazardly

    If sample results evaluated judgmentally

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    17/130

    APIPA 2009 17

    TYPES OF SAMPLING Attribute sampling

    Monetary unit sampling

    Classical variables sampling

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    18/130

    APIPA 2009 18

    ATTRIBUTE SAMPLING Used to estimate proportion of a

    population that possesses a specific

    characteristic Most commonly used for T of C

    Can also be used for dual purpose

    testing (T of C and Substantive T of T)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    19/130

    APIPA 2009 19

    MONETARY-UNITSAMPLING

    AKA probability proportional to size(PPS) sampling, cumulative monetary

    unit sampling Used to estimate dollar amount of

    misstatement

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    20/130

    APIPA 2009 20

    CLASSICAL VARIABLESSAMPLING

    Uses normal distribution theory to identifyamount of misstatement

    Useful when large number of differencesexpected Smaller sample size than MUS

    Effective for both overstatements andunderstatements

    Can easily incorporate zero balances

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    21/130

    APIPA 2009 21

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 1

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    22/130

    APIPA 2009 22

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 1

    Test Involves

    Sampling?

    Attribute / Variable / MUS / NA

    1 Yes Attribute (ST of T)

    2 No NA

    3 Yes Attribute (T of C)

    4 No NA

    5 No NA (Could be MUS if largepopulation)

    6 No NA

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    23/130

    APIPA 2009 23

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 1

    Test Involves

    Sampling?

    Attribute / Variable / MUS / NA

    7 Yes Attribute (T of C)

    8 Yes MUS

    9 No NA

    10 Yes Attribute (T of C/ST of T)

    11 No NA

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    24/130

    APIPA 2009 24

    STEPS IN STATISTICALATTRIBUTE SAMPLINGAPPLICATION

    Planning1. Determine the test objectives2. Define the population characteristics

    3. Determine the sample size Performance

    4. Select sample items5. Perform the auditing procedures

    Evaluation6. Calculate the results7. Draw conclusions

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    25/130

    APIPA 2009 25

    STEP 1: DETERMINE THETEST OBJECTIVES

    Objective for T of C: To determine theoperating effectiveness of the internal

    control Support control risk assessment below

    maximum

    Identify controls to be tested andunderstand why they are to be tested

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    26/130

    APIPA 2009 26

    TESTS OF CONTROLS Concerned primarily with

    Were the necessary controls performed?

    How were they performed? By whom were they performed?

    Appropriate when documentary evidence

    of performance exists

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    27/130

    APIPA 2009 27

    STEP 2: DEFINE THEPOPULATIONCHARACTERISTICS

    Define the sampling population

    Assertion

    Completeness Define the sampling unit

    Determined by available records

    Define the control deviation conditions

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    28/130

    APIPA 2009 28

    STEP 3: DETERMINE THESAMPLE SIZE

    Determine factors Desired confidence level (direct)

    Tolerable deviation rate (inverse) Expected population deviation rate (direct)

    Desired confidence level If planning to rely on controls, would be 90 to

    95% Significance of account and importance of

    assertion affected by control being tested

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    29/130

    APIPA 2009 29

    STEP 3: DETERMINE THESAMPLE SIZE

    Tolerable deviation rate

    Maximum deviation rate that auditor willing toaccept and still consider control effective Control would be relied upon

    Why any errors acceptable? Control deviation = Misstatement

    Assessed importance of control Tolerabledeviation rate

    Highly important 3-5%

    Moderately important 6-10%

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    30/130

    APIPA 2009 30

    STEP 3: DETERMINE THESAMPLE SIZE

    Expected population deviation rate

    Rate expected to exist in population

    Based on prior years results or pilot sample If expected population deviation rate >

    tolerable rate, DO NOT TEST

    SAMPLE SIZE TABLES

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    31/130

    APIPA 2009 31

    STEP 3: DETERMINE THESAMPLE SIZE

    Testing multiple attributes on the samesample

    Select largest sample size and audit all ofthem for all attributes

    Result is some overauditing BUT may takeless time than trying to remember whichsample items need to be tested for whichattribute

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    32/130

    APIPA 2009 32

    FINITE POPULATIONCORRECTION FACTOR

    When population size < 500

    Apply finite population correction factor

    1-(n/N) Where n = sample size from table and N =

    number of units in population

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    33/130

    APIPA 2009 33

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS

    Sample must be selected to berepresentative of the population

    Each item must have an equalopportunity of being selected

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    34/130

    APIPA 2009 34

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS

    Random number selection

    Unrestricted random sampling without

    replacement (once selected cannot beselected again)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    35/130

