the deloitte cfo survey achieving sustainable growth? · review of the country's performance...
TRANSCRIPT
The Deloitte CFO Survey Achieving sustainable growth?
Quarter 3 2013 survey results
Leading business advisersDownload our dedicated Deloitte CFO
Survey app at www.deloitte.com/ie/cfoapp
2
Contents
Quarter 3 overview 3
Snapshot of key findings 4
Key events and economic trends 6
Survey findings
Section 1. The economy and your company – financing, debt and credit 8
Section 2. Current economic and other events 13
Section 3. Corporate priorities for CFOs’ businesses in the next 12 months 17
Section 4. Sustainability and the CFO 20
“
About the survey This is the seventeenth in a series of quarterly surveys of Chief Financial Officers of major Irish based companies. The survey was conducted in September and October 2013, and CFOs of listed companies, large private companies and Irish subsidiaries of overseas multi-national companies participated.
The Deloitte CFO Survey is the only survey that seeks to establish the views of CFOs in relation to the financial markets, economic outlook and business trends on a quarterly basis. Due to rounding, responses to the questions covered in this report may not aggregate to 100.
3
The third quarter of 2013 was again a significant and eventful one for Ireland. Domestically, the referendum to abolish the Seanad was defeated and the Haddington Road Agreement was rejected by one of the main teachers’ unions in Ireland with ASTI members voting two to one in favour of industrial action. Internationally, from 1 July 2013, the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) became the ‘sole and permanent mechanism for responding to new requests for financial assistance by euro area member states.
Business optimism dropped for the first time in 2013, falling from net 33% in Quarter 1 and net 36% in Quarter 2 to net 28% this quarter. The survey was conducted in the lead up to Budget 2014 which may have impacted business optimism as companies awaited the impacts of these announcements. Domestic banks continue to be the preferred method of funding however the net perception of the cost of finance as ‘high’ increased by 23% to net 50% this quarter.
Over 60% of CFO respondents believe that Ireland is on track to exit the international bailout programme by the end of 2013 and 52% of CFOs surveyed think that exiting the bailout programme will have a somewhat positive impact on their company. All respondents believe it is a good idea that the Government seeks an enhanced conditions credit line from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM) permanent bailout fund initially once the country has exited the bailout programme.
While the perceptions of market risk, and financial and economic uncertainty have improved and corporate strategy is considered to be expansionary, companies remain reluctant to take a lot of risk onto their balance sheets.
Fundamental changes have been introduced to Irish GAAP, effective for periods commencing 1 January 2015. All extant FRSs and SSAPs will be withdrawn and replaced by one standard based on IFRS for SMEs called FRS 102. The changes introduce a wide range of choice of accounting frameworks including IFRS, IFRS with reduced disclosures for qualifying entities, as well as FRS 102. The new frameworks set out regulation for all entities (other than listed entities) to transition to the new accounting frameworks. Listed companies transitioned to IFRS in 2005 (EU IAS regulation). 68% of respondents feel that they have adequate resources in their finance function to ensure a smooth transition to FRS 102. 59% of CFOs believe their Board of Directors have not yet made the decision as to what accounting framework to adopt for 2015 and beyond.
Sustainability is fast becoming a primary area for consideration and has arrived firmly on many CFOs’ agendas. There is now a greater demand for further regulation and transparency across all areas of the business which in turn creates many pressures for an organisation. 81% of CFOs surveyed believe it is important for sustainability programmes to be part of the CFO’s role and according to 91% of respondents there is a direct link between sustainability programmes and business performance. Interestingly, the workplace has emerged as the most important pillar of sustainability to CFOs. The Q4 2013 survey should provide some valuable insights following the announcements for Budget 2014.
Shane Mohan Partner, Deloitte
Quarter 3 overview
“CONTACTS
If you would like further information on the CFO Survey or wish to participate in the future, please contact: Shane Mohan Partner T: +353 1 417 2543 E: [email protected] or Jennifer Casey Manager T: +3531 417 3813 E: [email protected]
4
Snapshot of key findings
28NET OPTIMISM%Net optimism dropped slightly to 28% this year however overall, CFOs appear positive this quarter.
61BAILOUT%61% of CFOs surveyed expect Ireland to exit the bailout programme in 2013.
52POSITIVE IMPACT%52% believe exiting the bailout programme will have a somewhat positive impact on their company.
48MARKET RISK%48% consider market risk to be the largest threat to their company – a drop from 71% in Quarter 2 2013.
5
60ACCOUNTING FRAMEWORK
%Almost 60% of respondents indicated that their Board of Directors have not concluded on which accounting framework to adopt for 2015 and beyond.
81SUSTAINABILITY%81% believe it is important for sustainability programmes to be part of the CFO’s role.
