team stern iag
TRANSCRIPT
Team Stern IAG Kapish Haldia Ador Michael Cristofi Joshua Cao Thomas Li October 26, 2013
I. McDermott International
II. Recent Performance
III. Investment Thesis
A. Strategic Transformation
B. Strong Buyout Potential
C. Liquidation Value
IV. Understanding the Opportunity
V. Valuation & Risks
Agenda
2
Executive Summary
• Leading engineering & construction company
• Transitioning to deep-water and subsea segments
• New management with potential for buyout
• Trades significantly below replacement value of assets
Pure-play offshore EPCI turnaround story Competitive advantage in attractive industry
Favorable risk-reward; strong downside protection Many near term catalysts to realize value
3
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research, Industry Journals
Bull: +63%
Base: +29%
Bear: -16% $5.00
$8.00
$11.00
$14.00
Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15
MDR Bull Base Bear
• Ultra-deep offshore spend expected to grow at ~40%
CAGR through 2018
• Comprehensive EPCI solutions provide economic moat
• Global footprint and existing relations provide advantage
in biddings
Catalyst Calendar
Q3 Earnings Release 4-Nov-13
New CEO Takes Over Dec-13
Chevron Gendalo Bid FYE2013
Project Ichthys Completion 2014
60%+ Backlog Realization 2014
I. McDermott International
4
Section Slide 4
I. McDermott International
• E&C companies design, engineer, construct, and install rigs and support systems
• Contract large, holistic projects for national and major clients
Upstream Support – Rig Construction Upstream – Drilling and Exploration
Midstream – Transport Downstream – Oil Refining
• Midstream players (e.g. Frontline) lease or sell ships, rail, barges, and trucks to transport oil
• Includes pipeline transportation, logistics and technology
5
• Refining companies (e.g. Shell) process crude oil to gasoline, kerosene and other products
• Bring many of the products directly to market
• Drilling and production companies purchase rigs and support systems
• Include large national players and oil majors (Shell, Exxon, BP)
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research, Industry Journals
$110bn $320bn
$30bn $731bn
National Oil Companies
I. McDermott International
• Oil rig construction & services firm with $1.7bn mkt cap
• Share price: $7.41 | 52 wk range: $6.68 – $13.48
• $5.1bn backlog provides revenue visibility
– Bids & change orders outstanding: $8.1bn
– Identified target projects: $9.7bn
• $3.2bn total asset base
• Net Cash: $401mm
– $2.22/share in cash
• $950mm borrowing capacity
• ~7-11% offshore market share (since 2010)
Key Facts Global business with multi-local footprint
Diversified & well balanced customer base
6
International Majors
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research. Market data as of October 21, 2013.
I. McDermott International
• Shift to ultra-deep water projects
• Growth in Brazil, North Sea and West Africa
• Scale will matter more as projects get bigger
– Consolidation in industry to achieve scale
E&C growing in size & scale in offshore space MDR well positioned to capitalize on industry growth
• 2015: 6 out of 14 vessels are ultra-deep
• Presence largely in U.S. GOM, Mid East & Pacific
• Achieving scale and global footprint through JVs
– FloaTEC: JV with Keppel includes Brazil
Offshore drilling growing rapidly in key MDR regions Ultra-deep segment fastest growing in offshore
7
in M illions USD 2012 2016E CAGR 09-12 CAGR 12-15
Total Offshore $78,301 $160,622 11% 20%
Shallow-water $22,322 $30,635 6% 6%
Deep-Water $23,329 $29,759 8% 4%
Ultra-Deep $15,662 $56,807 23% 39%
Total Onshore $155,596 $201,024 26% 6%
in M illions USD Country 2012 2017E CAGR '17
Angola $8,887 $16,269 13%Nigeria $3,501 $10,344 24%
Azerbaijan $3,926 $7,791 15%UAE $2,117 $1,448 -7%
Brazil Brazil $17,888 $30,522 11%Norway $4,295 $15,649 30%
UK $1,874 $6,319 28%US $7,163 $21,178 24%
Canada $114 $3,377 97%
West Africa
Middle East
North Sea
North America
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research, industry journals,, KBSM.