    APIPA 2009 35

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS

    Random number table

    Need to document

    Correspondence: relationship betweenpopulation and random number table

    Route: selection path, e.g., up or down columns,and right to left (must be consistent)

    Starting point: starting row, column, digit

    Stopping point: to enable adding more sampleitems if needed

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    36/130

    APIPA 2009 36

    RANDOM NUMBER TABLEILLUSTRATION

    Select a sample of 4 items from prenumberedcanceled checks numbered from 1 to 500.Start at row 5, column 1, digit starting position1. Select three-digit numbers. Items selected

    are: 145 (sample item #1) 516 (discard because checks numbers do not

    exceed 500)

    032 (sample item #2) 246 (sample item #3) 840 (discard)181 (sample item #4)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    37/130

    APIPA 2009 37

    RANDOM NUMBER TABLEILLUSTRATION

    To minimize discards, table numbers > 500 canbe reduced by 500 to produce a sample itemwithin the population boundary of 1 to 500. The

    four sample items selected are: 145 (sample item #1)

    016 (sample item #2 = 516 500 = 016)

    032 (sample item #2)

    246 (sample item #3)

    340 (sample item #4 = 840 500 = 340)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    38/130

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    39/130

    APIPA 2009 39

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS - EXCEL

    Excel

    Select Tools

    Select Data Analysis Select Sampling

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    40/130

    APIPA 2009 40

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS - EXCEL

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    41/130

    APIPA 2009 41

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS

    Input Range

    Enter the references for the range of data that contains the population ofvalues you want to sample. Microsoft Excel draws samples from the firstcolumn, then the second column, and so on.

    Labels

    Select if the first row or column of your input range contains labels. Clearif your input range has no labels; Excel generates appropriate data labelsfor the output table.

    Sampling Method

    Click Periodic orRandom to indicate the sampling interval you want. Period

    Enter the periodic interval at which you want sampling to take place. Theperiod-th value in the input range and every period-th value thereafter iscopied to the output column. Sampling stops when the end of the inputrange is reached.

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    42/130

    APIPA 2009 42

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS

    Number of Samples

    Enter the number of random values you want in theoutput column. Each value is drawn from a randomposition in the input range, and any number can be

    selected more than once. Output Range

    Enter the reference for the upper-left cell of the outputtable. Data is written in a single column below the cell.If you select Periodic, the number of values in the

    output table is equal to the number of values in theinput range, divided by the sampling rate. If you selectRandom, the number of values in the output table isequal to the number of samples.

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    43/130

    APIPA 2009 43

    STEP 4: SELECT THESAMPLE ITEMS

    Systematic selection Determine sampling interval = Population / Sample

    Size Ensure population is in random order Select random starting number (within first interval)

    Better to use multiple random starting points to reduce riskof missing systematic deviations

    Select every nth item Continue sample selection until population is

    exhausted (Last sample selected + sampling interval) > Last item in

    population In other words, dont stop when desired sample size

    reached

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    44/130

    APIPA 2009 44

    STEP 5: PERFORM THEAUDITING PROCEDURES

    Conduct planned audit procedures

    What if?

    Voided documents - if properly voided, not adeviation; replace with new sample item

    Unused or inapplicable documents replacewith new sample item

    Inability to examine sample item deviation Stopping test before completion large

    number of deviations detected

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    45/130

    APIPA 2009 45

    STEP 5: PERFORM THEAUDITING PROCEDURES

    Deviations observed

    Investigate nature, cause, and consequence

    of every exception Unintentional error? Or fraud?

    Monetary misstatement resulted?

    Cause misunderstanding of instructions?

    Carelessness? Effect on other areas?