91PERFORMANCE%According to 91% of respondents, there is a direct link between sustainability programmes and business performance.
17 NEW CREDIT%Perceptions of availability of new credit from domestic banks continue to improve with a net 17% of respondents perceiving credit as easily attainable.
6
Key events and economic trends
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
/$: 0.81 /£: 1.32
Bond Yield to Maturity ISEQ® Overall
3,800.00
3,900.00
4,000.00
4,100.00
4,200.00
4,300.00
4,400.004.00%
Bond Yield to Maturity ISEQ® Overall
/$: 1.31/£: 0.86
/$: 1.35 /£: 0.83
Yied
on
Irish
Gov
t. FX
ra
tes
Do
mes
tic
eco
no
my
Yie
ld o
n I
rish
G
ove
rnm
ent
bo
nd
sG
lob
al
eco
no
my Croatia becomes
the 28th Member State of the European Union as Lithuania takes over the EU Presidency from Ireland.
Statistics released by Eurostat show that Ireland had the fourth highest debt to GDP ratio (125.1%) in the EU at the end of March, preceded by Greece at 160.5%, Italy at 130.3% and Portugal at 127.2%.
The IMF approves the latest installment of €1.7 billion of its €28 billion contribution to Greece after completing a review of the country's performance under the international rescue programme.
The threat of military action in the Middle East pushes oil prices up, with Brent crude oil up to $114 barrel, its highest in six months.
Statistics released by Eurostat show that unemployment rose by 995,000 in the EU-28 and by 1,008,000 in the euro area. Meanwhile the unemployment rate in the US was 7.4%, down from 8.3 % in July 2012.
The G20 Summit is held in St. Petersburg, Russia and sees political leaders focus their attention on the crisis in Syria.
Angela Merkel is re-elected for a third term as Prime Minister of Germany, as her Conservative Party increases their share of the vote by 7.7 points to 41.5%.
China opens a new free trade zone in Shanghai with plans to liberalise regulations governing finance, investment and trade in the area.
Division between Democrats and Repulicans over budgertary matters relating to healthcare legislation forces the first US Government shut down in 17 years. The shut down sees the suspension of non-vital government services forcing 783,000 workers to stay at home on unpaid leave.
Apple release the iPhone 5s and 5c with sales of nine million units in the first three days.
ISEQ in
dex valu
e
Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's upgrades its outlook on Ireland's credit rating from 'stable' to 'positive' on its BBB+ rating, saying Ireland's debt may fall faster than expected.
Interest rates on new business loans to non financial corporations of over €1 million decreased in Quarter 2 by 76 basis points to 2.57%, according to a report released by the CBI.
The Insolvency Service of Ireland (ISI) authorises its first batch of personal insolvency practitioners, responsible for leading people through the insolvency process in line with the Personal Insolvency Legislation.
The National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) completes an auction of Irish Treasury Bills, selling the target amount of €500 million.Total bids amount to €1.671 billion, 3.3 times the amount on offer.
The Irish Economy is officially out of recession as GDP increased for three consecutive months in Quarter 2, according to the CSO.
The CSO release statistics showing that property prices in Dublin have increased by 10.6% over the last 12 months.
July
July
August
August
September
September
29 30 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
The EU - IMF Troika return to Ireland for their second last review as part of the current bailout programme. The Trioka are satisfied that Ireland has met the programme targets.
As 'The Gathering' initiative continues, the CSO release statistics indicating that trips to Ireland increased by 7.6% for May - July of this year, when compared to the same period in 2012.
Irish politicians are met by anti-austerity protesters as they return to the Dáil following the summer break.
The Government approves plans for a banking enquiry to investigate the events leading up to the bank guarantee in September 2008.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
3.90%
3.80%
3.70%
3.60%
3.50%
3.40%
3.30%
7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
/$: 0.81 /£: 1.32
Bond Yield to Maturity ISEQ® Overall
3,800.00
3,900.00
4,000.00
4,100.00
4,200.00
4,300.00
4,400.004.00%
Bond Yield to Maturity ISEQ® Overall
/$: 1.31/£: 0.86
/$: 1.35 /£: 0.83
Yied
on
Irish
Gov
t. FX
ra
tes
Do
mes
tic
eco
no
my
Yie
ld o
n I
rish
G
ove
rnm
ent
bo
nd
sG
lob
al
eco
no
my Croatia becomes
the 28th Member State of the European Union as Lithuania takes over the EU Presidency from Ireland.
Statistics released by Eurostat show that Ireland had the fourth highest debt to GDP ratio (125.1%) in the EU at the end of March, preceded by Greece at 160.5%, Italy at 130.3% and Portugal at 127.2%.
