system of indicators for monitoring of mdg’s achievement in uzbekistan

System of indicators for monitoring of MDG’s achievement in Uzbekistan

Ulugbek OlimovMDG Statistics ProjectUNDP Uzbekistan

Presentation at theExpert Group Meeting on MDG Indicators in Central Asia Astana, Kazakhstan, 5–8 October 2009

Outline of presentation

1. Millennium goals: national context

2. Statistical data availability: selected issues

3. MDG indicators matrix for Uzbekistan

MDGS: NATIONAL CONTEXT The Government of Uzbekistan, in collaboration with donor organizations (incl. ADB,

UNDP, WB) and civil society, has embarked on the process of formulating its own national MDG targets and indicators.

“Linking Macroeconomic Policy to Poverty Reduction” (2003), “Living Standards Strategy” (2004), and the Welfare Improvement Strategy document (2007) contributed to the definition of the national goals, objectives and indicators.

The National MDG Report (2006), prepared jointly with the Government and the UN’s Resident Office in Uzbekistan, reflects the principal MDG goals and targets adapted to local conditions and the country’s requirements.

“System of Indicators for M&E of MDGs Achievement in Uzbekistan” (2007), developed within the UNDP-funded MDG Statistics Project, report attempts to evaluate the quality and availability of statistical data that can be to develop quantitative indicators of global and national MDGs and to identify problems and shortcomings in the process of data collection.

MDGs:

National goals and targets

Goals Targets1. Improve living standards and reduce malnutrition

1. Tohalve poverty by the year 2015

2. Improve the quality of primary and general secondary education while maintaining universal access

2. To improve the quality of primary and general secondary education while maintaining universal access by 2015

3. Promote gender equality and empower women

3. To achieve gender equality in primary, general secondary and vocational education by 2015 4. To improve the gender balance in higher education by 2015

4. Reduce child mortality 5. To reduction of the under-five mortality rate by two thirds by 2015

5. Improve maternal health 6. To reduce the maternal mortality rate by one third by 2015

6. Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria

7: To halt and begin to reverse, the spread of HIV/AIDS by 20158: To halt and begin to reverse, the incidence of tuberculosis and malaria by 2015

7. Ensure environmental sustainability

9: To integrate the principles of sustainable development into country policies and programs and reverse the loss of environmental resources by 2015 10: To increase the share of urban and rural Population with access to an iImproved water source and sanitation by 2015

8. and global partnership for development This goal assumes that will receive official development assistance from developed countries to help it achieve the MDGs

REPORT ON “SYSTEM OF INDICATORS FOR M&E OF MDGS ACHIEVEMENT IN UZBEKISTAN”

Research objectives:

overall analysis aimed at identification of existing

problems (gaps); incompatibilities and shortcomings in the process of

collection of data related to MDGs/WIS; analysis of data sources in order to identify and

rectify duplication or lack of indicators while

considering their compliance with international

standards; conclusions & recommendations

Involved partners: Ministry of Economy State Committee on Statistics Ministry of Public Education Ministry of Healthcare Ministry of Labour and Social Protection of the

Population State Committee for Nature Protection

DATA AVAILABILITY: SELECTED ISSUES (1) The calories based poverty threshold (2,100 kcal) is calculated based on HBS data.

Use of HBS data in this regard does not reflect directly the actual nutritional status of the population and cannot contain accurate data on the calorific value of food based on the underestimated indicators of consumption. This poverty indicator also does not allow adequate evaluation of extent and acuteness of poverty.

There is an urgent need to develop new methodologies to design a system of indicators aimed at the indicator based assessment of quality of education (measuring the quality of education) and its accessibility at any educational levels.

The existing informational database does not provide for detailed and complex gender analysis in many areas of social and economic life (low income level; time management; access to financial/material resources; salaries/wages; access/use of ICT; labor migration; etc.)

Analysis of the monitoring and reporting system concerning child mortality has identified the following issues: a) weaknesses in statistical accounting, reporting and registration forms; b) non-compliance of specific national indicators with the WHO criteria that leads to distortion of statistical data.

DATA AVAILABILITY: SELECTED ISSUES (2) Taking into consideration the high rate of extra-genital pathology and widespread of

anemia in Uzbekistan a number of additional indicators are needed to be introduced for improving the monitoring of maternal mortality.

Despite ongoing initiatives, still there is a weak monitoring and reporting system of the programs countering HIV/ AIDS epidemics, in such areas, as data collection, information quality, statistical analysis and the application of statistics in developing policy measures.

There is an informational system for data collection that allows monitoring and assessment of the prevalence of malaria in absolute indicators. At the same time, it is desirable to add a number of indicators being used in international practice in order to assess the level of accessibility of the anti-mosquito interventions.

The existing informational and reporting system does not fully provide the quantitative data required for comprehensive monitoring environmental situation in the country. In recent years the decline in reports on protection of the environment and natural resources resulted in deterioration of the quality and reliability of information contained in the reports submitted by the enterprises.