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    46/130

    APIPA 2009 46

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS

    Summarize deviations for each control

    Calculate sample deviation rate and

    computed upper deviation rate Sample deviation rate + Allowance for

    sampling risk = Computed upper deviationrate

    Statistical sampling results evaluation tables

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    47/130

    APIPA 2009 47

    STEP 7: DRAWCONCLUSIONS

    If Computed Upper Deviation Rate >Tolerable Rate, control is ineffective and

    cannot be relied upon. If Computed Upper Deviation Rate expected

    population deviation rate, control noteffective

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    70/130

    APIPA 2009 70

    COMPLIANCE AUDITING Performance of auditing procedures to

    determine whether an entity is complying withspecific requirements of laws, regulations, or

    agreements

    Governmental entities and other recipients ofgovernmental financial assistance

    Compliance with laws and regulations thatmaterially affect each major federal assistanceprogram

    COMPLIANCE AUDITING OF

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    71/130

    APIPA 2009 71

    FEDERAL ASSISTANCEPROGRAMS

    Definition of population for testing of aninternal control procedure that applies to

    more than one program Define items from each major program as a

    separate population, OR

    Define all items to which control is applicable

    as a single population

    Second choice usually more efficient

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    72/130

    APIPA 2009 72

    COMPLIANCE AUDITING -EXAMPLE

    Federal financial assistance for IslandCity

    Three major federal financial assistanceprograms

    Four nonmajor programs

    Control: Transaction review to ensurethat only legally allowable costs arecharged to each program

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    73/130

    APIPA 2009 73

    COMPLIANCE AUDITING -EXAMPLE

    More efficient to select one sample frompopulation of all transactions (major andnonmajor programs)

    Confidence level = 95%

    Tolerable deviation rate = 9%

    Expected population deviation rate = 1%

    Sample size: 51

    1 allowable deviation

    SMALL POPULATIONS AND

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    74/130

    APIPA 2009 74

    INFREQUENTLY OPERATINGCONTROLS

    Small Population Sample Size Table

    Control Frequency and

    Popu lat ion Size

    Samp le Size

    Quarterly (4) 2

    Monthly (12) 2-4

    Semimonthly (24) 3-8Weekly (52) 5-9

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    75/130

    APIPA 2009 75

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 4

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    76/130

    APIPA 2009 76

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 4

    Selected Payroll T of C

    1. Examine the time cardfor approval of a

    supervisor

    Moderately criticalaffects E/O of S& W

    2. Account for asequence of payrollchecks in the payroll

    journal

    Very critical affects E/Oof S&W

    3. Recompute hours onthe time card

    Moderately criticalaffects V of S&W

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    77/130

    APIPA 2009 77

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 4

    4. Compare theemployee name in thepayroll journal to

    personnel records

    Very critical affectsE/O - affects E/O of S&W; also an area subject

    to fraud

    5. Review OT chargesfor approval of a

    supervisor

    Moderately criticalaffects E/O and V of

    S&W

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    78/130

    APIPA 2009 78

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 4

    Selected Cash Disbursement T of C

    6. Examine voucher for

    supporting invoices,receiving reports, etc.

    Very critical affects

    E/O of purchasetransactions

    7. Examine supportingdocuments for evidence

    of cancellation (paid)

    Moderately criticalaffects validity of

    purchase transactionsand relates to doublepayment

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    79/130

    APIPA 2009 79

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 4

    Selected Cash Disbursement T of C

    8. Ascertain whether

    cash discounts weretaken

    Least critical affects V

    of purchasetransactions; amountsusually minor

    9. Review voucher for

    clerical accuracy

    Moderately critical

    affects V of purchasetransactions

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    80/130

    APIPA 2009 80

    IN-CLASS EXERCISENO. 4

    Selected Cash Disbursement T of C

    10. Agree purchase

    order price to invoice

    Moderately critical

    affects V of purchasetransactions

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    81/130

    APIPA 2009 81

    MONETARY UNITSAMPLING

    Uses attribute sampling theory to expressconclusions in dollar amounts

    Estimates the percentage of monetary units in a

    population that might be misstated Multiples the percentage by an estimate of how

    much the dollars are misstated

    Developed by auditors

    Assumes little or no misstatements

    Designed primarily to test for overstatements

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    82/130

    APIPA 2009 82

    ADVANTAGES When no misstatements expected,

    results in smaller (more efficient) sample

    size than classical variables sampling No need to compute/identify standard

    deviation

    Automatically stratifies sample

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    83/130

    APIPA 2009 83

    DISADVANTAGES Zero or negative balances must be tested

    separately

    Assumes audited amount of sampleitems is not in error by more than 100%

    When more than 1 or 2 misstatementsfound, allowance for sampling risk may

    be overstatedAuditor more likely to reject balance and

    overaudit

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    84/130

    APIPA 2009 84

    STEPS IN MONETARY UNITSAMPLING APPLICATION

    Planning1. Determine the test objectives2. Define the population characteristics

    3. Determine the sample size Performance

    4. Select sample items5. Perform the auditing procedures

    Evaluation6. Calculate the results7. Draw conclusions

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    85/130

    APIPA 2009 85

    STEP 1: DETERMINE THETEST OBJECTIVES

    Substantive testing: To test thereasonableness of an amount, i.e., that

    an amount is fairly stated To test the assertion that no material

    misstatements exist in an accountbalance, class of transactions, ordisclosure component of the financialstatements

