stonebridge real estate development & investments o’connor & associates industrial...
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StoneBridge Real Estate Development & Investments
O’Connor & Associates Industrial Forecast Event
September 23, 2009
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Houston’s Industrial Market Vacancy
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What’s going on?
New industrial development has stopped Only build-to-suits are being built and those
are rare Second generation space is active due to
cheaper rents New building rents are too high for many
tenants Tenants are looking for deals Tenant’s credit ratings are declining
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What does this mean?
The development cycle is over Lenders will continue to work with
good customers to extend the terms of their loans
Banks want to make sure the mortgage is paid every month
Banks do not want to take back properties, what will they do with them?
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What will happen?
Downward pressure on rental rates will continue
Loans are/will be underwater Non-recourse borrowers will start to give
properties back to lenders Banks will foreclose on other borrowers
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Market Opportunities
Lower rents, higher vacancies, lack of credit from lenders = Distressed Properties
Landlords will reduce ask prices to sell their properties, especially if there is a personal guarantee
Too many properties are over-leveraged, just ask the California buyer from a few years ago who was paying 6%-7% cap rates
Too much debt is coming due and bankers will not extend all of the loans. Especially, if the asset’s loan balance is underwater
Note sales and foreclosures are increasing
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Cash is King
Real Estate Funds are springing up in anticipation of the Distressed Property Sales
The FDIC will need to establish another “RTC” to flush all of the problem real estate loans out of the system
Cash buyers will be able to seize the opportunities
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What is StoneBridge to Do?
Acquisitions of distressed real estate Purchase assets from $3.0-$10.0
million range of multi-tenant industrial, office and retail
Goal is to purchase $50.0 million per year
Buy in cash to reduce risk exposure Buy in the greater Houston area