II. Recent Performance
8
Section Slide 8
II. Recent Performance While the E&C industry has seen explosive growth since 2008, MDR’s performance has lagged
9
Source: CapitalIQ. Market data as of October 21, 2013. Peer Index includes Technip, Subsea 7, and Saipem.
MDR (41%)
Peers: 254%
S&P: 99%
50%
150%
250%
350%
450%
Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13
MDR Peer Index S&P
Share Price Performance, indexed to 100
MDR: 1.1x
Peers: 2.1x
5 Yr Avg: 2.6x
0.0x
1.0x
2.0x
3.0x
4.0x
5.0x
6.0x
7.0x
Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13
II. Recent Performance In contrast to E&C peers, MDR trades at a discount to tangible book as investors wait for clarity
10
Price / Tangible Book Value
Source: CapitalIQ. Market data as of October 21, 2013. Peer Index includes Technip, Subsea 7, and Saipem.
MDR: (41%)
50%
150%
250%
Oct-10 Oct-11 Oct-12 Oct-13
II. Recent Performance Mismanagement, transitional friction, and regional losses have spooked investors from a sound company
11
Share Price, indexed to 100
Source: CapitalIQ. Market data as of October 21, 2013. Peer Index includes Technip, Subsea 7, and Saipem.
October 26, 2011: Management revised guidance downwards, including lowering operating margins to 7-10%.
October 18, 2013: CEO Stephen Johnson announces he will be replaced in Dec. 2013 by David Dickson, COO.
August 15, 2013: Reported large loss in Malaysia. COO John McCormack steps down; replaced by David Dickson from Technip USA. January 4, 2012: Wins INPEX
Ichtys project in Australia, slated to bring in $2bn+ in revenue.
January 7, 2013: Formed exclusive alliance with Ocean Installer for in the North Sea region.
November 6, 2012: Beat earnings by wide margin due to margin improvement. August 8, 2011: Missed consensus
due to losses in Mid East & Atlantic operations and delays.
July 30, 2010: Spin-off of Babcock & Wilcox resulting in MDR being a pure-play EPCI.
III. Investment Thesis
12
Section Slide 12
III. Investment Thesis
Leading onshore and offshore construction
company
Winning contracts in deep-water space
Expanding capacity to support larger, deeper
projects – Ichtys
New Management / Project Bidding team
Global EPCI with shallow water experience & deep-water experience – Chevron Gendalo
Opportunity to own best-in-class EPCI business at an inflection point
13
14% EBITDA Margin
0-4% EBITDA Margin
8-9% EBITDA Margin
2010 2013 2014-15
Source: Company filings and documents, WSJ, Wall Street research.
A. Strategic Transformation
• Traditionally ran 12-14 shallow and deep-water
vessels
• Increasing productivity through new and
revamped vessels
Revamping their fleet
Catching up to main competitor Case Study: Inpex Ichthys
• $2+ bn subsea contract awarded in Jan 2012
– 17,600 tons of subsea structures
• 60% detailed engineering complete
• 90% of costs committed
14
2011 2012 2013
Bought 1st subsea vessel
Bought 2 vessels, upgraded 3
2 additional subsea vessels
2014 2010
Technip McDermott
Total Vessels 36 16
Subsea Vessels 15 6
P/B 2.5x 0.9x
Backlog ($bn) $15.2 $5.1
EV / Backlog 0.9x 0.3x
A. Strategic Transformation
• Invested $710mm to build 2 new vessels for
ultra-deep sea work
• Additional planned expenditures of $750mm in
upgrading vessels and fab yards through 2016
McDermott is investing heavily in this transition… Technip followed the same path 3 years ago in subsea…
• Invested $2.5bn since 2010 to upgrade their fleet
for subsea
• Backlog for subsea grew from $3.1bn to $7.4bn
• Added 11 vessels to support subsea expansion
The guy that made it happen for Technip is… At Technip, this resulted in significant value creation
15
Source: Company filings and documents, WSJ, Wall Street research. Market data as of October 21, 2013.