    STEP 2: DEFINE THE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    86/130

    APIPA 2009 86

    POPULATIONCHARACTERISTICS

    Define the sampling population Monetary value of an account balance

    Verify completeness of population

    Define the sampling unit - Each individualdollar

    Define the logical unit - The account ortransaction that contains the sampling units

    Define a misstatement The differencebetween the book value and the audited value

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    87/130

    APIPA 2009 87

    STEP 3: DETERMINE THESAMPLE SIZE

    Determine factors (effect on sample size)

    Desired confidence level (direct)

    To increase confidence, more work is required!(larger sample size)

    Tolerable misstatement (inverse)

    Expected misstatement (direct)

    Population size (direct)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    88/130

    APIPA 2009 88

    STEP 3: DETERMINE THESAMPLE SIZE

    Computing sample sizes using theattribute sampling tables Select desired confidence level

    Compute tolerable misstatement aspercentage of book value

    Compute expected misstatement as

    percentage of book value Look up sample size in attribute sampling

    table

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    89/130

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    90/130

    APIPA 2009 90

    STEP 5: PERFORM THEAUDITING PROCEDURES

    Conduct planned audit procedures onlogical units

    What if? Missing document consider to be a

    misstatement

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    91/130

    APIPA 2009 91

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS

    Projected misstatement: Projection ofthe errors to the population

    Upper limit on misstatement: Adds anallowance for sampling risk to theprojected misstatement

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    92/130

    APIPA 2009 92

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS

    Sort misstatements into two groups Group 1: Logical unit equal to or greater

    than the sampling interval

    Group 2: Logical unit less than the samplinginterval

    For Group 2, compute the tainting factor

    for each misstatement Tainting factor = Book value Audit value

    Book value

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    93/130

    APIPA 2009 93

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS

    Place the Group 2 items in rank order bytainting factor (from largest to smallest)

    Compute the projected misstatement

    Calculate the upper limit increments (using theMonetary Un it Samp ling Conf idenceFacto rs for Sample Evaluat iontable)

    Calculate upper misstatement for each Group2 item

    Add differences for Group 1 Total = Upper misstatement limit

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    94/130

    APIPA 2009 94

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS - EXAMPLE

    Book value = $3,100,000

    Tolerable misstatement = $150,000

    Expected misstatement = $25,000 Desired confidence level = 95%

    Tolerable misstatement rate =4.8%,round to 5%

    Expected misstatement rate = .8%, roundto 1%

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    95/130

    APIPA 2009 95

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS - EXAMPLE

    Sample size = 93

    Sampling interval = $33,333

    Expected misstatement = $25,000

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    96/130

    APIPA 2009 96

    STEP 6: CALCULATERESULTS - EXAMPLE

    Item Book Value Audited Value Difference

    Item 1 12,000 3,120 8,880

    Item 2 35,000 32,000 3,000

    Item 3 1,400 0 1,400

    Item 4 45,200 41,000 4,200Item 5 740 555 185

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    97/130

    STEP 6: CALCULATE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    98/130

    APIPA 2009 98

    RESULTS - EXAMPLEItem Difference Book Value Tainting Factor

    Group 2: BV < SI (33,333)

    Item 1 8,880 12,000 .74

    Item 3 1,400 1,400 1.0

    Item 5 185 740 .25

    STEP 6: CALCULATE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    99/130

    APIPA 2009 99

    RESULTS - EXAMPLEItem Tainting Factor Sampling

    Interval

    Projected

    Misstatement

    (Tainting

    Factor * SI)

    Item 3 1.0 33,333 33,333

    Item 1 .74 33,333 24,666

    Item 5 .25 33,333 8,333

    STEP 6: CALCULATE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    100/130