The IMF approves the latest installment of €1.7 billion of its €28 billion contribution to Greece after completing a review of the country's performance under the international rescue programme.
The threat of military action in the Middle East pushes oil prices up, with Brent crude oil up to $114 barrel, its highest in six months.
Statistics released by Eurostat show that unemployment rose by 995,000 in the EU-28 and by 1,008,000 in the euro area. Meanwhile the unemployment rate in the US was 7.4%, down from 8.3 % in July 2012.
The G20 Summit is held in St. Petersburg, Russia and sees political leaders focus their attention on the crisis in Syria.
Angela Merkel is re-elected for a third term as Prime Minister of Germany, as her Conservative Party increases their share of the vote by 7.7 points to 41.5%.
China opens a new free trade zone in Shanghai with plans to liberalise regulations governing finance, investment and trade in the area.
Division between Democrats and Repulicans over budgertary matters relating to healthcare legislation forces the first US Government shut down in 17 years. The shut down sees the suspension of non-vital government services forcing 783,000 workers to stay at home on unpaid leave.
Apple release the iPhone 5s and 5c with sales of nine million units in the first three days.
ISEQ in
dex valu
e
Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's upgrades its outlook on Ireland's credit rating from 'stable' to 'positive' on its BBB+ rating, saying Ireland's debt may fall faster than expected.
Interest rates on new business loans to non financial corporations of over €1 million decreased in Quarter 2 by 76 basis points to 2.57%, according to a report released by the CBI.
The Insolvency Service of Ireland (ISI) authorises its first batch of personal insolvency practitioners, responsible for leading people through the insolvency process in line with the Personal Insolvency Legislation.
The National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) completes an auction of Irish Treasury Bills, selling the target amount of €500 million.Total bids amount to €1.671 billion, 3.3 times the amount on offer.
The Irish Economy is officially out of recession as GDP increased for three consecutive months in Quarter 2, according to the CSO.
The CSO release statistics showing that property prices in Dublin have increased by 10.6% over the last 12 months.
July
July
August
August
September
September
29 30 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
The EU - IMF Troika return to Ireland for their second last review as part of the current bailout programme. The Trioka are satisfied that Ireland has met the programme targets.
As 'The Gathering' initiative continues, the CSO release statistics indicating that trips to Ireland increased by 7.6% for May - July of this year, when compared to the same period in 2012.
Irish politicians are met by anti-austerity protesters as they return to the Dáil following the summer break.
The Government approves plans for a banking enquiry to investigate the events leading up to the bank guarantee in September 2008.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
3.90%
3.80%
3.70%
3.60%
3.50%
3.40%
3.30%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
/$: 0.81 /£: 1.32
Bond Yield to Maturity ISEQ® Overall
3,800.00
3,900.00
4,000.00
4,100.00
4,200.00
4,300.00
4,400.004.00%
Bond Yield to Maturity ISEQ® Overall
/$: 1.31/£: 0.86
/$: 1.35 /£: 0.83
Yied
on
Irish
Gov
t. FX
ra
tes
Do
mes
tic
eco
no
my
Yie
ld o
n I
rish
G
ove
rnm
ent
bo
nd
sG
lob
al
eco
no
my Croatia becomes
the 28th Member State of the European Union as Lithuania takes over the EU Presidency from Ireland.
Statistics released by Eurostat show that Ireland had the fourth highest debt to GDP ratio (125.1%) in the EU at the end of March, preceded by Greece at 160.5%, Italy at 130.3% and Portugal at 127.2%.
The IMF approves the latest installment of €1.7 billion of its €28 billion contribution to Greece after completing a review of the country's performance under the international rescue programme.
The threat of military action in the Middle East pushes oil prices up, with Brent crude oil up to $114 barrel, its highest in six months.
Statistics released by Eurostat show that unemployment rose by 995,000 in the EU-28 and by 1,008,000 in the euro area. Meanwhile the unemployment rate in the US was 7.4%, down from 8.3 % in July 2012.
The G20 Summit is held in St. Petersburg, Russia and sees political leaders focus their attention on the crisis in Syria.
Angela Merkel is re-elected for a third term as Prime Minister of Germany, as her Conservative Party increases their share of the vote by 7.7 points to 41.5%.
China opens a new free trade zone in Shanghai with plans to liberalise regulations governing finance, investment and trade in the area.
Division between Democrats and Repulicans over budgertary matters relating to healthcare legislation forces the first US Government shut down in 17 years. The shut down sees the suspension of non-vital government services forcing 783,000 workers to stay at home on unpaid leave.
Apple release the iPhone 5s and 5c with sales of nine million units in the first three days.
ISEQ in
dex valu
e
Credit rating agency Standard & Poor's upgrades its outlook on Ireland's credit rating from 'stable' to 'positive' on its BBB+ rating, saying Ireland's debt may fall faster than expected.
