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The digital transformation of industrial sectors Nikos Kazazakis | Octeract | CEO [email protected]

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Page 1: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

The digital transformation of industrial sectorsNikos Kazazakis | Octeract | [email protected]

Page 2: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

What is digital transformation?

Physical system Decision

Page 3: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

What is digital transformation?

Physical system DecisionDigital

tech

Page 4: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Who takes on the risk of R&D?

Page 5: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Uncertainty space

Startup vs business

Problem Solution

Business

● Fast iterations● Innovation● Efficiency

Page 6: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

What is mathematical optimisation?

Page 7: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

What is mathematical optimisation?

Physical system DecisionDigital

tech

Modelling interfaces

Data collection

Data analytics OptimisationMachine

learning Simulation

Page 8: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Customer profile

Source: https://discovery.hgdata.com/product/ibm-ilog

Page 9: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Case study: HEN for a large chemical company

● Problem definition: what is the optimal network of heat exchangers to minimise annual operational cost and annualised investment cost?

● Design that cannot be produced by humans (more HEs)● Optimal network improvement: 24%, 47%, ~$5m/year/site

Page 10: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Other applications

● Tailored chemical compounds (17%)● Process control (safety by design)● Operations scheduling (38%)

Page 11: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Improvement by sector

● Any company with more than 50 employees that does not use optimisation is losing money

● Penetration rate <1%● Technological and

knowledge barriers

Page 12: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

User workflow

Modelling interface

Do the math Solver Decision

BM ABM

Physical problem

1000s

Page 13: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

End goal

DecisionPhysical problem

Modelling interface

Page 14: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Products

Octeract Engine

● Solves any type of optimisation problem● Highest solve rate● Massively parallel● Powered by Reformulator technology

Page 15: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

A solution…

the best solution

Page 16: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Products

Octeract Engine

● Solves any type of optimisation problem● Highest solve rate in the world● Massively parallel● Powered by Reformulator technology

Octeract Reformulator

● World’s first optimisation compiler● Produces math automatically● Accelerates workflow by 1000x● Works with any solver● Allows users to save, reuse, and share

mathematical techniques

Page 17: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Reformulation becomes reusable

ORL (10μs)

Manual (5 hours)

Model A Model B

Page 18: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

What is “AI”?

Large-scale optimisation to produce a model directly from data● Should be used:

○ Physics uncertain/unknown○ Large volume of data is available○ Transferability is not necessary○ To describe parts of a complex system○ When it’s ok to violate constraints

● Should not be used:○ Physics well understood○ Not enough (relevant) data○ Transferability is necessary○ As a substitute for old-fashioned engineering○ Safety-critical applications

Page 19: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Data challenges

● Hype● Premature collection

○ Noise○ Data cleaning○ Lack of context

● No standardisation● Low transferability● Human vs machine

○ 10x-100x less expensive○ Little to no data collection○ Transferable solutions

Page 20: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Hurdles to digital transformation

● Lead times● Dilution of responsibility● Lack of incentive at lower levels● Initiating communication● Ill-defined innovation budget● Risk aversion● Loss of interest (path of least resistance)● Money is (mostly) irrelevant for tech startups

Page 21: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Solutions

● Lead times● Dilution of responsibility● Lack of incentive at lower levels● Initiating communication● Ill-defined innovation budget● Risk aversion● Loss of interest (path of least resistance)

● Milestone based contracts● Accountability● Rewards/promotion opportunities● Promote outreach● Well-defined innovation budget/rules● Risk sharing

Page 22: The digital transformation of nikos@octeract.co.uk ...suschem.org/...transformation_NKazazakis_Octeract.pdf · Hurdles to digital transformation Lead times Dilution of responsibility

Thank you!

[email protected]