• David Dickson, slated to take over MDR at year end
– Has 28 years of subsea experience
– EBIT margins from 1.3% (2007) to 10% LTM
– Followed similar Capex pattern
• MDR also replacing CFO and project teams
Technip: +53%
90%
125%
160%
Oct-11 Feb-12 Jul-12 Dec-12 May-13 Oct-13
B. Strong Buyout Potential
• McDermott is a strong brand in the EPC industry and holds high quality assets
• Negative net debt means that competitors would easily acquire using debt
– $502 million in cash and $101 million in debt = $401M Net Cash
• Rumors of competitors looking for acquisitions in the space to gain scale and geographic expansion
At current valuation and balance sheet characteristics, MDR makes an ideal buyout candidate
Precedent transactions Following previous script
16
Source: Company filings and documents, WSJ, Wall Street research.
2011 2012 2013
Dickson put on board of Global Industries
Technip buys Global Industries
Dickson to be COO and CEO of McDermott
Precedent Transactions
Date Target Acquirer EV Multiple
08-Sep-13 Sinclair Knight Merz Pty Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. $1,195.79 7.2x
19-Aug-13 Kentz Corporation Ltd AMEC plc (LSE:AMEC) $1,074.21 -
30-Jul-12 The Shaw Group Inc. Chicago Bridge & Iron Company $4,921.61 20.4x
14-May-12 Bravida ASA Bain Capital Private Equity $853.97 9.0x
27-May-07 URS Energy & Construction URS Corporation $3,179.43 15.4x
12-Sep-11 Global Industries Technip $1,235.49 -
C. Liquidation Value
• Currently trades at less than 1.0x Tangible Book Value
• We assessed each vessel according to age, recent upgrades, original purchase price, and recent market
comparisons
– We stuck to conservatism wherever possible
• Fleet Value
– We arrived at a fleet value of $6.15 per share with an increasing outlook as 2 new vessels are added
– MDR’s fleet is currently insured at $5.30 per share ($1.2bn)
• Fabrication Yards
– We value MDR’s 5 fabrication yards at a 20% residual value of the cost of building a new yard
– We exclude the Morgan City yard from our calculations
– At such a deep discount, we value the yards at $1.32 per share
MDR currently trades at a deep discount to its replacement value
17
Source: Company filings, Offshore Magezine, Dredge Brokers, Offshore Solutions Unlimited
Liquidation Analysis
BV LVASSETS Total Cash & ST Investments $427.71 $427.71
Total Receivables $1,002.86 $372.26
Total Current Assets $1,509.31 $799.98
Net Property, Plant & Equipment $1,385.96 $2,510.20
Total Assets $3,195.95 $3,502.95
LIABILITIES Total Current Liabilities $1,159.55 $1,008.83
Total Liabilities $1,430.05 $1,279.34
Market Equity $2,223.62Shares Outstanding 226.0Price per share $9.84
Implied ROI 31%
C. Liquidation Value Conservative liquidation analysis yields upside Increasing asset value going forward
18
Replacement Value
Book Value Market ValueVessels $476,231.53 $1,390,000.00Construction Equipment $294,666.98 $294,666.98In Progress $395,949.00 $395,949.00Buildings $89,458.09 $300,000.00Other $129,585.40 $129,585.40Book $1,385,891.00 $2,510,201.38Potential Upside 81%
IV. Understanding the Opportunity
19
Section Slide 15
Analyst Rating Analyst PT UpsideBarclays Buy $10.00 31.4%Credit Suisse Buy $9.00 18.3%Macquarie Buy $9.00 18.3%KeyBanc Hold - -BB&T Hold $8.00 5.1%Deutsche Bank Hold $8.00 5.1%Goldman Sachs Hold $10.00 31.4%William Blair Hold $8.50 11.7%Morgan Stanley Sell $8.00 5.1%HSBC Sell $6.75 -11.3%
IV. Understanding the Opportunity
• Recent sell-side research has downgraded recommendations based on McDermott missing earnings
• Replacement value, based on comparable vessels and precedent transactions for fabrication yards, ranges from
$9 - $12 using conservative estimates
• Significant structural selling based on reduced sell-side recommendations
McDermott has become a show-me story for investors with many waiting on the sidelines
Analysts advising “Hold” but PTs still lofty Analyst commentary provides further comfort
• “execution risk & loss of investor confidence”
• “$9.38 /share liquidation value”
• “wait for confirming evidence”
• “investment case 'in transition”
Source: Company filings and documents, WSJ, Wall Street research, Brown, Wei, & Wermers – Analyst Recommendations.