Interest rates on new business loans to non financial corporations of over €1 million decreased in Quarter 2 by 76 basis points to 2.57%, according to a report released by the CBI.
The Insolvency Service of Ireland (ISI) authorises its first batch of personal insolvency practitioners, responsible for leading people through the insolvency process in line with the Personal Insolvency Legislation.
The National Treasury Management Agency (NTMA) completes an auction of Irish Treasury Bills, selling the target amount of €500 million.Total bids amount to €1.671 billion, 3.3 times the amount on offer.
The Irish Economy is officially out of recession as GDP increased for three consecutive months in Quarter 2, according to the CSO.
The CSO release statistics showing that property prices in Dublin have increased by 10.6% over the last 12 months.
July
July
August
August
September
September
29 30 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30
The EU - IMF Troika return to Ireland for their second last review as part of the current bailout programme. The Trioka are satisfied that Ireland has met the programme targets.
As 'The Gathering' initiative continues, the CSO release statistics indicating that trips to Ireland increased by 7.6% for May - July of this year, when compared to the same period in 2012.
Irish politicians are met by anti-austerity protesters as they return to the Dáil following the summer break.
The Government approves plans for a banking enquiry to investigate the events leading up to the bank guarantee in September 2008.
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
3.90%
3.80%
3.70%
3.60%
3.50%
3.40%
3.30%
8
Domestic banks remain the preferred method of funding in Quarter 3 2013 with an increase of 4% on last quarter. The preference for overseas funding also grew by 4% with the preference for leasing remaining unchanged at 0%.
Corporate bonds saw a significant rise of 10% this quarter to 21%, overtaking equity which fell to 17%.
This quarter sees the net perception of the cost of new credit from domestic banks revert back to a similar figure to that which was recorded in Quarter 1 2013, with 50% believing new credit to be costly.
A net 17% of respondents perceive finance from domestic banks as being easily attainable, continuing the upward trend recorded in Quarter 2 2013. This represents a significant shift in perception from that recorded over the past two years.
Section 1. The economy and your company – financing, debt and credit
Figure 1: What is your company, or your parent company’s, preferred method of funding?
Figure 2: How would you rate the overall cost of new credit for Irish corporates?
Q2 2013
Bank (domestic)
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
1. What is your company, or your parent company’s, preferred method of funding?
Q2 2013
Bank (overseas)
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q2 2013
Equity
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q2 2013
Corporate bonds
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
0%0%
0%
0%Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Reduced dividend payments
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
0%Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Leasing
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
53%
46%
18%
14%
Q3 201312%
18%
0%
6%
4%
12%
18%
50%
54%Q3 2013
4%
8%Q3 2013
35%
17%Q3 2013
11%
21%
How would you rate the overall cost of new credit for Irish corporates?
Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013
Availability
Cost
-70
-50
-30
-10
0
10
30
50
70
90
CostlyEasily available
CheapHard to get
Q4 2011 Q3 2013
68%62%
76%81%
62% 62%
53%
27%
50%
-44%-38%
-68%
-50%
-29%-23%
-31%
12%17%
9
A net 4% of respondents perceive corporate bonds to be difficult to obtain.
There has been a significant change in perceptions in relation to equity which is now perceived by a net 13% of respondents as being easily available, a rise of 56% on Quarter 2 2013.
Domestic and overseas banks both saw a rise this quarter of 5% and 4% respectively in terms of ease of availability.
Net optimism saw its first fall this year (8%) on the upward trend experienced since Quarter 4 2012.
However, a net 28% of CFOs still remain optimistic on their companies’ financial prospects.
Figure 3: How would you rate the overall availability of new credit for Irish corporates compared to six months ago from the following sources?
Figure 4: Compared with three months ago how do you feel about the financial prospects for your company?
How would you rate the overall availability of new credit for Irish corporates compared to six months ago from the following sources?
Q4 2012
Easily available
Hard to get-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
Domestic banks
Overseas banks
Corporate bonds
EquityQ1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013
-43%
0%
-18%
12%
-31%
-23%
5%9%8%
-4% -4%
-17%
-26%
-29%
13%
17%
4. Compared with three months ago how do you feel about the financial prospects for your company?
Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013
Optimistic Sentiments on your company’s financial prospects
Pessimistic 15
20
25
30
35
40
17%
33%
36%
28%
10
A net 24% of respondents have reported that their gearing has fallen in the last year.
This is a substantial change when compared to the net 13% of respondents reporting gearing decreases this time last year.
76% of respondents believe it is not a good time to take greater risk onto their companies balance sheets, a slight increase on the 71% reported in Quarter 2 2013.
Figure 5: How has your company’s gearing changed since this time last year?
