survey of the center for 2q 2012

7/31/2019 Survey of the Center for 2q 2012

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[THECENTERPULSONGPILIPINO2QSURVEY] May30June2,2012

TheCENTERPULSOngPILIPINO Page1

I. PREFERENCESFORSENATORPHILIPPINES(MAJORCITIES/MUNICIPALITIES)

600RESPONDENTS(MOE+3%)

May30June2,2012

2Q001.(PREFERENCEFORSENATOR)Alamnamanninyonamagkakaroonsasusunodnataon(2013)ngtinatawagnamid-termelectionsnakungsaantayoaypipilinanamanng12

SenadorngbansapatinanangmgaKongresista,Gobernador,AlkaldeatmgaKonsehalsa

ibatibangLalawigan,LungsodatmgaBayan.Magpapakitapoakosainyongayonngisang

listahanngmgaaspiranteokandidatosapagka-SENADOR.Kunganghalalanpoayngayon

nagagawin,sinoposamgakandidatongitoanginyongiboboto.Tignanpongmabutiang

listahanatpumilipokayonglabindalawa(12).Isulatnalamangponinyoangnumeroo

bilangnakatapatngpangalanngkandidato. (Iwillnowshowyoualistofaspirantsor

candidatesforthepositionofSenator.Iftheelectionswillbeheldtoday,whoamongthe

candidatesinthelistareyougoingtovotefor.Pleaselookatthelistandchoose12names.

Pleasejustlistthenumberthatcorrespondstothenameofthecandidate.)

*SENATORSRUNNINGFORREELECTION

Rank NAMESOFCANDIDATES Rate(%)

1. Sen.FrancisESCUDERO* 60.3

2. Sen.LorenLEGARDA* 49.5

3. Sec.MarROXAS 44

4-5. FormerVicePres.NoliDECASTRO 41.5

4-5. Sen.AlanPeterCAYETANO* 41.5

6. Sen.GregorioHONASAN* 39

7. FormerRep.CynthiaVILLAR 36

8. Rep.JuanPonceENRILEJR. 33.7

9. Sen.AquilinoKokoPIMENTEL* 31

10-12. FormerSen.RichardGORDON 28

10-12. Sen.AntonioTRILLANESIV* 28

10-12. FormerSec.GilbertTEODORO 28

13-14. FormerSen.MigsZUBIRI 24

13-14. Rep.JVEJERCITO 24

15. BusinessmanJoeyDEVENECIA 23

16. FormerRep.RisaHontiverosBARAQUIEL 21

17-18. Rep.MitosMAGSAYSAY 20

17-18. BudgetSec.FlorencioButchABAD 20

19. FormerSen.JambyMADRIGAL 17

20. JusticeSec.LeilaDELIMA 16

21-23. Rep.JuanEdgardoANGARA 14

21-23. CebuGov.GwenGARCIA 1421-23. CustomsComm.RuffyBIAZON 14

24. DILGSec.JesseROBREDO 13

25. Atty.AdelTAMANO 11

26. FormerRep.TedFAILON 10


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II. SATISFACTIONRATINGOFTOPFOURGOVERNMENTOFFICIALSPHILIPPINES(MAJORCITIES/MUNICIPALITIES)


May30June2,20122Q002. (SATISFACTIONRATINGOFTOP4RPOFFICIALS)Naritopoangakingpangalawangtanong:

SabihinngaponinyosaakinkungkayoayNASISIYAHANoHINDINASISIYAHANsa

pagkakaganapngmgasumusunodnaopisyalesngatingbansasakani-kanilang

katungkulan.(Hereismysecondquestion:Pleasetellmeifyouaresatisfiedornot

satisfiedwiththeperformanceinofficeofthefollowingtopfournationalgovernment

officialsoftheland.)

(NOTE:FORRESULTSPERREGIONANDDEMOGRAPHICSPROFILE,PLEASESEETABLE1ONPAGE8.)