21
IV. Understanding the Opportunity Smart money piling in, institutional investors selling on technicalities
Holder % O/S Δ 30-Jun-13 Δ 31-Mar-13 31-Dec-12Artisan Partners Limited 7.03% 1.25 16.64 0.74 15.39 14.65Fairpointe Capital 6.44% 5.93 15.23 9.30 9.30 0.00The Vanguard Group, Inc. 5.31% 1.36 12.57 0.59 11.21 10.62T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. 7.60% -6.91 17.98 -2.18 24.89 27.07BlackRock, Inc. 4.62% -0.32 10.93 -3.76 11.24 15.01Putnam LLC 3.63% 2.72 8.59 4.23 5.87 1.64JANA Partners 2.56% 6.07 6.07 0.00 0.00 0.00LSV Asset Management 2.44% -0.04 5.78 -3.25 5.82 9.06Fidelity Investments 2.37% -13.40 5.60 -1.16 19.00 20.15Wellington Management Company 2.32% 1.42 5.50 2.23 4.08 1.85Guggenheim Partners 2.26% -0.60 5.34 1.90 5.94 4.04State Street Global Advisors, Inc. 2.11% 0.92 5.00 0.15 4.08 3.93Westfield Capital Management 2.02% 1.48 4.78 3.29 3.30 0.01S.A.C. Capital Advisors 1.89% 2.05 4.48 2.11 2.43 0.32Millennium Management 1.81% -1.71 4.29 4.75 6.00 1.24NWQ Investment Management 1.68% 1.99 3.97 1.98 1.98 0.00Franklin Resources Inc. 1.53% 2.73 3.62 0.89 0.89 0.00Lee Munder Capital Group 1.09% 0.61 2.59 0.31 1.97 1.66Hotchkis and Wiley Capital 0.94% 2.22 2.22 0.00 0.00 0.00BNY Mellon Asset Management 0.65% -3.76 1.54 0.56 5.31 4.75AQR Capital Management 0.52% -0.81 1.24 0.01 2.05 2.04American Century Investment 0.47% -1.00 1.11 2.07 2.12 0.05D. E. Shaw 0.42% -0.73 0.99 -0.68 1.72 2.40Tocqueville Asset Management 0.37% 0.22 0.87 0.65 0.65 0.00
Johnson, Stephen M. 0.20% 0.00 0.47 0.05 0.47 0.42
Funds we want to invest alongside:
• Fairpointe Capital (long-term value fund)
• JANA Partners (activist – industrials)
• S.A.C. Capital (unusually large position)
Biggest sellers in the last 3 quarters:
• T. Rowe Price
• Fidelity
• BlackRock
• BNY Mellon
Source: CapitalIQ. Market data as of October 21, 2013.
