The Future Ain’t What It Used To Be: The 8th Annual IMFG Toronto City Manager’s Address

November 4, 2019

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The future ain’twhat it used to be

- Yogi Berra

Source: Flickr; Baseball Collection

Population

Toronto is the fastest growing city, and part of the second fastest growing region, in North America.

Sources: StatsCan, Centre for Urban Research and Land Development

3 million people call Toronto home in 2019

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Population

In the last year, we grew by 77,000 people – more than double the 29,000 average of recent years

Sources: StatsCan, Ministry of Finance (Map represents growth based only on planned development) 4

4 million people will call Toronto home in 2041

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Population growth forecast Toronto and rest of GTHA

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2011 2016 2018 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046

Mill

ion

s

Source: Ministry of Finance

Rest of GTHA

Toronto

-80,000

-40,000

0

40,000

80,000

120,000City of Toronto

Natural Increase Intra-provincial Inter-provincial International Net Change

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Population Change by Source

Source: Economic Development and Culture Division, with Statistics Canada data, CANSIM Tables 051-0063 and 051-0064

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The City spends less per resident than 10 years agoWe’ve maintained affordability while making incremental investments

$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

$3,000

$3,500

$4,000

$4,500

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Per-capita operating spending adjusted for inflation and population growth

$4,415 $4,430 $4,379 $4,410 $4,416 $4,393$4,433 $4,465 $4,598 $4,524

~3 million people~2.6 million people

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“Despite our self-image, Toronto does not work for all.”

- Toronto Foundation

“Across the GTA, middle-income neighbourhoods are vanishing”

- United Way of Greater Toronto

Worsening inequality

Housing affordability

Precarious work

Congestion

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Canadians see government as both at blame and responsible for fixing our problems

63%

31%

7%

31%

17%

20%

66%

31%

13%

14%

16%

18%

Government

Business

NGOs

Media

Multinational institutions

Don't know

Institution to blame for our country's problems

Institution responsible for fixing our country's problems

Source: 2017 Edelman Trust Barometer

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VisionToronto is a caring and friendly cityToronto is a clean, green and sustainable cityToronto is a dynamic cityToronto invests in quality of life

MottoDiversity Our Strength

MissionTo serve a great city and its people

Trust and ConfidenceWe understand that trust must be earned.

Our PeopleWorkplace culture

Our PartnershipsWe work in partnerships to achieve quality of life results for Torontonians

Our PerformanceCorporate Performance Management System

Our Priorities

• Financial Sustainability

• A well-run City

• Maintain and create

housing that’s affordable

• Keep Toronto moving

• Invest in people and

neighbourhoods

• Tackle climate change and

build resilience

The Toronto Public Service’s

Commitment to People,

Partnerships, Performance

and Priorities

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Walking the Talk

Our Priorities

• Financial Sustainability

• A well-run City

• Maintain and create

housing that’s affordable

• Keep Toronto moving

• Invest in people and

neighbourhoods

• Tackle climate change and

build resilience

Budget modernization

Continuously improving services

Housing Now

Transit expansion

Poverty Reduction Strategy

TransformTO

Examples

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Challenges don’t respect boundaries

Source: ESRI World Imagery, USGS

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Regional, provincial and federal

intergovernmental partnerships are essential

Source: Saffron Blaze; www.mackenzie.ca Source: Benson Kua; Flickr

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Intersecting issues – Common Challenges

Health and HousingInfrastructure and Climate Change

Growth and Investment

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Success hinges on how we work together

Interests Conflict

Interests Shared

Information Shared

Information Fragmented

Hardest place to be

Easiest place to beHow to get all the

information we need?

Co

mp

etin

g a

nd

Co

nfl

icti

ng

Inte

rest

s

Problem of Asymmetric Information

How to align interests?

Source: Ivey Business School

Thank you

We need to come together and determine our vision for shared outcomes, and work towards achieving results