2Q003 Ngayonnamaytatanunginkokayokungnasisiyahanbakayoohindisapagpapalakadatmga

pahayagniPangulongNoynoyAquinokaugnayngmganagbabagangmgabalitaoisyunamay

kinalamansamgasumusunod?AngisasagotlamangninyoaykungkayoayNASISIYAHANo

HINDINASISIYAHAN.(Nowpleasetellmeifyouaresatisfiedornotsatisfiedwiththeway

PresidentBenignoSimeonAquinoIIIishandlingoraddressingthefollowingconcerns.Foryour

response,youonlyhavetwochoicestochoosefromareyouSATISFIEDorNOTSATISFIED.)

NAMES OF OFFICIALS SATISFIED NOTSATISFIED

NET

PresidentBENIGNOSIMEONAQUINOIII 69% 23% +46%

VicePresidentJEJOMARBINAY 76 11 +65

SenatePresidentJUANPONCEENRILE 64 12 +52

HouseSpeakerSONNYBELMONTE 45 22 +23

SATISFIED NOTSATISFIED NET

1.ScarboroughShoalorKalayaanIslands 47% 53% -06%

2.PowerCrisisManagementinMindanao 48% 52% -04%

3.ManagementofthePhilippineEconomy 49% 51% -02%

4.PovertyandUnemployment 48% 52% -04%

5.Anti-CorruptionDrive 61% 39% +22%

6.NationalSecurity,Defense,andPeaceandOrder 47% 53% -06%


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III. POLLAUTOMATION

PHILIPPINES(MAJORCITIES/MUNICIPALITIES)


May30June2,2012

2Q003

2Q004(BASE:AMONGTHOSEAWARE)

2Q005

2Q003.Sadaratingnaeleksyonsaisangtaon,mgamakinaocomputersangmulingmagsasagawang

pag-prosesoatpagbilangsainyongmgaboto.ItoangtinatawagngComelecnaPOLL

AUTOMATION.Pamilyarpobakayosabagaynaito? (Inthecomingelectionnextyear,yourvotes

willbeprocessedthroughcomputers.ThisiswhattheComeleccallsPollAutomation.Areyou

familiarwiththismatter?)

2Q004.(IFHAVEHEARDABOUTIT)Maysapatpobakayongkaalamankunganopoanginyonggagawinsa

pagbotonagamitangmgacomputers? (Doyouhaveenoughknowledgeonhowtovoteusing

computers?)

2Q005.Meronpobakayongtiwalaonaninwalapobakayonasapamamagitanngpaggamitngmakinaay

magigingmaayosatmalinisangdaratingnahalalansaisangtaon? (Doyoutrustthatevenif

votingthroughtheuseofcomputershavenotbeentried,ourelectionswillbecleanandorderly?)

A. AWARENESSOFPOLLAUTOMATION

1. Haveyouheardorreadaboutitonradio,

televisionandinthenewspapers

89%

2. Havenotheardaboutit. 11%

NETVOTERSAWARENESS +78%

B. KNOWLEDGEOFHOWTOVOTEINPOLL

AUTOMATION

1. Sufficientknowledge 72%

2. Littleknowledge 17%

3. Noknowledgeatall 11%

C. TRUSTINDEXOFPOLLAUTOMATION

1. Itrustpollautomation 33%

2. Idonttrustautomatedpolls 52%

3. Dontknow 15%

NETTRUSTINDEX -19%


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IV. LATESTPUBLICOPINIONABOUTPRESIDENTGLORIAARROYO



May30June2,2012

2Q006

2Q007

2Q008

2Q006.SiguronamayalamnaninyonaipinagsakdalangdatingPanguloatngayoyCongresswoman

GloriaMacapagalArroyokaugnayngdayaannanaganapnoong2007senatorialelectionsatsa

paratangnamayanomalysahindinatuloynaproyektokaugnayngtinatawagnaZTEBroadband

project.Paborpobakayasapasiyangkasalukuyangpamahalaannaipagharapngsakdalang

datingPangulonangayoykinatawanngPampanga? (YoumustbefamiliarwiththecasesfiledbythegovernmentagainstformerPresidentandnowCongresswomanGloriaMacapagalArroyo

relativetotheallegedpollfraudinthe2077senatorialelectionsandwiththescuttledZTE

BroadbandProject.AreyouinfavorofthedecisiontofilecasesagainsttheformerPresident?)