V. Valuation & Risks
22
Section Slide 18
V. Valuation & Risks McDermott offers a compelling risk-reward for a stellar business at an inflection point
23
Bull: +63%
Base: +29%
Bear: -16%
$5.00
$8.00
$11.00
$14.00
Oct-12 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-15
DCF
WACC 12%
TV EBITDA Multiple 8.0x
TV 2,119.40
PV TV $1,202.61
PV FCF $1,521.13
MV $2,723.74
Target Price $12.05
ROI
Current Price $7.41
Target Price $12.05
Implied Upside 63%
V. Valuation & Risks With rapidly improving fundamentals, McDermott remains the best value in the offshore EPCI industry
24
Source: CapitalIQ. Market data as of October 21, 2013.
LTM Multiples NTM Multiples
EV/Rev EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT P/E P/BV EV/Rev EV/EBITDA P/E
Engineering & Construction
Chicago Bridge & Iron Company N.V. (NYSE:CBI) 1.2x 13.2x 15.6x 24.5x NM 0.8x 9.1x 15.7x
Fluor Corporation (NYSE:FLR) 0.4x 10.5x 13.3x 27.2x 3.5x 0.4x 7.9x 17.9x
Foster Wheeler AG (NasdaqGS:FWLT) 0.8x 8.2x 10.7x 19.4x 7.4x 0.7x 8.1x 15.3x
Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. (NYSE:JEC) 0.6x 9.4x 10.7x 18.9x 3.8x 0.6x 8.5x 16.6x
KBR, Inc. (NYSE:KBR) 0.6x 6.3x 6.9x 22.9x 2.9x 0.5x 6.1x 11.7x
Oceaneering International, Inc. (NYSE:OII) 2.9x 12.9x 18.0x 26.7x 5.8x 2.6x 11.3x 22.7x
The Babcock & Wilcox Company (NYSE:BWC) 1.0x 8.4x 10.1x 18.1x 6.1x 1.0x 7.7x 14.1x
URS Corporation (NYSE:URS) 0.5x 6.4x 9.0x 12.8x NM 0.5x 6.9x 11.9x
Mean 1.0x 9.4x 11.8x 21.3x 4.9x 0.9x 8.2x 15.7x Median 0.7x 8.9x 10.7x 21.2x 4.8x 0.6x 8.0x 15.5x
EPCI
Saipem SpA (BIT:SPM) 1.0x 11.5x 43.2x NM 1.9x 0.9x 9.4x 65.8x
Subsea 7 SA (OB:SUBC) 1.1x 7.9x 12.2x 17.0x 2.0x 1.1x 5.6x 13.7x
Technip (ENXTPA:TEC) 1.2x 9.6x 12.0x 19.0x 16.6x 1.0x 8.0x 15.1x
Mean 1.1x 9.7x 22.5x 18.0x 6.8x 1.0x 7.7x 31.5x Median 1.1x 9.6x 12.2x 18.0x 2.0x 1.0x 8.0x 15.1x
McDermott International Inc. (NYSE:MDR) 1.1x 0.5x 5.8x 18.5x
V. Valuation & Risks A leveraged buyout of McDermott would create significant value to a strategic acquirer
25
Source: CapitalIQ. Market data as of October 21, 2013. Peer Index includes Technip, Subsea 7, and Saipem.