Figure 6: Do you think it is a good time to take greater risk on your company’s balance sheet?5. How has your company’s gearing changed since this
time last year?
Q3 2011 Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
Q4 2011 Q3 2013
-12%
-4%
-6%
-2%
-13%
-22%
0%
-28%
-24%
Increase
Decrease
6. Do you think it is a good time to take greater risk onto your company’s balance sheet?
24%
76%
Yes
No
11
Only 12% of CFOs indicated that the level of external financial and economic uncertainty facing their business is high or very high. This contrasts with 59% of respondents last quarter perceiving external uncertainty as high or very high.
CFOs continue to consider market risk as the largest threat to their company (48%). However this sentiment has been falling since Quarter 1 2013 figure of 83%.
Operational risk, or the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems has experienced the most significant increase this quarter, rising 16% to 20%.
Figure 7: How would you rate the level of external financial and economic uncertainty facing your business?
Figure 8: Which category of risk poses the largest threat to your company?
7. How would you rate the level of external financial and economic uncertainty facing your business?
32%
12%4%
0%
52%
Very high
High
Normal
Low
Very low
8. Which category of risk poses the largest threat to your company?
Q2 2013
Strategic
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
11%
20%
25%
28%Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Operational
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 20130%
7%
4%
20%Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Financial
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
0%
7%
6%4%
Q2 2013
Market
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
83%
67%
71%
48%Q3 2013
12
Encouragingly, the majority of CFOs believe their company and the Irish economy have already returned to growth.
However, the overall view on the eurozone returning to growth is not so optimistic with almost half of respondents believing that it will be 2015 before this occurs.
Figure 9: In your view when will the following return to growth:9. In your view when will:
The eurozone Your company The Irish economy
20%
8%
4%
68%
56%13%
13%
13%
6%
8%
8%
12%
12%
20%
40%
Already Returned
H1 2014
H2 2014
H1 2015
H2 2015
Deloitte perspective:
There is continued confidence among CFOs this quarter in relation to the availability of new credit. The perception of the availability of funding from domestic and overseas banks, as well as equity sources, have all improved. This bodes well for Irish businesses and suggests that the decisive actions by the Government to stabilise the banking system following the banking crisis, which played a central role in Ireland’s economic difficulties, has turned the tide on perceptions regarding the availability of credit over the last 18 months. It is ironic that this increased availability of new credit comes at a time when the majority of CFO respondents are still focussed on decreasing the levels of gearing on their balance sheets. This suggests that there is still a level of caution amongst CFOs.
There continues to be a high degree of optimism this quarter in relation to the financial outlook for individual companies despite an 8% drop in this metric. A possible contributory factor to continued buoyancy may be the fact that perceptions of market risk and financial and economic uncertainty have improved significantly this quarter. These sentiments coincide with an announcement by the Central Statistics Office recently that Ireland is officially out of recession with GDP growing by just under 0.5% between April and June this year. A strong majority of respondents (68%) believe that their companies have already returned to growth, up 12% from last quarter. Coupled with this is a view by 56% of respondents that the Irish economy has also returned to growth. Despite some caution by CFOs in relation to a reluctance to take greater risk onto their companies’ balance sheets, the survey results this quarter paint a positive picture in relation to CFO sentiments on the economy and their companies.
13
Low economic growth continues to be the top external financial challenge facing businesses today according to the majority of respondents (34%) this quarter. This is closely followed by market uncertainty (31%).
61% of respondents believe that Ireland will be in a position to exit the
bailout programme by the end of 2013 as planned.
It should be noted that the survey closed before Enda Kenny’s mid-October announcement, confirming Ireland is on track to exit the bailout programme on December 15 2013.
Figure 10: What are the top three external financial challenges currently facing your business today?
Figure 11: Do you believe Ireland will exit the bailout programme by the end of 2013?
10. What are the top three external financial challenges currently facing your business today?
31%7%
34%
6%4%
Europe’s sovereign debt crisis
Global recession
Market uncertainty
Financial stress
Low economic growth
Other
17%
11. Do you believe Ireland will exit the bailout programme by the end of 2013?
61%
39%
Yes
No
Section 2. Current economic and other events
14
All respondents to this quarter’s survey believe that the Government should seek an enhanced conditions credit line from the European Stability Mechanism (ESM), after the expected exit from the bailout programme on December 15 2013.
Only 4% of CFO respondents believe that exiting the bailout programme will have a negative impact on their business.
The majority of respondents (52%) perceive the exit from the bailout programme as a positive influence on their company.
Figure 12: Do you believe it is a good idea that the Government seeks an enhanced conditions credit line from the European Stability Mechanism permanent bailout fund initially once the country has exited the bailout programme?