2Q007 AlamdinninyonanakakulongsiMrs.ArroyosaPhilippineVeteransHospital.Paborpobakayosa

pasiyangPasayCityRegionalTrialCourtnaidetinesidatingPanguloatngayoyCongresswoman

GloriaMacapagalArroyosanasabingpasilidadhabangangkanyangkasoaydinidinigngKorte?O

pumapaborbakayosapetisyonngkanyangmgaabogadonailagaynalamangsiyasailalimng

tinatawagnaHouseArrest? (AreyouinfavorofthecontinueddetentionofformerPresident

andCongresswomanGloriaMacapagalArroyoatthePhilippineVeteransHospitalorareyouin

favorofHouseArrest?)

2Q008 MaynapapabalitangnagbabalakangmgaabogadoniDatingPanguloatKinatawanGloria

MacapagalArroyonamaghainngpetisyonnapayagangmakapagpiyansaangDatingPangulo

upanghigitnitongmapangalagaanangkanyangkalusuganatmagampanandinangkanyang

tungkulinbilangKinatawanngLalawiganngPampanga.Paborpobakayonamakapagpiyansaang

DatingPangulo?(ThereareplansbythelawyersoftheFormerPresidenttofileapetitionforbail

sothatshecouldseekpropermedicalhelpandalsotofulfillherdutiesasRepresentativeofthe

ProvinceofPampanga.Ifsuchapetitionisfiled,areyouinfavorofthisplanoftheFormer

PresidentandRepresentativeGloriaMacapagalArroyotopostbailforhertemporaryliberty

givenherpresenthealthcondition?)

A. CASESFILEDAGAINSTFORMERPRESIDENTANDNOW

REP.GLORIAMACAPAGALARROYO.

1.Agree 57%

2. Disagree 43%

Net(AgreelessDisagree) +14%

B.CONTINUEDDETENTIONOFPGMAATTHE

VETERANSMEMORIALHOSPITALVS.HOUSEARREST.

1.ContinuedDetention 41%

2.HouseArrest 59%

Net(ContinuedDetentionlessHouseArrest) -18%

C.REACTIONTOPLANSBYTHELAWYERSOFTHEFORMER

PRESIDENTTOFILEPETITIONTOPOSTBAIL.

1.InFavor 61%

2.NotinFavor 39%

Net(ThoseinFavorlessNotinFavor) +22%


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V. IMPEACHMENTTRIAL

OFSUPREMECOURTCHIEFJUSTICERENATOCORONA



May30June2,2012

2Q009. MaykaalamanokamalayanpobakayasaginanapnaimpeachmentTrialngSenadolabansa

PunongMahistradongKorteSupremaRenatoCoronanainakusahanngpaglabagsabatas

kaugnaynghindinitopagsusumitengSALNorStatementofAssetsandLiabilitiespating

kasongill-gottenwealthsadahilangmaymgadepositodawitonahindiidineklarasakanyang

SALN?(DoyouhaveanyknowledgeorareyouawareoftheImpeachmentTrialconductedby

theSenateagainstSupremeCourtChiefJusticeRenatoCoronawhowasaccusedofviolating

thelawonthesubmissionoftheStatementofAssetsandLiabilitiesorSALNthatisrequiredof

allgovernmentofficials,includingill-gottenwealthashewasallegedtobemaintaining

depositswhichwasnotincludedintheSALN??

2Q010. (BASEAMONGTHOSEAWARE.)

Sapaanongparaankayonagkaroonngkaalamanokamalayantungkolsaisinasagawang

ImpeachmentTriallabankaySupremeCourtChiefJusticeRenatoCorona?Itobaaynarining

ninyosaRadyo,napanoodsaTVornabasasapahayagan? (Howdidyoucometoknowabout

theImpeachmentTrialagainstSupremeCourtChiefJusticeRenatoCorona?Wasittrough

Radio,TVorNewspapers-TabloidandBroadsheet?)

A. MEASUREOFKNOWLEDGEORAWARENESSOFTHEONGOINGIMPEACHMENTTRIALAGAINST

SUPREMECOURTCHIEFJUSTICERENATOCORONA.