EXAMPLE 1: MDG 1 MONITORING APPROACH

EXAMPLE 2: MDG 2 MONITORING APPROACH

MDG MATRIX OF INDICATORS FOR UZBEKISTAN

1. Algorithm for selection and development of an indicator

2. Matrix of indicators:• Living standards & nutrition indicators• Education indicators• Gender equality indicators• Healthcare indicators• Indicators of monitoring environmental situation

Algorithm for selection and development of an indicator

Indicator “Х”

Is the indicator approved for use in

the international MDG monitoring?

Is the indicator related to local informational

needs?

Yes No

Include indicator into the list

Is there information on current indicator?

Yes

No

Exclude indicator

Elaboration of metadata and other

methodological remarks

Yes

Methodology development or

proposal of a set of questions that might be integrated into present

study and be used during development of

indicator

No

Data collection and calculation of indicator

Development of schemes, tables, charts and diagrams

MD

G IN

DIC

AT

OR

S M

AT

RIX

FO

R U

ZB

EK

ISTA

N

MDG 1:

Improve living standards and malnutrition

Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage / Frequency

Desegregation

Data Sources

1: Share of people living on less than… soum per month (as per expenses from the households budget), in %

SCSME

2001-2006 annually

region, gender, age

HBS

2: Poverty gap ratio, in %SCSME

2001-2006 annually

region, gender, age

HBS

3: Share of the poorest quintile in national income or consumption, in %

SCSME

2001-2006 annually

region, gender, age

HBS

4: Prevalence of underweight/stunting among children under five

MHSCS

1995-2006annually

--MH

Institutions, UNICEF

5а: Number of children under five with iodine deficiency

MHSCS

1995-2006 annually

--MH

Institutions, UNICEF

5b: Number of children under five with apparent vitamin deficiency

MHSCS

1995-2006 annually

--

MH Institutions, UNICEF

5c: Number of children under five with iron deficiency

MHSCS

1995-2006annually

--

MH Institutions, UNICEF

MD

G IN

DIC

AT

OR

S M

AT

RIX

FO

R U

ZB

EK

ISTA

N

MDG 2:

Achievement of the universal quality education

Indicators Agency in ChargeCoverage /

Frequency

Desegrega

tion

Data

Sources

6: Net enrollment in primary and secondary education, in %

SCS1997-2006

annually

region, gender,

age

Compiled Statistics

7: Ratio of schoolchildren reaching the next educational stage, in %

SCS1997-2006

annually

region, gender,

age

Compiled

Statistics

7а: Ratio of educational progress based on the results of graduation exams in schools, in %

MPE2001-2006

annuallyregion

Sectoral Statistics

7b: School graduates enrolled into higher educational institutions, in %

SCS1997-2006

annually

region, gender

Compiled

Statistics

8: Literacy rate of 15-24 years old

SCS1997-2006

annually

region, gender,

age

Compiled

Statistics

MD

G IN

DIC

AT

OR

S M

AT

RIX

FO

R U

ZB

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ISTA

N

MDG 3:

Promotion of gender equality and empowering women


Frequency

Desegrega

tion

Data

Sources

9: Proportion of females and males in primary, secondary and higher education, in %

SCS1998-2006

annuallyregion

Compiled Statistics

10: Proportion of “literate females/ males” among 15-24 years old, in %

SCS1998-2006

annually

region Compiled

Statistics

11: Share of women engaged in paid, non-agriculture sectors, in %

MLSS2000-2006

annually

region Compiled Statistics

12: Share of seats held by women in the National Parliament, in %

SCS

WC

1998-2006

annually


MD

G IN

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AT

OR

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AT

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FO

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ISTA

N

MDG 4:

Reduction of child mortality


Frequency

Desegrega

tion

Data

Sources

13: “Under- five mortality rate (UNICEF)”, per one thousand children

SCS

MH1996-2006

region, gender, age

1996, 2002 surveys, HDR,

Civil Registry Office

13а: “Under- five mortality rate (WHO)», per one thousand children

SCS

MH

Starting from 2008

region, gender, age

14: “Infant mortality rate (UNICEF)”, per one thousand babies

SCS

MH1996-2006

region, gender, age

1996, 2002 surveys,

HDR,

Civil Registry Office

14а: “Infant mortality rate (WHO)”, per one thousand babies

SCS

MH

Starting from 2008

region, gender, age

15: “Proportion of 1-year-old children immunized against measles”, in %

SCS

MH1996-2006 region

Institutions of the MOH

15а: “Share of children on exclusive breast feeding until the age of six months”, in %

SCS

MH1996-2006 region

Compiled Statistics

MD

G IN

DIC

AT

OR

S M

AT

RIX

FO

R U

ZB

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ISTA

N

MDG 5:

Improvement of maternal health


Frequency

Desegrega

tion

Data

Sources

16: “Maternal mortality rate (WHO)”, per one thousand of women

SCS

MH1996-2006

age , region, district

Primary healthcare institutions

16а: “Proportion of women of fertile age suffering from anemia and extra-genital diseases”, in %

SCS

MH1996-2006



Civilian Registry Office

16b: “Proportion of women under medical supervision during first three months of pregnancy”,

in %

SCS

MH1996-2006



16c: “Number of abortions per 1000 women”, in units

SCS

MH1996-2006



17: “Proportion of births attended by skilled health personnel”, in %

SCS

MH1996-2006



MD

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N

MDG 6:

Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria

Have halted and begun to reverse the spread of HIV/AIDS


Frequency

Desegrega

tion

Data

Sources

18: “HIV prevalence among 15 to 24 years old pregnant women”, in %

MH

1999-2006

monthly and quarterly

age, region, district


18а: “Share of HIV-infected children over 18 months of age, born from HIV-infected mothers”, in %

MH1999-2006

annually



18b: “HIV prevalence rate among the vulnerable groups of the population”, in %

MH

NGO

1999-2006

annually



19: “Awareness of young people in the age of 15-24 about HIV/AIDS related issues”, in %

MH

NGO-- -- --

20а: “Share of drug users having access to the harm reduction programs (exchange of syringes, distribution of condoms, etc.)”, in %

MH

NGO

1999-2006

annually



20b: “Distribution of prevention means (condoms, disposable syringes)”, in units

MH

NGO

1999-2006

annually



MD

G IN

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AT

OR

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AT

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N

MDG 6:

Combat HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria

Combating malaria and tuberculosis

IndicatorsAgency in

Charge

Coverage /

Frequency Desegregation Data Sources

21: “Number of malaria cases”, in cases

MH1999-2006

annuallyage, region,

district


Compiled Statistics

22: “Prevalence and death rates associated with Tuberculosis (WHO)”, per one thousand

MH

SCS

MI

1999-2006

annually

gender,region, districts (tuberculosis prophylactic

centers)

Medical institutions (tuberculosis dispensaries)

Penitentiary institutions

Compiled Statistics

23: “Proportion of tuberculosis cases detected and treated under directly observed treatment short course”, in %

MH

(DOTS Program)

2001-2006

annually

by gender gender,

region, districts (tuberculosis prophylactic

centers)

Medical institutions (tuberculosis dispensaries)

Penitentiary institutions

Compiled Statistics

MD

G IN

DIC

AT

OR

S M

AT

RIX

FO

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N

MDG 7:

Integration of sustainable development principles into the country’s policy and program


Frequency Desegregation

Data

Sources

24: “Irrigated lands salinity ratio”, in %SCLGC

MAWR, SCS

Every fifth year


25: “Quality of irrigated arable land”, yield class

SCLGCEvery fifth

yearregion

Sectoral reports

26: “Share of agricultural lands exposed to wind and water erosion”, in % and thousand hectares

SCLGCEvery fifth

yearregion

Sectoral reports

27: “Protected wildlife territories”, in % and thousand hectares

SCLGC, SCNP,

SDF, SCGAnnually region

Sectoral reports

28: “ Energy use (kg oil equivalent) per $1 gross domestic product “

ME, SCS, SCNP Annually regionSectoral reports

29: “ Usage of ozone-depleting substances in tons in ozone-depleting capacity”, in tons

SCNP Annually regionSectoral reports

30: “ Per capita Carbon dioxide emissions”, in tons

UzHM Annually region

National programs on greenhouse

gases

31: “Total emissions of acidifying SО2

and NОх pollutants by stationary and

mobile emitters”, in thousand tons

SCNP

SCSAnnually region

Compiled Statistics

32: “Share of population using solid fuel”, in %

SCS Annually by regionWorld Bank

survey

CONCLUDING REMARKS Improvement of the information exchange system among statistical agencies (ensure the

harmonization and coordination of activities of statistical bodies at all stages of data collection and distribution in order to achieve consistency and authenticity of statistical information acquired from different sources)

Establishment of the monitoring on school education (ensure maximum reliable information and unbiased outcomes, continuity and regularity of monitoring, as well as a regular renewal of themes and toolkits)

Measures on enhancing access to data in the field of gender equality (develop a methodology of selective surveys and a special program to carry out such surveys by state institutions dealing with gender issues and to involve the stake-holding public organizations and consultants from the international organizations)

Database on child health (a single statistical database on child health should be created by SCS with desegregation by major patterns through unification of data from institutions regardless of their ownership forms and institutional subordination)

Use of additional indicators for monitoring the prevalence of diseases (HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases)

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

system of indicators for monitoring of mdg’s achievement in uzbekistan

Documents

national mdgs

system of indicators

national goals

national mdg report

national mdg targets

lack of indicators

mdgs report

principal mdg goals