technologies for future cities - the innovation group

-- Lux and Client Confidential --

Technologies for Future Cities

Lux Efficient Building Systems Intelligence

Ryan Castilloux

EBS Research Content Lead

2 July 2012

2-- Lux and Client Confidential -- 2

Lux Research

• Helps clients capitalize on science-driven innovation, identifyingnew business opportunities from emerging technologies in thephysical sciences

• Provides both technology monitoring and market intelligenceto support better business decisions

• Has over 150 clients on six continents – blue-chip corporations,investors, government agencies, universities, and SMBs

• Sources intelligence from direct interaction and onsite visitswith CEOs and top executives at cutting-edge technology firms

• Has global reach, with over 75 employees in Boston, New York,Amsterdam, Singapore, Shanghai, Seoul, and Tokyo

• Combines deep technical expertise with business analysis; 60%of research team holds advanced degrees in science orengineering

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Solar Components

Solar Systems

Smart Grid and Grid Storage

Electric Vehicles

Alternative Fuels

Bio-based Materials & Chemicals

Formulation and Delivery

China BioPharma

Water

Advanced Materials

Printed Electronics

Energy Electronics

Sustainable Building Materials

Efficient Building Systems

China Innovation

Lux coverage areas

3-- Lux and Client Confidential --

Agenda

Megatrends present mega challenges for the cities of today

Future cities are emerging, smarter across an array of dimensions

The eight models under which future cities develop

Opportunities aplenty for those who know where to look


Agenda






Today’s cities are facing unprecedented challenges

Energy- and resource-intensive

Cities consume 60% to 80% of the

world’s energy; buildings about 38%

Poor quality of life

Health costs resulting from the

country’s air pollution between 1%

to 6% of GDP for U.S. and China

Carbon-intensive

Of the 28 billion tons of CO2 emitted

annually, 8.4 billion tons comes from

energy consumption in buildings

Outdated

Electrical grids struggle to supply

demand, face increasing congestion

problems and are unsuitable for

renewables integration


Rapid urbanization means increasing problems

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Rapid urbanization means increasing problems


Agenda






Future cities will be vastly different from cities of today

Today’s cities vs. Future cities


The silver lining amidst these challenges:

Future cities are becoming smarter across a number of dimensions

Future cities will be smarter about…

• Energy

• Water

• Food

• Health

• Governance

• Mobility

• Education

• Environment

• Etc.

Lux Research’s ongoing coverage of future cities focuses primarily on the

energy distribution and consumption aspects.


Change brings opportunity:

A slew of unique future cities are emerging globally

PlanIT Valley

Amsterdam

Stockholm

Helsinki

Malaga

Barcelona

Berlin

Mannheim

Copenhagen

Sydney

Lavasa Singapore

Tianjin Eco-City

Meixi Lake

Songdo

SmartGridCity

TorontoVancouver

Masdar

Greenfield

Brownfield

LEGEND

Future cities integrate future city technologies…

King Abdullah Eco-City


So what are future city technologies?