    APIPA 2009 100

    RESULTS - EXAMPLEItem Projected

    Misstatement

    95% Upper

    Limit

    Increment

    Upper

    Misstatement

    Item 3 33,333 3.0 99,999

    Item 1 24,666 1.7 41,932

    Item 5 8,333 1.5 12,500

    154,431

    STEP 6: CALCULATE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    101/130

    APIPA 2009 101

    RESULTS - EXAMPLEItem Projected

    Misstatement

    95% Upper

    Limit

    Increment

    Upper

    Misstatement

    Group 2 154,431

    Group 1 7,200

    Upper Misstatement Limit 161,631

    STEP 7: DRAW

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    102/130

    APIPA 2009 102

    CONCLUSIONS If Upper Misstatement Limit > Tolerable

    Misstatement, balance is materiallymisstated.

    If Upper Misstatement Limit > TolerableMisstatement, balance is not materiallymisstated

    IN-CLASS EXERCISES

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    103/130

    APIPA 2009 103

    NO. 5 TO NO. 6

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    104/130

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    105/130

    APIPA 2009 105

    NO. 52. Sampling items always included:

    The loans > the sampling intervalLoan #1 141,100

    Loan #26 131,200

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    106/130

    APIPA 2009 106

    NO. 6Recorded amount of accounts receivable =

    $400,000

    Tolerable misstatement: $20,000; 20,000 /

    400,000 = 5% Risk of incorrect acceptance: 5%

    Expected misstatements: 0

    Sample size = 59

    Sampling interval = 400,000 / 59 = 6,780

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    107/130

    APIPA 2009 107

    NO. 6Error Recorded

    Amount

    Audit

    Amount

    Difference Tainting

    %

    1 400 320 80 20%

    2 500 0 500 100%

    3 7,000 6,500 500 NA

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    108/130

    APIPA 2009 108

    NO. 6Error Tainting % Sampling

    Interval

    Projected

    Misstate-

    ment

    Upper

    Limit

    Increment

    Upper

    Limit

    Misstate-

    ment

    Logical unit BV < Sampling Interval

    2 100 6,780 6,780 1.7 11,526

    1 20 6,780 1,356 1.5 2,034

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    109/130

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    110/130

    APIPA 2009 110

    NO. 6Error Tainting % Sampling

    Interval

    Projected

    Misstate-

    ment

    Upper

    Limit

    Increment

    Upper

    Limit

    Misstate-

    ment

    Logical unit BV < Sampling Interval 13,560Logical unit BV > Sampling Interval 500

    Basic Precision 20,340

    Upper Misstatement Limit 34,400Conclusion: The account is materially misstated. The upper misstatement

    limit of 34,400 exceeds the tolerable misstatement of 20,000.

    NONSTATISTICAL SAMPLING

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    111/130

    APIPA 2009 111

    BALANCE TESTING Differences in

    Identifying individually significant items

    Determining sample size Selecting sample items

    Calculating sample results

    IDENTIFYING INDIVIDUALLY

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    112/130

    APIPA 2009 112

    SIGNIFICANT ITEMS Selected due to large size

    Tested 100%

    Results similar to PPS selection

    For example, selecting all items >$100,000

    DETERMINING SAMPLE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    113/130

    APIPA 2009 113

    SIZE Sample size =

    Sampling Population BV * Assurance

    (Tolerable Expected FactorMisstatement)

    where Sampling Population BV excludesindividually significant items

    DETERMINING SAMPLE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    114/130

    APIPA 2009 114

    SIZEAssessment

    of RMM

    Desired Level of Confidence Assurance Factors

    Maximum Slightly below

    maximum

    Moderate Low

    Maximum

    3.0 2.7 2.3 2.0Slightly below

    maximum2.7 2.4 2.0 1.6

    Moderate 2.3 2.1 1.6 1.2

    Low 2.0 1.6 1.2 1.0

    DETERMINING SAMPLE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    115/130

    APIPA 2009 115

    SIZE - EXAMPLE Book value = $3,100,000 Individually significant items = $1,500,000 Tolerable misstatement = $150,000

    Expected misstatement = $25,000 Desired confidence level = Maximum Risk of MM = Maximum Sample size = 1,600,000 * 3.0

    (150,000 25,000)= 38.4, round to 39

    SELECTING SAMPLE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    116/130

    APIPA 2009 116

    ITEMS Random selection

    Systematic selection

    Haphazard selection

    CALCULATING SAMPLE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    117/130