Tangible Assets + Net Cash Allows an underwriting of 20% IRR LBO at a 21% Premium to Market Value
Sources & Uses LBO Analysis
Sources
Senior Secured (PPE) 60% LTV $831.60
5.0%
Securitzed Receivables 30% LTV $1,098.20
8.5% $329.46
Cash $427.70
Premium to MV 21% $354.57
Equity Injection 28% $627.31
$2,216.07
Uses
Total Debt 95.6
Total Common Equity 1705.3Total Minority Interest 60.6
2216.0663
LBO SummaryTV EBITDA Multiple 8.0xBuyout IRR 20%Cash-on-cash 3.1x
LBO Analysis
2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E TV
Proforma EBITDA 19.5 64.7 168.1 243.5 239.9 238.0 -
6.0%
Total Liability on Debt 1,161.1 1,211.1 1,219.0 1,219.0 1,219.0 1,219.0 -
Interest 69.6 72.6 73.1 73.1 73.1 73.1 -
Paydown 19.5 64.7 73.1 73.1 73.1 73.1 -
EOP 1,211.1 1,219.0 1,219.0 1,219.0 1,219.0 1,219.0 -
Excess EBITDA - - 95.1 170.4 166.8 165.0 1,319.65
-$627.31 - - 95.1 170.4 166.8 165.0 1,319.7
LBO Summary
TV EBITDA Multiple 8.0x
Buyout IRR 20%
Cash-on-cash 3.1x
Risks
• Exposure to weather
– Delays in deliveries and damage to rigs
• Lack of demand for oil would represent lower
profits for their clients and hence lesser contracts
• Counterparty credit risk from clients’ inability to
fulfill timely payments
Systematic risks faced by industry Idiosyncratic risks actively mitigated by MDR
• Attempts to grow fail to pan out, leading to cash burn:
– Estimated cash and credit burn estimated to
last for 2 years
• Continued poor execution and failure to keep costs
low would represent further impairments and loss
recognition
• Lack of oversight resulting in large scale
environmental damages and hence fines (e.g. BP
Gulf of Mexico accident)
26
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research.
Appendix
• EPCI
• McDermott’s Global Scale
• Project Lifecycle
• Key Clients – Private
• Key Clients – National
• Backlog Analysis
• Inpex Ichthys
Investment Underwriting Analysis
27
Appendix Starts Here.
• Discounted Cash Flow Summary
• Liquidation Analysis – Assets
• Liquidation Analysis – Liabilities & Equity
• Vessel Valuation
• JV Precedence
• Litigation Risk Analysis
EPCI Value Chain Only U.S. based pure-play in the EPCI space, offering unique delivery platform
28
Engineering Procurement Construction Installation
• 8 locations; 900+ engineers
• FloaTEC, LLC – JV with Keppel
• Services: • Studies & conceptual
designs • Front End Engineering • Detailed Engineering • Transportation &
installation
• 300+ employees • Services: • Negotiating,
purchasing, transporting, inventory control and quality assurance
• Global sourcing; local knowledge
• Strong supplier relations
• 600+ acres of strategically located facilities
• Capabilities: • Topside & onshore
modules • Jackets, piles, compliant
towers • Subsea production
systems • Standardized fabrication
processes & procedures
• Dedicated installation fleet • Global construction fleet,
multi-functional and subsea support vessels
• Capabilities: • Single & dual heavy-lift • Floatover install • Various diameter pipeline
install • Dynamic positioning systems • Subsea installation support
Return to appendix
Global EPCI Player Globally positioned and rapidly expanding footprint to improve access and lower costs
29
Return to appendix
Project Lifecycle
• Marine installation • Manage changes • Estimate completion costs
• Optimize capacity
• Customer analysis • Lessons learned • Warranty period • Close-out negotiations
• Develop execution plan