Future city technologies facilitate the

integrated design of urban infrastructure to

promote economic efficiency, reduce

environmental impact, and foster

sustainable development




integrated design of urban

infrastructure to promote economic

efficiency, reduce environmental impact,

and foster sustainable development





promote economic

efficiency, reduce environmental

impact, and foster sustainable development






environmental impact,

and foster sustainable development






environmental impact, and foster

sustainable

development


Future city technologies facilitate integration across the urban

value chain

Energy Generation

Smart GridEfficient Building

Future City Urban Value Chain

Urban Value Chain

Energy Generation Smart Grid Efficient Building

• Renewable Energy

• Cogeneration & Trigeneration

• District Heating & Cooling

• Vehicle to Grid

• Smart Metering

• Community Energy Storage

• Virtual Power Plants

• Connectivity

• Onsite Power Generation

• Efficient Building Systems

• Sustainable Building Materials

• Smart Lighting

• Smart Equipment and Appliances

Efficient Future City Technology

Domains


Even within Smart Grid and Efficient Building, the landscape of

future city technologies and developers is complex


Agenda






Lux Research’s eight models under which future cities develop

Future Cities

Brownfield GreenfieldCategory



Future Cities

Brownfield

Top-down Bottom-up

Greenfield

Top-down Bottom-up

Category

Initiation



Future Cities

Brownfield

Top-down

City drivenConsortium

led

Bottom-up


led

Greenfield

Top-down


led

Bottom-up


led

Singapore Amsterdam Stockholm Smart Grid

City

Masdar Incheon Free

CityNo example PlanIT Valley

Category

Initiation

Leader


An array of future city models has emerged, helping steer

technology companies towards viable channels to market

City Platform

City

City City

Brownfield (Singapore)

Top-down integration

City-centered

Brownfield (Amsterdam)


Platform-centered

Brownfield (Stockholm)

Organic integration

City-initiated

Brownfield (SmartGridCity)

Organic integration

Company-initiated

City Platform

City

City City

Greenfield (Masdar)


City-centered

Greenfield (Incheon Free

Economic Zone)


Platform-centered

Greenfield (No Example)

Organic integration

City-initiated

Greenfield (PlanIT Valley)

Organic integration

Company-initiated

1 2 3 4

5 6 7 8

End-user / Energy Consumer Company Technology City/Platform/Government

Brownfield

Greenfield

Top-down,

City driven:

Singapore

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Amsterdam

Bottom-up,

City driven:

Stockholm

Bottom-up,

Consortium led:

Smart Grid City

Top-down,

City driven:

Masdar

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Incheon Free City

Bottom-up,

City driven:

No Example

Top-down,

City driven:

PlanIT Valley


An array of future city models have emerged, which helps steer


City Platform

City

City City



City-centered



Platform-centered


Organic integration

City-initiated


Organic integration

Company-initiated

City Platform

City

City City

Greenfield (Masdar)


City-centered


Economic Zone)


Platform-centered


Organic integration

City-initiated


Organic integration

Company-initiated

1 2 3 4

5 6 7 8


Brownfield

Greenfield

Top-down,

City driven:

Singapore

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Amsterdam

Bottom-up,

City driven:

Stockholm

Bottom-up,

Consortium led:

Smart Grid City

Top-down,

City driven:

Masdar

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Incheon Free City

Bottom-up,

City driven:

No Example

Top-down,

City driven:

PlanIT Valley


Amsterdam’s aggressive goals have made the city a hotbed for

future city technology pilot projects since 2009

Ambitious GHG reduction targets:

• 2015: Reduce GHG emissions to 1990 levels

• 2025: Reduce GHG emissions by 40% over 1990 levels

• 2050: Reduce GHG emissions by 80% over 1990 levels


Accenture is Project Manager of the ASC initiative

Complexity behind the models: Amsterdam’s technology,

technology company, and stakeholder ecosystem

Public-Private Partners

Founding Partners

The FoundationAmsterdam Smart City

(ASC)

Amsterdam Innovation

Motor (AIM)

Amsterdam Municipality

European Commission

(EC)

Liander

Private Companies

Top- down,

Consortium led:

Amsterdam

Platform

City

2

End-user / Energy Consumer

Company

City/Platform/Government

Technology


Complexity behind the models: Amsterdam’s Smart City

Initiative - 22 pilot projects since 2009

Sustainable Living

Amsterdam Opent -Engagement Platform

Our Energy -Community Energy Generation Scheme

Smart Metering in Geuzenveld

Apollon Living Lab

Home Energy Mgmt. in West Orange

Energy Management in Haarlem

Sustainable Working

Sustainable Building -De Groene Bocht

Efficient Building Technology in ITO

Tower

De Balie Sustainable Monument Retrofit

Zuidas Solar Powered Office Buildings

Online Monitoring of Municipal Buildings

Smart Challenge for Energy Efficiency

TPX Telepresence

Sustainable Mobility

Ship to Grid for Moored Boats

Moet je Watt - EV Smart Charger

WeGo Car Sharing

EV Parking and Charging Incentives

Sustainable Public Place

Energy Efficient Smart Schools

Green and Sustainable NEMO Science Center

The Climate Street -Stakeholder Engagement

Sun Spots - Public Solar and Wi-Fi Powered

Workstations

Energy Efficient Swimming Pools


Complexity behind the models: Amsterdam’s home energy

management system (HEMS) ecosystem

Amsterdam: HEMS Ecosystem

HEMS

Cisco IBM Onzo

Liander

End user

ASC

Smart

Metering

Quby

PlugwiseWattcher

MunicipalitySustainable Living

Amsterdam Opent -Engagement Platform

Our Energy - Community Energy Generation Scheme

Smart Metering in Geuzenveld

Apollon Living Lab

Home Energy Mgmt. in West Orange

Energy Management in Haarlem


An array of future city models has emerged, helping steer


City Platform

City

City City



City-centered



Platform-centered


Organic integration

City-initiated


Organic integration

Company-initiated

City Platform

City

City City

Greenfield (Masdar)


City-centered


Economic Zone)


Platform-centered


Organic integration

City-initiated


Organic integration

Company-initiated

1 2 3 4

5 6 7 8


Brownfield

Greenfield

Top-down,

City driven:

Singapore

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Amsterdam

Bottom-up,

City driven:

Stockholm

Bottom-up,

Consortium led:

Smart Grid City

Top-down,

City driven:

Masdar

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Incheon Free City

Bottom-up,

City driven:

No Example

Top-down,

City driven:

PlanIT Valley


Masdar future city: Greenfield, top-down, city driven initiative

City Platform

City

City City



City-centered



Platform-centered


Organic integration

City-initiated


Organic integration

Company-initiated

City Platform

City

City City

Greenfield (Masdar)


City-centered


Economic Zone)


Platform-centered


Organic integration

City-initiated


Organic integration

Company-initiated

1 2 3 4

5 6 7 8


Brownfield

Greenfield

Top-down,

City driven:

Singapore

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Amsterdam

Bottom-up,

City driven:

Stockholm

Bottom-up,

Consortium led:

Smart Grid City

Top-down,

City driven:

Masdar

Top-down,

Consortium led:

Incheon Free City

Bottom-up,

City driven:

No Example

Top-down,

City driven:

PlanIT Valley


Masdar’s top-down technology and stakeholder ecosystem

facilitates an integration across the urban value chain

Technology companies & stakeholders Technology silos Central authority


Agenda






Change brings opportunity: Future cities will be THE market for

technology companies in the coming decades

70% of the India of 2030 is yet to be built

• Floorspace to increase from 12 billion m2 to 41 billion m2

• Road vehicle numbers to increase from 86 million to 400 million

• GHG emissions to increase 4x if continuing business as usual

- Curtailing 2030 emissions to 2x present will require +$800 billion capital

China building up to 20 new “ghost” cities annually

• 60 to 80 million vacant homes

• To meet urban power demand through 2020 will require +$600 billion capital

Aging infrastructure in the U.S. and Europe

• +$400 billion to replace dated water-related infrastructure in U.S. by 2022

• By 2032, +$40 trillion will be required to retrofit and expand dated urban

infrastructure in Brownfield cities globally

• 30 largest global infrastructure investment funds have raised +$183 billion


Change brings opportunity: Future cities will be THE market for

technology companies in the coming decades

Multi-trillion dollar market across the technology value chain

Urbanization is a megatrend that is shaping corporate strategy and innovation

If you’re not onboard with the Future Cities market – you’re not onboard at all


Thank you!

Ryan Castilloux

Lux Research | EBS Research Content Lead

[email protected]

+31 (0) 20 346 0849

www.luxresearchinc.com

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