Figure 13: What impact do you believe exiting the bailout programme will have on your company?
12. Do you believe it is a good idea that the Government seeks an enhanced conditions credit line from the European Stability Mechanism permanent bailout fund initially once the country has exited the bailout programme?
100%
Yes
No
No opinion
13. What impact do you believe exiting the bailout programme will have on your company?
52%
4%
0%0%
43%
Very positive impact
Somewhat positive impact
No impact
Somewhat negative impact
Very negative impact
15
Irish GAAP fundamentally changes effective for periods commencing 1 January 2015 with early adoption permissible. All extant FRSs and SSAPs will be withdrawn and replaced by one standard based on IFRS for SMEs called FRS 102. The changes introduce a wide range of choice of accounting frameworks including IFRS, IFRS with reduced disclosures for qualifying entities, as well as FRS 102.
CFO respondents highlighted a broad range of areas that have the potential to be impacted by the choice of accounting framework. There is no single area that stands out as being a key concern to respondents.
68% of respondents believe that their current level of finance function resources will be adequate to ensure a smooth transition to the chosen accounting framework.
An additional 27% believe a smooth transition is feasible but only with additional help.
Figure 14: Do you think that the choice of framework has the potential to adversely impact the business. 14. Do you think that the choice of framework has the potential to adversely impact the business: (rank all that apply in order of impact where 1 = most impact)
Training requirements
11%
8%
10%
12%
7%
10%
7%
8%
7%
12%
9% IT systems
Investor relations
Budgets and forecasts
Reporting financial instruments
Earn outs and other contractual arrangements
Tax
Dividend flows
Performance related pay and bonuses
Covenant compliance
Measurement of profit and other KPIs
Irish GAAP fundamentally changes effective for periods commencing 1 January 2015 with early adoption permissible. All extant FRSs and SSAPs will be withdrawn and replaced by one standard based on IFRS for SMEs called FRS 102. The changes introduce a wide range of choice of accounting frameworks including IFRS, IFRS with reduced disclosures for qualifying entities, as well as FRS 102.Figure 15. Given the highly detailed nature of the work including
but not limited to research into past transactions required to transition from one accounting framework to another, do you consider that your current financial reporting resources within the finance function are adequate to ensure a smooth transition?
15. Given the highly detailed nature of the work including but not limited to research into past transactions required to transition from one accounting framework to another, do you consider that your current financial reporting resources within the finance function are adequate to ensure a smooth transition?
68%
5%
Yes
No
With some help required
27%
16
Almost 60% of respondents indicated that the Board of Directors have not concluded on which accounting framework to adopt for 2015 and beyond.
While almost a third of respondents’ Board of Directors plan to adopt IFRS or IFRS with reduced disclosures.
Figure 16. Has your Board of Directors decided which accounting framework to adopt for 2015 and beyond?16. Has your Board of Directors decided which accounting framework to adopt for 2015 and beyond?
9%
9%
23%
0%
59%
Yes – IFRS
Yes – IFRS with reduced disclosure (FRS 101)
Yes – New Irish GAAP (FRS 102)
Yes – Other
No
Deloitte perspective:
A key upcoming event is Ireland’s expected exit from the EU-IMF bailout on December 15 2013, which signals a move towards increased economic independence. Hence we sought the views of CFOs on this topical issue which revealed some interesting perceptions in relation to this key step on Ireland’s road to economic recovery. Most notable is the fact that there is unanimity on the idea that the Government seeks an enhanced conditions credit line from the European Stability Mechanism’s permanent bailout fund initially once the country has exited the bailout programme. All CFO respondents believe that this is a necessary step to ensure a smooth exit from the bailout programme. Such a credit line would be a ‘safety net’ to reassure investors and purchasers of Irish Government bonds that Ireland could have access to funds if needed, though it is not envisaged that Ireland will need to draw down such funds.
52% of CFO respondents believe that exiting the bailout will have a positive impact on their company. This suggests that an exit from the bailout programme signals to CFOs that recovery is taking place and gives them the confidence that the economy is on the mend. This is expected to have a knock-on positive effect on businesses according to the majority of CFOs surveyed.
The new FRS 102 sets out regulations for all entities (other than listed entities) to transition to IFRS. The introduction of three FRSs, (100: ‘Application of financial reporting requirements’, 101: ‘Reduced disclosure framework’ and 102: ‘The financial reporting standard applicable in the UK and Republic of Ireland’), means that all entities other than listed companies will transition to a new financial reporting framework for financial years commencing on or after 1 January 2015.
60% of CFOs highlighted some uncertainty around which FRS would be adopted. Overall, however, CFO sentiment towards the new accounting framework is positive, with 95% of CFOs responding positively in terms of the FTE effort required for the transition.
