the binomial distribution. situations often arises where there are only two outcomes (which we label...
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The Binomial Distribution
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Situations often arises where there are only two outcomes (which we label as success or failure). When this occurs we get a binomial distribution.
ExampleIn a multi-choice test, Sally guesses
the answers to the last 6 questions. Each question has 5 choices. The binomial distribution describes the probability of 0, 1, 2, etc successes out of the 6 number of trials.
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To use the binomial distribution the following conditions must apply:
F the number of trials must be fixedI each trial must be independent of
the otherS The probability of success at each
trial mustbe constant
T there are only two outcomes, success or
failure
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We use the following parametersfor the binomial distribution:
n is the number of trials conductedπ is the probability of success (can also use p)1 - π is the probability of failure (can also use q)x is the total number of successes
in thetrial
π + 1 - π = 1
p+q=1
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Example: Give the values of n, π, 1- π and x for:
In a multi-choice test, Sally guesses the answers to the last 6 questions. Each question has 5 choices.
What is the probability that Sally guesses two out of the six correctly?
n is the number of trials conductedπ is the probability of success1 - π is the probability of failure alsox is the total number of successes
in the trial
n=6
1/5
4/5
x=2
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The formula for calculating binomial probabilities is:
P(X=x) = 0≤x≤n xεW
But we can use our GC:2=StatsF5=dist F5 =Binm F1 = Bpd (since we are using = a single,
precise number)F2=Var to get screen with:
x numtrial p
)()1( xnx
x
n
x=2n=6
p=1/5
So P(X=2) = 0.24576
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On the GC we use F2= Bcd for cumulative values ie when calculating ≤ (instead of = )
Example Two What is the probability that Sally gets 2 or less questions correct
P(X ≤2) = 2=Stats F5=dist F5 =Binm F2 = Bcd (since we are using ≤ more than one number – cumulative situation)F2=Var to get screen with:
x numtrial p
P(X ≤2) =0.90111
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On the GC we must always turn < into ≤ questions
Example Two Find the probability that Sally gets less
than 4 questions correct
Find P(X<4) for n=6 and p=0.2 becomes:
P(X≤3) for n=6 and p=0.2P(X≤3) = 0.98304
F5 DistF5 BINMF2 BcdF2 VAR
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Summary so far
Use your GC for Binomial distribution by using:
• Bpd for P(X= )• Bcd for P(X≤ )
• If P(X < ) change into P(X ≤ ) and use Bcd
The only 2 options on GC so
change all questions into one of these
forms
4 3