• Confirm estimates • Risk contingency planning
• Bid margins • Risk identification • Negotiate • Evaluate opportunities
Business Acquisition
& Award
Project Planning
Project Delivery
Post Completion
McDermott has a comprehensive and dynamic project execution strategy
30
Return to appendix
Key Clients Independent
National Owned Corporations
31
Return to appendix
Key Clients Nationally Owned Corporations
32
Return to appendix
40% 38% 39% 35%
60%
59%
25%
2%
2%
0
5000
2010 2011 Today Conventional SubSea Float
Backlog
• Americas/Atlantic
– Floater: Papa Terra (EPCI) - (Dec ‘09): $1.1bn
– Fixed: PB-Litoral (EPCI) - (Jan ‘13): $230mm
– Subsea: Julia (EPC) - (Jul ‘13)
• Asia Pacific
– Subsea
• Ichtys (EPCI) (Jan 2012) ($2B)
• Siakap (EPCI) (May 2012)
• Gorgon (C) (May 2010) ($150 MM)
• Macedon (EPCI) (July 2011) ($1.5B)
• Targeting more sub-sea projects
– MDR has a historical win-rate 35% of target
projects
Strong and diversified backlog Bids outstanding have grown rapidly in Subsea
Robust backlog of over $5.1bn provides visibility
33
89% 73%
39%
9%
24% 59%
2%
3%
2%
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
2010 2011 Today
Conventional SubSea Float
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research. Return to appendix
Project Inpex Ichthys
• Estimated $2bn project for McDermott
• High Profile: INPEX and Total JV in Australia
with $34bn invested capital to date
• 1.6mm tonnes of LNG per annum at peak
• McDermott provide Engineering, Procurement,
Construction and Installation services
• Reputation: Complex Sub-sea project will raise
McDermott’s reputation in this high-growth sector
• New Fleet in Action: McDermott can prove that
new fleet built since 2009 is best in class again
One of the Largest Projects in Market Complex in Nature
34
Return to appendix
V. Valuation & Risks Our valuation takes into account difficulty ramping up in ultra-deep but margin recovery as well
35
Source: Company filings, CapitalIQ, Wall Street research. Market data as of October 21, 2013.
Discounted Cash Flows
F igures in $mm, except per share data 2008A 2009A 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E 2016E 2017E 2018E Revenue 3,098.1 3,281.8 2,403.7 3,445.1 3,641.6 3,470.7 3,338.2 3,354.1 3,375.7 3,403.2 3,436.6
% Growth 6% -27% 43% 6% -5% -4% 0% 1% 1% 1%
Cost Of Goods Sold 2,787.8 2,781.7 1,842.3 2,980.4 3,100.0 3,123.6 3,004.4 3,018.7 3,038.2 3,062.9 3,092.9
COGS as % Revenue 90.0% 84.8% 76.6% 86.5% 85.1% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%
Gross Profit 310.3 500.1 561.5 464.7 541.6 347.1 333.8 335.4 337.6 340.3 343.7
Gross Margin 10% 15% 23% 13% 15% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Selling General & Admin Exp. 202.3 218.1 216.8 212.0 206.0 277.65 267.06 268.33 270.06 272.26 274.93
% on revenue 6.5% 6.6% 9.0% 6.2% 5.7% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00% 8.00%
Depreciation & Amort. 72.56 79.87 76.45 82.39 86.44 79.88 88.47 90.24 92.05 93.89 95.77
Operating Income 35.5 202.1 268.3 170.3 249.2 (10.5) (21.7) (23.2) (24.5) (25.8) (27.0)
Income Tax Expense 63.6 60.6 41.2 87.1 129.2 (3.93) (8.14) (8.69) (9.20) (9.68) (10.14)
Effective Tax Rate - - - - - 37.5% 37.5% 37.5% 37.5% 37.5% 37.5%
Earnings from Cont. Ops. (32.4) 141.6 224.5 82.7 120.0 (6.5) (13.6) (14.5) (15.3) (16.1) (16.9)
Earnings of Discontinued Ops. 368.7 180.9 (34.9) (12.8) 3.5 - - - - - -
Net Income to Company 336.3 322.5 189.6 69.9 123.5 (6.5) (13.6) (14.5) (15.3) (16.1) (16.9)