1.Aware 87%

3. Notaware 13%

B.MEDIUMTHROUGHWHICHINFORMATIONANDOR

AWARENESSWASACQUIRED.

1.TelevisionCoverage 39%

2.Radioreports 34%

3.Newspapers 27%


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VI. CONDUCTOFTHEIMEACHMENTTRIAL



May30June2,2012

2Q011. PalagayninyopatasbaangikinilosngSenatosaginawangImpeachmentTriallabankayChief

JusticeCorona?(DoyouthinktheSenatewasfairinitshandlingoftheImpeachmentTrial

againstChiefJusticeCorona?)

2Q012. PatasbaangpaghawakopagmamanehoniSenatePresidentJuanPonceEnrileng

ImpeachmentTrialomaypinapanigansiya? (DoyouthinkSenatePresidentJuanPonceEnrile

wasfairandimpartialinthewayhepresidedintheImpeachmentTrialorwashebiasforeither

theprosecutionorthedefense?)

2Q013. Satinginninyo,tamabaohindiangiginawadnapasiyangSenadokaugnayngsinasabingpaglabagniChiefJusticeRenatoCoronasaalituntuningnakasaadsaSaligangBatastungkolsa

hindipagsasapublikongtamangdatossakanyangSALN? (Doyoubelievethatthedecisionof

theSenatesittingasanImpeachmentCourtwasrightornotwhenitconvictedChiefJustice

RenatoCoronaofculpableviolationoftheprovisionsofthePhilippineConstitutionthat

requiredfulldisclosureofassetsandliabilitiesintheSALN?

WASTHESENATEFAIRINITSHANDLINGOFTHE

IMPEACHMENTTRIAL?

1.Fair 59%

2.Notfair 24%

3.Notsure 17%

IMPARTIALITYOFSENATEPRES.JUANPONCEENRILE

1.Impartial 88%

2.Notimpartial 9%

3.Notsure 3%

WASTHESENATERIGHTINFINDINGCJRENATO

CORONAGUILTYOFVIOLATINGTHECONSTITUTION?

1.Yes,itwastherightdecision 61%

2.No,itwasnot 22%

3.Dontknow 17%


7/11



APPENDIXA

TABLE1:SATISFACTIONRATINGOFTOPFIVEGOVERNMENTOFFICIALS

(NOTE:FIGURESSHOWNAREALREADYTHENETSATISFACTIONRATINGSOFTHETOPFOUR

GOVERNMENTOFFICIALS.FIGURESFORDISSATISFIEDISAVAILABLEUPONREQUEST.)

PERFORMANCERATING

OFTOPFIVEGOVERNMENTOFFICIALS

RP

NCR

BALANCELUZON VISAYAS MINDANAO

PresidentBENIGNOSIMEONAQUINOIII 46% 54 46 40 43

VicePresidentJEJOMARBINAY 65 71 66 59 65

SenatePresidentJUANPONCEENRILE 52 51 61 44 52

SpeakerSONNYBELMONTE 23 27 26 19 21

DEMOGRAPHICPROFILEOFRESULTS

BASE:TOPTWO

ABC D E

PRES.BENIGNOSIMEONAQUINOIII 54 51 42

VICEPRES.JEJOMARBINAY 49 56 59


8/11



SUMMARY OF THE CENTER SURVEY FOR 2Q 2012:Date of Survey May 30 June 2, 2012Number of Respondents 600 Respondents

Areas Covered Nationwide but limited to Major Cities and Towns

Demographics AB, C, DE (Voting Age/ Registered Voters)Margin of Error + 3%

1. ISSUES AT THE TIME THE SURVEY WAS CONDUCTED

At the time the survey was conducted from May 30 to June 2, 2012, the followingissues were the topics among Radio Commentaries and were carried as bannerstories in major newspapers.

a) CONVICTION OF CHIEF JUSTICE RENATO CORONA.b) SECURITY CONCERNS REGARDING THE CONFLICT BETWEEN CHINA

AND THE PHILIPPINES OVER THE SO-CALLED SCARBOROUGH SHAOLOR KALAYAAN ISLANDS.c) POSITIONING OF CANDIDATES FOR THE 2013 SENATORIAL