    APIPA 2009 117

    RESULTS Sample misstatement MUST be

    projected to population

    Two acceptable methodsApply sample misstatement ratio to

    population (ratio estimation)

    Apply average misstatement $ of each item

    in sample to all items in population(difference estimation)

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    118/130

    APIPA 2009 118

    CLASSICAL SAMPLING Ratio estimation

    Difference estimation

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    119/130

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    120/130

    APIPA 2009 120

    DIFFERENCE ESTIMATION Sample misstatements = $19,000

    # of sample items with misstatements = 5

    Average misstatement per sample item =

    $3,800 # items in population = 256

    Projected misstatement = $3,800 * 256 =$972,800

    Compare projected misstatement to tolerablemisstatement

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    121/130

    APIPA 2009 121

    NO. 7

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    122/130

    APIPA 2009 122

    NO. 7Nons tat ist ical Samp le Results : Errors in accounts > $10,000 33,000 Errors in accounts < $10,000: Total errors $ 4,350 Sample BV $81,500 Error rate 5.34% Applied to population: 2,760,000 (465,000) 2,295,000 * 5.34% 122,553 Total estimated error 155,553 Tolerable misstatement 81,500 Conclusion: Account materially misstated

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    123/130

    APIPA 2009 123

    NO. 7 - PPSPPS Sample Results:

    Accounts receivable recorded

    balance: $2,760,000

    Accounts > $10,000 (tested

    separately) (465,000)

    Accounts receivable population

    PPS $2,295,000

    Tolerable misstatement $ 81,500

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    124/130

    APIPA 2009 124

    NO. 7 - PPSSample and sampling interval:

    Tolerable rate: 81,500 / 2,295,000 = 3.55%,round to 4%

    Expected rate: 0

    5% risk of overreliance (since IR and CR areboth high)

    Sample size: 74Sampling interval: 2,295,000 / 74 = 31,014

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    125/130

    APIPA 2009 125

    NO. 7 - PPSRecorded

    ValueAudited

    ValueDifference Tainting %

    Item 12 5,120 4,820 300 5.85

    Item 19 485 385 100 20.6Item 33 1,250 250 1,000 80

    Item 35 3,975 3,875 100 25.2

    Item 51 1,850 1,825 25 1.4

    Item 59 4,200 3,780 420 10

    Item 74 2,405 0 2,405 100

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    126/130

    APIPA 2009 126

    NO. 7 - PPS# of Overstatement

    Misstatements5% Upper Limit Increment

    0 3.00

    1 4.75 1.75

    2 6.30 1.55

    3 7.76 1.46

    4

    9.16

    1.40

    5 10.52 1.36

    6 11.85 1.33

    7 13.15 1.30

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    127/130

    APIPA 2009 127

    NO. 7 - PPSTainting

    %Sampling

    IntervalProjected

    MisstatementUpper Limit

    FactorUpper

    Misstatement

    Item 74 100 31,014 31,014 1.75 54,275

    Item 33 80 31,014 24,811 1.55 38,457

    Item 35 25.2 31,014 7,816 1.46 11,411

    Item 19 20.6 31,014 6,389 1.40 8,944

    Item 59 10 31,014 3,101 1.36 4,218

    Item 12 5.85 31,014 1,814 1.33 2,413

    Item 51 1.4 31,014 434 1.30 564

    120,282

    IN-CLASS EXERCISE

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    128/130

    APIPA 2009 128

    NO. 7 - PPS Items < Sampling Interval: 120,282

    Items > Sampling Interval: None

    Basic precision: 3.0 * 31,014 = 93,042

    Upper misstatement limit = 213,324

    Conclusion: Account is materially misstated.Upper misstatement limit 213,324 > tolerable

    misstatement 81,500

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    129/130

    APIPA 2009 129

    RESOURCES Audit Sampling: An Introduction, 3rd

    Edition, Guy, Carmichael & Whittington

    Audit Guide: Audit Sampling, New Edition

    as of May 1, 2008, AICPA Auditing & Assurance Services, 6th

    Edition, Messier, Glover, & Prawitt

    Auditing & Assurance Services, 12thEdition, Arens, Elder & Beasley

  • 7/27/2019 Statistical Sampling for Auditors

    130/130

    THE END!