17
Section 3. Corporate priorities for CFOs’ businesses in the next 12 months
76% of CFOs have identified their corporate strategies as expansionary, a rise of 20% since Quarter 2 2013. This figure had dropped between Quarter 1 and Quarter 2 2013, but latest results indicate that it is once again on the rise.
Strategic rather than market growth has a greater effect on firms’ investment plans for the next 12 months. 79% of respondents identified the long term growth of their product and service offering as having a positive effect on investment plans. Growth prospects of the Irish market are seen as having a positive effect by 50% of CFOs. Market uncertainty represents the greatest concern among CFOs with 75% of respondents identifying market uncertainty as having a negative effect on investment plans.
Figure 17: Would you consider your corporate strategy to be: Figure 18: What effect do the following factors have on your company’s investment plans for the next 12 months?17. Would you consider your corporate strategy:
Defensive
Expansionary
76%Q3 2013
56%Q2 2013
69%Q1 2013
24%Q3 2013
44%Q2 2013
31%Q1 2013
18. What effect do the following factors have on your company’s investment plans for the next 12 months?
0 20 40 60 80 100
Market uncertainty
Actual or expected growth in the euro area
Actual or expected growth in Ireland
Cost and availability of external finance
Availability of internal finance
Actual or expected growth in the US and Asia
Actual or expected growth in the emerging markets
Long-term growth for your products and services
10% 15% 75%
30% 50% 20%
50% 30% 20%
21% 53% 26%
47% 42%
33% 67% 0%
37% 63%
79% 10.5% 10.5%
0%
Positive Neutral Negative
11%
18
While retention of talent has dropped in importance for CFOs since Quarter 1 2013, 77% still consider it a priority over cost cutting and downsizing.
The top three industry challenges for CFOs remain the same as Quarter 1 2013 – market contraction, pricing trends and industry regulation.
Market contraction with the added burden of increasing industry regulation/legislation are viewed as the joint top two challenges facing businesses today (22%). 15% of respondents see pricing trends as the third greatest challenge while CFOs view product and/or market competition as being the least significant industry challenges to their businesses.
Figure 19: Has retention of talent remained a priority in your firm despite pressures to engage in cost cutting and downsizing?
Figure 20: What are the top three industry challenges currently facing your business today?19. Has retention of talent remained a priority in your firm despite pressures to engage in
cost cutting and downsizing?
94%Q1 2013
74%Q2 2013
6%Q1 2013
No
26%Q2 2013
Yes
77%Q3 2013
23%Q3 2013
20. What are the top three industry challenges currently facing your business today?
Changing cost structures
Foreign competition
Product substitutes
New competitive tactics
New market entrants (domestic)
Availability of people/skill sets
Overcapacity/excess inventory
Mergers and aquisitions
Input prices
Market growth
Pricing trends
Market contraction (declining demand/customer base)
Industry regulation/legislation
1% 25%
2% 2% 2%
4% 4% 5% 6%
7% 9%
15% 22% 22%
19
Deloitte perspective:
Quarter 3 2013 figures indicate that the external operating environment continues to present challenges to Irish businesses with market contraction and industry regulation top of the list of industry challenges currently facing respondents’ businesses. Concerns about market uncertainty remain in the forefront of CFOs’ minds - 75% see market uncertainty as having a negative effect on investment plans. Strategic growth, highlighted by expansionary strategies and a focus on the long term growth of their firms’ products and services, represents the most important factor to CFOs in sustaining their competitive positions.
Maintaining momentum in a national and international economy that is shadowed by uncertainty will be crucial for CFOs over the coming months. While competitive pressures have forced businesses to engage in cost cutting, CFOs clearly recognise the importance of talent retention in order to achieve the strategic growth that is required to overcome their concerns of market volatility and uncertainty.
50% of CFOs consider domestic growth as having a positive impact on their investment plans which suggests that respondents’ businesses are heavily reliant on the domestic market. Nevertheless, CFOs are not ignoring the fact that market contraction, including declining demand, represents a significant industry challenge that will need to be overcome in order to achieve their growth strategies.
Maintaining momentum in a national and international economy that is shadowed by uncertainty will be crucial for CFOs over the coming months.
20
Compared to Quarter 2 2012 when we last surveyed CFOs on the topic of sustainability, sentiment among CFOs on the matter has changed somewhat.
There is an increasing emphasis on the importance of sustainability with survey respondents believing it forms an important part of the CFO’s agenda.
Opinion among CFOs has largely remained stable over the last year with the vast majority of survey respondents (91%) believing there is a direct relationship between sustainability programmes and business performance.
Section 4. Sustainability and the CFO
Figure 21: In your view how important is it for sustainability programmes to be part of the CFO’s role?