Minority Int. in Earnings (0.2) (3.4) (26.0) (12.6) (10.8) (10.0) (10.0) (10.0) (10.0) (10.0) (10.0)
Net Income 429.3 387.1 201.7 138.7 112.7 (16.5) (23.6) (24.5) (25.3) (26.1) (26.9)
Per Share Itemsno. of shares 227.14 229.03 231.80 235.14 226.29 226 226 226 226 226 226EPS $1.89 $1.69 $0.87 $0.59 $0.5 ($0.07) ($0.1) ($0.11) ($0.11) ($0.12) ($0.12)
Return to appendix
Liquidation Value - Detail
36
Liquidation Analysis
BV % LVASSETSCash And Equivalents 427.7 100% 427.71 Total Cash & ST Investments 427.7 427.71
Accounts Receivable 942.7 312.06 Other Receivables 60.2 100% 60.2 Total Receivables 1,002.9 372.26
Deferred Tax Assets, Curr. 7.7 0% 7.72 Restricted Cash 24.5 0% - Other Current Assets 46.5 0% - Total Current Assets 1,509.3 807.70
Gross Property, Plant & Equipment 2,231.3 Accumulated Depreciation (845.4) Net Property, Plant & Equipment 1,386.0 2,510.2
Long-term Investments 49.7 100% 49.72 Goodwill 41.2 0% - Accounts Receivable Long-Term 95.3 30% 28.59 Other Long-Term Assets 114.5 100% 114.47 Total Assets 3,195.95 3,510.7
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Liquidation Value – Detail (cont’d)
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Liquidation Analysis
LIABILITIESAccounts Payable 434.8 100% 434.78 Accrued Exp. 328.2 100% 328.17 Short-term Borrowings -Curr. Port. of LT Debt 42.5 100% 42.53 Curr. Income Taxes Payable 37.1 100% 37.11 Unearned Revenue, Current 301.4 50% 150.71 Def. Tax Liability, Curr. 15.5 100% 15.53 Other Current Liabilities - Total Current Liabilities 1,159.5
1,008.83
Long-Term Debt 53.1 100% 53.10 Pension & Other Post-Retire. Benefits 24.4 100% 24.35 Other Non-Current Liabilities 193.0 100% 193.05 Total Liabilities 1,430.0 1,279.3
Market Equity $2,231.34Shares Outstanding 226.0Price per Share $9.87
Implied ROI 31%
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V. Valuation & Risks Using original prices paid and comparable vessels on market, we arrive at a base market value of fleet
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Heavy Lift DWLS Reel-Lay S-Lay/J-Lay Flex Lay DP Market ValueAgile 1 1 1 $100.00DB 101 1 $60.00DB 16 1 1 1 $120.00DB 27 1 1 $110.00DB 30 1 1 $110.00DB 32 1 $50.00DB 50 1 1 1 1 $180.00DLV 2000 1 1 1 1 $180.00Emerald Sea 1 1 $80.00KP1 1 $50.00LV 108 1 3 1 1 $100.00North Ocean 105 1 1 1 1 $100.00North Ocean 102 1 1 1 $100.00Theabaud Sea 1 $50.00
Value of Component $60.00 $20.00 $50.00 $30.00 $50.00 $1,390.00
Source: Company filings, Offshore Magezine, Dredge Brokers, Offshore Solutions Unlimited Return to appendix
Joint Ventures
• Failure to be cost leader in the past due to smaller scale compared to competitors
• 2009: Qing Dao Wuchang JV in China
• 2010: 2 JVs with Keppel, worlds largest offshore company
• 2010: JV in Brazil with, Construcap and Orteng
Gaining Scale and Utilizing Synergies
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Litigation Risk
• Conversation with leading attorney in Levi & Korsinsky à low confidence of preventing lawsuit from being thrown-out by defendants
• Lawsuit based on improper disclosure on losses in Malaysia and Saudi Arabia
– McDermott’s auditors has not raised any issues with McDermott’s reporting standards
• Levi & Korsinsky has questionable success rates at winning shareholder class action suits
• Initial stages of lawsuit: yet to be certified to be class action
Low probability, low impact, currently non-existence lawsuit
40
Return to appendix