ELECTIONS.d) PHILIPPINE ECONOMY SURGES TO 6.4% IN FIRST QUARTER.e) PETITION FOR BAIL MULLED BY LAWYERS OF FORMER PRES. AND

NOW REP. GLORIA MACAPAGAL ARROYO.f) WITNESS AGAINST PGMA MISSING.g) PNOY OPEN TO APPOINTING OUTSIDER TO THE SUPREME COURT.h) JUSTICE SEC. LEILA DE LIMA MENTIONED AS CANDIDATE FOR CHIEF

JUSTICE.

i) CORONA OPTS NOT TO APPEAL GUILTY VERDICT BEFORE THESUPREME COURT.j) TYPHOON AMBO LASHES SOUTHERN PARTS OF PH.

2. BRIEF OF SURVEY RESULTS

2.1 2013 MID-TERM NATIONAL ELECTIONS

If the 2013 senatorial polls are to be held today, Senators Francis ChizEscudero and Loren Legarda are likely to romp away with top honors with60.3% and 49.5%, respectively.Rounding up the top 12 or those who would likely be in the winners circleare the following:

Transportation Sec. Mar Roxas (44%), Former VP Noli DeCastro (41.5%),Sen. Alan Peter Cayetano (41.5%), Sen. Gregorio Honasan (39%),Former Rep. Cynthia Villar (36%), Rep. Juan Jack Ponce Enrile Jr.(33.7%), Sen. Aquilino Koko Pimentel (31%), Former Sen. RichardGordon (28%), Sen. Antonio Trillanes III (28%) and, Former Defense Sec.Gilbert Gibo Teodoro (28%).Others who have a chance to make it to the top 12 are:


9/11



Former Sen. Migz Zubiri (24%), Rep. JV Ejercito (24%), BusinessmanJoey De Venecia (23%), Former Rep. Risa Hontiveros Baraquiel (21%),Rep. Mitos Magsaysay (20%), Budget Sec. Florencio Butch Abad (20%).

Former Sen. Jamby Madrigal (17%) and Justice Sec. Leilla De Lima(16%), Rep. Sonny Angara (14%), Cebu Gov. Gwen Garcia (14%) and,Customs Commissioner Ruffy Biazon (14%).If only to prove that politics has indeed become a national past timeamong Filipinos, there seems to be a growing trend among the countrysregistered voters with respect to their senatorial choices even if there arestill 11 months to go before the scheduled senatorial elections in May2013.

2.2 SATISFACTION RATING OF TOP 4 PH OFFICIALS

Vice President Jejomar Jojo Binay continues to lead the other top officials

of the country insofar as satisfaction ratings are concerned which showsthe level of appreciation that the respondents have in relation to theperformance of their duties and responsibilities related to their positions.Vice President Binay had the highest satisfaction rating of +65%. SenatePresident Juan Ponce Enrile had the second highest satisfaction rating of+52%. The satisfaction rating of President Benigno Simeon Aquino III is at+46% and House of Representatives Speaker Feliciano Sonny Belmontehad a satisfaction rating of +23% which is considered as the highestpositive rating that an House Speaker had in recent years.Vice President Binay was highly rated in the NCR (71%), Luzon (66%),Visayas (59%) and, Mindanao (65%) and as expected made his presencefelt among the survey respondents in the D and E classes with 56% and59%, respectively.The high poverty index, the ongoing conflict with China over the KalayaanIslands, the Power Crisis Management in Mindanao, the Management ofthe Philippine Economy and, the high crime rate now being experiencedhas pulled down the satisfaction rating of President Aquino in these areasof concern. However, the Anti-Corruption campaign of President Aquinoseems to be holding as far as mindsets are concerned especially now thatit may have received a shot in the arm with the recent conviction of ChiefJustice Renato Corona who was found guilty by the Senate ImpeachmentCourt of culpable violation of the Constitution when he did not disclosecertain assets in his SALN.Thus, the senatorial elections of 2013 will not just be an interesting eventto watch but how the contending parties (LP and UNA) will fare willdefinitely have a bearing in the 2016 presidential elections.