Figure 22: Do you believe that there is a direct link between sustainability programmes and business performance?21. In your view how important is it for sustainability programmes to be
part of the CFO’s role?
Extremely important
19%Q3 2013
15%Q2 2012
Important
62%Q3 2013
43%Q2 2012
Somewhat important
19%Q3 2013
36%Q2 2012
Not important
0%Q3 2013
6%Q2 2012
22. Do you believe that there is a direct link between sustainability programmes and business performance?
0
20
40
60
80
100
Strongly agree Agree Neither agree or disagree
Disagree Strongly disagree
13%10%
81% 80%
7%5% 5% 0% 0% 0%
Q3 2013
Q2 2012
21
26% of CFOs believe the workplace is the most important pillar of sustainability to them in their role, an increase of 2% on previous results.
Marketplace is considered by 22% of CFOs as the most relevant area of sustainability to their role.
The results highlight that CFOs include sustainability dimensions in the bidding and procurement processes, with 75% and 81% respectively responding favourably.
Of those who responded ‘no’, 40% plan to incorporate sustainability dimensions in bidding processes in the future, whilst 50% of CFOs plan to incorporate sustainability into procurement processes.
Figure 23: Which pillars of sustainability are most important to you in your role as CFO?
Figure 24a: Are sustainability dimensions incorporated into your company’s bidding processes?
23. Which pillars of sustainability are most important to you in your role as CFO?
Communication, reporting and governance
Community
Environment
Workplace
Marketplace
18% Q3 2013
Q2 201219%
16%
15%
17%
15%
26%
24%
22%
28%
24a. Are sustainability dimensions incorporated into your company’s bidding processes?
Yes
No
Q3 2013
Q2 2012
75%
25%
37%
63%
Figure 24b: Are sustainability dimensions incorporated into your company’s procurement processes?
24b. Are sustainability dimensions incorporated into your company’s procurement processes?
Q3 2013
Q2 2012
81%
19%
61%
39%
Yes
No
22
Business value (16%) is the foremost area of concern in relation to the impact of sustainability whilst long term value creation (14%) is second.
Figure 25: Do you think sustainability has an impact on:25. Do you think that sustainability has an impact on:
Business value
Revenue generation
Cost control
Long-term value creation
Compliance and risk management
Financial auditing and reporting
Investor relations
Investment planning
M&A activity/investment analysis
Building trust
Reporting to stakeholders
16% 20%
12% 11%
14%
10%
6% 7%
5% 5%
8% 7%
Deloitte perspective:
Sustainability is fast becoming a primary area for consideration and has arrived firmly on many CFOs’ agendas. There is now a greater demand for further regulation and transparency across all areas of the business which in turn can create many pressures for an organisation. These challenges can have a significant impact on enterprise value over time through increasing costs relating to ‘green factors’ and changes in regulatory requirements can profoundly impact how an organisation operates.
However, sustainability is not only an area of pressure for an organisation but it can be considered as a catalyst for value creation and transformation that the CFO can leverage through sustainable initiatives and programmes. Sustainability programmes can drive value creation by eliminating waste and inefficiencies, driving cost savings, ensuring ethical business practices and increasing brand awareness. The importance of value is highlighted in the survey results with ‘business value’ and ‘long-term value creation’ being ranked as the top two areas that CFOs believe sustainability impacts on.
It is evident through the growing trends amongst organisations that CFOs are embracing the sustainability agenda and reacting positively to the changing business environment.
23
Sustainability programmes can drive value creation by eliminating waste and inefficiencies, driving cost savings, ensuring ethical business practices and increasing brand awareness.
Tom Cassin Partner, Audit T: +353 1 417 2210 E: [email protected]
Pádraic Whelan Partner, Taxation T: +353 1 417 2848 E: [email protected]
Michael Flynn Partner, Corporate Finance T: +353 1 417 2515 E: [email protected]
Cathal Treacy Partner, Audit T: +353 61 435511 E: [email protected]
Ciarán O’Brien Partner, Audit T: +353 1 3829 E: [email protected]
ContactsFor more details please contact:
DublinDeloitte & ToucheDeloitte & Touche HouseEarlsfort TerraceDublin 2T: +353 1 417 2200F: +353 1 417 2300
CorkDeloitte & ToucheNo.6 Lapp’s QuayCorkT: +353 21 490 7000F: +353 21 490 7001
LimerickDeloitte & ToucheDeloitte & Touche HouseCharlotte QuayLimerickT: +353 61 435500F: +353 61 418310
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For more information on the Deloitte CFO Survey please contact:
Shane MohanPartner, Management Consulting T: +353 1 417 2543 E: [email protected]
Alan FlanaganPartner, Management Consulting T: +353 1 417 2873 E: [email protected]