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2.3 POLL AUTOMATION

With a high 52% of the survey respondents saying they dont trustautomated polls, it would perhaps be timely for the Commission onElections to review the Terms of References of its contract withSmartmatic if only to satisfy the call of the voting public for a transparentand error-free conduct of the next national elections. Even the initialobjective of a quick tally and release of results have been achieved whenautomated election system was first adopted in the 2010 presidential polls,there remains a need to review the parameters in connection theretoespecially with claims that certain safeguards in the AES have beendisabled on the day of the election itself in 2010.

2.4 ISSUES RELATED TO FORMER PRESIDENT AND

PAMPANGA REP. GLORIA MACAPAGAL ARROYO

While 56% of those surveyed said they agree with the decision of theAquino Government to formally charge Former President and Rep. GloriaMacapagal Arroyo for electoral fraud and violation of the anti-graft law inconnection with the botched ZTE broadband deal as against the 43% whosaid they do not agree with this decision for a net of +14%, there seems tobe a growing number of Filipinos who prefer that Mrs. Arroyo be releasedfrom continued detention at the Philippine Veterans Hospital (41%) andplaced under house arrest instead (59%). At the same time, when thesame respondents who favored house arrest were asked if they will agreewith the plan of Mrs. Arroyos lawyers to file a petition to post bail, 61%said they favor that Mrs. Arroyo be allowed to post bail while only 39%said they do not favor bail for Mrs. Arroyo for a net of +22%.

2.5 IMPEACHMENT TRIAL OF CHIEF JUSTICE RENATO

CORONA

The Impeachment Trial of Supreme Court Chief Justice Renato Coronamay have become the crowning glory of Senate President Juan PonceEnrile who was hailed by almost all sectors of society not only for his defthandling of the impeachment proceedings but for the impartial demeanorthat he displayed throughout the duration of the trial. In fact, there hadbeen a growing consensus evening the legal practitioners that theimpeachment trial would result in an acquittal for Chief Justice Corona as

the Prosecution Team time and again have been caught napping in theway their case was being presented. However, the tide actually changedwhen the Defense Team decided to call on Ombudsman Conchita CarpioMorales to the stand as a hostile witness. The ploy was simply to elicittestimony that there was no basis for the investigation of the US dollaraccounts being conducted by the Ombudsman. What was unknown to theDefense Panel was that the Ombudsman was in possession of the AMLC


11/11



report on the US dollar transactions of Chief Justice Corona and thisbecame the nail in the coffin for the Chief Justice who was forced to admitto the existence of at least four US dollar accounts with a balance of $2.4-

Million and some P80-Million in Philippine currency deposit.This seeming change in the fortunes of the Prosecution and the Defensewas so noticeable that even Defense Counsel Serafin Cuevas appearedto be unsure of his responses when Senate President Enrile said thatthere was no legal provision that would stop the Chief Justice from notdeclaring his dollar and peso deposits in his SALN if he wanted to.The survey showed 59% of the respondents saying they believed theSenate sitting as an Impeachment Trial Court was fair and only 24% saidthe Senate was not fair. There was an overwhelming bias in favor ofSenate President Enrile whom 88% of the respondents said was impartialin his handling and supervision of the impeachment trial as Presiding

Senator Judge while only nine per cent said he was not. As a whole, 61%said the conviction of Chief Justice Corona was the right decision and22% said it was not leaving some 17% saying they were not sure whichcould have gone either way had they clearly understood what theimpeachment trial was all about.

SURVEY MECHANICSThis latest non-commissioned survey of The Issues and Advocacy Center is the first

publicly available survey of The Center as data research sampling activities of the

organization during the past year were dedicated which means they were culled forspecific audiences.

This survey was conducted from May 30, 2012 June 2, 2012 using face-to-face

interviews with some 600 respondents divided equally among registered voters in MetroManila, Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao. The survey carried a margin of error of+ 3%

Respondents representing all four social classes (ABC, D, E) were polled at random

with ages ranging from between 18 to 65 years of age.

survey of the center for 2q 2012

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